Drought Information Statement
Issued by NWS Corpus Christi, TX

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AXUS74 KCRP 272255
DGTCRP
TXZ229>234-239>247-102300-

DROUGHT INFORMATION STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CORPUS CHRISTI TX
555 PM CDT THU MAR 27 2014

...LITTLE CHANGE IN DROUGHT STATUS OVER SOUTH TEXAS...

...SEASONAL DROUGHT OUTLOOK THROUGH JUNE NOW CALLS FOR DROUGHT
CONDITIONS TO IMPROVE BUT PERSIST OVER DROUGHT-STRICKEN AREAS
BUT NOT SPREAD FARTHER WEST...

...EL-NINO WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT...

.SYNOPSIS...
WHILE CONTINUED COLD FRONTS AND UPPER LEVEL DISTURBANCES IMPACTED
SOUTH TEXAS OVER THE LAST TWO WEEKS...MOST AREAS THAT RECEIVED THE
HEAVIER RAINFALL WERE NOT IN DROUGHT...NAMELY THE SOUTHERN BRUSH
COUNTRY AND EXTREME SOUTHEASTERN PORTIONS OF THE RIO GRANDE
PLAINS. WHILE ALL OF SOUTH TEXAS OBSERVED RAINFALL BETWEEN MARCH
13TH THROUGH MARCH 24TH (THE TIME INTERVAL FOR RAINFALL VALID FOR
THIS NEW DROUGHT MONITOR PRODUCT)...AREAS RECEIVING AT LEAST 1/2
INCH OF PRECIPITATION WERE GENERALLY EAST AND SOUTH OF AN
AGUILARES TO FREER...TO SKIDMORE...TO GOLIAD...TO WEESATCHE LINE.
WHILE MOST OF THE PRECIPITATION WAS STRATI-FORM IN NATURE...
THUNDERSTORMS OVER PORTIONS OF VICTORIA...SAN PATRICIO...AND
ARANSAS COUNTIES BROUGHT SCATTERED RAINFALL AMOUNTS BETWEEN 1/2
AND 1 1/2 INCHES. WHILE MOST AREAS RECEIVING THE MOST BELOW NORMAL
RAINFALL FROM MARCH 13TH THROUGH MARCH 24TH OCCURRED OVER THE
NORTHERN PORTIONS OF THE COASTAL BEND...BRUSH COUNTRY...AND RIO
GRANDE PLAINS (MANY AREAS RECEIVING NO MORE THAN 50 PERCENT OF
THEIR NORMAL RAINFALL)...MOST OF THESE LOCATIONS WERE EITHER
DROUGHT-FREE OR ABNORMALLY DRY. AS A RESULT...THERE WAS VERY
LITTLE CHANGE TO THE PREVIOUS DROUGHT MONITOR PRODUCT.

(ADDITIONAL RAINFALL ON THE 26TH AND 27TH BROUGHT MORE RAIN TO
SOUTH TEXAS. HOWEVER...THIS PRECIPITATION WAS NOT CONSIDERED FOR
THE UPDATED DROUGHT MONITOR PRODUCT.)

THE LATEST DROUGHT MONITOR PRODUCT...VALID AS OF 7 AM EDT MARCH 25
2014...SHOWS THE FOLLOWING CONDITIONS OVER THE HSA...

SEVERE DROUGHT CONDITIONS (D2) OR GREATER NO LONGER EXIST OVER ANY
PORTION OF SOUTH TEXAS.

