Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Caribou, ME

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000 FXUS61 KCAR 181641 AFDCAR AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CARIBOU ME 1241 PM EDT MON AUG 18 2014 .SYNOPSIS... UPPER LEVEL LOW PRESSURE WILL MOVE EAST OF THE REGION LATER TODAY THROUGH TONIGHT. SURFACE HIGH PRESSURE WILL BUILD ACROSS THE REGION TUESDAY THROUGH MID WEEK. && .NEAR TERM /THROUGH TONIGHT/... UPDATE... UPPER LEVEL LOW PRESSURE WILL CROSS THE REGION THEN MOVE EAST LATER THIS AFTERNOON THROUGH TONIGHT. MOSTLY CLOUDY SKIES AND SCATTERED/ISOLATED SHOWERS WILL PERSIST ACROSS MUCH OF THE FORECAST AREA THROUGH THE AFTERNOON. HOWEVER...EXPECT DECREASING CLOUD COVER AND SHOWER CHANCES ACROSS SOUTHWEST AREAS LATER THIS AFTERNOON. AFTERNOON HIGH TEMPERATURES WILL RANGE FROM THE MID TO UPPER 60S NORTH...TO THE LOWER 70S DOWNEAST. HAVE UPDATED THE FORECAST TO ADJUST FOR CURRENT CONDITIONS ALONG WITH AFTERNOON TEMPERATURES...CLOUD COVER AND SHOWER CHANCES. PREVIOUS DISCUSSION... HIGH PRESSURE WILL BEGIN TO BUILD EAST TOWARD THE REGION TONIGHT WITH PARTLY CLOUDY SKIES NORTH AND PARTLY CLOUDY/MOSTLY CLEAR SKIES DOWNEAST. LOADED A BLEND OF THE GFS/NAM/GEM/AND ECWMF TONIGHT FOR HRLY TEMPS/MIN/WND/SKY/AND POP. NAWAVE 4 FOR SEAS IN THE COASTAL WATERS. ADDED 15 PERCENT TO WNDS FOR GUSTS OVER LAND...20 PERCENT OVER COASTAL WATERS. && .SHORT TERM /TUESDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY NIGHT/... LOW PRESSURE AT THE SURFACE AND ALOFT NEAR LABRADOR WILL REMAIN NEARLY STATIONARY TUESDAY AND TUESDAY NIGHT...THEN MOVE EAST ON WEDNESDAY AS HIGH PRESSURE BEGINS TO BUILD ACROSS THE REGION. EXPECT PARTLY CLOUDY SKIES ACROSS THE REGION TUESDAY AND AGAIN ON WEDNESDAY WITH MAINLY CLEAR SKIES TUESDAY NIGHT. HIGHS ON TUESDAY WILL BE IN THE LOW TO MID 70S NORTH AND MID TO UPPER 70S CENTRAL AND DOWNEAST. LOWS TUESDAY NIGHT WILL BE IN THE UPPER 40S TO LOWER 50S NORTH AND LOW TO MID 50S CENTRAL AND DOWNEAST. HIGHS ON WEDNESDAY WILL BE IN THE UPPER 70S TO NEAR 80 DEGREES. && .LONG TERM /THURSDAY THROUGH SUNDAY/... UPPER LEVEL LOW PRESSURE NEAR LABRADOR AT THE START OF THE PERIOD WILL CONTINUE TO MOVE EAST AS HIGH PRESSURE BUILDS ACROSS THE REGION WEDNESDAY NIGHT THROUGH SUNDAY. EXPECT MAINLY FAIR WEATHER THROUGH MUCH OF THE LONG TERM PERIOD ALTHOUGH A WEAK DISTURBANCE MAY BRING A FEW SHOWERS TO PARTS OF THE REGION BY FRIDAY. TEMPERATURES THROUGH THE LONG TERM PERIOD WILL BE NEAR NORMAL. && .AVIATION /16Z MONDAY THROUGH SATURDAY/... NEAR TERM: OCCASIONAL MVFR CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE ACROSS THE REGION THROUGH THE AFTERNOON PARTICULARLY ACROSS NORTHERN AND EASTERN AREAS. GENERALLY VFR CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED ACROSS THE REGION TONIGHT. SHORT TERM: MAINLY VFR THROUGH THE PERIOD. && .MARINE... NEAR TERM: WINDS/SEAS WILL REMAIN BELOW SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY LEVELS THIS AFTERNOON THROUGH TONIGHT. ISOLATED SHOWERS ARE POSSIBLE THIS AFTERNOON. SHORT TERM: WIND/SEAS WILL REMAIN BELOW SCA LEVELS THROUGH THE PERIOD. && .CAR WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... ME...NONE. MARINE...NONE. && $$ NEAR TERM...NORCROSS/NORTON SHORT TERM...DUDA LONG TERM...DUDA AVIATION...NORCROSS/DUDA MARINE...NORCROSS/DUDA

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