Drought Information Statement
Issued by NWS Brownsville, TX

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000
AXUS74 KBRO 080303 AAA
DGTBRO
TXC047-061-215-247-261-427-489-505-311500-

DROUGHT INFORMATION STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BROWNSVILLE TX
957 PM MON JUL 7 2014

...SEVERE DROUGHT CONDITIONS RETURN TO PORTIONS OF DEEP SOUTH TEXAS
AND THE RIO GRANDE VALLEY...

...BENEFICIAL RAINS BRINGS SOME DROUGHT RELIEF TO THE SOUTHEAST
PORTIONS OF THE LOWER TEXAS COAST...


SYNOPSIS...
THE LATTER PART OF THE MONTH OF JUNE WAS DOMINATED BY A SLOW MOVING
UPPER LEVEL LOW THAT MOVED ACROSS THE CENTRAL PLAINS AND INTO THE
SOUTH AIDING IN THE DEVELOPMENT OF ISOLATED SHOWERS ACROSS DEEP SOUTH
TEXAS. THIS SHOWERS PRODUCE MODERATE TO HEAVY RAIN IN ISOLATED
LOCATIONS ACROSS THE REGION. RAINFALL ACCUMULATIONS RANGED FROM 2.01
INCHES IN PORT MANSFIELD TO 0.10 INCHES IN SARITA.

ACCORDING TO THE LATEST UNITED STATES DROUGHT MONITOR...LACK OF
RAINFALL INTENSIFY DROUGHT CONDITIONS ACROSS MUCH OF DEEP SOUTH
TEXAS. MOST OF WESTERN PORTIONS OF DEEP SOUTH TEXAS ARE UNDER
ABNORMALLY DRY (D0) CONDITONS WITH SOUTHERN ZAPATA...STARR AND
HIDALGO COUNTIES UNDER MODERATE DROUGHT (D1). WESTERN HIDALGO AND
EASTERN STARR INTENSIFY TO SEVERE DROUGHT(D2). DROUGHT CONDITIONS
HAVE DETERIORATED IN THE LAST FEW WEEKS WITH LACK OF RAINFALL ACROSS
THE REGION. THIS WILL AFFECT AGRICULTURAL INTERESTS...PUBLIC AND
PRIVATE ENTITIES...ECOLOGY AND HYDROLOGY.


SUMMARY OF IMPACTS...

AGRICULTURAL IMPACTS.
ACCORDING TO THE UNITED STATES DEPARTMENT OF AGRICULTURE AND TEXAS
AGRILIFE EXTENSION SERVICE AGENTS...AREAS RECEIVED LIGHT TO MODERATE
RAIN SHOWERS ALONG THE COAST WHILE OTHER LOCATIONS OVER CENTRAL AND
WEST REMAIN DRY. BROOKS COUNTY REPORTED DRY CONDITIONS WITH YELLOW
GRASS COVERING MOST OF THE COUNTY. TEMPERATURES REACHED THE TRIPLE
DIGITS FOR A COUPLE OF DAYS WITH DRY CONDITIONS ACROSS MOST OF THE
CENTRAL AND WESTERN PORTIONS OF DEEP SOUTH TEXAS. A FEW SHOWERS
DEVELOPED OVER KENEDY COUNTY WHICH HELPED MOST ROW CROPS. ISOLATED
SHOWERS DEVELOPED TOWARDS THE WEST PRODUCING MODEST RAIN IMPROVING
RANGELAND AND PASTURE GRASSES AND THUS ALLOWED SOME PRODUCERS TO
CEASE SUPPLEMENTAL FEEDING OF LIVESTOCK. IN STARR COUNTY...THE
WATERMELON HARVEST WAS UNDERWAY.

