464
FXUS61 KBGM 021047
AFDBGM

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Binghamton NY
647 AM EDT Thu May 2 2024

.SYNOPSIS...
Dry weather has returned thru Friday. Temperatures will remain
above average for early May. Then, a brief cool down with
periods of rain showers is expected for the upcoming weekend.

&&

.NEAR TERM /THROUGH FRIDAY/...
330 AM Update...

A weak cold front is pushing through the region early this
morning and just kicking off a few isolated sprinkles, but not
expecting anymore than a trace of rain from any of these.

Ridging begins to build into the area today NW flow advecting
in cooler air from the Twin Tiers northward, so high
temperatures will be a little cooler this afternoon. However,
the cooler air may not make it further south into the
Scranton/Wilkes Barre area, so highs here will likely be similar
to what we saw on Wednesday. Dry weather will continue through
the period with another great day expected on Thursday with
temperatures a few degrees warmer than today.

&&

.SHORT TERM /FRIDAY NIGHT THROUGH SUNDAY NIGHT/...
250 AM Update...

Friday night will be mostly dry as rain showers edge into the
Finger Lakes and central southern tier of CNY. Lows in the 40s
in NEPA and the Catskills to the low and mid 50s in the Finger
Lakes.

A slow moving cold front approaches while high pressure remains
off the coast. Increasing low level winds will bring in moisture
from the southwest ahead of the front. Rain showers and possible
thunderstorms will be across the area late Saturday into late
Sunday. An inch of rain is possible but after several dry days
this shouldn`t do much. Highs in the 60s Saturday will drop
Sunday into the 50s east of I81 where the rain will last longer.
Lows Saturday night from the mid 40s to around 50 rise to upper
40s and lower 50s Sunday night.

&&

.LONG TERM /MONDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY/...
250 AM Update...

Monday and Monday night will be mainly dry with weak high
pressure over the area. Tuesday morning may also be dry as
models slow the onset some with the next front. This strong
front goes through on Wednesday with showers and thunderstorms.
Showers and thunderstorms could continue on Thursday with
another fast moving system.

High temperatures rise to be the 70s Tuesday and Wednesday and
maybe Thursday. Low temperatures Monday night in the upper 40s
to around 50 rise into the 50s Tuesday and Wednesday nights.

&&

.AVIATION /12Z THURSDAY THROUGH MONDAY/...

High pressure builds into the region today with Vlate dayFR
conditions expected. There is a small chance for fog at ELM and
RME early Friday morning, however, confidence is too low to add
to the forecast at this time.

Winds will increase later this morning from the west- northwest
with gusts of 10-20 kts, before becoming light a variable after
sunset tonight.

Outlook...

Friday...Mainly VFR, but evening showers/t`storms possible.

Saturday into Monday...Restrictions possible in showers and
thunderstorms.

&&

.BGM WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
PA...None.
NY...None.

&&

$$

SYNOPSIS...MPK/TAC
NEAR TERM...MPK
SHORT TERM...TAC
LONG TERM...TAC
AVIATION...AJG/MPK