Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Boston, MA

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000 FXUS61 KBOX 302049 AFDBOX AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TAUNTON MA 349 PM EST FRI JAN 30 2015 .SYNOPSIS... UPDATE TO LONG-TERM SECTION OF THE FORECAST... LOW PRESSURE DEVELOPING SOUTH OF NANTUCKET THIS AFTERNOON WILL INTENSIFY OVER THE GULF OF MAINE TONIGHT BRINGING PERIODS OF SNOW. BLUSTERY AND VERY COLD CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED THIS WEEKEND. LOW PRESSURE WILL PASS SOUTH OF NEW ENGLAND SUNDAY NIGHT AND LINGERING THROUGH MONDAY NIGHT. A PLOWABLE SNOWFALL IS ANTICIPATED. COLD CONDITIONS WILL CONTINUE THROUGH MOST OF NEXT WEEK. YET ANOTHER LOW MAY DEVELOP AROUND NEXT WEDNESDAY OR THURSDAY WITH A THREAT FOR SNOW...THOUGH LOW CONFIDENCE. && .NEAR TERM /UNTIL 6 PM THIS EVENING/... 145 PM UPDATE... *** WINTER STORM WARNING FOR ESSEX WILL BE DOWNGRADED TO A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY *** SNOW SHIELD ASSOCIATED WITH INITIAL SHORT WAVE IS EXITING SOUTHERN NEW ENGLAND AS DRY SLOT IS NOW OVERSPREADING THE REGION FROM SOUTHWEST TO NORTHEAST. THUS STEADY SNOW HAS ENDED AND WILL BE REPLACED BY SCATTERED FLURRIES. AS MID LEVEL TROUGH TAKES ON A NEGATIVE TILT SECONDARY LOW/CYCLOGENESIS IS TAKING PLACE THIS AFTERNOON JUST SOUTHEAST OF NANTUCKET AND CAPE COD PER GOOD PRES FALLS OVER THIS AREA. SURFACE WINDS HAVE RESPONDED WITH MOST LOCATIONS NOW NORTHWEST. THUS BOUNDARY LAYER WILL BE COOLING THE REMAINDER OF THE DAY. AS FOR SNOW ACCUMULATIONS TONIGHT...LATEST 12Z GUID INCLUDING THE EC SUGGEST COMMA-HEAD SNOWS WILL BE TOO FAR EAST TO IMPACT MOST OF THE AREA. GREATEST RISK FOR ACCUMULATING SNOWS TONIGHT INTO SAT AM WILL BE OVER CAPE ANN AND CAPE COD. SNOW ACCUMULATIONS OF 2 TO 4 INCHES ARE POSSIBLE...HIGHEST AMOUNTS ACROSS THE OUTER CAPE... EAST OF HYANNIS. THUS WILL DOWNGRADE WINTER STORM WARNING FOR ESSEX TO AN ADVISORY. WILL CONTINUE ADVISORIES TO ESSEX AND CAPE COD. ELSEWHERE ACROSS EASTERN MA INCLUDING BOSTON SHOULD SEE SNOW ACCUMS TONIGHT INTO SAT AM OF A COATING TO 2 INCHES. FARTHER WEST INTO RI/CT/WESTERN-CENTRAL MA LITTLE IF ANY SNOWFALL. && .SHORT TERM /6 PM THIS EVENING THROUGH 6 PM SATURDAY/... TONIGHT INTO SATURDAY... NEG TILT TROF EVOLVES INTO A CLOSED MID LEVEL OVER SOUTHERN NEW ENGLAND THIS EVENING THEN IT JUMPS TO THE GULF OF MAINE LATER TONIGHT. THE SFC LOW DEEPENS RAPIDLY TONIGHT IN THE GULF OF MAINE BUT LIKELY REMAINS A BIT TOO FAR OFFSHORE TO ROTATE HEAVY SNOW BACK ACROSS SNE AS THE HEAVIER PRECIP WILL REMAIN TO THE NORTH OVER MAINE. HOWEVER...A ROBUST COMMA