000
FXUS64 KCRP 160907
AFDCRP

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CORPUS CHRISTI TX
407 AM CDT SUN JUN 16 2013

.SHORT TERM (TODAY THROUGH MONDAY)...THE GOES SOUNDER IMAGE OF
PRECIPITABLE WATER SHOWS THE HIGHER MOISTURE AXIS ALONG THE RIO
GRANDE NORTHWARD INTO THE HILL COUNTRY WHILE MUCH DRIER AIR OVER
THE WESTERN GULF OF MEXICO CONTINUES TO PUSH WESTWARD. A WEAK
MID LEVEL SHEAR AXIS WILL BE NEAR OR WEST OF THE BRUSH COUNTRY
THROUGH THE DAY. WILL HOLD ON TO SLIGHT CHANCE POPS FOR THE
WESTERN BRUSH COUNTRY. OTHERWISE...VERY WARM AND HUMID WITH
GUSTY SOUTHEAST WINDS FOR THE COASTAL BEND BY THE AFTERNOON. WILL
GO ABOVE GUIDANCE FOR MAXIMUM TEMPERATURES TODAY AND MONDAY AS
GUIDANCE HAS BEEN TOO LOW THE PAST COUPLE OF DAYS. THE MID LEVEL
SHEAR AXIS DAMPENS OUT FOR MONDAY AND MID LEVEL RIDGE BUILDS OVER
THE AREA. EXPECT LESS CLOUDS AND SLIGHTLY WARMER TEMPS ON MONDAY.

&&

.LONG TERM (MONDAY NIGHT THROUGH SATURDAY)...NO MAJOR CHANGES MADE
TO EXTENDED FORECAST PACKAGE. H5 RIDGING TO BE PRIMARY WEATHER
INFLUENCE THROUGH THE WEEK WITH RIDGE STRENGTHENING AND BECOMING
MORE CENTERED OVER TX BY THURSDAY/FRIDAY. STRONG SUBSIDENCE WILL
RESULT IN DRY CONDITIONS WITH LITTLE TO NO CLOUD COVER FOR MOST OF
THE WEEK. TROPICAL WAVE PROGD TO MOVE WEST ACROSS THE YUCATAN
PENINSULA AND INTO THE BAY OF CAMPECHE THE MIDDLE TO SECOND HALF OF
THIS WEEK. HOWEVER...RIDGING IS EXPECTED TO BE STRONG ENOUGH TO KEEP
DEEP TROPICAL MOISTURE SOUTH OF OUR AREA...AND THUS AM GOING WITH A
DRY FORECAST FOR LATE THIS WEEK AND NEXT WEEKEND. TEMPS WILL
CONTINUE TO BE HOT WITH HIGHS IN THE 90S NEARLY AREAWIDE...EXCEPT
FOR 80S ALONG THE IMMEDIATE COAST AND AROUND 100 ALONG THE RIO
GRANDE.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
CORPUS CHRISTI    96  80  97  79  97  /  10  10  10  10  10
VICTORIA          96  76  96  76  94  /  10  10  10  10  10
LAREDO            99  79 102  79 102  /  20  10  10  10  10
ALICE             98  77  99  76  98  /  10  10  10  10  10
ROCKPORT          91  81  92  81  92  /  10  10  10  10  10
COTULLA           97  75  99  76 100  /  20  10  10  10  10
KINGSVILLE        97  79  99  77  98  /  10  10  10  10  10
NAVY CORPUS       91  81  93  81  92  /  10  10  10  10  10

&&

.CRP WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
TX...NONE.
GM...NONE.

&&

$$

TMT/89...SHORT TERM
RH/79...LONG TERM