Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Burlington, VT

Current Version | Previous Version | Text Only | Print | Product List | Glossary Off
Versions: 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 26 27 28 29 30 31 32 33 34 35 36 37 38 39 40 41 42 43 44 45 46 47 48 49 50
-- Highlight Changed Discussion --
-- Discussion containing changed information from previous version are highlighted. --
000 FXUS61 KBTV 311132 AFDBTV AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BURLINGTON VT 732 AM EDT MON AUG 31 2015 .SYNOPSIS... AN UNSEASONABLY WARM AND DRY WEATHER PATTERN WILL PERSIST ACROSS THE NORTH COUNTRY THROUGH THE NEXT 7 DAYS...ASSOCIATED WITH THE CONTINUED PRESENCE OF A MEAN UPPER LEVEL RIDGE ACROSS THE CENTRAL AND EASTERN UNITED STATES. HIGH TEMPERATURES THROUGH THE PERIOD WILL AVERAGE 10 TO 15 DEGREES ABOVE NORMAL. NO SIGNIFICANT RAINFALL IS EXPECTED...BUT AN UPPER LEVEL DISTURBANCE MAY BRING A FEW SHOWERS TO THE REGION LATE WEDNESDAY NIGHT INTO THURSDAY. && .NEAR TERM /UNTIL 8 PM THIS EVENING/... AS OF 712 AM EDT MONDAY...PATCHY FOG WILL BURN OFF WITH SCATTERED TO BROKEN CLOUD COVER GENERALLY DECREASING AS THE MORNING CONTINUES. SOUTH TO SOUTHWEST WINDS ALREADY PICKING UP IN SOME AREAS AT 3-6KTS AND WILL CONTINUE TO INCREASE. OVERALL ANOTHER QUIET WEATHER DAY. 500MB TROUGH OVER EASTERN QUEBEC WITH EMBEDDED SHORTWAVE WILL BRING SOME LOW TO MID LEVEL CLOUDS ACROSS THE NORTH COUNTRY TODAY BUT INCREASING HEIGHTS WILL REINFORCE DRY WEATHER AS RIDGE CONTINUES TO DOMINATE THE REGION. THEREFORE EXPECT MOSTLY SUNNY TO PARTLY CLOUDY SKIES AT TIMES. THE PROXIMITY OF THIS TROUGH WITH BUILDING HIGH PRESSURE WILL INCREASE THE PRESSURE GRADIENT AND RESULT IN SOUTHERLY WINDS SHIFTING WEST IN THE AFTERNOON...AT 10-15 KTS. OTHERWISE WARMING TEMPERATURES WILL REACH THE MID 80S IN THE VALLEYS AND UPPER 70S TO LOW 80S MOST OTHER AREAS. && .SHORT TERM /8 PM THIS EVENING THROUGH WEDNESDAY/... AS OF 408 AM EDT MONDAY...QUIET TONIGHT WITH SKIES CLEARING AND WINDS SUBSIDE OVERNIGHT. SOME AREAS MAY SEE FOG DEVELOPMENT IN THE FAVORABLE VALLEY LOCATIONS. MIN TEMPS WILL BE MILD IN THE MID 50S TO LOW 60S. RISING 700-500MB HEIGHTS CONTINUE AS STRONG UPPER RIDGE BUILDS ACROSS NEW YORK AND NEW ENGLAND FOR TUESDAY. MOSTLY CLEAR SKIES WILL CONTRIBUTE TO HIGHS IN THE MID-UPR 80S FOR TUESDAY AND WEDNESDAY. 500MB HEIGHTS BEGIN TO DECREASE WEDNESDAY AS ANOTHER SHORTWAVE APPROACHES FROM THE NORTHWEST. CLOUDS WILL INCREASE OVER THE NORTHERN TIER OF ZONES BUT EXPECT MUCH OF THE DAY TO REMAIN MOSTLY CLEAR. OTHERWISE A MAINLY DRY FORECAST IS EXPECTED. && .LONG TERM /WEDNESDAY NIGHT THROUGH SUNDAY/... AS OF 413 AM EDT MONDAY...UNSEASONABLY WARM AND MAINLY DRY WEATHER EXPECTED AS A RIDGE OF HIGH PRESSURE AT THE SURFACE AND ALOFT WILL BE OVER THE REGION THROUGH THE PERIOD. THE BEST CHANCE FOR A FEW SHOWERS AND PERHAPS A THUNDERSTORM WILL BE ON THURSDAY AS A WEAK BACKDOOR COLD FRONT DROPS SOUTH ACROSS THE AREA. TEMPERATURES WILL BE WELL ABOVE SEASONAL NORMALS THROUGH THE PERIOD WITH VALLEY HIGHS MAINLY IN THE 80S. 850 MB TEMPS COOL A FEW DEGREES BEHIND BACKDOOR FRONT AND DEWPOINTS ALSO A BIT LOWER FOR FRIDAY INTO SATURDAY. TEMP PROFILES WARMER ONCE AGAIN FOR LATER NEXT WEEKEND WHEN VALLEY HIGHS MAY APPROACH 90. NIGHTTIME LOWS WILL BE MOSTLY IN THE LOWER TO MID 60S...WITH 50S IN THE NORMALLY COOLER HIGHER TERRAIN ZONES. && .AVIATION /12Z MONDAY THROUGH FRIDAY/... THROUGH 12Z TUESDAY...MAINLY VFR CONDITIONS EXPECTED THROUGH THE PERIOD WITH THE EXCEPTION BEING AT KSLK/KMPV THROUGH 13Z TODAY WITH MVFR/IFR IN FOG. MORE FOG EXPECTED AGAIN AFTER 06Z TUESDAY AT KSLK/KMPV WITH IFR/LIFR CONDITIONS POSSIBLE. THERE WILL BE SCATTERED TO BROKEN STRATOCUMULUS CLOUDS TODAY WITH CEILINGS AROUND 4000 FEET. CLOUDS WILL DISSIPATE TONIGHT. WINDS WILL BECOME SOUTHWEST 10-15 KNOTS THIS MORNING AND WEST 10-20 KNOTS THIS AFTERNOON. WINDS DIMINISH TO LIGHT AND VARIABLE TONIGHT. OUTLOOK 12Z TUESDAY THROUGH FRIDAY... 12Z TUE-00Z SAT...MAINLY VFR. PERIODS EARLY MORNING VLIFR/IFR MAINLY AT KMPV AND KSLK. SLIGHT CHANCE FOR SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WEDNESDAY NIGHT AND THURSDAY. && .BTV WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... VT...NONE. NY...NONE. && $$ SYNOPSIS...BANACOS NEAR TERM...KGM SHORT TERM...KGM LONG TERM...RJS AVIATION...RJS

USA.gov is the U.S. government's official web portal to all federal, state and local government web resources and services.