HEAD WILL DEVELOP TO THE WEST OF THE MID LEVEL LOW TONIGHT AND EXTEND ACROSS EASTERN NEW ENG WHICH WILL LIKELY BRING BANDS OF SNOW TO THE REGION. THE WESTWARD EXTENT OF THE SNOW TONIGHT WILL LIKELY BE ACROSS CENTRAL MA AND RI WITH THE MAIN FOCUS ACROSS E MA INCLUDING THE CAPE/ISLANDS. MAINLY DRY WEATHER EXPECTED IN THE CT VALLEY. MODELS BACKED OFF A BIT ON THE QPF SO WE HAVE LOWERED SNOW ACCUM A TAD...BUT HAVE TO WATCH NE MA AND CAPE COD WHICH WILL BE CLOSEST TO THE BEST FORCING. SNOW LINGERS ACROSS E MA INTO SAT MORNING...BEFORE GRADUALLY MOVING OUT. THE OUTER CAPE WILL BE LAST TO DRY OUT AROUND MIDDAY. OTHERWISE...CLEARING SKIES WILL DEVELOP FROM WEST TO EAST LATE MORNING THROUGH THE AFTERNOON BUT WINDY AND VERY COLD SATURDAY WITH HIGHS MOSTLY IN THE TEENS. IN ADDITION TO THE SNOWFALL TONIGHT...NORTHWEST WINDS WILL INCREASE LATE TONIGHT INTO SAT WITH GUSTS TO 40 TO 45 MPH AS LOW INTENSIFIES EAST OF MA. LOW PROB WIND GUSTS COULD REACH 50 MPH NEAR THE S COAST AND WIND ADVISORIES MAY EVENTUALLY BE NEEDED. VERY COLD AIR MOVES IN TONIGHT INTO SATURDAY COMBINED WITH GUSTY NW WINDS WILL RESULT IN DANGEROUSLY COLD WIND CHILLS OF 10 TO 20 BELOW ZERO IN CENTRAL AND WESTERN MA AND PORTIONS OF N CT WHERE WIND CHILL ADVISORIES HAVE BEEN ISSUED. WIND CHILLS 5 TO 10 BELOW IN THE COASTAL PLAIN. && .LONG TERM /SATURDAY NIGHT THROUGH FRIDAY/... */ SATURDAY NIGHT THROUGH MONDAY NIGHT... HIGHLIGHTS... - PLOWABLE SNOW ANTICIPATED FOR SUNDAY NIGHT INTO MONDAY NIGHT - IMPACTS TO TRAVEL DURING THE MONDAY MORNING/AFTERNOON COMMUTE - ENOUGH CONFIDENCE FROM CONSENSUS TO GO WITH A WINTER STORM WATCH - WINTER STORM WATCH IN EFFECT FOR LOCALES ALONG AND S OF MASS-PIKE OVERVIEW... MODERATE CONFIDENCE FORECAST. AND HERE WE GO AGAIN WITH A STORM. GOING DOWN ALL THE GUIDANCE EVER KNOWN. LIKE A DRIFTER I AM LOST ABOUT THIS STORM. SO I`VE MADE UP MY MIND. I`M ENSEMBLE BLENDING THIS TIME. SO HERE WE GO AGAIN. WITH THIS FORECAST AM NOT GOING TO INVEST IN ONE INDIVIDUAL STOCK OF FORECAST GUIDANCE. WILL DIVERSIFY WITH A PORTFOLIO BLEND OF ENSEMBLE WEIGHTED GUIDANCE...EVALUATING RISKS AND POTENTIAL IMPACTS WHICH ARE OUTLINED IN THE DISCUSSION BELOW. NEUTRAL-TILT OPEN-WAVE TROUGH ABOVE H85 SWEEPS ACROSS S NEW ENGLAND SUNDAY NIGHT-MONDAY NIGHT...PROGRESSING TOWARDS A NEGATIVE-TILT LATE IN THE PERIOD. SURFACE LOW EMERGES FROM THE OHIO RIVER VALLEY MONDAY MORNING SWEEP S OF NEW ENGLAND MONDAY-MONDAY NIGHT AS IT INTENSIFIES IN RESPONSE TO THE ISALLOBARIC WIND ENHANCING THE BAROCLINIC ZONE IN OUR PROXIMITY AND THE TROUGH ALOFT UNDERGOING NEGATIVE-TILT. FOCUS IS WITHIN THE ANTICYCLONIC BRANCH OF THE