Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Caribou, ME

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000 FXUS61 KCAR 300906 AFDCAR AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CARIBOU ME 506 AM EDT MON MAR 30 2015 .SYNOPSIS...
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LOW PRESSURE WILL APPROACH FROM THE WEST TODAY AND TRACK NORTH OF THE AREA TONIGHT. A COLD FRONT WILL CROSS THE REGION EARLY TUESDAY. HIGH PRESSURE WILL BUILD ACROSS THE REGION TUESDAY NIGHT THROUGH WEDNESDAY.
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&& .NEAR TERM /THROUGH TONIGHT/...
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A TROUGH OF LOW PRESSURE APPROACHING FROM THE WEST WILL BRING INCREASING SOUTHERLY WINDS AND INCREASING CLOUDS TODAY. SOME WET SNOW AND RAIN SHOWERS WILL BE SCATTERED ACROSS THE AREA MAINLY FROM MIDDAY INTO THE AFTERNOON. LOW LEVEL THICKNESSES SUPPORT SNOW BUT TEMPS MAY BE JUST WARM ENOUGH IN THE LOWEST THOUSAND FEET TO RESULT IN SOME RAIN SHOWERS ESPECIALLY DURING THE MIDDAY AND AFTERNOON. SOME ADDITIONAL RAIN AND SNOW SHOWERS MAY BE SCATTERED ACROSS THE AREA, MAINLY OVER THE NORTH, TONIGHT AS THE UPPER TROUGH AXES MOVES THROUGH. THIS IS A FAST MOVING SYSTEM AND DOESN`T HAVE MUCH TIME TO GATHER APPRECIABLE MOISTURE OFF THE OCEAN SO ANY SHOWERS TODAY AND TONIGHT WILL LIKELY BE LIGHT.
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&& .SHORT TERM /TUESDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY NIGHT/...
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A COLD FRONT WILL CROSS THE REGION EARLY TUESDAY...WITH HIGH PRESSURE STARTING TO BUILD TOWARD THE REGION LATER TUESDAY. EXPECT MOSTLY CLOUDY SKIES ALONG WITH A CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS ACROSS THE NORTH AND MOUNTAINS EARLY TUESDAY...WITH DECREASING CLOUDS DURING THE AFTERNOON. PARTLY/MOSTLY SUNNY SKIES WILL OCCUR DOWNEAST TUESDAY. HIGH PRESSURE WILL CROSS THE REGION TUESDAY NIGHT THROUGH WEDNESDAY NIGHT WITH PARTLY CLOUDY/MOSTLY CLEAR SKIES ACROSS THE FORECAST AREA. TEMPERATURES WILL BE AT NEAR NORMAL LEVELS TUESDAY...WITH BELOW NORMAL LEVEL TEMPERATURES WEDNESDAY.
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&& .LONG TERM /THURSDAY THROUGH SUNDAY/...
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A WARM FRONT WILL LIFT ACROSS THE REGION THURSDAY. CLOUD COVER WILL INCREASE EARLY THURSDAY. LIGHT OVERRUNNING SNOW IS THEN EXPECTED TO DEVELOP ACROSS NORTHERN AREAS THURSDAY AFTERNOON WITH A CHANCE OF LIGHT RAIN DOWNEAST. THE WARM FRONT WILL MOVE NORTH OF THE REGION THURSDAY NIGHT WITH A CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS ACROSS NORTHERN AREAS AND A CHANCE OF RAIN/SNOW SHOWERS DOWNEAST. UNCERTAINTY THEN DEVELOPS FRIDAY THROUGH SATURDAY REGARDING THE LOCATION OF A COLD FRONT WHICH IS EXPECTED TO EITHER STALL ACROSS THE REGION OR TO THE EAST OF THE REGION. AN AREA OF LOW PRESSURE IS EXPECTED TO TRACK ALONG THE STALLED FRONT WITH UNCERTAINTY REGARDING THE STRENGTH OF THE LOW. A MORE EASTERLY TRACK WOULD ALLOW PRECIPITATION TO JUST CLIP DOWNEAST AREAS. A TRACK ACROSS THE REGION WOULD BRING MORE SIGNIFICANT PRECIPITATION TO THE ENTIRE FORECAST AREA. PRECIPITATION AMOUNTS AND TYPES WILL BE DEPENDENT ON THE EVENTUAL TRACK AND INTENSITY OF THE LOW. ANOTHER LOW COULD MOVE EAST ACROSS THE REGION SUNDAY. TEMPERATURES THURSDAY WILL BE AT SLIGHTLY BELOW NORMAL LEVELS. ABOVE NORMAL LEVEL TEMPERATURES ARE EXPECTED FRIDAY. TEMPERATURES SATURDAY WILL BE DEPENDENT ON THE EVENTUAL LOCATION OF THE STALLED FRONT. TEMPERATURES ARE THEN EXPECTED TO BE AT BELOW NORMAL LEVELS SUNDAY.
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&& .AVIATION /09Z MONDAY THROUGH FRIDAY/...
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NEAR TERM: VFR CONDITIONS THIS MORNING ARE EXPECTED TO DROP TO MVFR IN LOWER CLOUDS THIS AFTERNOON. MVFR CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED TONIGHT. SHORT TERM: OCCASIONAL MVFR CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE ACROSS THE NORTH AND MOUNTAINS EARLY TUESDAY. OTHERWISE...VFR CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED ACROSS THE REGION TUESDAY THROUGH EARLY THURSDAY. OCCASIONAL MVFR/IFR CONDITIONS ARE THEN EXPECTED LATER THURSDAY INTO FRIDAY.
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&& .MARINE...
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NEAR TERM: AN SCA FOR WINDS GUSTING UP TO 30 KT WILL BE IN EFFECT TODAY INTO TONIGHT. SEAS WILL BUILD TO NEAR 8 FT IN RESPONSE TO SOUTHERLY WINDS TODAY INTO TONIGHT. SHORT TERM: GENERALLY EXPECT SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY CONDITIONS TUESDAY INTO WEDNESDAY NIGHT.
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&& .CAR WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... ME...NONE. MARINE...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY UNTIL 8 AM EDT TUESDAY FOR ANZ050>052. && $$ NEAR TERM...BLOOMER SHORT TERM...NORCROSS LONG TERM...NORCROSS AVIATION...BLOOMER/NORCROSS MARINE...BLOOMER/NORCROSS

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