Drought Information Statement
Issued by NWS Corpus Christi, TX

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DROUGHT INFORMATION STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CORPUS CHRISTI TX
630 PM CDT THU JUL 17 2014

...STAGE 2 WATER RESTRICTIONS NOW IN EFFECT FOR CORPUS CHRISTI AS
RESERVOIR LEVELS FALL TO BELOW 40 PERCENT COMBINED CAPACITY...

...STAGE II WATER RESTRICTIONS ALSO IN EFFECT FOR THE CITY OF
VICTORIA...

...LITTLE TO NO CHANGE IN DROUGHT STATUS OVER SOUTH TEXAS...

.SYNOPSIS...
RAINFALL WAS BELOW NORMAL OVER MOST OF SOUTH TEXAS DURING THE
PAST TWO WEEKS...WITH ABOUT 1/2 OF THE HYDROLOGICAL SERVICE AREA
(HSA) RECEIVING LESS THAN 1/2 INCH OF PRECIPITATION. MUCH OF THE
VICTORIA CROSSROADS AREA (MAINLY GOLIAD AND VICTORIA COUNTIES)
RECEIVED AT LEAST 1 INCH OF PRECIPITATION. SOME AREAS NEAR THE
SOUTHERN COAST (WHICH HAVE SEEN BELOW NORMAL RAINFALL FOR A FEW
WEEKS)...ALSO SAW 1 INCH OR MORE OF RAIN. ALTHOUGH MOST OF THE HSA
SAW NO MORE THAN 50 PERCENT OF THEIR NORMAL RAINFALL DURING THE
PAST TWO WEEKS...THERE WAS NO CHANGE TO THE DROUGHT STATUS OVER
SOUTH TEXAS.

THE LATEST DROUGHT MONITOR PRODUCT...VALID AS OF 7 AM EDT JULY 15
2014...SHOWS THE FOLLOWING DROUGHT CONDITIONS OVER SOUTH TEXAS (D4
= EXCEPTIONAL; D3 = EXTREME; D2 = SEVERE; D1 = MODERATE; D0 =
ABNORMALLY DRY). THESE COUNTIES HAVE THE FOLLOWING DROUGHT
CONDITIONS:

ARANSAS COUNTY: ALL OF THE COUNTY IS NOW IN D0 STATUS...INCLUDING
THE CITY OF ROCKPORT.

BEE COUNTY: D0 CONDITIONS EXIST OVER ALL OF THE COUNTY...INCLUDING
THE CITY OF BEEVILLE AND SKIDMORE.

CALHOUN COUNTY: D1 CONDITIONS EXIST OVER THE EASTERN THIRD OF THE
HSA...AND INCLUDE THE COMMUNITIES OF PORT O`CONNOR...PORT LAVACA
AND POINT COMFORT. THE REMAINDER OF THE COUNTY IS IN D0
STATUS...AND INCLUDES THE COMMUNITIES OF SEA DRIFT AND GREEN LAKE.

DUVAL COUNTY: D0 CONDITIONS EXIST OVER MOST OF THE NORTHEASTERN
THIRD OF THE COUNTY...AND INCLUDE THE COMMUNITIES FREER...ROSITA
AND SAN DIEGO. THE REMAINDER OF THE COUNTY HAS NO DROUGHT
STATUS...AND INCLUDES THE COMMUNITIES OF BENAVIDES AND REALITOS.

GOLIAD COUNTY: D1 CONDITIONS EXIST OVER NORTHERN PORTIONS OF THE
COUNTY...AND INCLUDE THE COMMUNITIES OF SCHROEDER...WEESATCHE AND
ANDER (AND JUST NORTH OF GOLIAD). THE REMAINDER OF THE COUNTY IS
IN D0 STATUS...AND INCLUDE THE COMMUNITIES OF GOLIAD...CHARCO AND
FANNIN.

JIM WELLS COUNTY: D0 CONDITIONS EXIST OVER THE NORTHERN HALF...
AND INCLUDE THE COMMUNITIES OF ALICE...ORANGE GROVE AND MIDWAY.
THE REMAINDER OF THE COUNTY IS DROUGHT-FREE...INCLUDING BEN BOLT
AND PREMONT.

KLEBERG COUNTY: D0 CONDITIONS EXIST OVER ALL BUT THE WESTERN 1/5
OF THE COUNTY (WHICH HAS NO DROUGHT STATUS). KINGSVILLE AND
RICARDO ARE NOW IN D0 STATUS...WHILE KINGSVILLE AIRPORT HAS NO
DROUGHT STATUS.

LA SALLE COUNTY: D0 CONDITIONS EXIST OVER ALL BUT THE SOUTHWESTERN
1/3 OF THE COUNTY (WHICH HAS NO DROUGHT STATUS). THE COMMUNITIES
OF GARDENDALE...WOODWARD...FOWLERTON AND COTULLA ARE IN D0
STATUS...WHILE THE COMMUNITY OF ARTESIA WELLS AND ATLEE ARE
DROUGHT-FREE.

LIVE OAK COUNTY: D0 CONDITIONS EXIST OVER THE ENTIRE COUNTY. THE
COMMUNITIES OF THREE RIVERS...GEORGE WEST AND NELL ARE IN D0
STATUS.

MCMULLEN COUNTY: D0 CONDITIONS EXIST FOR ALL OF THE COUNTY...
INCLUDING THE COMMUNITIES OF TILDEN AND CALLIHAM.

NUECES COUNTY: D0 CONDITIONS EXIST OVER THE ENTIRE COUNTY...AND
INCLUDE THE CITY OF CORPUS CHRISTI AND THE COMMUNITIES OF DRISCOLL
BISHOP AND PORT ARANSAS.