WARM-CONVEYER-BELT /WCB/ WHERE A BAROCLINIC-LEAF SETUP IS ANTICIPATED WITH BROADSCALE ISENTROPIC/DEEP-LAYER FORCING BENEATH RRQ/LFQ JET COUPLING OF UPPER- LEVEL JET STREAKS. CONVERGENCE OF THE WCB ALONG N-S SLANTWISE ASCENT AGAINST TIGHTENING ISOTHERMAL PACKING /SUBSEQUENT OF THE ENHANCEMENT OF THE BAROCLINIC ZONE/ WILL LIKELY YIELD E-W MESOSCALE BANDING OUT AHEAD OF THE STORM AND NOTABLY WITHIN THE NE-QUADRANT OF THE H85 LOW IN REGIONS OF STRONG FRONTOGENESIS. NEIGHBORING -EPV /POTENTIAL INSTABILITY/ THERE IS THE INDICATION AS SUGGESTED BY SREF MEANS OF SNOWFALL RATES OF AROUND 1 INCH PER HOUR. YET UNCERTAINTY... BUT WHERE EXACTLY ALL THESE INGREDIENTS COME TOGETHER AND WHERE THE GREATEST AMOUNT OF FORCING LIES REMAINS SUSPECT. ASSOCIATED ENERGY IS JUST COMING ASHORE IN BRITISH COLUMBIA CANADA AND THERE IS SOME QUESTION AS TO THE S-STREAM ENERGY THAT IS CAPTURED FROM THE LOW CENTER OVER THE SW CONUS / MEXICO. LOTS OF UNCERTAINTY GIVEN BY THE LATITUDINAL / ENHANCEMENT SPREAD OF FORECAST GUIDANCE UPSTREAM OVER THE OHIO RIVER VALLEY. JUST LIKE THE RUN-UP TO THE RECENT BLIZZARD MODELS VARY IN PLACEMENT OF BEST E-W BANDING AND THERMAL PROFILES. SUBTLE SHIFTS EVEN ON THE ORDER OF 5 TO 10 MILES WILL RESULT IN SIGNIFICANT SNOWFALL AMOUNTS AND PRECIP-TYPES. EVALUATING SPC SREF PLUMES SHOW GRAPHICALLY JUST THAT EXTENT OF SPREAD OF POSSIBILITIES. ITS INCREDIBLY DIFFICULT TO NAIL THE SPECIFICS DOWN AT THIS TIME BUT FEEL THAT THERE IS ENOUGH WEIGHTING TO GO WITH A WINTER STORM WATCH. WISH TO BETTER INFORM/ALERT BOTH THE PUBLIC AND STATE / LOCAL GOVTS. FEEL MESSAGING THE THREAT PRIOR TO THE WEEKEND AND THE FACT THAT THERE IS A TON OF SNOW ON THE GROUND GIVES EVERYONE TIME TO PREPARE AND TO ACT ACCORDINGLY FOR THE POTENTIAL OF A SIGNIFICANT SNOWFALL. NO TWO STORMS ARE ALIKE JUST LIKE NO TWO SNOWFLAKES ARE ALIKE. YET WE CAN DRAW COMPARISONS FROM ANALOGS. NOTING CIPS-ANALOGS...FROM THE 60-HR NAM-FORECAST AND 72-HR GFS-FORECAST...BOTH KEY UPON A SWATH OF E-W SNOW ACROSS THE NE-CONUS WITH AT LEAST 60% OF ANALOGS AGREEING UPON STORM-TOTAL SNOWFALLS IN EXCESS OF 8-INCHES...AND YES NOTING THAT THE MEAN-MEDIAN E-W SNOWFALL IS N OF THE MASS-PIKE. WHAT IS IMPORTANT TO TAKE AWAY IS THAT IT IS THERE AND THE PROBABILITIES SUGGEST SEEING SNOWFALLS IN EXCESS OF WATCH-WARNING CRITERIA. OTHER- WISE ALONG THE S-FRINGE OF THE BANDING IS THE LIKELIHOOD OF SEEING MIXING WITH A FREEZING RAIN POTENTIAL. PERHAPS SOME STRONG GUSTS ACROSS THE CAPE / ISLANDS IN EXCESS OF 35 MPH...OTHERWISE MAJORITY OF ANALOGS SIGNAL NO ISSUE WITH WINDS. SNOW... MODELS DIFFER ON N-S PLACEMENT OF E-W BANDING. JUST TOO FAR