Drought Information Statement
Issued by NWS Brownsville, TX

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000
AXUS74 KBRO 151122 AAA
DGTBRO
TXC047-061-215-247-261-427-489-505-311500-

DROUGHT INFORMATION STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BROWNSVILLE TX
618 AM FRI AUG 15 2014

...SEVERE DROUGHT CONDITIONS EXPANDING ACROSS DEEP SOUTH TEXAS AND
THE RIO GRANDE VALLEY...

SYNOPSIS...
A SLOW MOVING TROPICAL DISTURBANCE ENHANCE ISOLATED SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS OVER THE NORTHERN COUNTIES WITH RAINFALL ACCUMULATIONS
REMAINING LOW. THESE SHOWERS PRODUCE MODERATE TO HEAVY RAIN IN
ISOLATED LOCATIONS ACROSS THE REGION. RAINFALL ACCUMULATIONS RANGED
FROM 1.64 IN BROWNSVILLE AND 1.60 INCHES IN PORT MANSFIELD WHILE
OTHER LOCATIONS SUCH AS...LA JOYA...MCCOOK AND WESLACO BETWEEN .40
INCHES TO .20 INCHES. MOST DEPARTURES FOR THE MONTH OF JULY ACROSS
THE VALLEY WERE BELOW NORMAL.

ACCORDING TO THE LATEST UNITED STATES DROUGHT MONITOR...LACK OF
RAINFALL INTENSIFY DROUGHT CONDITIONS ACROSS MUCH OF DEEP SOUTH
TEXAS. MOST OF WESTERN PORTIONS OF DEEP SOUTH TEXAS ARE UNDER SEVERE
DROUGHT (D2) CONDITONS INCLUDING STARR... SOUTHERN ZAPATA...WESTERN
HIDALGO COUNTIES AND A SLIGHT PORTION OF KENEDY COUNTY ALONG THE
COAST. MODERATE DROUGHT (D1) EXPANDED ACROSS THE REST OF THE COUNTIES
INCLUDING KENEDY. DROUGHT CONDITIONS HAVE DETERIORATED IN THE LAST
FEW WEEKS WITH LACK OF RAINFALL ACROSS THE REGION. THIS WILL AFFECT
AGRICULTURAL INTERESTS...PUBLIC AND PRIVATE ENTITIES...ECOLOGY AND
HYDROLOGY.

SUMMARY OF IMPACTS...

AGRICULTURAL IMPACTS.
ACCORDING TO THE UNITED STATES DEPARTMENT OF AGRICULTURE AND TEXAS
AGRILIFE EXTENSION SERVICE AGENTS...SEVERAL COUNTIES RECEIVED
ISOLATED SHOWERS, BUT THE RAINS WERE NOT ENOUGH TO SIGNIFICANTLY
IMPROVE SOIL MOISTURE...ANGE AND PASTURE CONDITIONS. CORN AND GRAIN
SORGHUM HARVESTING WAS VERY ACTIVE AS THE HOT WEATHER PROVIDED
OPTIMUM DRYING CONDITIONS. THE DRY CONDITIONS ALSO PROMPTED
PRODUCERS TO IRRIGATE COTTON AND PECANS. IN THE REGION...FARMERS ARE
PREPARING TO HARVEST DRYLAND COTTON. SESAME HARVESTING WAS ACTIVE IN
HIDALGO COUNTY. IN STARR COUNTY PREPARATIONS FOR FALL PLANTING
CONTINUED SOIL MOISTURE WAS SHORT TO VERY SHORT. RANGELAND AND
PASTURES REMAINED IN FAIR TO POOR CONDITION.

FIRE DANGER IMPACTS.
ACCORDING TO THE TEXAS INTER-AGENCY COORDINATION CENTER...THE RISK
OF FIRE GROWTH AND SPREAD IS NORMAL ACROSS DEEP SOUTH TEXAS AS
WETTING PRECIPITATION RECEIVED IN SEVERAL COUNTIES HELP SOME BUT WAS
NOT ENOUGH TO SIGNIFICANTLY IMPROVE SOIL MOISTURE. THE KEETCH-BRYAN
DROUGHT INDEX INDICATES MOST OF SOUTH TEXAS BETWEEN 600-700 KBDI.
STARR...HIDALGO...CAMERON...WILLACY...BROOKS AND KENEDY COUNTIES
INDICATED AN AVERAGE KBDI ABOVE 575 OR HIGHER. FULL DRYNESS SHOWS
DRY AREAS ACROSS MUCH OF THE AREA. THE RISK OF FIRE GROWTH IN THE
LATEST OUTLOOK FOR THE MONTH OF AUGUST SHOW NORMAL CONDITIONS BUT
RESIDENTS ARE URGED TO TAKE PRECAUTIONS WHEN CONDUCTING ANY OUTSIDE
BURNING...AND SHOULD CONTACT COUNTY OFFICIALS FOR ANY SCHEDULED
BURNING. RESIDENTS ARE ALSO REMINDED THAT FIRE DANGER CAN CHANGE
QUICKLY FROM ONE DAY TO ANOTHER AS WINDS AND RELATIVE HUMIDITY
VALUES VARY.