REFUGIO COUNTY: D0 CONDITIONS EXIST OVER THE ENTIRE COUNTY...
INCLUDING THE COMMUNITIES OF REFUGIO...TIVOLI AND WOODSBORO.

SAN PATRICIO COUNTY: D0 CONDITIONS EXIST OVER THE ENTIRE
COUNTY...INCLUDING THE COMMUNITIES OF ARANSAS PASS...SINTON...
MATHIS...AND PORTLAND.

VICTORIA COUNTY: D1 CONDITIONS EXIST OVER EXTREME NORTHWESTERN
PORTIONS OF THE COUNTY...AND INCLUDE THE COMMUNITIES OF MISSION
VALLEY AND JUST WEST OF NURSERY. THE REMAINDER OF THE COUNTY IS
IN D0 STATUS...AND INCLUDE THE CITY OF VICTORIA AND THE
COMMUNITIES OF INEZ...SALEM AND MCFADDIN.

WEBB COUNTY: EXCEPT FOR A SMALL SLIVER OF EXTREME NORTHEASTERN
WEBB COUNTY (RURAL AREA)...THE COUNTY IS CONSIDERED DROUGHT-FREE.
THUS...LAREDO HAS NO DROUGHT STATUS AT THIS TIME.

SEE THE DROUGHT MONITOR PRODUCT (LINK PROVIDED BELOW) FOR A
GRAPHICAL VIEW OF THE DROUGHT AREAS.


SUMMARY OF IMPACTS...

STATE AND LOCAL ACTIONS.
ACCORDING TO THE TEXAS FOREST SERVICE BURN BAN MAP OF JULY
17...KLEBERG AND BEE COUNTIES REMAIN IN BURN BANS. THE REMAINDER
OF THE COUNTIES DO NOT HAVE BURN BANS. STILL...RESIDENTS PLANNING
ON BURNING SHOULD CONTACT COUNTY OFFICIALS TO ENSURE THAT BURNING
IS ALLOWED...AND ALSO TO SEE IF ANY RESTRICTIONS ON HOW AND WHEN
TO BURN ARE IN EFFECT. IF BURNING IS ALLOWED...BE SURE IT IS NOT
DONE DURING WINDY DAYS WITH LOW HUMIDITY...AS THIS COULD RESULT IN
A FIRE WHICH COULD EASILY GET OUT OF CONTROL.

WITH THE COMBINED SYSTEM CAPACITY OF THE CORPUS CHRISTI RESERVOIRS
NOW BELOW 40 PERCENT...THE CITY OF CORPUS CHRISTI IS UNDER STAGE
2 WATER RESTRICTIONS. THESE RESTRICTIONS INCLUDE...

* ONE WATERING DAY PER WEEK COINCIDING WITH THE CUSTOMER`S GARBAGE
  PICK UP DAY. RESTRICTIONS FOR CORPUS CHRISTI RESIDENTS
  INCLUDE...

  - WATERING OF LANDSCAPES BY SPRINKLER IRRIGATION IS NOT ALLOWED
    BETWEEN 10 AM AND 6 PM. USE OF HAND-HELD BUCKET OR HOSE...OR
    DRIP IRRIGATION SYSTEM WITH SHUTOFF NOZZLES PERMITTED ANY TIME
    ON ANY DAY.

  - HOME CAR WASHINGS ARE TO BE DONE ONLY BY USE OF HAND-HELD
    BUCKET OR HOSE EQUIPPED WITH SHUTOFF NOZZLE. USE OF COMMERCIAL
    CAR WASHES STILL ALLOWED ANY TIME.

  - FILLING POOLS LIMITED TO DESIGNATED WATERING DAY.

  - MAINTAINING INTEGRITY OF BUILDING FOUNDATION BY USE OF DRIP
    IRRIGATION OR HAND HELD HOSE ONLY.

  - USE OF POTABLE WATER FOR IRRIGATION OF GOLF COURSES IS LIMITED
    TO DESIGNATED WATERING DAY.

RESIDENTS AND BUSINESSES NOT COMPLYING WITH THESE RESTRICTIONS
WILL RECEIVE A FINE UP TO 500 DOLLARS. MORE INFORMATION CONCERNING
WATER RESTRICTIONS (INCLUDING REQUESTS FOR EXEMPTIONS AND
VARIANCES) CAN BE FOUND AT: WWW.CCTEXAS.COM/GOVERNMENT/WATER.

SIMILAR WATER RESTRICTIONS HAVE BEEN INSTITUTED FOR THE CITY OF
PORTLAND THAT ARE IN EFFECT FOR CORPUS CHRISTI.

ADDITIONAL MINOR DIFFERENCES ARE OBSERVED AT PORTLAND AND
INGLESIDE. FOR MORE INFORMATION FOR THESE LOCATIONS...PLEASE
VISIT:

HTTP://PORTLANDTX.COM
HTTP://INGLESIDETX.GOV

THE CITY OF VICTORIA HAS INSTITUTED STAGE II WATER RESTRICTIONS...
SINCE FLOWS ON THE GUADALUPE RIVER HAVE FALLEN BELOW 300 CFS.
UNDER STAGE II WATER RESTRICTIONS...

- ONLY WATER BETWEEN THE HOURS OF 6 AM AND 10 AM...AND BETWEEN 8
  PM AND MIDNIGHT. THESE TIMES ALSO HOLD TRUE FOR RESIDENTS
  WISHING TO FILL...REFILL...OR ADD WATER TO ANY SWIMMING
  POOLS...WADING POOLS...OR JACUZZI-TYPE POOLS.

- WASH MOTOR VEHICLES...MOTORBIKES...BOATS...TRAILERS...AIRPLANES
  OR OTHER VEHICLES EITHER BETWEEN 6 AM TO 10 AM...AND BETWEEN 6
  PM TO 10 PM. WASHING VEHICLES AT A COMMERCIAL CAR WASH OR
  SERVICE STATION CAN BE DONE AT ANY TIME.

