Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Caribou, ME

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000 FXUS61 KCAR 241613 AAA AFDCAR AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION...UPDATED NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CARIBOU ME 1213 PM EDT THU JUL 24 2014 .SYNOPSIS... HIGH PRESSURE WILL BUILD INTO THE AREA TODAY THEN SLIDE SOUTH OF THE REGION FRIDAY INTO FRIDAY NIGHT. THE HIGH WILL REMAIN TO OUR SOUTH ON SATURDAY. && .NEAR TERM /THROUGH TONIGHT/...
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1212 PM UPDATE...MUCH DRIER/COOLER ACROSS NORTHERN MAINE TODAY WITH A HINT OF FALL IN THE AIR WITH A NOON TEMP/DEW POINT OF 64F/47F AT CARIBOU. STILL SOME SHOWERS DOWN EAST...MOST CONCENTRATED ACROSS THE SOUTHERN HALF OF WASHINGTON COUNTY. THE LAST OF THE SHOWERS SHOULD MOVE OUT BY AROUND 3 PM...AND THE HRRR HAS A VERY GOOD HANDLE ON THE SHOWERS AND THEIR MOVEMENT. MINOR TWEAKS TO THE ONGOING FORECAST BASED ON THE NOON OBSERVATIONS...RADAR TRENDS...AND NEAR TERM MODELS. DID LOWER TEMPS A FEW DEGREES ACROSS FAR NORTHERN MAINE WHERE THEY HAVE BEEN SLOW TO RISE DESPITE SOME SUNSHINE...AND EVEN MORE SO ACROSS WASHINGTON COUNTY DUE TO THE CLOUDS AND SHOWERS. PREVIOUS DISCUSSION... A COLD FRONT CURRENTLY ACROSS DOWNEAST MAINE WILL CONTINUE TO MOVE EAST OF THE COAST LATER TODAY. MUCH DRIER AND COOLER AIR HAS OVERSPREAD NORTHERN AREAS BEHIND THE COLD FRONT WITH DEW POINTS ALREADY DOWN INTO THE UPPER 40S AND LOWER 50S ACROSS FAR NORTHERN MAINE EARLY THIS MORNING. A WEAK WAVE OF LOW PRESSURE MOVING NORTHEAST ALONG THE FRONT EARLY THIS MORNING IS CURRENTLY BRINGING SOME SHOWERS TO DOWNEAST MAINE. AS THIS WAVE MOVES NORTHEAST THIS MORNING EXPECT THE SHOWERS TO END AS THE COOLER AND DRIER AIR MAKES IT WAY ALL THE WAY TO THE COAST LATER THIS MORNING. OTHERWISE EXPECT MOSTLY SUNNY SKIES ACROSS NORTHERN AREAS TODAY WITH CLOUDY SKIES GIVING WAY TO MOSTLY SUNNY SKIES ACROSS DOWNEAST AREAS BY THIS AFTERNOON AS HIGH PRESSURE BUILDS EAST. HIGHS TODAY WILL BE MUCH COOLER THAN YESTERDAY. EXPECT LOW TO MID 70S ACROSS THE NORTH AND UPPER 70S ACROSS CENTRAL AND DOWNEAST ALONG WITH LESS HUMID CONDITIONS. HIGH PRESSURE WILL CONTINUE TO BUILD EAST TONIGHT. EXPECT MAINLY CLEAR SKIES ACROSS THE REGION. LOW TEMPERATURES TONIGHT WILL RANGE FROM THE UPPER 40S TO LOWER 50S ACROSS THE NORTH AND LOW TO MID 50S ACROSS CENTRAL AN DOWNEAST.
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&& .SHORT TERM /FRIDAY THROUGH SATURDAY/... MAINE WILL BE ON THE SOUTHERN PERIPHERY OF AN UPPER TROUGH ACROSS QUEBEC. SPOKES OF ENERGY MOVING AROUND THE BASE OF THE TROUGH WILL BRING SOME CLOUDS AND PERHAPS LIGHT SHOWERS TO THE SAINT JOHN RIVER VALLEY ON SATURDAY. TEMPERATURES WILL BE NEAR OR SLIGHTLY ABOVE NORMAL. && .LONG TERM /SATURDAY NIGHT THROUGH WEDNESDAY/... A MOIST SOUTHWEST FLOW ALOFT EARLY NEXT WEEK WILL LEAD TO SCATTERED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS ON SUNDAY AND MONDAY. A DRY SLOT OF AIR WRAPS INTO NEW ENGLAND ON TUESDAY AND WEDNESDAY FOR LESS CONVECTION. && .AVIATION /16Z THURSDAY THROUGH MONDAY/... NEAR TERM: VFR TODAY...EXPECT IFR/MFVF AT KBHB THIS MORNING. CONDITIONS WILL IMPROVE THE VFR THIS AFTERNOON. ALL TERMINALS WILL BE VFR TONIGHT. SHORT TERM: VFR CIGS AND VSBYS ARE FORECAST AT ALL TAF SITES. && .MARINE... NEAR TERM: WINDS/SEAS WILL BE BELOW SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY LEVELS THROUGH TONIGHT. SEAS ARE RUNNING 3 TO 4 FT ON THE COASTAL WATERS AND 2 TO 3 FT ON THE INTRA-COASTAL WATERS THIS MORNING...AND WILL SLOWLY SUBSIDE TODAY. THE VISIBILITY WILL BE REDUCED TO 1 TO 3 NM IN PATCHY FOG AND SHOWERS TODAY. SHORT TERM: NO HEADLINES ARE EXPECTED DURING THIS TIME FRAME. && .CAR WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... ME...NONE. MARINE...NONE. && $$ NEAR TERM...CB/DUDA SHORT TERM...OKULSKI LONG TERM...OKULSKI AVIATION...CB/DUDA/OKULSKI MARINE...CB/DUDA/OKULSKI

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