FIRE DANGER IMPACTS.
ACCORDING TO THE TEXAS INTER-AGENCY COORDINATION CENTER...THE RISK
OF FIRE GROWTH AND SPREAD IS NORMAL ACROSS DEEP SOUTH TEXAS AS A
SERIES OF LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM MOVED ACROSS THE WESTERN REGION
ENHANCING A FEW SHOWERS AND ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS PRODUCING
PRECIPITATION ACROSS PORTIONS OF DEEP SOUTH TEXAS. THE KEETCH-BRYAN
DROUGHT INDEX INDICATES MOST OF SOUTH TEXAS BETWEEN 500-600 KBDI
WHICH INDICATES LOWER LITTER AND DUFF LAYERS CONTRIBUTE TO FIRE
INTENSITY AND WILL BURN ACTIVELY. STARR COUNTY INDICATED AN AVERAGE
KBDI ABOVE 575 OR HIGHER. CAMERON COUNTY WAS THE EXCEPTION WITH KBDI
VALUE OF 400-500 KBDI. FIRE DANGER MAP SHOWS VERY HIGH POTENTIAL
OVER NORTHERN HIDALGO WESTERN STARR...JIM HOGG AND ZAPATA. AS OF
JULY 7 STARR...JIM HOGG AND ZAPATA COUNTIES ARE UNDER OUTDOOR BURN
BANS. FULL DRYNESS SHOWS NORMAL MOISTURE ACROSS THE EASTERN COUNTIES
AS THE AREA SHOWS NORMAL MOISTURE WHILE WESTERN COUNTIES SHOW DRY
CONDITIONS. THE RISK OF FIRE GROWTH IN THE LATEST OUTLOOK FOR THE
MONTH OF JULY AND AUGUST REMAIN NORMAL BUT RESIDENTS ARE URGED TO
TAKE PRECAUTIONS WHEN CONDUCTING ANY OUTSIDE BURNING...AND SHOULD
CONTACT COUNTY OFFICIALS FOR ANY SCHEDULED BURNING. RESIDENTS ARE
ALSO REMINDED THAT FIRE DANGER CAN CHANGE QUICKLY FROM ONE DAY TO
ANOTHER AS WINDS AND RELATIVE HUMIDITY VALUES VARY.


WATER RESTRICTIONS.
A FEW CHANGES HAVE OCCURRED IN THE PAST FEW MONTHS REGARDING THE
STATUS OR NUMBER OF CITIES OR ENTITIES IN THE RIO GRANDE VALLEY.
THERE ARE CURRENTLY 32 CITIES OR WATER SUPPLY ENTITIES THAT CONTINUE
VOLUNTARY OR MANDATORY WATER RESTRICTIONS. ACCORDING TO THE TEXAS
COMMISSION OF ENVIRONMENTAL QUALITY (TCEQ)...THERE ARE CURRENTLY 7
PUBLIC WATER SUPPLY ENTITIES IN CAMERON COUNTY...12 IN HIDALGO
COUNTY...6 IN STARR COUNTY...4 IN ZAPATA COUNTY WITH GREATER THAN
180 DAY SUPPLY OF WATER REMAINING WITH VOLUNTARY LIMIT WATER USE AND
MILD RESTRICTIONS. IN WILLACY COUNTY...CITY OF LYFORD IS UNDER
CONCERN WITH MILD RESTRICTIONS WHILE CITY OF RAYMONDVILLE IS UNDER
EMERGENCY WATER USE AND HAS MILD RESTRICTIONS. CITY OF ELSA IN
HIDALGO COUNTY IS UNDER PRIORITY AND MILD RESTRICTIONS.


CLIMATE...
RAINFALL FOR THE MONTH OF JUNE AT BROWNSVILLE WAS 0.64 INCHES OR
1.93 INCHES BELOW NORMAL.

RAINFALL FOR THE MONTH OF JUNE AT VALLEY INTERNATIONAL AIRPORT IN
HARLINGEN WAS 0.29 INCHES OR 2.21 INCHES BELOW NORMAL.

RAINFALL FOR THE MONTH OF JUNE AT MCALLEN MILLER INTERNATIONAL
AIRPORT WAS 0.30 INCHES OR 2.28 INCHES BELOW NORMAL.

RAINFALL FOR THE MONTH OF JUNE AT THE CAMERON COUNTY AIRPORT/BAYVIEW
WAS 0.82 INCHES OR 1.63 INCHES BELOW NORMAL.


PRECIPITATION/TEMPERATURE OUTLOOK...
METEOROLOGICAL OUTLOOK...JULY 8 THROUGH JULY 15...AN AREA OF LOW
PRESSURE OVER THE WESTERN GULF COAST WILL MIGRATE NORTHWARD WITH
ABUNDANT MOISTURE ENHANCING SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS ACROSS THE
AREA THURSDAY JULY 10 THROUGH FRIDAY JULY 11. LOW CHANCE OF RAIN
RETURN DURING THE WEEKEND FROM AFTERNOON SEA BREEZE MOVING INTO THE
AREA. RAINFALL ACCUMULATIONS WILL RANGED FROM A FEW HUNDREDTHS OF AN
INCH TO AROUND A QUARTER OF A INCH IN ISOLATED AREAS WITH A FEW
HEAVY DOWNPOURS POSSIBLE WITH THE STRONGEST STORMS. THE TEMPERATURE
OUTLOOK AND PRECIPITATION OUTLOOK FOR JULY INDICATE THE CONDITIONS
WILL REMAIN NORMAL. THE THREE MONTH OUTLOOK INDICATES ABOVE NORMAL
TEMPERATURES RETURNING ACROSS DEEP SOUTH TEXAS AND PRECIPITATION
REMAINING BETWEEN 30 TO 40 PERCENT BELOW NORMAL.

