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000
FXUS64 KBRO 220930
AFDBRO

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BROWNSVILLE TX
430 AM CDT WED MAY 22 2013

.SHORT TERM /NOW THROUGH THURSDAY/...THE 500MB RIDGE WILL GRADUALLY
BUILD IN FROM THE WEST TODAY AS THE MID/UPPER LEVEL TROUGH CONTINUES
TO LIFT NORTHEAST. TRANQUIL WEATHER CONDITIONS EXPECTED ACROSS DEEP
SOUTH TEXAS AND THE RIO GRANDE VALLEY THROUGH THE FORECAST PERIOD AS
HIGH PRESSURE AT SURFACE AND ALOFT PREVAILS. SLIGHTLY ABOVE NORMAL
TEMPERATURES CAN BE EXPECTED THROUGH THURSDAY. HIGH TEMPERATURES
TODAY AND THURSDAY WILL RANGE FROM THE LOW 80S ALONG THE COAST TO
THE UPPER 90S WEST UNDER PARTLY CLOUDY SKIES. AGRICULTURAL FIRES
OVER THE MEXICAN STATE OF YUCATAN WILL PROVIDE AREAS OF SMOKE/HAZE
ACROSS THE REGION ESPECIALLY ALONG THE COAST TODAY. MOSTLY CLOUDY TO
CLOUDY SKIES TONIGHT WITH OVERNIGHT LOWS IN THE LOW TO MID 70S.

.LONG TERM /THURSDAY NIGHT THROUGH TUESDAY/...QUIET AND VERY WARM
WEATHER WAS INHERITED FOR THE LONG TERM PORTION OF THE FORECAST...
AND THAT TREND HAS BEEN MAINTAINED FOR THIS FORECAST CYCLE. BROAD
500 MB HIGH PRESSURE IS EXPECTED TO BE CENTERED OVER NORTHERN MEXICO
AND EXTENDED OVER THE RIO GRANDE VALLEY AND ALL OF DEEP SOUTH TEXAS
THROUGH MUCH OF THE PERIOD...PRODUCING THE ANTICIPATED DRY WEATHER
WITH NEAR NORMAL VERY WARM TEMPERATURES ACROSS THE BRO CWFA.
&&

.MARINE...NOW THROUGH THURSDAY...CURRENTLY BUOY020 REPORTS EAST-
SOUTHEAST WINDS AROUND 12 KNOTS WITH GUSTS TO 14 KNOTS AND SEAS
AROUND 4 FEET. HIGH PRESSURE AT THE SURFACE AND ALOFT WILL PROVIDE
LIGHT TO MODERATE WINDS AND SEAS THROUGH THE FORECAST PERIOD.

THURSDAY NIGHT THROUGH TUESDAY...GENERALLY MODERATE WINDS AND SEAS
ARE EXPECTED ALONG THE LOWER TEXAS COAST THURSDAY NIGHT AND THROUGH
THE WEEKEND AS SURFACE HIGH PRESSURE PERSISTS OVER THE WESTERN
GULF OF MEXICO. AN INCREASE IN WINDS AND SEAS MAY OCCUR EARLY NEXT
WEEK...WITH SMALL CRAFT EXERCISE CAUTION OR SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY
POSSIBLE...AS THE HIGH PRESSURE INTERACTS WITH DEVELOPING LOW
PRESSURE OVER THE CENTRAL PLAINS.
&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
BAYVIEW/PORT ISABEL  88  76  90  78 /   0   0   0   0
BROWNSVILLE          91  76  91  76 /   0   0   0   0
HARLINGEN            92  75  93  76 /   0   0   0   0
MCALLEN              95  76  96  76 /   0   0   0   0
RIO GRANDE CITY      98  75  98  79 /   0   0   0   0
SOUTH PADRE ISLAND   81  76  88  78 /   0   0   0   0
&&

.BRO WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...NONE.
&&

$$

THIS PRODUCT IS ALSO AVAILABLE ON THE WEB AT:
HTTP://WEATHER.GOV/RGV

SHORT TERM...CACERES-63
LONG TERM...TOMASELLI-66
FXC/MESO...CAMPBELL