- GOLF COURSE GREENS...TEES AND FAIRWAYS CAN ONLY BE IRRIGATED
  BETWEEN THE HOURS OF 6 AM AND 10 AM...AND BETWEEN 8 PM AND
  MIDNIGHT...UNLESS THE COURSE USES A WATER SOURCE OTHER THAN THAT
  PROVIDED BY THE CITY.

THE CITY OF LAREDO IS UNDER STAGE 1 WATER RESTRICTIONS. THESE
WATER RESTRICTIONS STILL ALLOW RESIDENTS TO WATER THEIR LANDSCAPES
AT ANY TIME...BUT RESIDENTS ARE ASKED TO VOLUNTARILY CONSERVE
WATER.

AS ALWAYS...

- DO NOT ALLOW WATER TO RUN OFF INTO THE STREETS OR STORM DRAINS.

- WATER IS NOT ALLOW TO CONSTANTLY FLOW THROUGH THE TAP OR VALVE.
  ALL LEAKS MUST BE REPAIRED.

OTHER RESIDENTS IN SOUTH TEXAS ARE STRONGLY ENCOURAGED TO
CONTINUE TO CONSERVE WATER. WHEN ADEQUATE RAINFALL IS RECENTLY
RECEIVED...WATERING SHOULD BE OMITTED UNTIL WATERING BECOMES
NECESSARY (AND WHEN RESTRICTIONS ALLOW YOU TO WATER). RESIDENTS
WITH SPRINKLER SYSTEMS SHOULD MONITOR THEIR WATERING TO ENSURE
THEIR SYSTEM IS WATERING THE LAWN AND NOT THE SIDEWALK OR STREET.
ALSO...USE A SPRINKLER WHICH MAKES LARGER WATER DROPLETS...AND
AVOID WATERING ON WINDY DAYS. FINALLY...TURN SOAKER HOSES SO THAT
THE HOLES ARE ON THE BOTTOM...FACING THE GRASS.

RESIDENTS SHOULD REMAIN INFORMED ON ANY WATER RESTRICTIONS WHICH
MAY BE IMPOSED FOR THEIR LOCATION...AS ANY VIOLATIONS CAN RESULT
IN SIGNIFICANT FINES. MORE INFORMATION ON HOW TO CONSERVE WATER
(AND DROUGHT CONTINGENCY PLANS) IS FOUND ON THE CITY WEBSITES
LISTED AT THE END OF THIS STATEMENT.

ADDITIONAL LOCATIONS WITHIN THE HSA HAVE MAINTAINED EITHER
MANDATORY OR VOLUNTARY RESTRICTIONS ON THEIR LOCAL PUBLIC WATER
SYSTEMS (PWS). ACCORDING TO THE TEXAS COMMISSION ON ENVIRONMENTAL
QUALITY (TCEQ)...HERE IS A LIST OF LOCATIONS WITHIN THE HSA (AS OF
JULY 16 2014) WHICH HAVE WATER RESTRICTIONS:

REMOVED RESTRICTIONS: NONE REMOVED

NEW/AMENDED RESTRICTIONS: NONE ADDED

PREVIOUS RESTRICTIONS:
ARANSAS COUNTY: CITY OF ROCKPORT (STAGE 1)...COPANO HEIGHTS WATER
(STAGE 1)

BEE COUNTY: BLUEBERRY HILLS WATERWORKS (STAGE 1)...CITY OF
BEEVILLE (VOLUNTARY)

CALHOUN COUNTY: THE CITY OF POINT COMFORT (STAGE 1)

DUVAL COUNTY: FREER WCID (VOLUNTARY)

JIM WELLS COUNTY: CITY OF ALICE (STAGE 1)...ENGLISH ACRES (STAGE
3)...PAISANO MOBILE HOME PARK (STAGE 3).

KLEBERG COUNTY: CITY OF KINGSVILLE (VOLUNTARY)...TEXAS A & M
UNIVERSITY KINGSVILLE (VOLUNTARY)...RICARDO WSC (STAGE 1)...KING
RANCH SANTA GERTRUDIS (VOLUNTARY)...EAST RIVIERA WSC (VOLUNTARY).

LIVE OAK: BUCKEYE KNOLL (STAGE 1)...OLD MARBACH SCHOOL WSC
(VOLUNTARY)

NUECES COUNTY: CITY OF BISHOP (STAGE 1)...NUECES COUNTY WCID 3
(STAGE 1)...NUECES COUNTY WCID 4 (STAGE 1)..CORPUS CHRISTI NAS
(STAGE 1)...NUECES WSC (STAGE 1).

SAN PATRICIO COUNTY: CITY OF GREGORY (STAGE 2)...CITY OF MATHIS
(STAGE 1)...CITY OF ODEM (STAGE 1)...CITY OF TAFT (STAGE 1)...SAN
PATRICIO MWD (VOLUNTARY).

