Tropical Weather Outlook and Summary
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000
ABNT20 KNHC 291758
TWOAT

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
200 PM EDT WED OCT 29 2014

For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:

An area of low pressure has formed just north of the Leeward
Islands and is producing a large area of disorganized showers and
thunderstorms. Although upper-level winds are particularly
conducive, some development of this disturbance is possible during
the next day or so while it moves west-northwestward to
northwestward at 10 to 15 mph.  After that time, conditions are
forecast to become unfavorable for tropical cyclone formation
while the system turns northward.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...medium...30 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...medium...30 percent.

$$
Forecaster Blake/Brown



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