WATER RESTRICTIONS.
A FEW CHANGES HAVE OCCURRED IN THE PAST FEW MONTHS REGARDING THE
STATUS OR NUMBER OF CITIES OR ENTITIES IN THE RIO GRANDE VALLEY.
THERE ARE CURRENTLY 32 CITIES OR WATER SUPPLY ENTITIES THAT CONTINUE
VOLUNTARY OR MANDATORY WATER RESTRICTIONS. ACCORDING TO THE TEXAS
COMMISSION OF ENVIRONMENTAL QUALITY (TCEQ)...THERE ARE CURRENTLY 7
PUBLIC WATER SUPPLY ENTITIES IN CAMERON COUNTY...12 IN HIDALGO
COUNTY...6 IN STARR COUNTY...5 IN ZAPATA COUNTY WITH GREATER THAN
180 DAY SUPPLY OF WATER REMAINING WITH VOLUNTARY LIMIT WATER USE AND
MILD RESTRICTIONS. CONCERN WITH MILD RESTRICTIONS WERE NOTED IN
CITY OF LYFORD AND CITY OF RAYMONDVILLE IN WILLACY COUNTY AND CITY
OF ELSA IN HIDALGO COUNTY.


CLIMATE...
RAINFALL FOR THE MONTH OF JULY AT BROWNSVILLE WAS 1.64 INCHES OR
0.40 INCHES BELOW NORMAL.

RAINFALL FOR THE MONTH OF JULY AT VALLEY INTERNATIONAL AIRPORT IN
HARLINGEN WAS 0.59 INCHES OR 1.34 INCHES BELOW NORMAL.

RAINFALL FOR THE MONTH OF JULY AT MCALLEN MILLER INTERNATIONAL
AIRPORT WAS 0.60 INCHES OR 1.40 INCHES BELOW NORMAL.


PRECIPITATION/TEMPERATURE OUTLOOK...
METEOROLOGICAL OUTLOOK...AUGUST 15 THROUGH THE 23...LITTLE IF ANY
PRECIPITATION EXPECTED IN MUCH OF SOUTH TEXAS AND THE RIO GRANDE
VALLEY THROUGH AUGUST 19 AS HIGH PRESSURE DOMINATES THE AREA WITH
DRY CONDITIONS. BY AUGUST 20TH AND 21ST...ISOLATED SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE POSSIBLE AS A WEAK TROPICAL WAVE PROGRESSES
NORTHWEST AND MOVES ACROSS SOUTH TEXAS WITH ABUNDANT MOISTURE. HIGH
PRESSURE BEGINS TO MOVE EASTWARD AS ANOTHER UPPER LEVEL LOW ENTERS
THE PACIFIC NORTHWEST. THIS WILL PULL MORE TROPICAL MOISTURE ACROSS
THE AREA WITH SOUTH TO SOUTHEAST WINDS AND AS A RESULT ENHANCE THE
CONVECTION POTENTIAL BY FRIDAY AUGUST 22ND. THE RAINFALL
ACCUMULATIONS WILL RANGED FROM A FEW HUNDREDTHS OF AN INCH TO AROUND
A QUARTER OF A INCH IN ISOLATED AREAS WITH A FEW HEAVY DOWNPOURS
POSSIBLE WITH THE STRONGEST STORMS. THE TEMPERATURE OUTLOOK FOR
AUGUST REMAIN NORMAL BUT PRECIPITATION OUTLOOK WILL BE BELOW NORMAL.
THE THREE MONTH OUTLOOK INDICATES ABOVE NORMAL TEMPERATURES
RETURNING ACROSS DEEP SOUTH TEXAS AND PRECIPITATION REMAINING BELOW
NORMAL.

THE LONG RANGE CLIMATE OUTLOOK FOR DEEP SOUTH TEXAS AUGUST THROUGH
SEPTEMBER 2014...DERIVED FROM GUIDANCE FROM THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE AND THE CLIMATE PREDICTION CENTER...INDICATES THAT DROUGHT
WILL PERSIST OVER THE NORTHERN AND WESTERN PORTION OF DEEP SOUTH
TEXAS AND IS LIKELY TO DEVELOP OVER THE LOWER VALLEY INCLUDING
CAMERON AND WILLACY COUNTIES.