OUT AND TOO MUCH UNCERTAINTY TO MAKE ANY SPECIFIC GUESSES. WENT WITH A BROAD SPREAD BASED ON ENSEMBLE MEANS AND ANALOGS. WOULD VENTURE TO BELIEVE THAT THE HEAVY SNOW POTENTIAL AND HIGHEST ACCUMULATIONS WILL EXIST AROUND AND S OF THE MASS-PIKE IN LINE WITH WPC-THINKING. AMOUNTS UP TO A FOOT ARE POSSIBLE...SOME OF THIS DEPENDENT ON THE FLUFF-FACTOR OF THE SNOW. SNOW-RATIOS ANTICIPATED TO BE HIGHER S TO N WITH LESSER INTRUSION OF WARMER AIR ALOFT AROUND H8. SO WOULD FIGURE A MORE WET- SNOW TO THE S...FLUFFIER N. CAN NOT RULE OUT THUNDERSNOW POTENTIAL BUT BELIEVE THE LESS CHANCES IN COMPARISON TO THE RECENT BLIZZARD. MAIN TAKE-AWAY: TRAVEL WILL BE IMPACTED DURING BOTH THE MORNING AND EVENING COMMUTE ON MONDAY. MOTORISTS SHOULD BE AWARE OF ADVERSE WEATHER CONDITIONS THAT WILL BE CHANGING THROUGH THE EVENT WITH RESPECT TO THE PACE OF SNOWFALL AND POSSIBLE NEAR-ZERO VISIBILITIES. PRECIPITATION-TYPE MAY ALSO CONTEND WITH A E-W MIXING LINE IN PROXIMITY TO THE S-SHORE. WARM INTRUSION AROUND H8 PUSHED N BY WCB MAY LEND TO A TRANSITION OF RAIN/SNOW WITH PERHAPS A WINTRY MIX BETWEEN OF FREEZING RAIN/SLEET ALBEIT THINKING VERY THIN. FOCUS OF THE NARROW BAND OF MIXING WOULD OCCUR WITH THE APPROACH AND PASSAGE OF THE LOW IN PROXIMITY TO S NEW ENGLAND DURING THE AFOREMENTIONED TIMEFRAME. FORECAST GUIDANCE SPLIT BUT QUESTION WHETHER A MICRO-CLIMATE AND THE ARCTIC AIR SPILLING S WILL KEEP US ALL SNOW. ALTOGETHER...MAIN FOCUS FOR POTENTIAL WINTRY MIX...IF ANY...IS ALONG THE IMMEDIATE S-SHORE. WINDS... BLUSTERY OUT OF THE N IN RESPONSE TO THE APPROACHING / DEEPENING LOW PRESSURE CENTER THROUGH THE DAY MONDAY INTO MONDAY EVENING. WILL SEE STRONG NW-WINDS IN WAKE OF THE STORM. COULD BE CONTENDING WITH GUSTS ON THE ORDER OF AROUND 20-30 MPH FOR SOME LOCATIONS...ESPECIALLY FOR THE SHORES. ADDING TO THE POTENTIAL FLUFF-FACTOR OF THE SNOW...THAT ADDS TO THE POTENTIAL OF BLOWING AND DRIFTING WHICH HAS THE IMPACT OF GENERATING NEAR-ZERO VISIBILITIES. TAKE-AWAY: AT THIS TIME IT APPEARS WINDS WILL REMAIN BELOW WIND-ADV CRITERIA. COASTAL FLOODING... MID-MORNING HIGH TIDES ARE NOT ASTRONOMICALLY HIGH AND LATE-EVENING TIDES ARE MUCH LOWER. ESTIMATING AROUND A FOOT OF SURGE IN RESPONSE TO THE STORM...LOW CONFIDENCE AT THIS TIME OF ANY COASTAL FLOODING. */ TUESDAY ONWARD... HIGHLIGHTS... - ANOTHER ROUND OF SNOW POSSIBLE THURSDAY-FRIDAY; LOW CONFIDENCE OVERVIEW... COLD HIGH PRESSURE IS FORECAST TO MOVE OVER NEW ENGLAND ON TUESDAY BEHIND THE DEPARTING STORM WITH HIGHS ONLY FORECAST TO MAKE IT INTO THE TEENS MOST LOCALES. NEXT IN THE SERIES OF SHORTWAVES IS SHOWN BY THE GLOBAL MODELS TO MOVE ONSHORE