THE LONG RANGE CLIMATE OUTLOOK FOR DEEP SOUTH TEXAS JULY THROUGH
AUGUST 2014...DERIVED FROM GUIDANCE FROM THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE AND THE CLIMATE PREDICTION CENTER...INDICATES THAT DROUGHT
WILL PERSIST OVER THE NORTHERN AND WESTERN PORTION OF DEEP SOUTH
TEXAS AND IS LIKELY TO DEVELOP OVER THE LOWER VALLEY INCLUDING
CAMERON AND WILLACY COUNTIES.

HYDROLOGIC SUMMARY AND OUTLOOK...
ACCORDING TO THE TEXAS WATER DEVELOPMENT BOARD (TWDB) CURRENT TEXAS
WATER SHARE AT AMISTAD INCREASE TO 54 PERCENT OF NORMAL CONSERVATION
COMPARED TO LAST MONTH WHICH WAS 49 PERCENT. THIS IS AN IMPROVEMENT
FROM LAST YEAR WHICH ONLY HAD 37 PERCENT OF NORMAL CONSERVATION. THE
TEXAS WATER SHARE AT FALCON LAKE INCREASE SLIGHTLY TO 31 PERCENT OF
NORMAL CONSERVATION LEVEL COMPARED TO LAST MONTH OF 29 PERCENT. THIS
WAS ALSO AN IMPROVEMENT FROM LAST YEAR WHICH ONLY HAD 26 PERCENT OF
NORMAL CONSERVATION. FALCON AND AMISTAD RESERVOIR PROVIDE MUCH OF
THE WATER FOR THE RIO GRANDE VALLEY. RESIDENTS...INCLUDING GROWERS
AND RANCHERS OF THE LOWER RIO GRANDE VALLEY ARE URGED TO CONTINUE TO
TAKE ALL NECESSARY STEPS TO CONSERVE WATER.

NEXT ISSUANCE DATE...
THE NEXT DROUGHT INFORMATION STATEMENT WILL BE ISSUED AROUND JULY
22, 2014.

&&

RELATED WEB SITES...

FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION...AND THE LATEST WEATHER FORECAST FOR
DEEP SOUTH TEXAS...VISIT OUR WEBSITE AT WWW.WEATHER.GOV/RGV. YOU
MAY ALSO VISIT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CLIMATE PREDICTION
CENTER WEBSITE AT WWW.CPC.NOAA.GOV AND GET THE LATEST INFORMATION ON
RESERVOIR LEVELS FROM THE INTERNATIONAL BOUNDARY AND WATER
COMMISSION AT WWW.IBWC.GOV.

ACKNOWLEDGEMENTS...

THE DROUGHT MONITOR IS A MULTI-AGENCY EFFORT INVOLVING NOAA`S
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE AND NATIONAL CLIMATIC DATA CENTER...THE
USDA...STATE AND REGIONAL CENTER CLIMATOLOGISTS AND THE NATIONAL
DROUGHT MITIGATION CENTER. INFORMATION FOR THIS STATEMENT HAS BEEN
GATHERED FROM NWS AND FAA OBSERVATION SITES...THE USDA...STATE
AGRILIFE EXTENSION SERVICE DISTRICT AGENTS, TEXAS INTER-AGENCY
COORDINATION CENTER, TEXAS FOREST SERVICE, STATE AND FEDERAL
WILDLIFE DEPARTMENTS, TEXAS COMMISSION ON ENVIRONMENTAL QUALITY
(TCEQ), TEXAS WATER DEVELOPMENT BOARD (TWDB) AND IBWC.

QUESTIONS OR COMMENTS...

IF YOU HAVE ANY QUESTIONS OR COMMENTS ABOUT THIS DROUGHT INFORMATION
STATEMENT...PLEASE CONTACT...

NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE
20 SOUTH VERMILLION ROAD
BROWNSVILLE, TEXAS 78521
PHONE: 956-504-1432
EMAIL: SR-BRO.WEBMASTER@NOAA.GOV

$$

TORRES





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