VICTORIA COUNTY: VICTORIA COUNTY WCID 1 (STAGE 1)

WEBB COUNTY: MIRANDO CITY WSC (VOLUNTARY)...BRUNI RURAL WSC
(VOLUNTARY)


AGRICULTURAL AND SOIL MOISTURE CONDITIONS.
WITH THE LACK OF WIDESPREAD RAINFALL AND WARM TEMPERATURES...SOIL
MOISTURE HAS DIMINISHED OVER THE HSA. THE LATEST SOIL MOISTURE
ANOMALY MAP FROM THE CLIMATE PREDICTION CENTER (VALID ON JULY 16)
SHOWS SLIGHTLY BELOW TO BELOW NORMAL SOIL MOISTURE CONDITIONS OVER
SOUTH TEXAS. THE MAJORITY OF THE HSA HAS ANOMALIES BETWEEN -40 MM
AND -60 MM. HOWEVER...THE NORTHWESTERN PORTIONS OF THE HSA HAVE
ANOMALIES BETWEEN -60 MM AND -80 MM...WHILE THE SOUTHEASTERN-MOST
PORTIONS OF THE HSA HAVE ANOMALIES BETWEEN -20 MM AND -40 MM.
SOIL MOISTURE RANKING PERCENTILES REMAIN BETWEEN 30 AND 70
PERCENT OVER NEARLY ALL OF THE HSA...EXCEPT FOR THE NORTHWESTERN
PORTIONS OF THE REGION WHICH HAVE PERCENTILES BETWEEN 20 AND 30
PERCENT. FINALLY...CROP MOISTURE INDICES (VALID JULY 12) SHOWED
SEVERELY DRY CONDITIONS (-3.0 OR LESS) OVER THE WESTERN HSA...WITH
EXCESSIVELY DRY CONDITIONS (-2.0 TO -2.9) OVER THE EASTERN HSA.

CATTLE PRICES AS WELL AS WHOLESALE AND RETAIL BEEF PRICES ARE
SETTING RECORD HIGHS...ACCORDING TO TEXAS A&M AGRILIFE EXTENSION
SERVICE ECONOMISTS. THE HIGH PRICES COULD POSE AN OPPORTUNITY FOR
SOME PRODUCERS WHERE THERE`S BEEN RELIEF FROM THE DROUGHT. RECORD
HIGH CATTLE AND BEEF PRICES ARE ACTUALLY MAKING REBUILDING HERDS A
GOOD BET...AT LEAST FOR SOME BEEF CATTLE PRODUCERS...ACCORDING TO
A TEXAS A&M AGRILIFE EXTENSION SERVICE EXPERT. BUT CONTRARY TO
WHAT MIGHT BE THOUGHT...THAT THE HIGH PRICES FOR CALVES AND
REPLACEMENT HEIFERS WOULD DISCOURAGE HERD REBUILDING. THE OUT-OF-
SIGHT...ACROSS-THE-BOARD RECORD PRICES ARE ENCOURAGING REBUILDING
HERDS IN SOME AREAS...THE EXPERT SAID. THIS IS BECAUSE WHILE THERE
HAS BEEN RELIEF FROM THE DROUGHT IN SOME BEEF-PRODUCING
AREAS...THERE HAS NOT BEEN IN OTHERS. THE FICKLENESS OF THE
DROUGHT...COUPLED WITH HISTORICALLY LOW BEEF CATTLE INVENTORIES...
IS MAKING REBUILDING HERDS A GOOD INVESTMENT...EVEN WITH RECORD-
HIGH PRICES. THE HIGH PRICES FOR WHOLESALE BEEF...AND THE PROSPECT
THAT THEY AREN`T GOING TO GO DOWN ANYTIME SOON...CREATES A GOOD
OPPORTUNITY FOR THOSE WHO HAVE BEEN GETTING RAIN...THE EXPERT
SAID.

ACCORDING TO AN ARTICLE IN THE WASHINGTON POST...
(WWW.WASHPOST.BLOOMBERG.COM)...THE PRICE OF WHOLESALE BEEF CLIMBED
24 PERCENT SINCE THE START OF 2014 TO A RECORD $2.4865 PER
POUND. CATTLE PRICES HAVE RISEN 15 PERCENT. REDUCED SUPPLIES DROVE
RETAIL PRICES FOR GROUND BEEF AND BONELESS-SIRLOIN STEAK TO
RECORDS. CATTLE FUTURES FOR AUGUST DELIVERY GAINED 1.8 PERCENT TO
CLOSE AT $1.55 A POUND ON THE CHICAGO MERCANTILE EXCHANGE...AFTER
TOUCHING A RECORD $1.55325. CONSUMERS WILL PAY AS MUCH AS 6.5
PERCENT MORE FOR BEEF AND VEAL THIS YEAR...THE BIGGEST GAIN OF ANY
FOOD GROUP. THE U.S. DEPARTMENT OF AGRICULTURE FORECASTS PRICES
ARE EXPECTED TO REMAIN HIGH.


THE TEXAS CROP AND WEATHER REPORTS FOR JULY 8 AND JULY 15 CONTAINED
THE FOLLOWING INFORMATION:

FOR THE COASTAL BEND DISTRICT:

* THE SORGHUM HARVEST BEGAN WITH GOOD YIELDS REPORTED. RECENT
  RAINS BENEFITED COTTON.

* EARLY PLANTED CORN WAS EXPECTED TO BE READY FOR HARVEST IN THE
  NEXT FEW WEEKS.

* CROPS AND RANGELAND WERE IN FAIR CONDITION. HOWEVER...SOME AREAS
  WERE DRYING OUT.

* HOT DRY CONDITIONS CONTINUED TO DRY OUT SOILS. HOWEVER...THE DRY
  WEATHER WAS CONDUCIVE TO HARVESTING HAY AND SMALL GRAINS.

* SOME LIGHT RAINS IN SOME AREAS SLOWED GRAIN SORGHUM HARVESTING.

* COTTON NEEDED MORE MOISTURE...BUT DECENT YIELDS WERE STILL
  THOUGHT POSSIBLE.


FOR THE WESTERN AREAS (CONSIDERED PART OF THE SOUTH DISTRICT):

* HOT TO EXTREMELY HOT TEMPERATURES WHICH WERE RAPIDLY DRYING OUT
  RANGELAND AND PASTURES...AS WELL AS DEPLETING SUBSOIL AND
  TOPSOIL MOISTURE.

