Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Caribou, ME

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000 FXUS61 KCAR 131646 AFDCAR Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Caribou ME 1146 AM EST Tue Feb 13 2018 .SYNOPSIS... High pressure will build across the region today then exit to the east Wednesday. A cold front will approach Thursday night then cross the area Friday while low pressure moves along the front. && .NEAR TERM /THROUGH TONIGHT/...
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.1140 AM Update...Only minor adjustments to previous forecast to keep thing current. Adjusted hrly temps. See Marine section. Previous Discussion... Surface high pressure will cross the region today then begin to move east tonight. An upper level disturbance will cross the region tonight. Mostly sunny skies are expected across the forecast area today. The upper level disturbance will then bring partly/mostly cloudy skies tonight. High temperatures today will range from the mid teens north, to the mid 20s Downeast. Low temperatures tonight will range through the single digits above zero north, to around 10 interior Downeast with mid teens along the Downeast coast.
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&& .SHORT TERM /WEDNESDAY THROUGH THURSDAY NIGHT/... High pressure is expected to pass to the south of New England Wednesday and bring dry conditions to the region. Low pressure will approach the region from the west Thursday and bring some light precipitation to the far north by late in the day or Thursday evening. The precipitation is expected to be in the form of snow and rain mixed during the afternoon then snow in the evening. && .LONG TERM /FRIDAY THROUGH MONDAY/... Low pressure is expected to develop over Southern New England Friday and bring some light snow to the region. High pressure is then expected to build in from the west Friday and pass to the south of the State Saturday and Sunday with dry conditions expected on all three days. Low pressure will pass to the north of the state Monday. A cold front trailing the low will approach from the west and bring light snow to the north and light rain to the south by late in the day Monday. && .AVIATION /18Z TUESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY/... NEAR TERM: VFR conditions are expected across the region today through tonight. SHORT TERM: Expect VFR conditions Wednesday and Thursday. MVFR/IFR conditions expected Friday. VFR conditions expected Saturday. && .MARINE...
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1140 AM Update. Winds and seas will build tonight and will reach Small Craft Advisory criteria by midnight. AN SCA has been issued beginning at midnight tonight. NEAR TERM: Conditions will remain below small craft advisory levels this afternoon through early tonight. Small craft advisory conditions are then expected to develop again later tonight. Light freezing spray is expected tonight. SHORT TERM: Have used the NAM for sustained wind speed through Thursday then transition to the Super Blend wind late Thursday night. For Waves: A southerly fetch is expected to develop across the Gulf of Maine early Wednesday and continue until wind diminish Wednesday evening. Wave heights are expected to build to around 8 feet/7 seconds then subside Wednesday night. Wave heights will continue to subside Thursday. Waves are expected to build again off-shore late Friday and Friday night as westerly winds increase. Will use NWPS to initialize the wave grids.
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&& .CAR WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
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ME...None. MARINE...Small Craft Advisory from midnight tonight to 1 AM EST Thursday for ANZ050-051.
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&& $$ Near Term...Norton Short Term...Mignone Long Term...Mignone Aviation...Norton/Mignone Marine...Norton/Mignone

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