Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Caribou, ME

Current Version | Previous Version | Text Only | Print | Product List | Glossary On
Versions: 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 26 27 28 29 30 31 32 33 34 35 36 37 38 39 40 41 42 43 44 45 46 47 48 49 50
-- Remove Highlighting --
-- Discussion containing changed information from previous version are highlighted. --
000 FXUS61 KCAR 201346 AFDCAR AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CARIBOU ME 946 AM EDT SUN APR 20 2014 .SYNOPSIS... HIGH PRES WILL BUILD ACROSS THE REGION TODAY AND WILL MOVE EAST OF THE AREA TONIGHT. A WEAKENING COLD FRONT WILL MOVE SOUTHEAST ACROSS THE REGION LATER MONDAY AND THEN STALL OVER THE DOWNEAST COAST MONDAY NIGHT BEFORE LIFTING NORTHWARD AS A WARM FRONT ON TUESDAY. && .NEAR TERM /THROUGH TONIGHT/...
-- Changed Discussion --
945 AM UPDATE...NO SIGNIFICANT CHANGES WERE NEEDED WITH THIS UPDATE. MADE SLIGHT ADJUSTMENTS TO SKY COVER AND TEMPERATURES TO MATCH CURRENT TRENDS. OVERALL THE FORECAST IS ON TRACK. PREVIOUS DISCUSSION: A TRANQUIL FORECAST FOR THIS TERM. 06Z SURFACE ANALYSIS HIGH PRES OVER QUEBEC SLIDING SE. THE HIGH IS FORECAST TO BUILD OVER THE CWA TODAY AND THEN SLIDE E TONIGHT. WE SHOULD HAVE PLENTY OF SUNSHINE THIS EASTER SUNDAY AND MODERATING TEMPERATURES. TEMPERATURES ARE FORECAST TO MAX OUT IN THE UPPER 40S TO LOWER 50S. A DEVELOPING SEA BREEZE OR SSE WIND IS FORECAST THIS AFTERNOON AND THIS WILL KEEP THE DOWNEAST AND IN PARTICULAR BANGOR AND THE COAST COOLER DUE TO THE COLD GULF OF MAINE WATERS. MID LEVEL CLOUDS ARE FORECAST TO MOVE INTO THE NORTHERN AND WESTERN SECTIONS LATER TONIGHT DUE TO AN UPPER LEVEL DISTURBANCE MOVING ACROSS SOUTHERN QUEBEC. DECIDED TO INCREASE THE SKY PERCENTAGES OVERNIGHT TO SHOW MOSTLY CLOUDY SKIES FOR THE NORTHERN 1/2 OF THE CWA. THESE CLOUDS WILL CAP OVERNIGHT LOW BY EARLY MONDAY MORNING. MDL SOUNDINGS SHOW AN INVERSION TO SET BY THE EVENING AND W/CLEAR SKIES TO START, TEMPERATURES WILL DROP OFF QUICKLY BEFORE LEVELING OFF LATER ON. LOW LYING AREAS ESPECIALLY ACROSS THE EASTERN SECTIONS COULD SEE THE COLDER TEMPERATURES AND TRIED TO SHOW THIS IN THE LATEST FORECAST. OVERNIGHT TEMPERATURES ARE FORECAST TO BE WARMER THAN THIS MORNING`S READINGS BY ABOUT 5 TO 10 DEGREES.