HYDROLOGIC SUMMARY AND OUTLOOK...
METEOROLOGICAL OUTLOOK...AUGUST 15 THROUGH THE 23...LITTLE IF ANY
PRECIPITATION EXPECTED IN MUCH OF SOUTH TEXAS AND THE RIO GRANDE
VALLEY THROUGH AUGUST 19 AS HIGH PRESSURE DOMINATES THE AREA WITH
DRY CONDITIONS. BY AUGUST 20TH AND 21ST...ISOLATED SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE POSSIBLE AS A WEAK TROPICAL WAVE PROGRESSES
NORTHWEST AND MOVES ACROSS SOUTH TEXAS WITH ABUNDANT MOISTURE. HIGH
PRESSURE BEGINS TO MOVE EASTWARD AS ANOTHER UPPER LEVEL LOW ENTERS
THE PACIFIC NORTHWEST. THIS WILL PULL MORE TROPICAL MOISTURE ACROSS
THE AREA WITH SOUTH TO SOUTHEAST WINDS AND AS A RESULT ENHANCE THE
CONVECTION POTENTIAL BY FRIDAY AUGUST 22ND. THE RAINFALL
ACCUMULATIONS WILL RANGED FROM A FEW HUNDREDTHS OF AN INCH TO AROUND
A QUARTER OF A INCH IN ISOLATED AREAS WITH A FEW HEAVY DOWNPOURS
POSSIBLE WITH THE STRONGEST STORMS. THE TEMPERATURE OUTLOOK FOR
AUGUST REMAIN NORMAL BUT PRECIPITATION OUTLOOK WILL BE BELOW NORMAL.
THE THREE MONTH OUTLOOK INDICATES ABOVE NORMAL TEMPERATURES
RETURNING ACROSS DEEP SOUTH TEXAS AND PRECIPITATION REMAINING BELOW
NORMAL.

THE LONG RANGE CLIMATE OUTLOOK FOR DEEP SOUTH TEXAS AUGUST THROUGH
SEPTEMBER 2014...DERIVED FROM GUIDANCE FROM THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE AND THE CLIMATE PREDICTION CENTER...INDICATES THAT DROUGHT
WILL PERSIST OVER THE NORTHERN AND WESTERN PORTION OF DEEP SOUTH
TEXAS AND IS LIKELY TO DEVELOP OVER THE LOWER VALLEY INCLUDING
CAMERON AND WILLACY COUNTIES.

NEXT ISSUANCE DATE...
THE NEXT DROUGHT INFORMATION STATEMENT WILL BE ISSUED AROUND AUGUST
29, 2014.

&&

RELATED WEB SITES...

FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION...AND THE LATEST WEATHER FORECAST FOR
DEEP SOUTH TEXAS...VISIT OUR WEBSITE AT WWW.WEATHER.GOV/RGV. YOU
MAY ALSO VISIT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CLIMATE PREDICTION
CENTER WEBSITE AT WWW.CPC.NOAA.GOV AND GET THE LATEST INFORMATION ON
RESERVOIR LEVELS FROM THE INTERNATIONAL BOUNDARY AND WATER
COMMISSION AT WWW.IBWC.GOV.

ACKNOWLEDGEMENTS...

THE DROUGHT MONITOR IS A MULTI-AGENCY EFFORT INVOLVING NOAA`S
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE AND NATIONAL CLIMATIC DATA CENTER...THE
USDA...STATE AND REGIONAL CENTER CLIMATOLOGISTS AND THE NATIONAL
DROUGHT MITIGATION CENTER. INFORMATION FOR THIS STATEMENT HAS BEEN
GATHERED FROM NWS AND FAA OBSERVATION SITES...THE USDA...STATE
AGRILIFE EXTENSION SERVICE DISTRICT AGENTS, TEXAS INTER-AGENCY
COORDINATION CENTER, TEXAS FOREST SERVICE, STATE AND FEDERAL
WILDLIFE DEPARTMENTS, TEXAS COMMISSION ON ENVIRONMENTAL QUALITY
(TCEQ), TEXAS WATER DEVELOPMENT BOARD (TWDB) AND IBWC.

QUESTIONS OR COMMENTS...

IF YOU HAVE ANY QUESTIONS OR COMMENTS ABOUT THIS DROUGHT INFORMATION
STATEMENT...PLEASE CONTACT...

NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE
20 SOUTH VERMILLION ROAD
BROWNSVILLE, TEXAS 78521
PHONE: 956-504-1432
EMAIL: SR-BRO.WEBMASTER@NOAA.GOV

$$

TORRES










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