000
FXUS64 KCRP 211815 AAC
AFDCRP

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION...UPDATED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CORPUS CHRISTI TX
115 PM CDT TUE MAY 21 2013

.DISCUSSION...UPDATED FOR THE 18Z AVIATION DISCUSSION.

&&

.AVIATION...SCT/BKN VFR CIGS THROUGH THE AFTERNOON...WITH GUSTY
WINDS AROUND 25KTS (LESS AT LRD). WINDS SHOULD RELAX WITH THE
APPROACH OF A FRONTAL BOUNDARY. EXPECTING THE DEVELOPING LINE OF
STORMS OVER NORTHERN TEXAS TO EXTEND FARTHER SOUTH THROUGH THE
AFTERNOON...WITH SHOWERS AND STORMS TO REACH SOUTH TEXAS THIS
EVENING. A STRONG CAP REMAINS OVER THE AREA BUT IS EXPECTED TO
WEAKEN THIS AFTERNOON/EVENING. FROM WEST TO EAST...EXPECTING
MOSTLY SHOWERS HOWEVER BETTER CHANCES FOR THUNDER WILL EXIST FOR
LRD AND VCT WHERE THE CAP SHOULD WEAKEN THE MOST. THE 4KM WRF
MODELS SUGGEST THAT OVERNIGHT THE LINE OF STORMS WOULD BE ABLE TO
REACH THE COAST AS THE CAP FURTHER ERODES HOWEVER WITH WEAK UPPER
LEVEL SUPPORT...HAVE LEFT MENTION OF THUNDER OUT FOR ALI AND CRP.
RAIN CHANCES WILL DROP OFF WEDNESDAY MORNING...WITH GENERAL LIGHT
ESE WINDS DEVELOPING.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
CORPUS CHRISTI    90  77  92  74  92  /  10  20  10  10  10
VICTORIA          89  76  89  73  90  /  10  30  20  10  10
LAREDO           100  76  98  76  99  /  10  20  10  10  10
ALICE             93  76  94  73  94  /  10  20  10  10  10
ROCKPORT          84  76  82  75  86  /  10  20  10  10  10
COTULLA           99  74  96  73  97  /  10  30  10  10  10
KINGSVILLE        90  77  93  74  93  /  10  20  10  10  10
NAVY CORPUS       84  76  84  75  85  /  10  10  10  10  10

&&

.CRP WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
TX...NONE.
GM...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY UNTIL 7 PM CDT THIS EVENING FOR THE
     FOLLOWING ZONES: BAYS AND WATERWAYS FROM BAFFIN BAY TO PORT
     ARANSAS.

&&

$$

CB/85...AVIATION