* IN THE NORTHERN PART OF THE REGION...SOIL MOISTURE WAS 40 TO 100
  PERCENT SHORT. CORN WAS 100 PERCENT SILKED AND DOUGHING...WITH
  90 PERCENT OF THE CROP DENTED AND 45 PERCENT MATURE. COTTON WAS
  IN FAIR CONDITION WITH 95 PERCENT OF THE CROP SETTING BOLLS.
  PEANUTS WERE ALSO IN FAIR CONDITION WITH 95 PERCENT PLANTED.
  SORGHUM WAS PROGRESSING WELL WITH 80 PERCENT.

* ALSO IN THE NORTHERN PART OF THE REGION...HAY PRODUCERS WERE
  BUSY CUTTING AND BALING. GRAIN SORGHUM AND CORN PRODUCERS WERE
  PREPARING TO HARVEST. WATERMELON HARVESTING WAS ONGOING. STOCK-
  TANK WATER LEVELS WERE DROPPING QUICKLY IN SOME AREAS DUE TO
  HIGH WINDS AND HEAT. SUPPLEMENTAL FEEDING REMAINED STEADY DUE TO
  DECLINING FORAGE QUALITY AND QUANTITY. CATTLE BODY CONDITION
  SCORES WERE BEGINNING TO DECLINE.

* IN THE EASTERN PART OF THE DISTRICT...SOIL MOISTURE WAS MOSTLY
  ADEQUATE DUE TO RECENT RAINS. RANGELAND...PASTURES AND CROPS
  WERE IN FAIR CONDITION.

* ALSO IN THE EASTERN PART OF THE REGION...ROW CROPS...INCLUDING
  COTTON...WERE PROGRESSING WELL. HARVESTING OF SMALL GRAINS
  BEGAN IN SOME EARLIER PLANTED FIELDS.

* COTTON AND SORGHUM IN THE KLEBERG/KENEDY COUNTY AREA WERE BOTH
  IN GOOD CONDITION.

* IN THE WESTERN PART OF THE DISTRICT...GOOD RAINS WERE GREENING
  UP RANGELAND AND PASTURES. SOIL MOISTURE THROUGHOUT THE AREA
  WAS SURPLUS...EXCEPT FOR VERY SHORT SOIL MOISTURE IN WEBB
  COUNTY. FARMERS WERE PREPARING TO OR WERE ALREADY HARVESTING
  CORN AND SORGHUM. VEGETABLE HARVESTING WAS ONGOING. RAINS HALTED
  CORN AND SORGHUM HARVESTING IN SOME AREAS...BUT IT WAS WELCOMED
  BY COTTON GROWERS.

* ALSO IN THE WESTERN PART OF THE DISTRICT...PECANS CONTINUED TO
  MAKE GOOD PROGRESS...AND THE WATERMELON HARVEST WAS COMPLETED.
  LIVESTOCK WERE MOSTLY IN GOOD CONDITION. THE ONION HARVESTS WERE
  ONGOING...AND CORN WAS MOSTLY AT THE DENT OR LATER MATURING
  STAGES. COTTON WAS SETTING BOLLS AND SORGHUM WAS TURNING COLOR.

* IN WEBB COUNTY...RANCHERS WERE LIGHTLY RESTOCKING HERDS AND
  PROVIDING MODERATE SUPPLEMENTAL FEEDING TO CATTLE.



FIRE DANGER HAZARDS.
ACCORDING TO THE 5 DAY AVERAGE FIRE DANGER MAP FROM THE TEXAS
INTER-AGENCY COORDINATION CENTER (TICC) ON JULY 16...THERE IS A
LOW FIRE DANGER OVER VICTORIA...EASTERN GOLIAD...AND NORTHERN
CALHOUN COUNTIES...WITH A HIGH FIRE DANGER OVER MOST OF WEBB...
DUVAL...LA SALLE...AND A SMALL PORTION OF JIM WELLS COUNTY (THE
REMAINDER OF THE HSA IS UNDER A MODERATE FIRE DANGER). THE FIRE
DANGER HAS BEEN HIGH TO VERY HIGH AT TIMES DUE TO WARMER THAN
NORMAL TEMPERATURES...BREEZY CONDITIONS AND LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY.

WARM TEMPERATURES AND BELOW NORMAL RAINFALL OVER MOST OF THE HSA
HAS RESULTED IN AN INCREASE IN MOST COUNTY AVERAGED KEETCH-BYRAM
DROUGHT INDICES. AS OF JULY 17...THE FOLLOWING KBDI AVERAGES WERE
OBSERVED:

 0 TO 200:  NONE.

200 TO 300: NONE.

300 TO 400: VICTORIA...REFUGIO...AND ARANSAS COUNTIES.

400 TO 500: BEE...GOLIAD...CALHOUN...LIVE OAK...SAN PATRICIO...
            DUVAL...JIM WELLS AND WEBB COUNTIES.

500 TO 600: LA SALLE...MCMULLEN...KLEBERG...AND NUECES COUNTIES.

600 TO 700: NONE.

700 TO 800: NONE.

KBDI AVERAGES WILL CONTINUE TO RISE UNLESS ADDITIONAL WIDESPREAD
RAINFALL OCCURS SOON.


RIVER AND HYDROLOGIC CONDITIONS.
ACCORDING TO THE USGS STREAMFLOW MAP ON JULY 17...RIVER LEVELS
ARE BELOW TO WELL BELOW NORMAL OVER MOST OF THE HSA...EXCEPT FOR
NEAR NORMAL FLOWS ON THE ATASCOSA...ARANSAS...FRIO AND NUECES
RIVERS (THE LATTER ONLY ABOVE LAKE CORPUS CHRISTI). THE LACK OF
HEAVY RAINFALL HAS CONTINUED TO KEEP RIVER LEVELS VERY LOW OVER
MOST OF SOUTH TEXAS. FLOWS ON THE RIO GRANDE ARE NEAR NORMAL.

