Tropical Weather Outlook and Summary
Issued by NWS

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000
ABNT20 KNHC 290538
TWOAT

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
200 AM EDT WED OCT 29 2014

For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:

A tropical wave interacting with an upper-level trough is producing
disorganized showers and thunderstorms a couple of hundred miles
northeast of the northern Leeward Islands.  Upper-level winds
are currently marginally conducive, and some slow development of
this disturbance is possible during the next couple of days while it
moves west-northwestward to northwestward at 10 to 15 mph.
Afterwards, conditions are forecast to become unfavorable for
tropical cyclone formation.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...medium...30 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...medium...30 percent.

A low pressure system, the remnants of Tropical Storm Hanna, is
moving inland over Belize while it produces disorganized showers and
thunderstorms.  Now that the low is moving inland, significant
re-development is unlikely.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...low...near 0 percent.

$$
Forecaster Beven



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