THE NW PACIFIC COAST TUE NIGHT. THIS LOOKS TO BE THE NEXT PIECE OF ENERGY TO WATCH IN THE LONG TERM. GFS/ECMWF SHOW COASTAL LOW DEVELOPMENT OCCURRING WED NIGHT OR THU /SLIGHTLY DELAYED FROM MODEL RUNS YESTERDAY/ AND THREATENING YET ANOTHER IMPACT TO NEW ENGLAND CENTERED ON THE THU-FRI TIMEFRAME. LARGE SPREADS IN THE MODELS/ENSEMBLES...NO SURPRISE 6-7 DAYS OUT IN TIME. THE MEAN SHOWS A WEAKER STORM COMPARED TO THE MONDAY ONE...WITH THE LATEST 30.12Z OPERATIONAL RUNS EITHER A GLANCING BLOW OR A COMPLETE MISS. TOO SOON THOUGH TO LEAN ON A HIT OR A MISS TO SOUTHERN NEW ENGLAND. BITTER COLD LOOKS TO FOLLOW IN THE WAKE OF THIS POTENTIAL LATE WEEK STORM. && .AVIATION /21Z FRIDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY/... FORECASTER CONFIDENCE LEVELS... LOW...LESS THAN 30 PERCENT. MODERATE...30 TO 60 PERCENT. HIGH...GREATER THAN 60 PERCENT. SHORT TERM.../THROUGH SATURDAY NIGHT/...MODERATE CONFIDENCE. 145 PM UPDATE... THRU 00Z...MVFR AND IFR ACROSS EASTERN MA WITH MVFR TO MVFR ELSEWHERE. ANY LIGHT SNOW AT EARLY AFTERNOON WILL TAPER OFF TO FLURRIES. LIGHT NW WINDS WILL SLOWLY INCREASE THRU THE DAY. AFTER 00Z...STRONG NW WINDS DEVELOP WITH GUSTS UP TO 40 KT...HIGHEST ALONG THE COAST. MAINLY VFR TONIGHT HOWEVER MVFR ACROSS RI AND EASTERN MA IN PERIODS OF LIGHT SNOW AND A LOW RISK OF IFR OVER CAPE ANN AND CAPE COD IN BANDS OF MODERATE SNOW. SATURDAY...ANY MVFR-IFR IN SNOW BANDS OVER EXTREME EASTERN MA IN THE MORNING WILL IMPROVE TO VFR BY AFTERNOON. ELSEWHERE VFR PREVAILS. STRONG NW WINDS WITH GUST UP TO 45 KT OVER CAPE COD...25-35 KT ELSEWHERE. SAT NIGHT...VFR ALONG WITH DIMINISHING WINDS. KBOS TAF...MODERATE CONFIDENCE. LOWER CONFIDENCE ON HOW CLOSE SNOW SHIELD GETS TO LOGAN 06Z-12Z. SHOULD REMAIN OFFSHORE. KBDL TAF...HIGH CONFIDENCE. OUTLOOK /SUNDAY THROUGH TUESDAY/... SUNDAY...HIGH CONFIDENCE. VFR. NW WINDS GUSTING TO 25-35 KNOTS SATURDAY...HIGHEST ALONG THE COAST. LIGHTER WINDS SUNDAY. SUNDAY NIGHT INTO MONDAY NIGHT...MODERATE CONFIDENCE. DETERIORATING CONDITIONS TO IFR-VLIFR WITH SNOW. BLUSTERY N-WINDS WITH GUSTS UP TO AROUND 30 KTS. CONDITIONS IMPROVE LATE AS WINDS BACK NW. TUESDAY...MODERATE CONFIDENCE. MAINLY VFR. MAY SEE GUSTY NW WINDS EARLY. WEDNESDAY...MODERATE CONFIDENCE. VFR. && .MARINE... FORECASTER CONFIDENCE LEVELS... LOW...LESS THAN 30 PERCENT. MODERATE...30 TO 60 PERCENT. HIGH...GREATER THAN 60 PERCENT. SHORT TERM /THROUGH SATURDAY/...HIGH CONFIDENCE. TODAY...SOUTHERLY WINDS WILL SHIFT TO W THEN NW DURING FRI AFTERNOON...WITH GUSTS TO 25 KT DEVELOPING ACROSS RI COASTAL WATERS BY LATE AFTERNOON. TONIGHT AND SATURDAY...AS LOW PRES INTENSIFIES