SINCE JULY 10...FLOWS ON THE GUADALUPE RIVER AT VICTORIA HAVE
REMAINED NEAR OR BELOW 5 FEET (294 CFS)...WITH RECENT FLOWS ONLY
AROUND 4.5 FEET (196 CFS). AS LONG AS FLOWS REMAIN ABOVE 150 CFS
(ABOUT 4.2 FEET)...THE CITY OF VICTORIA CAN CONTINUE TO OBTAIN ITS
WATER FROM THE RIVER.

INCREASED WATER USAGE...INCREASED FLOWS FROM LAKE CORPUS CHRISTI
FOR ENVIRONMENTAL REASONS...AND LACK OF SIGNIFICANT RAINFALL HAS
RESULTED IN RAPIDLY DECREASING RESERVOIR LEVELS. AS OF JULY 17
2014...THE LEVEL AT CHOKE CANYON DAM WAS AT 195.1 FEET (29.8
PERCENT CAPACITY)...WITH LAKE CORPUS CHRISTI AT 88.4 FEET (62.9
PERCENT CAPACITY). THE COMBINED SYSTEM CAPACITY FOR THE CORPUS
CHRISTI WATER SUPPLY WAS AT 38.8 PERCENT...WHICH IS 2.2 PERCENTAGE
POINTS LOWER THAN ON JULY 2 2014.

AS OF JULY 16 2014...LAKE TEXANA FELL 0.5 FEET TO 43.6 FEET (97.7
PERCENT CAPACITY).

AS OF JULY 17 2014...COLETO CREEK FELL 0.48 FEET...WITH THE
CURRENT LEVEL AT 96.46 FEET.

CANYON DAM FELL 0.47 FEET SINCE JULY 2...WITH THE CURRENT LEVEL
AT 900.15 FEET (82 PERCENT CAPACITY).

FINALLY...THE LEVEL AT LAKE AMISTAD WAS 1075.29 FEET (38
PERCENT)...WHICH IS 0.3 FEET LOWER THAN THE LEVEL ON JULY 2. WITH
BELOW NORMAL RAINFALL MOST LIKELY DURING THE REMAINDER OF
SUMMER...RESERVOIR LEVELS WILL LIKELY CONTINUE TO FALL OVER SOUTH
TEXAS.


CLIMATE SUMMARY...
ALTHOUGH AVERAGE TEMPERATURES HAVE BEEN NEAR NORMAL SO FAR IN
JULY...RAINFALL HAS BEEN BELOW NORMAL OVER MOST OF THE HSA. AT
LEAST 2/3 OF SOUTH TEXAS HAS SEEN NO MORE THAN 50 PERCENT OF THEIR
NORMAL JULY RAINFALL SO FAR (ABOUT 1 INCH)...WITH ABOUT 20
PERCENT OF THE HSA SEEING NO MORE THAN 25 PERCENT OF NORMAL
RAINFALL SO FAR IN JULY (ACCORDING TO THE AHPS PRECIPITATION
ANALYSIS MAPS).

THE FOLLOWING TABLE SHOWS THE TOTAL MONTHLY RAINFALL AMOUNTS
THROUGH JULY 16...IN 2014...AND FOR THE 2014 WATER YEAR WHICH
BEGAN OCTOBER 1 2013. ALL VALUES ARE IN INCHES...RAINFALL
DEPARTURES FROM NORMAL ARE SHOWN IN PARENTHESIS:

                                                  2014 WATER YEAR
                    JULY 16            2014         10/1/2013 -
                                                    07/16/2014

CORPUS CHRISTI     0.46 (-1.35)     8.97 (-6.47)   13.67 (-7.48)

VICTORIA           2.33 (-0.06)    17.72 (-4.51)   22.78 (-9.01)

LAREDO AIRPORT     0.66 (-0.60)     6.24 (-4.12)   10.76 (-2.99)

FOR THE THREE CLIMATE STATIONS...THE 2014 PERCENTAGE OF NORMAL
RAINFALL THROUGH JULY 16 WAS: 58.1 PERCENT AT CORPUS CHRISTI...
79.7 PERCENT AT VICTORIA...AND 60.2 PERCENT AT LAREDO.

THE 2014 WATER YEAR PERCENTAGES THROUGH JULY 16 2014 ARE: 64.6
PERCENT AT CORPUS CHRISTI...71.7 PERCENT AT VICTORIA...AND 78.3
PERCENT AT LAREDO.

ALTHOUGH TEMPERATURES HAVE BEEN NEAR NORMAL SO FAR IN JULY OVER
MOST OF SOUTH TEXAS...TEMPERATURES WILL LIKELY BECOME ABOVE NORMAL
BY THE END OF THE MONTH. AS OF JULY 16...TEMPERATURES WERE 0.2
DEGREES ABOVE NORMAL AT CORPUS CHRISTI...0.1 DEGREES ABOVE NORMAL
AT VICTORIA...AND 0.0 DEGREES ABOVE NORMAL (NORMAL) AT LAREDO.

THE CLIMATE PREDICTION CENTER (CPC) CONTINUES TO HAVE AN EL-NINO
WATCH IN EFFECT. ACCORDING TO CPC...ENSO-NEUTRAL CONDITIONS
REMAIN WITH ABOVE AVERAGE SEA SURFACE TEMPERATURES (SST) ACROSS
THE EQUATORIAL PACIFIC. SINCE JUNE...ABOVE AVERAGE SST HAVE
WEAKENED NEAR THE INTERNATIONAL DATE LINE...BUT HAVE PERSISTED
OVER THE EASTERN PACIFIC. CPC STILL FORECASTS A WEAK TO MODERATE
EL-NINO DEVELOPING BY THE END OF 2014. THERE IS A 70 PERCENT
CHANCE FOR EL-NINO DURING THE NORTHERN HEMISPHERIC SUMMER AND UP
TO AN 80 PERCENT CHANCE DURING THE UPCOMING FALL AND WINTER.

