Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Caribou, ME

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000 FXUS61 KCAR 301632 AFDCAR AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CARIBOU ME 1232 PM EDT SAT AUG 30 2014 .SYNOPSIS... HIGH PRESSURE WILL MOVE SOUTH OF THE REGION TODAY. A COLD FRONT WILL MOVE SOUTH ACROSS THE REGION SUNDAY. && .NEAR TERM /THROUGH TONIGHT/... UPDATE 1230 EDT: HAVE ADJUSTED THE SKY CONDITIONS BASED ON LATEST VISIBLE SATELLITE. ALSO ADJUSTED THE TEMPERATURE AND DEW POINT BASED ON LATEST OBSERVATIONS. NO OTHER CHANGES. HIGH PRESSURE WILL SHIFT SOUTH OF THE REGION TODAY. A SOUTHWESTERLY BREEZE WILL INCREASE AS CLOUDS SPREAD ACROSS THE NORTH FROM MOISTURE CIRCULATING AROUND THE BACK SIDE OF THE HIGH. TEMPS TODAY WILL BE A FEW DEGREES WARMER ACROSS THE AREA THAN YESTERDAY REACHING THE MID 70S IN MANY AREAS BUT COOLER ALONG THE COAST. TONIGHT WILL BE MOSTLY CLOUDY NORTH AND PARTLY CLOUDY DOWNEAST AS MOISTURE CONTINUES TO CIRCULATE IN FROM THE SOUTHWEST. DYNAMIC LIFT OUT AHEAD OF A SHORTWAVE APPROACHING FROM THE GREAT LAKES COMBINED WITH CONVERGENCE FROM AN APPROACHING COLD FRONT WILL SPREAD SOME RAIN INTO FAR NORTHERN AREAS LATE TONIGHT. THE DOWNEAST AREA SHOULD REMAIN RAIN FREE OVERNIGHT. && .SHORT TERM /SUNDAY THROUGH MONDAY/... A COLD FRONT WILL MOVE SOUTH ACROSS THE REGION SUNDAY INTO SUNDAY NIGHT WHILE LOW PRESSURE MOVES ALONG THE FRONT. AN AREA OF RAIN WILL MOVE SOUTH ACROSS THE FORECAST AREA WITH THE COLD FRONT SUNDAY. WILL ALSO HAVE A CHANCE OF AFTERNOON THUNDERSTORMS WHICH COULD PRODUCE HEAVY RAIN. THE FRONT WILL STALL NEAR THE DOWNEAST COAST SUNDAY NIGHT INTO MONDAY...WHILE HIGH PRESSURE MOVES NORTH OF MAINE. THE BETTER RAIN CHANCES SUNDAY NIGHT WILL OCCUR ACROSS DOWNEAST AREAS...WITH LESSER RAIN CHANCES NORTHWARD ACROSS THE REMAINDER OF THE FORECAST AREA. A DISTURBANCE WILL CROSS THE REGION MONDAY WITH SHOWERS...ALONG WITH THE CHANCE OF AN AFTERNOON THUNDERSTORM. SHOWER CHANCES THEN DECREASE MONDAY NIGHT. TEMPERATURES WILL BE AT NEAR NORMAL LEVELS SUNDAY/MONDAY. && .LONG TERM /MONDAY NIGHT THROUGH FRIDAY/... A COLD FRONT WILL APPROACH WESTERN AREAS LATER TUESDAY...THEN CROSS THE REGION TUESDAY NIGHT INTO WEDNESDAY. SHOWERS/THUNDERSTORMS WILL OCCUR IN ADVANCE OF THE FRONT TUESDAY INTO TUESDAY NIGHT...WITH A LINGERING CHANCE OF SHOWERS EARLY WEDNESDAY. HIGH PRESSURE BUILDS ACROSS THE REGION WEDNESDAY NIGHT INTO THURSDAY THEN MOVES EAST FRIDAY. GENERALLY EXPECT PARTLY CLOUDY/MOSTLY CLEAR SKIES WEDNESDAY NIGHT INTO FRIDAY. AN APPROACHING COLD FRONT COULD BRING A CHANCE OF SHOWERS FRIDAY. TEMPERATURES WILL BE AT NEAR NORMAL...TO SLIGHTLY ABOVE NORMAL...LEVELS TUESDAY THROUGH FRIDAY. && .AVIATION /18Z SATURDAY THROUGH THURSDAY/... NEAR TERM: VFR CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED TODAY. CONDITIONS WILL LOWER TO MFR ACROSS THE NORTH LATE TONIGHT. CONDITIONS SHOULD REMAIN VFR DOWNEAST THROUGH MOST OF TONIGHT BUT MAY DROP TO MVFR OR IFR IN PATCHY LOW CLOUDS VERY LATE TONIGHT. SHORT TERM: MVFR TO LIFR CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED ACROSS THE REGION SUNDAY INTO SUNDAY NIGHT. OCCASIONAL MVFR CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED MONDAY. GENERALLY VFR CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED LATER MONDAY NIGHT INTO EARLY TUESDAY. OCCASIONAL MVFR CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED LATER TUESDAY INTO WEDNESDAY. && .MARINE... NEAR TERM: A FEW WIND GUSTS MAY APPROACH 25 KT IN SOUTHWESTERLIES LATE TODAY INTO TONIGHT. SEAS WILL BUILD TO 5 FT TONIGHT REQUIRING A SCA FOR HAZARDOUS SEAS OVERNIGHT. SHORT TERM: MARGINAL SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY LEVEL SEAS ARE EXPECTED SUNDAY INTO SUNDAY NIGHT. CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED TO BE BELOW SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY LEVELS MONDAY INTO MONDAY NIGHT. VISIBILITIES WILL BE REDUCED IN RAIN AND FOG SUNDAY INTO MONDAY NIGHT. && .CAR WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... ME...NONE. MARINE...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY FOR HAZARDOUS SEAS FROM 10 PM THIS EVENING TO 8 AM EDT SUNDAY FOR ANZ050-051. && $$ NEAR TERM...MIGNONE

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