MODERATE DROUGHT CONDITIONS (D1) EXIST OVER THE NORTHEASTERN HALF
OF NUECES COUNTY...ALL OF SAN PATRICIO AND ARANSAS COUNTIES...
NEARLY ALL OF REFUGIO COUNTY...A VERY SMALL PORTION OF
SOUTHEASTERN BEE COUNTY...SOUTHERN PORTIONS OF LIVE OAK
COUNTY...EXTREME SOUTHEASTERN PORTIONS OF GOLIAD COUNTY...AND A
VERY SMALL PORTION OF SOUTHWESTERN CALHOUN COUNTY. THERE IS NO
CHANGE TO THIS D1 AREA. THIS D1 AREA IS NEAR...NORTH AND EAST OF A
LINE LOCATED FROM ABOUT 5 MILES NORTH-NORTHEAST OF BIRD
ISLAND...TO NEAR CHAPMAN RANCH...TO JUST SOUTH AND WEST OF
PETRONILA...TO NEAR PALO ALTO...TO JUST WEST OF BANQUETTE...TO
ORANGE GROVE...TO ABOUT 4 MILES WEST OF SANDIA...TO ABOUT 3.5
MILES WEST OF LAKE CORPUS CHRISTI...TO NEAR COMELIA...TO NEAR
OLMOS...TO NEAR YOUGEEN...TO JUST NORTH OF BLANCONIA...WITH THE D1
LINE THEN EXTENDING NORTHEAST TO ABOUT 2.5 MILES SOUTH OF
MCFADDIN...TO ABOUT 2 MILES NORTH OF TIVOLI...TO ABOUT 5 MILES
SOUTH-SOUTHEAST OF SEADRIFT...TO ABOUT 8.5 MILES SOUTH OF FULGHUMS
LANDING. THE CITIES OF CORPUS CHRISTI...ROBSTOWN...MATHIS...
SINTON...PORTLAND...ARGENTA...SKIDMORE...BLANCONIA...REFUGIO...
WOODSBORO...ROCKPORT...BAYSIDE...TIVOLI AND AUSTWELL ARE IN D1
STATUS.

ANOTHER D1 AREA IS LOCATED OVER PORTIONS OF NORTHERN GOLIAD AND
NORTHERN VICTORIA COUNTIES...AND A VERY SMALL PORTION OF NORTHERN
BEE COUNTY. THIS D1 AREA IS LOCATED NEAR...NORTH AND EAST OF A LINE
LOCATED FROM ALONG THE LIVE OAK-KARNES COUNTY LINE...WITH THE D1
LINE EXTENDING EAST TO NEAR CAESAR...TO NEAR TULSITA...TO ABOUT
2.5 MILES SOUTH OF RIVERDALE...TO NEAR GOLIAD...TO ABOUT 3 MILES
SOUTH OF SCHROEDER...TO JUST NORTH OF DOWNTOWN VICTORIA...TO ABOUT
6.5 MILES SOUTH OF INEZ...TO ABOUT 6 MILES NORTH OF GARR.
THE CITIES OF MONTEOLA...CHARCO...MISSION VALLEY...THE NORTHERN
PORTION OF VICTORIA...AND INEZ ARE IN D1 STATUS. THE CITY OF
GOLIAD IS ON THE EXTREME SOUTHERN PORTION OF THE D1 AREA.

A SMALL D1 AREA EXISTS OVER EXTREME NORTHWESTERN PORTIONS OF LA
SALLE COUNTY. THIS D1 AREA IS LOCATED NEAR...NORTH AND WEST OF A
LINE LOCATED FROM ABOUT 4 TO 5 MILES WEST OF WOODWARD...TO ABOUT
2.5 MILES NORTHWEST OF WOODWARD...TO ABOUT 3 MILES NORTH OF
WOODWARD... TO ABOUT 8 MILES NORTH OF GARDENDALE. NO COMMUNITY IS
IN THIS D1 AREA.

