Flood Potential Outlook
Issued by NWS Boston, MA

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000 FGUS71 KBOX 301931 ESFBOX CTC003-013-015-MAC001-005-007-009-011-013-015-017-019-021-023-025- 027-RIC001-003-005-007-009-011945- WINTER/SPRING FLOOD POTENTIAL OUTLOOK NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TAUNTON MA 331 PM EDT WED MAR 30 2016 ...THE SPRING FLOOD POTENTIAL IS BELOW NORMAL ACROSS SOUTHERN NEW ENGLAND... THE SPRING FLOOD POTENTIAL FOR SOUTHERN NEW ENGLAND IS BELOW NORMAL. THE POTENTIAL FOR FLOODING DUE TO ICE JAMS IS OVER FOR THE SEASON. THIS IS THE SEVENTH WINTER/SPRING FLOOD POTENTIAL OUTLOOK OF THE 2016 SEASON. THIS WILL BE THE FINAL OUTLOOK FOR THE SEASON ISSUED BY NWS TAUNTON. THIS OUTLOOK IS BASED ON CURRENT AND FORECAST HYDROMETEOROLOGICAL CONDITIONS. THIS INCLUDES SNOW COVER AND SNOW WATER EQUIVALENT...STREAM AND RIVER LEVELS AND THE AMOUNT OF ICE COVERAGE...ALONG WITH EXPECTED TEMPERATURES AND PRECIPITATION OVER THE NEXT TWO WEEKS. ...RECENT PRECIPITATION... MARCH 2016 HAS BROUGHT NORMAL TO BELOW NORMAL PRECIPITATION. THERE IS STILL ONE MORE CHANCE FOR RAIN BEFORE THE END OF THE MONTH...DURING THURSDAY INTO THURSDAY EVENING. FROM MARCH 1 THRU MARCH 29...LIQUID EQUIVALENT PRECIPITATION RANGED FROM 2 TO 3.5 INCHES. HOWEVER SOME HIGHER TOTALS WERE NOTED ALONG EAST COASTAL MASSACHUSETTS...RANGING FROM 3.5 TO 4 INCHES. OVERALL PRECIPITATION TOTALS VARIED FROM NEAR NORMAL...TO ABOUT 2 INCHES BELOW NORMAL. ...OBSERVED SNOW DEPTHS AND WATER EQUIVALENTS... AS OF MARCH 30...THE GROUND WAS BARE ACROSS ALL OF SOUTHERN NEW ENGLAND. ...RIVER AND ICE CONDITIONS... AS OF MARCH 30...RIVERS AND STREAMS WERE RUNNING AT NORMAL TO BELOW NORMAL LEVELS FOR THIS TIME OF YEAR. ACROSS SOUTHERN NEW ENGLAND...THE RIVER ICE FLOOD THREAT HAS ENDED FOR THE SEASON. ...SOIL MOISTURE CONDITIONS AND WATER SUPPLY... SOIL MOISTURE WAS BELOW NORMAL ACROSS SOUTHERN NEW ENGLAND. THE SOIL WAS THAWED. MOST REAL TIME GROUND WATER MONITORING WELLS ACROSS THE REGION...COURTESY OF THE UNITED STATES GEOLOGICAL SURVEY (USGS)...WERE REPORTED TO BE AT NORMAL TO BELOW NORMAL LEVELS FOR THIS TIME OF YEAR. ...TEMPERATURE AND PRECIPITATION OUTLOOK... THE NEXT 7 DAYS ARE EXPECTED TO BRING AN ACTIVE WEATHER PATTERN ACCOMPANIED BY VARIABLE TEMPERATURES. RAIN SHOWERS WILL BECOME LIKELY FOR THURSDAY NIGHT INTO FRIDAY...DUE TO THE APPROACH AND PASSAGE OF A COLD FRONT. RAINFALL OF ONE HALF INCH TO ONE INCH IS POSSIBLE. MAINLY DRY AND MILD CONDITIONS ARE FORECAST FOR SATURDAY. THEN ON SATURDAY NIGHT INTO SUNDAY...A CLIPPER LOW AND ASSOCIATED ARCTIC FRONT WILL CROSS OUR REGION...BRINGING SCATTERED LIGHT RAIN AND SNOW SHOWERS...THEN NEAR RECORD COLD LATER SUNDAY INTO MONDAY. BELOW NORMAL TEMPERATURES ARE FORECAST FOR MUCH OF THE NEXT WORKWEEK. THERE IS AN ADDITIONAL CHANCE FOR SNOW OR RAIN MONDAY NIGHT INTO TUESDAY. THE OFFICIAL NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE 8-14 DAY OUTLOOK FOR APRIL 6 TO 12...CALLS FOR TEMPERATURES TO AVERAGE BELOW NORMAL...WITH PRECIPITATION DURING THE SAME TIME PERIOD AVERAGING ABOVE NORMAL. ...SUMMARY... BASED ON THE INFORMATION AVAILABLE AT THIS TIME...THE SPRING FLOOD POTENTIAL IS BELOW NORMAL ACROSS SOUTHERN NEW ENGLAND. THE POTENTIAL FOR FLOODING DUE TO ICE JAMS IS OVER FOR THE SEASON. RIVER FLOWS ARE NORMAL TO BELOW NORMAL AND THERE IS NO SNOW PACK ON THE GROUND WAITING TO MELT. MONTH TO DATE PRECIPITATION HAS MOSTLY BEEN BELOW NORMAL. THIS HAS ALLOWED THE SOIL MOISTURE TO DECLINE. THIS IS THE LAST WINTER/SPRING FLOOD OUTLOOK TO BE ISSUED BY NWS TAUNTON MA FOR THE SEASON. KEEP IN MIND THAT HEAVY RAIN CAN CAUSE FLOODING ANY TIME OF THE YEAR. THOSE WITH INTERESTS ALONG RIVERS AND STREAMS SHOULD CHECK THE HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK...WHICH HIGHLIGHTS ANY POTENTIAL FLOOD EVENTS OVER THE NEXT 7 DAYS. GO TO WEATHER.GOV/BOSTON AND CLICK ON THE OPTION CURRENT HAZARDS...THEN CLICK ON LOCAL OUTLOOK. $$ FOR THE LATEST UPDATES...PLEASE VISIT OUR WEBPAGE AT WWW.WEATHER.GOV/BOSTON YOU CAN FOLLOW US ON FACEBOOK AT WWW.FACEBOOK.COM/NWSBOSTON YOU CAN FOLLOW US ON TWITTER AT @NWSBOSTON

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