-- End Changed Discussion --
&& .SHORT TERM /MONDAY THROUGH TUESDAY/... A WEAK WARM FRONT WILL LIFT NORTHEAST ACROSS THE REGION EARLY MONDAY FOLLOWED BY A WEAK COLD FRONT LATER MONDAY. EXPECT MOSTLY CLOUDY/PARTLY SUNNY SKIES ON MONDAY WITH NOTHING MORE THAN A FEW SPRINKLES POSSIBLE. HIGHS ON MONDAY WILL WARM TO ABOVE SEASONAL LEVELS ACROSS THE REGION. HIGHS ON MONDAY WILL RANGE FROM THE MID/UPPER 50S...UPPER 50S TO NEAR 60 NORTH...AND LOWER 50S ALONG THE DOWNEAST COAST DUE TO AN ONSHORE FLOW. AN AREA OF LOW PRESSURE WILL MOVE EAST FROM THE GREAT LAKES REGION MONDAY NIGHT AS MONDAY COLD FRONT BECOMES NEARLY STATIONARY ACROSS THE REGION. WE COULD START TO SEE SOME SHOWERS LATER MONDAY NIGHT AS THE LOW APPROACHES AND THE BOUNDARY STARTS TO LIFT NORTH AS A WARM FRONT. LOWS MONDAY NIGHT WILL RANGE FROM THE MID 30S NORTH AND UPPER 30S TO NEAR 40 DOWNEAST. LOW PRESSURE WILL TRACK EAST ON TUESDAY WITH MOSTLY CLOUDY SKIES AND THE CHANCE FOR RAIN DEVELOPING BY LATE IN THE DAY. && .LONG TERM /TUESDAY NIGHT THROUGH SATURDAY/... UNSETTLED WEATHER CAN BE EXPECTED TUESDAY NIGHT AND WEDNESDAY AS A SLOW MOVING COLD FRONT MOVES EAST. A WAVE OF LOW PRESSURE DEVELOPING ALONG THE FRONT WILL ENHANCE THE RAINFALL POTENTIAL LATER TUESDAY NIGHT AND INTO WEDNESDAY. THE UNSETTLED WEATHER MAY PERSIST WEDNESDAY NIGHT AND INTO THURSDAY WITH THE CONTINUED CHANCE FOR SHOWERS. HIGH PRESSURE WILL START TO BUILD EAST TOWARD THE REGION LATER THURSDAY AND INTO FRIDAY. ANOTHER SYSTEM WILL APPROACH BY NEXT WEEKEND. && .AVIATION /14Z SUNDAY THROUGH THURSDAY/... NEAR TERM: VFR THROUGH TONIGHT. SHORT TERM: VFR CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED MONDAY AND MONDAY NIGHT. MVFR/IFR CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE IN RAIN LATER TUESDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY. VFR WILL RETURN THURSDAY. && .MARINE... NEAR TERM: THE SCA HAS BEEN DROPPED AS WINDS AND SEAS ARE WELL BELOW SCA LEVELS. THIS WILL CONTINUE TODAY INTO TONIGHT W/A SSE WIND SETTING UP AS THE HIGH PASSES TO THE E. WINDS 10-15 KTS AT BEST W/SEAS 2-3 FT. SHORT TERM: WINDS/SEAS WILL REMAIN BELOW SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY LEVELS THROUGH TUESDAY. SEAS MAY INCREASE TO SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY LEVELS TUESDAY NIGHT. BOTH WINDS AND SEAS MAY INCREASE TO SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY LEVELS WEDNESDAY THROUGH THURSDAY. && .HYDROLOGY... THINGS HAVE REALLY SETTLED DOWN SINCE LAST EVENING AS THE ICE JAM ON THE ST. JOHN HAD BROKEN UP SOME AND MOVED DOWNSTREAM TOWARD THE NEW BRUNSWICK BORDER. THE GAGE ON THE ST. JOHN RIVER AT GRAND FALLS WAS FALLING W/REPORTS OF ICE FLOWING THROUGH IT. NO OTHER REPORTS ATTM. WE SHOULD HAVE SOMETHING MORE LATER THIS MORNING. ELSEWHERE, RIVER LEVELS KEEP DROPPING INCLUDING THE MATTAWAMKEAG RIVER. NOTHING SERIOUS BEING REPORTED ON THE MATTAWAMKEAG, JUST SOME LOW LANDS BEING INUNDATED WITH WATER. THE TREND IS FOR ALL RIVERS TO KEEP RECEDING RIGHT INTO MONDAY. && .CAR WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... ME...NONE. MARINE...NONE. && $$ NEAR TERM...HASTINGS/HEWITT SHORT TERM...DUDA LONG TERM...DUDA AVIATION...HASTINGS/HEWITT/DUDA MARINE...HASTINGS/HEWITT/DUDA HYDROLOGY...

USA.gov is the U.S. government's official web portal to all federal, state and local government web resources and services.