OUTSIDE THE AFOREMENTIONED AREAS...ABNORMALLY DRY (D0) CONDITIONS
EXIST OVER THE EASTERN HALF OF KLEBERG COUNTY...THE REMAINDER OF
ALL BUT EXTREME SOUTHWESTERN NUECES COUNTY...NORTHEASTERN PORTIONS
OF JIM WELLS COUNTY...THE EASTERN HALF OF LIVE OAK COUNTY...AND
THE REMAINDER OF BEE...GOLIAD...VICTORIA...REFUGIO...AND CALHOUN
COUNTIES. THIS D0 AREA IS LOCATED NEAR...NORTH AND EAST OF A LINE
LOCATED FROM NEAR RIVIERA BEACH...TO ABOUT 9.5 MILES EAST OF
KINGSVILLE...TO NEAR BISHOP...TO ABOUT 6.5 MILES EAST OF
ALICE...TO ABOUT 4 MILES WEST OF ALFRED...TO JUST WEST OF
DILLWORTH...WITH THE D0 LINE EXTENDING NORTH TO JUST EAST OF
MIKESKA...TO ABOUT 3 MILES WEST OF KARON...TO NEAR RAY POINT...TO
JUST SOUTH OF SUNDLAND. THE COMMUNITIES OF DRISCOLL...AQUA
DULCE...MOUNT LUCAS...BEEVILLE...PAWNEE...BERCLAIR...FANNIN...THE
SOUTHERN PORTIONS OF THE CITY OF VICTORIA...BLOOMINGTON...
SEADRIFT...PORT LAVACA...AND PORT O`CONNOR ARE IN D0 STATUS.

FINALLY...OUTSIDE OF THE D1 AREA IN NORTHWESTERN LA SALLE
COUNTY...A SMALL PORTION OF THE NORTHERN PORTIONS OF LIVE OAK...
MCMULLEN...AND LA SALLE COUNTIES IS IN D0 STATUS. THIS D0 AREA IS
NEAR AND NORTH OF A LINE LOCATED FROM JUST SOUTH OF SUNDLAND...TO
ABOUT 7 MILES NORTH OF CALLIHAM...TO ABOUT 7 MILES NORTH OF
TILDEN...TO ABOUT 2.5 MILES NORTH OF FOWLERTON...TO NEAR LOS
ANGELES...TO JUST NORTH OF COTULLA. THE COMMUNITIES OF WHITSETT
AND WOODWARD ARE IN D0 STATUS.

THE REMAINDER OF SOUTH TEXAS NOT MENTIONED ABOVE HAS NO DROUGHT
STATUS...AND IS CONSIDERED DROUGHT-FREE. THIS INCLUDES ALL OF WEBB
AND DUVAL COUNTIES...THE REMAINDER JIM WELLS...KLEBERG...EXTREME
SOUTHWESTERN NUECES...LA SALLE...MCMULLEN...AND LIVE OAK
COUNTIES. THE CITIES OF LAREDO...ENCINAL...COTULLA...ARTESIA
WELLS...FREER...BENAVIDES...ALICE...SAN DIEGO...KINGSVILLE...
RIVIERA...GEORGE WEST...THREE RIVERS...TILDEN AND OAKVILLE ARE
CONSIDERED DROUGHT-FREE.

SEE THE DROUGHT MONITOR PRODUCT (LINK PROVIDED AT THE END OF THE
STATEMENT) FOR A GRAPHICAL VIEW.


SUMMARY OF IMPACTS...

STATE AND LOCAL ACTIONS.
ACCORDING TO THE TEXAS FOREST SERVICE BURN BAN MAP OF MARCH 27
2014...THERE HAS BEEN NO CHANGE IN BURN BANS. THUS...ONLY BEE
COUNTY HAS A BURN BAN IN EFFECT...AND NO OTHER SOUTH TEXAS
COUNTIES HAVE BURN BANS. NEVERTHELESS...RESIDENTS PLANNING ON
BURNING SHOULD CONTACT COUNTY OFFICIALS TO ENSURE THAT BURNING IS
ALLOWED...AND ALSO TO SEE IF ANY RESTRICTIONS ON HOW AND WHEN TO
BURN ARE IN EFFECT. IF BURNING IS ALLOWED...BE SURE IT IS NOT DONE
DURING WINDY DAYS WITH LOW HUMIDITY...AS THIS COULD RESULT IN A
SPORADIC OR UNCONTROLLABLE FIRE.

