Spot Forecast
Issued by NWS Columbia, SC

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000
FNUS72 KCAE 260843
FWSCAE

Spot Forecast for 2024 CSNWR Rx Fire...USFWS
National Weather Service Columbia SC
443 AM EDT Tue Mar 26 2024

Forecast is based on ignition time of 1000 EDT on March 26.
If conditions become unrepresentative...contact the National Weather
Service.

.DISCUSSION...
East winds this morning around 6-10 mph will turn out of the
southeast by early afternoon ahead of an approaching front.
Southeast gusts of 12-15 mph likely with increasing surface moisture
through early afternoon. Rain chances will remain low through 3pm,
before some brief isolated showers are possible through mid-late
afternoon. Persistent rain chances are then likely after 7pm,
continuing overnight into Wednesday. Some reduced visibility likely
overnight but fog is not expected thanks to elevated winds, from the
southeast 7-10 mph.


.REST OF TODAY...

Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (70-80 percent).
Chance of pcpn......10 percent.
Max temperature.....Around 69.
Min humidity........46 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........East winds 7 to 8 mph shifting to the southeast
                    around 9 mph late in the afternoon.
Mixing height.......3200 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Southeast 10 to 16 mph shifting to the south
                    around 17 mph late in the afternoon.
LVORI...............2.
ADI.................16 to 54.

TIME (EDT)      10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky (%).........78  83  72  67  71  66  64  65
Weather cov.....
Weather type....
Tstm cov........
Chc of pcpn (%).0   0   0   0   0   0   10  10
Temp............49  53  57  60  63  66  68  69
RH..............61  54  51  49  46  47  47  49
Aparnt tmp (F)..46  53  57  60  63  66  68  69
20 FT wind dir..E   E   E   E   SE  SE  SE  SE
20 FT wind dir..080 090 090 110 120 130 140 140
20 FT wind spd..8   8   7   7   8   9   9   9
20 FT wind gust.10  12  10  10  13  13  13  13
Mix hgt (kft)...1.1 1.3 1.6 1.9 2.2 2.8 3.2 3.1
Transp wind dir.E   E   E   SE  SE  SE  SE  S
Transp wind dir.100 100 110 130 130 150 150 160
Transp wind spd.10  12  10  12  13  14  16  17
LVORI...........2   2   2   2   1   1   1   1
ADI.............16  18  20  26  34  42  51  54

.TONIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (80-90 percent). Slight chance of
                    rain showers late in the evening. Chance of
                    rain showers overnight. Slight chance of
                    thunderstorms after 3 am.
Chance of pcpn......50 percent.
Min temperature.....Around 56.
Max humidity........100 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Southeast winds 8 to 9 mph. Gusty and erratic
                    winds expected near thunderstorms after 3 am.
Mixing height.......600 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Southeast 12 to 16 mph.
LVORI...............4.
ADI.................10 to 47.

TIME (EDT)      6 PM   8 PM   10 PM  MIDNGT 2 AM   4 AM
Sky (%).........73     83     80     81     90     95
Weather cov.....              S CHC  S CHC  CHANCE CHANCE
Weather type....NONE   NONE   RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR
Tstm cov........                                   S CHC
Chc of pcpn (%).10     10     20     20     30     50
Temp............68     64     59     56     56     56
RH..............52     67     83     93     96     96
Aparnt tmp (F)..68     64     59     56     56     56
20 FT wind......SE 9   SE 8   SE 9   SE 9   SE 9   SE 9
20 FT wind gust.12     14     13     12     14     12
20 FT wind dir..140    130    130    130    130    130
Mix hgt (ft)....2600   800    600    700    600    600
Transp wind dir.150    150    140    140    150    150
Transport wind..SE 16  SE 14  SE 14  SE 13  SE 14  SE 12
LVORI...........1      3      4      5      5      6
ADI.............47     12     12     11     12     10

.WEDNESDAY...

Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (80-90 percent). Slight chance of
                    thunderstorms in the morning. Rain showers
                    through the day. Chance of thunderstorms in the
                    afternoon.
Chance of pcpn......90 percent.
Max temperature.....Around 71.
Min humidity........76 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Southeast winds 8 to 9 mph shifting to the
                    south late in the morning, then shifting to the
                    southwest early in the afternoon shifting to
                    the northwest 7 to 8 mph late in the afternoon.
                    Gusty and erratic winds expected near
                    thunderstorms in the morning and early
                    afternoon. Gusty and erratic winds expected
                    near thunderstorms late in the afternoon.
Mixing height.......1300 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....South 10 to 14 mph shifting to the southwest
                    around 13 mph late in the afternoon, then
                    shifting to the northeast 10 to 12 mph late in
                    the afternoon.
LVORI...............6.
ADI.................10 to 23.

TIME (EDT)      6 AM      9 AM      NOON      3 PM
Sky (%).........97        84        77        76
Weather cov.....CHANCE    LIKELY    DEFNTE    DEFNTE
Weather type....RNSHWR    RNSHWR    RNSHWR    RNSHWR
Tstm cov........S CHC     S CHC     S CHC     CHANCE
Chc of pcpn (%).50        70        80        80
Temp............58        60        66        69
RH..............93        100       90        78
Aparnt tmp (F)..58        60        66        69
20 FT wind......SE 8G12   S 9G13    SW 8G13   W 9G13
20 FT wind dir..120       160       240       250
Mix hgt (ft)....600       800       1200      1300
Transp wind dir.150       150       170       240
Transport wind..SE 12     SE 13     S 13      SW 13
LVORI...........5         8         4         3
ADI.............10        10        21        21

$$
Forecaster...Gropp
Requested by...Perrine
Type of request...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 2408414.0/CAE
.DELDT 03/26/24
.FormatterVersion 2.0.0
.EMAIL nathan_perrine@fws.gov


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