THE OCEANIC NINO INDEX (ONI) IS BASED ON SST DEPARTURES FROM
AVERAGES IN THE NINO 3.4 REGION...AND IS THE PRINCIPAL MEASURE FOR
MONITORING...ASSESSING AND PREDICTING ENSO. THE MOST RECENT ONI
VALUE (APRIL 2014 - JUNE 2014) IS +0.2 DEGREES CELSIUS (WITHIN THE
ENSO-NEUTRAL RANGE OF -0.5 DEGREES CELSIUS TO +0.5 DEGREES
CELSIUS). THIS IS A POSITIVE TREND FROM THE LAST 3-MONTH ONI OF
-0.2 DEGREES CELSIUS (FROM MARCH 2014 - MAY 2014).

MOST MODELS ARE PREDICTING EL-NINO TO DEVELOP IN THE NEXT FEW
MONTHS...AND MAINTAIN THESE CONDITIONS THROUGH THE NORTHERN
HEMISPHERIC WINTER 2014-2015. BY THE JULY-AUGUST-SEPTEMBER TIME
FRAME...THERE IS ABOUT A 73 PERCENT CHANCE FOR EL-NINO...A 26
PERCENT CHANCE FOR ENSO-NEUTRAL CONDITIONS AND ABOUT A 1 PERCENT
CHANCE FOR LA-NINA. BY THE END OF 2014 (OCTOBER-NOVEMBER-DECEMBER
TIME FRAME)...THE CHANCES FOR EL-NINO INCREASE TO ABOUT 82
PERCENT...WITH A LESS THAN 2 PERCENT CHANCE FOR LA-NINA.


PRECIPITATION/TEMPERATURE OUTLOOKS...
THE RAINFALL FORECAST FOR THE NEXT SEVEN DAYS (JULY 18 THROUGH JULY
24) IS AS FOLLOWS. THERE IS A CHANCE FOR PRECIPITATION THROUGH
SATURDAY...WITH THE BEST CHANCES FOR SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS
FRIDAY. ALSO...THERE IS A SLIGHT CHANCE FOR RAIN ON WEDNESDAY.
AVERAGE RAINFALL AMOUNTS THROUGH JULY 24 WILL RANGE FROM AROUND 1
INCH OVER THE VICTORIA CROSSROADS AREA...1/2 TO 1 INCH OVER THE
MOST OF THE COASTAL BEND REGION...1/4 TO 1/2 INCH OVER MOST OF THE
NORTHERN BRUSH COUNTRY...AND LESS THAN 1/4 INCH OVER THE RIO
GRANDE PLAINS AND SOUTHERN BRUSH COUNTRY.

THE TEMPERATURE OUTLOOK FOR JULY 18 THROUGH JULY 24 IS AS
FOLLOWS. EXCEPT FOR NEAR NORMAL TEMPERATURES ON JULY 18...AVERAGE
TEMPERATURES ARE EXPECTED TO BE SLIGHTLY ABOVE NORMAL TO ABOVE
NORMAL THROUGH JULY 24.

THE 8 TO 14 DAY OUTLOOK...VALID FOR THE PERIOD JULY 25 THROUGH JULY
31...CALLS FOR A GREATER PROBABILITY FOR ABOVE NORMAL TEMPERATURES
AND BELOW NORMAL RAINFALL OVER THE ENTIRE HSA.

THE AUGUST 2014 RAINFALL OUTLOOK...ISSUED ON JULY 17...CALLS FOR A
GREATER LIKELIHOOD FOR BELOW NORMAL RAINFALL OVER THE ENTIRE HSA.

THE AUGUST 2014 TEMPERATURE OUTLOOK...ISSUED ON JULY 17...CALLS FOR A
GREATER LIKELIHOOD FOR ABOVE NORMAL TEMPERATURES OVER THE ENTIRE
HSA.

THE THREE MONTH RAINFALL OUTLOOK FOR THE PERIOD AUGUST THROUGH
OCTOBER 2014...ISSUED ON JULY 17...CALLS FOR A GREATER LIKELIHOOD
FOR BELOW NORMAL RAINFALL OVER NEARLY ALL OF THE HSA (THE EXTREME
NORTHWESTERN PORTIONS OF THE HSA HAVE EQUAL CHANCES FOR
NEAR/ABOVE/BELOW NORMAL RAINFALL).

THE THREE MONTH TEMPERATURE OUTLOOK FOR THE PERIOD AUGUST THROUGH
OCTOBER 2014...ISSUED ON JULY 17...CALLS FOR A GREATER
LIKELIHOOD FOR ABOVE NORMAL TEMPERATURES OVER ALL OF THE HSA.

DUE TO BELOW NORMAL RAINFALL MOST LIKELY OVER SOUTH TEXAS...THE
SEASONAL DROUGHT OUTLOOK FOR AUGUST THROUGH OCTOBER (ISSUED JULY 17)
CALLS FOR THE DROUGHT TO CONTINUE (IF NOT INTENSIFY) OVER CURRENT
DROUGHT AREAS...AND DEVELOP OVER NON-DROUGHT AREAS.

THE LAGGED SOIL MOISTURE OUTLOOK VALID THROUGH THE END OF
OCTOBER 2014 CALLS FOR NEAR NORMAL SOIL CONDITIONS OVER THE HSA.