AS OF MARCH 27 2014...THERE HAVE BEEN NO CHANGES TO THE WATER
RESTRICTIONS FOR CORPUS CHRISTI...VICTORIA AND LAREDO.

ACCORDING TO THE CITY OF CORPUS CHRISTI WATER PAGE...THE CITY
REMAINS IN STAGE 1 OF THE DROUGHT CONTINGENCY PLAN. UNDER STAGE
1...RESIDENTS ARE ASKED TO VOLUNTARILY CONSERVE WATER WHENEVER
POSSIBLE. FOR THE CITY OF CORPUS CHRISTI...WATERING IS NO LONGER
LIMITED TO ONCE A WEEK. HOWEVER RESIDENTS SHOULD CONTINUE TO LIMIT
THE USE OF WATER OUTSIDE DURING THE HOURS OF 10 AM AND 6 PM. THE
CITIES OF PORTLAND AND INGLESIDE ARE ALSO IN STAGE 1 RESTRICTIONS.

GENERAL USES AND RESTRICTIONS UNDER STAGE 1:

* WATER IS NO LONGER LIMITED TO ONCE A WEEK
* NO WATERING OR OUTSIDE WASHING DURING THE HOURS OF 10 AM AND 6
  PM.

ADDITIONAL MINOR DIFFERENCES ARE OBSERVED AT PORTLAND AND INGLESIDE.
FOR MORE INFORMATION FOR THESE LOCATIONS...PLEASE VISIT:

HTTP://PORTLANDTX.COM
HTTP://INGLESIDETX.GOV

THE CITY OF VICTORIA STILL ENCOURAGES RESIDENTS TO CONSERVE WATER
VOLUNTARILY.

THE CITY OF LAREDO REMAINS UNDER VOLUNTARY RESTRICTIONS. RESIDENTS
ARE STILL ALLOWED TO WATER THEIR LANDSCAPES AT ANY TIME...BUT ARE
ASKED TO VOLUNTARILY CONSERVE WATER.

WITH GRASSES STARTING TO GROW MORE READILY...RESIDENTS ARE
STILL STRONGLY ENCOURAGED TO LIMIT THEIR WATERING. WATER CONSERVED
NOW CAN BE USED FOR THE UPCOMING WARMER WEATHER...WHEN LAWNS NEED
MORE WATER THAN DURING COOLER WEATHER. IF WATER IS WASTED NOW...
WATER MAY NOT BE AVAILABLE IN THE SUMMER MONTHS (DUE TO MORE
STRINGENT WATER RESTRICTIONS) TO ADEQUATELY WATER LAWNS.

RESIDENTS ARE ENCOURAGED TO ONLY WATER THEIR LANDSCAPES ONCE A
WEEK OR EVERY OTHER WEEK IN ORDER TO MAINTAIN SOIL MOISTURE.
ALSO...WHEN ADEQUATE RAINFALL WAS RECENTLY RECEIVED...WATERING
SHOULD BE OMITTED FOR SEVERAL DAYS UNTIL WATERING BECOMES
NECESSARY. RESIDENTS WITH SPRINKLER SYSTEMS SHOULD NOT WATER
THEIR LANDSCAPES AS IF IT WAS THE MIDDLE OF SUMMER. WHEN AND IF
WATERING IS NEEDED...DO NOT ALLOW WATER TO RUNOFF INTO SIDEWALKS
AND STREETS...AND USE A SPRINKLER WHICH MAKES LARGER WATER
DROPLETS.

RESIDENTS SHOULD REMAIN INFORMED ON ANY WATER RESTRICTIONS WHICH
MAY BE IMPOSED FOR THEIR LOCATION...AS ANY VIOLATIONS CAN RESULT
IN SIGNIFICANT FINES. MORE INFORMATION ON HOW TO CONSERVE WATER
(AND DROUGHT CONTINGENCY PLANS) ARE FOUND ON THE CITY WEBSITES
LISTED AT THE END OF THIS STATEMENT.

