Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Burlington, VT

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000 FXUS61 KBTV 210545 AFDBTV Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Burlington VT 145 AM EDT Sat Oct 21 2017 .SYNOPSIS...
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High pressure will provide the North Country with above normal temperatures and dry weather this weekend into early next week. The next chance for widespread rainfall looks to be in the Tuesday through Wednesday time period of next week as a slow moving trough of low pressure impacts the region.
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&& .NEAR TERM /THROUGH TONIGHT/...
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As of 145 AM EDT Saturday...Going forecast in real good shape and only tweak was to match temperatures and dew points to current readings...which happen to be anywhere from the mid 30s to lower 50s. Previous Discussion... Late October weather doesn`t get much better than this, with strong high pressure over most of the eastern CONUS dominating the North Country`s through the weekend. Clear night skies and abundant sunshine during the days can be expected, along with seasonably mild temperatures. Tonight will be the coolest night through the weekend as the high settles overhead and winds decouple leading to temps ranging from the mid 30s to mid 40s, but as southerly flow strengthens Saturday/Saturday night as the high shifts offshore, lows will warm to mainly in the 40s for tomorrow night. Highs Saturday follow suit warming into the upper 60s to low 70s, a good 15 degrees above normal for late October!
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&& .SHORT TERM /SUNDAY THROUGH SUNDAY NIGHT/... As of 345 PM EDT Friday...Upper ridge with associated surface high pressure system remains in place over the area Sunday and Sunday night. Plenty of sunshine and dry weather is expected with above normal temperatures...highs in the mid 60s to lower 70s on Sunday. Winds will generally be under 10 miles per hour. && .LONG TERM /MONDAY THROUGH FRIDAY/... As of 350 PM EDT Friday...As previous forecaster noted, more amplified pattern will be in place beginning early next week. This will bring a more active weather pattern with several chances for precipitation. Best chances for rain will come Tuesday into Wednesday when deep southerly flow develops over the area. Eventually the trough axis shifts east Wednesday night into Thursday and precipitation should taper off to showers and decrease in areal coverage. Looking at a continuation of above normal temperatures through the period despite the clouds and precipitation. && .AVIATION /06Z SATURDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY/...
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Through 00Z Sunday...VFR conditions are expected through the period with high pressure persisting over the entire Northeast. Winds will generally be under 10 knots through the period. Outlook... Sunday: VFR. NO SIG WX. Sunday Night: VFR. NO SIG WX. Monday: VFR. NO SIG WX. Monday Night: VFR. Slight Chance SHRA. Tuesday: VFR. Likely RA. Tuesday Night: VFR/MVFR. Likely RA. Wednesday: VFR. Slight Chance RA.
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&& .EQUIPMENT... KTYX radar at Fort Drum, New York will remain down for scheduled maintenance until further notice as technicians repaint the radome. && .BTV WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... VT...None. NY...None. && $$ SYNOPSIS...Evenson NEAR TERM...Evenson/Lahiff SHORT TERM...Neiles LONG TERM...Neiles AVIATION...Evenson EQUIPMENT...BTV

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