Spot Forecast
Issued by NWS Birmingham, AL

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Spot Forecast for MLR Stanley Hill...US Forest Service
National Weather Service Birmingham AL
1141 AM CDT Thu Mar 21 2024

Forecast is based on forecast start time of 1200 CDT on March 21.
If conditions become unrepresentative...contact the National Weather
Service.


.DISCUSSION...

Conditions will remain dry this afternoon at the wildfire site in Calhoun
County with min RH ranging from 25 to 35 percent, but moisture will
begin to slowly rise this evening ahead of the next weather system
which will bring rain to the area tomorrow. 20ft winds are light,
generally less than 5 mph from the east, but transport winds are
exhibiting more of an east-northeasterly behavior. Transport winds
will shift to the southeast in the next couple of hours in response to
the developing system to our west. Dispersion should be fair as mixing
heights rise to around 8500 feet this afternoon. Rain chances will begin
to increase tomorrow morning with 20ft winds increasing to around 10 to
15 mph from the east-southeast.

.TODAY...

Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (45-55 percent) then becoming
                    mostly cloudy (75-85 percent).
CWR.................0 percent.
LAL.................1.
Max temperature.....Around 77.
Min humidity........28 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Light winds.
Mixing height.......8700 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Southeast 6 to 7 mph.
Dispersion index....27 increasing to 49.
LVORI...............2.

TIME (CDT)      NOON   2 PM   4 PM
Sky (%).........27     53     69
Weather cov.....
Weather type....NONE   NONE   NONE
Tstm cov........
CWR.............0      0      0
LAL.............1      1      1
Temp............72     76     77
RH..............31     28     28
20 FT wind......E 2    E 2    SE 2
20 FT wind gust.5      5      6
20 FT wind dir..090    100    140
Mix hgt (ft)....5700   8600   7900
Transport wind..SE 6   SE 6   S 7
Dispersion idx..27     46     46
LVORI...........2      1      1

.TONIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (80-90 percent).
CWR.................10 percent.
LAL.................1.
Min temperature.....Around 54.
Max humidity........69 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Light winds becoming east 5 to 6 mph after 3
                    am.
Mixing height.......400 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Southeast 8 to 13 mph.
Dispersion index....20 decreasing to 4.
LVORI...............2.

TIME (CDT)      6 PM   8 PM   10 PM  MIDNGT 2 AM   4 AM
Sky (%).........88     85     87     89     90     89
Weather cov.....
Weather type....NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE
Tstm cov........
CWR.............0      0      10     10     10     10
LAL.............1      1      1      1      1      1
Temp............73     64     60     58     57     55
RH..............33     48     55     59     62     66
20 FT wind......SE 3   SE 3   E 2    E 3    E 3    E 6
20 FT wind gust.6      5      4      6      7      10
20 FT wind dir..140    120    110    100    100    100
Mix hgt (ft)....4200   1400   500    500    500    500
Transport wind..SE 8   E 8    SE 8   SE 8   SE 10  SE 13
Dispersion idx..20     0      4      5      6      8
LVORI...........1      2      3      3      3      3

.FRIDAY...

Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (80-90 percent). Chance of rain
                    showers early in the morning. Rain showers
                    likely late in the morning, then rain showers
                    in the afternoon.
CWR.................10 percent increasing to 90 percent.
LAL.................1.
Max temperature.....Around 62.
Min humidity........66 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........East winds 6 to 12 mph. Gusts up to 24 mph in
                    the late morning and afternoon.
Mixing height.......2300 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....East 12 to 20 mph shifting to the southeast 20
                    to 24 mph in the late morning and afternoon.
Dispersion index....11 increasing to 23 late in the morning, then
                    increasing to 36 late in the morning increasing
                    to 46 early in the afternoon decreasing to 33.
LVORI...............3.

TIME (CDT)      6 AM   8 AM   10 AM  NOON   2 PM   4 PM
Sky (%).........90     79     82     87     91     92
Weather cov.....       CHANCE LIKELY LIKELY DEFNTE DEFNTE
Weather type....NONE   RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR
Tstm cov........
CWR.............10     30     60     60     90     90
LAL.............1      1      1      1      1      1
Temp............54     55     59     61     61     62
RH..............69     69     69     70     78     72
20 FT wind......E 6    E 8    E 9    SE 10  E 12   E 10
20 FT wind gust.10     14     16     18     19     18
20 FT wind dir..100    110    110    120    100    100
Mix hgt (ft)....400    1000   2100   2300   2200   2000
Transport wind..E 12   E 16   SE 23  SE 24  SE 23  E 22
Dispersion idx..8      14     23     36     49     36
LVORI...........3      3      3      3      3      3

$$
Forecaster...Martin
Requested by...Tyler Coffman
Type of request...WILDFIRE
.TAG 2408120.0/BMX
.DELDT 03/21/24
.FormatterVersion 2.0.0


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