IF EL-NINO OCCURS IN THE LATE FALL AND WINTER...THEN SOUTH TEXAS
HAS A CHANCE TO RECEIVE ABOVE NORMAL RAINFALL DURING THE COOL
SEASON. SEASONAL CLIMATE OUTLOOKS DO SHOW A GREATER LIKELIHOOD FOR
ABOVE NORMAL RAINFALL FROM THE OCTOBER-NOVEMBER-DECEMBER 2014
SEASON THROUGH THE FEBRUARY-MARCH-APRIL 2015 SEASON.


NEXT ISSUANCE DATE...
THE NEXT DROUGHT INFORMATION STATEMENT WILL BE ISSUED ON OR
SHORTLY AFTER AUGUST 1 2014.


RELATED WEB SITES...
NWS CORPUS CHRISTI DROUGHT PAGE:
HTTP://WWW.SRH.NOAA.GOV/CRP/DROUGHT.HTML

ADVANCED HYDROLOGIC PREDICTION SERVICE (AHPS)...
HTTP://WATER.WEATHER.GOV/PRECIP

U.S. DROUGHT MONITOR (INCLUDES DROUGHT AND SOIL MOISTURE
OUTLOOKS...DROUGHT ARCHIVES AND TEMPERATURE/RAINFALL OUTLOOKS)...
HTTP://DROUGHT.UNL.EDU/MONITOR.HTML

U.S. DROUGHT MONITOR (INCLUDES ONLY TEXAS)...
HTTP://DROUGHT.UNL.EDU/DM_STATE.HTM?TX,S

U.S. DROUGHT PORTAL...
HTTP://WWW.DROUGHT.GOV

TEXAS DROUGHT MONITORING SITE...
HTTP://WWW.TXWIN.NET/MONITORING/METEOROLOGICAL/DROUGHT/INDICES.HTM

NOAA DROUGHT PAGE...
HTTP://WWW.DROUGHT.NOAA.GOV

DROUGHT IMPACT REPORTER...
HTTP://DROUGHTREPORTER.UNL.EDU/

TEXAS WATER DEVELOPMENT BOARD DROUGHT WEBSITE
HTTP://WWW.WATERDATAFORTEXAS.ORG/DROUGHT/

VEGETATION DROUGHT RESPONSE INDEX
HTTP://DROUGHT.UNL.EDU.VEGDRI/VEGDRI_MAIN.HTM?EV

CLIMATE PREDICTION CENTER...
HTTP://WWW.CPC.NCEP.NOAA.GOV

WEATHER PREDICTION CENTER...
HTTP://WWW.HPC.NCEP.NOAA.GOV

STANDARDIZED PRECIPITATION INDEX (SPI)...
HTTP://WWW.WRCC.DRI.EDU/SPI/SPI.HTML

AGNEWS: TEXAS A & M AGRICULTURAL PROGRAM (CROP AND WEATHER REPORT)...
HTTP://TODAY.AGRILIFE.ORG

TEXAS INTERAGENCY COORDINATION CENTER (TICC)...
HTTP://WWW.TAMU.EDU/TICC/

TEXAS BURN BANS...HTTP://TFSFRP.TAMU.EDU/WILDFIRES/DECBAN.PNG

TEXAS KBDI...HTTP://WEBGIS.TAMU.EDU/TFS/KBDI_DAILY/KBDICOUNTY.PNG

TEXAS COMMISSION ON ENVIRONMENTAL QUALITY (WATER RESTRICTIONS):
WWW.TCEQ.TEXAS.GOV/DRINKINATER/TROT/LOCATION.HTML

CORPUS CHRISTI WATER DEPARTMENT...
WWW.CCTEXAS.COM/GOVERNMENT/WATER

CORPUS CHRISTI WATER CONSERVATION
WWW.CCTEXAS.COM/ASSETS/DEPARTMENTS/WATER/FILES/WATERCONSERVATIONPLAN.PDF

VICTORIA WATER CONSERVATION:
WWW.VICTORIATX.ORG/PIO/PDFS/WATERSAVINGMETHODS.PDF

LAREDO WATER RESTRICTIONS AND CONSERVATION...
WWW.CI.LAREDO.TX.US/UTILITIES05/ORDINANCE/2009_ORDINANCE.PDF

CITY OF VICTORIA WEB SITE...WWW.VICTORIATX.ORG

CITY OF LAREDO WEB SITE...WWW.CI.LAREDO.TX.US

CITY OF PORTLAND WEB SITE...WWW.PORTLANDTX.COM

ADDITIONAL RIVER INFORMATION...
NWS...HTTP://WWW.WEATHER.GOV/AHPS/
USGS...HTTP://WATER.USGS.GOV/
IBWC...HTTP://IBWC.STATE.GOV/

ACKNOWLEDGMENTS...
THE DROUGHT MONITOR IS A MULTI-AGENCY EFFORT INVOLVING THE NATIONAL
WEATHER SERVICE AND NATIONAL CLIMATIC DATA CENTER...THE USDA...STATE
AND REGIONAL CENTER CLIMATOLOGISTS AND THE NATIONAL DROUGHT
MITIGATION CENTER. INFORMATION FOR THIS STATEMENT HAS BEEN GATHERED
FROM NWS AND FAA OBSERVATION SITES...STATE COOPERATIVE EXTENSION
SERVICES...THE USDA...USACE AND USGS.

QUESTIONS OR COMMENTS...
IF YOU HAVE ANY QUESTIONS OR COMMENTS ABOUT THIS DROUGHT INFORMATION
STATEMENT...PLEASE CONTACT...
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE
426 PINSON DRIVE
CORPUS CHRISTI TX 78406
PHONE: 361-289-0959
SR-CRP.WEBMASTER@NOAA.GOV


$$

GW




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