Suppression Forecast
Issued by NWS Birmingham, AL

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FNUS74 KBMX 231059
FWSBMX

SPOT FORECAST FOR JOSEPH SPRINGS...USFS
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BIRMINGHAM AL
559 AM CDT THU MAY 23 2013

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 0900 CDT ON MAY 23.

IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...

ACROSS WESTERN CLEBURNE AND EASTERN CALHOUN COUNTY...LOW STRATUS
CLOUDS WITH CEILINGS OF LESS THAN 1000 FEET WILL BE EXPECTED
THROUGH SUNRISE...AND WILL GRADUALLY DISSIPATE THROUGH THE MID
MORNING HOURS. BASED ON THE CURRENT FORECAST THROUGH NEXT
WEEK...DRY CONDITIONS WILL PERSIST THROUGH AT LEAST THE LATTER
HALF OF THE WEEKEND. THE CHANCE OF ANY WIDESPREAD WETTING RAINFALL
APPEARS LOW AT THIS TIME FOR MUCH OF NEXT WEEK AS WELL. WITH A COLD
FRONT MOVING THROUGH THE AREA FROM THE NORTH LATE THIS EVENING...A
MUCH DRIER AIRMASS WILL FILTER INTO THE AREA FRIDAY MORNING AND
FOG DEVELOPMENT APPEARS UNLIKELY AT THIS TIME.

NO FIRE WEATHER CONCERNS ARE EXPECTED OVER THE NEXT SEVERAL
DAYS...AS RAIN-FREE CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED THROUGH THE FORECAST
PERIOD. DRIER AIR WILL BEGIN TO FILTER INTO THE STATE DURING THE
EARLY MORNING HOURS ON FRIDAY BEHIND A COLD FRONT. THE DRIEST AIR
LOOKS TO BE IN PLACE DURING THE AFTERNOON HOURS ON SATURDAY...WITH
RELATIVE HUMIDITIES LESS THAN 30 PERCENT LIKELY FOR MUCH OF THE
AREA. HOWEVER...WINDS WILL REMAIN LIGHT AND CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER
CONDITIONS ARE NOT EXPECTED. TRANSPORT WINDS WILL PREVAIL FROM THE
NORTHWEST TO NORTHERLY THROUGHOUT THE FORECAST PERIOD.


.TODAY...
TIME (CDT)      8 AM   10 AM  NOON   2 PM   4 PM
SKY.............PCLDY  MCLEAR MCLEAR MCLEAR MCLDY
WEATHER COV.....PATCHY
WEATHER TYPE....FOG    NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE
TEMP............64     73     80     83     83
RH..............98     75     55     49     48
20 FT WIND......W 2    W 5    W 8    W 10   W 12
20 FT WIND GUST.5      10     15     15     20
CHC OF PCPN (%).10     10     10     10     10
MIX HGT (FT)....2200   5200   6600   7800   8300
TRANSPORT WIND..300/10 300/15 300/18 290/22 290/24
DISPERSION......5      7      85     108    88

.TONIGHT...
TIME (CDT)      6 PM   8 PM   10 PM  MIDNGT 2 AM   4 AM
SKY.............MCLDY  PCLDY  PCLDY  PCLDY  MCLEAR MCLEAR
WEATHER COV.....
WEATHER TYPE....NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE
TEMP............79     72     64     61     59     59
RH..............53     67     85     92     95     93
20 FT WIND......W 9    W 6    NW 3   NW 3   W 3    W 3
20 FT WIND GUST.15     10     5      5      5      5
CHC OF PCPN (%).10     10     10     10     10     10
MIX HGT (FT)....5300   2300   800    500    500    500
TRANSPORT WIND..290/21 300/16 330/13 340/12 350/12 340/12
DISPERSION......87     47     13     8      5      5

.FRIDAY...
TIME (CDT)      6 AM   8 AM   10 AM  NOON   2 PM   4 PM
SKY.............MCLEAR CLEAR  CLEAR  CLEAR  CLEAR  CLEAR
WEATHER COV.....
WEATHER TYPE....NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE
TEMP............58     62     69     73     74     74
RH..............96     80     60     47     42     39
20 FT WIND......W 6    NW 8   N 12   N 12   N 10   N 9
20 FT WIND GUST.10     15     20     20     20     15
CHC OF PCPN (%).10     0      0      0      0      0
MIX HGT (FT)....700    1900   3700   4500   4700   4300
TRANSPORT WIND..340/12 340/13 350/16 000/17 000/17 010/18
DISPERSION......5      8      22     50     51     71

$$
FORECASTER...GGOGGINS
REQUESTED BY...JOE SMITH
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20130523.JOSEP.01/BMX






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