OVER WESTERN GULF OF MAINE...GALE FORCE NW WINDS WILL DEVELOP. GUSTS TO 40-45 KT EXPECTED LATE TONIGHT INTO SAT. THE GUSTY WINDS AND ROUGH SEAS COMBINED WITH ARCTIC AIR MOVING INTO THE REGION WILL RESULT IN AREAS OF MODERATE FREEZING SPRAY OVER THE NEARSHORE WATERS SO FREEZING SPRAY ADVISORIES WERE ISSUED. SNOW REDUCES VSBY OVER EASTERN WATERS TONIGHT INTO SAT MORNING. OUTLOOK /SATURDAY NIGHT THROUGH TUESDAY/... SATURDAY NIGHT...MODERATE CONFIDENCE. NW WINDS GUSTING TO 35-40 KT EARLY...THEN DIMINISH AROUND OR AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS UP TO 10-14 FT ON OUTER WATERS EARLY...THEN SLOWLY SUBSIDING BUT REMAINING WELL ABOVE 5 FT. LIGHT TO MODERATE FREEZING SPRAY. SUNDAY...MODERATE CONFIDENCE. EXPECT WINDS AND SEAS REMAIN AT SMALL CRAFT LEVELS. LIGHT FREEZING SPRAY LIKELY. SUNDAY NIGHT INTO MONDAY NIGHT...MODERATE CONFIDENCE. AREA OF LOW PRESSURE SWEEPING W-E ACROSS THE S-WATERS. WILL SEE WINDS OUT OF THE N INCREASE TO GALE-FORCE. WAVES INCREASING 10-12 FEET ON THE S/SE WATERS AS THE STORM INTENSIFIES TO THE E AND WINDS BACK OUT OF THE NW LATE IN THE PERIOD. TUESDAY...MODERATE CONFIDENCE. NW WINDS RELAX AROUND DEPARTING STORM WITH SEAS SUBSIDING... THOUGH STILL FORECAST TO REMAIN AT SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY LEVELS. WEDNESDAY....MODERATE CONFIDENCE. WINDS FORECAST TO TURN SW AND PICK UP WITH SEAS INTO SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY LEVELS AGAIN. FEW SNOW SHOWERS POSSIBLE. && .BOX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... CT...WIND CHILL ADVISORY FROM 1 AM TO 9 AM EST SATURDAY FOR CTZ002- 003. MA...WIND CHILL ADVISORY FROM 1 AM TO 9 AM EST SATURDAY FOR MAZ003- 004-010-011. WIND CHILL ADVISORY FROM 11 PM THIS EVENING TO 11 AM EST SATURDAY FOR MAZ002-008-009. WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY FROM 11 PM THIS EVENING TO 10 AM EST SATURDAY FOR MAZ006-007-022. RI...NONE. MARINE...FREEZING SPRAY ADVISORY FROM 11 PM THIS EVENING TO 6 PM EST SATURDAY FOR ANZ231>235-237-250-251. GALE WARNING FROM 11 PM THIS EVENING TO 6 PM EST SATURDAY FOR ANZ232-250-254-255. GALE WARNING FROM MIDNIGHT TONIGHT TO 6 PM EST SATURDAY FOR ANZ230-231-233-234-251. GALE WARNING FROM 1 AM TO 1 PM EST SATURDAY FOR ANZ236. GALE WARNING FROM 9 PM THIS EVENING TO 6 PM EST SATURDAY FOR ANZ235-237. GALE WARNING FROM 7 PM THIS EVENING TO 6 PM EST SATURDAY FOR ANZ256. && $$ SYNOPSIS...KJC/SIPPRELL/GREGORIA NEAR TERM...NOCERA SHORT TERM...KJC LONG TERM...SIPPRELL/GREGORIA AVIATION...NOCERA/SIPPRELL/GREGORIA MARINE...KJC/SIPPRELL/GREGORIA

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