ADDITIONAL LOCATIONS WITHIN THE HSA HAVE MAINTAINED EITHER
MANDATORY OR VOLUNTARY RESTRICTIONS ON THEIR LOCAL PUBLIC WATER
SYSTEMS (PWS). ACCORDING TO THE TEXAS COMMISSION ON ENVIRONMENTAL
QUALITY (TCEQ)...HERE IS A LIST OF LOCATIONS WITHIN THE HSA (AS OF
MARCH 20 2014) WHICH HAVE WATER RESTRICTIONS (NO CHANGE SINCE
DROUGHT STATEMENT ON MARCH 27 2014):

REMOVED RESTRICTIONS: NONE REMOVED

NEW/AMENDED RESTRICTIONS: NONE ADDED/AMENDED

PREVIOUS RESTRICTIONS:
ARANSAS COUNTY: CITY OF ROCKPORT (STAGE 1)...COPANO HEIGHTS WATER
(STAGE 1)

BEE COUNTY: BLUEBERRY HILLS WATERWORKS (STAGE 1)...CITY OF
BEEVILLE (VOLUNTARY)

CALHOUN COUNTY: THE CITY OF POINT COMFORT (STAGE 1)

DUVAL COUNTY: FREER WCID (VOLUNTARY)

JIM WELLS COUNTY: CITY OF ALICE (STAGE 1)...ENGLISH ACRES (STAGE
3)...PAISANO MOBILE HOME PARK (STAGE 3).

KLEBERG COUNTY: CITY OF KINGSVILLE (VOLUNTARY)...TEXAS A & M
UNIVERSITY KINGSVILLE (VOLUNTARY)...RICARDO WSC (STAGE 1)...KING
RANCH SANTA GERTRUDIS (VOLUNTARY)...EAST RIVIERA WSC (VOLUNTARY)

LIVE OAK: BUCKEYE KNOLL (STAGE 1)...OLD MARBACH SCHOOL WSC
(VOLUNTARY)

NUECES COUNTY: CITY OF BISHOP (STAGE 1)...NUECES COUNTY WCID 3
(STAGE 1)...NUECES COUNTY WCID 4 (STAGE 1)...NUECES WSC (STAGE
1).

SAN PATRICIO COUNTY: CITY OF GREGORY (STAGE 2)...CITY OF MATHIS
(STAGE 1)...CITY OF ODEM (STAGE 1)...CITY OF TAFT (STAGE 1)...SAN
PATRICIO MWD (VOLUNTARY)

VICTORIA COUNTY: VICTORIA COUNTY WCID 1 (STAGE 1)

WEBB COUNTY: MIRANDO CITY WSC (VOLUNTARY)...BRUNI RURAL WSC
(VOLUNTARY)


AGRICULTURAL AND SOIL MOISTURE CONDITIONS.
CONTINUED RAINFALL DURING THE PAST TWO WEEKS HAS HELPED KEEP SOIL
MOISTURE FROM DIMINISHING MORE...DESPITE THE WARMER TEMPERATURES
AND OCCASIONALLY WINDY CONDITIONS. THE LATEST SOIL MOISTURE
ANOMALY MAP FROM THE CLIMATE PREDICTION CENTER (VALID ON MARCH 26)
SHOWED NEAR NORMAL TO SLIGHTLY BELOW NORMAL SOIL CONDITIONS OVER
THE HSA. NEAR NORMAL CONDITIONS (ANOMALIES BETWEEN +20 MM AND -20
MM) EXIST OVER THE SOUTHEASTERN THIRD OF THE HSA...WITH INCREASING
DRYNESS FARTHER NORTH AND WEST. THE GREATEST ANOMALIES EXIST OVER
THE EXTREME NORTHERN PORTIONS OF THE HSA...INCLUDING THE NORTHERN
BRUSH COUNTRY AND VICTORIA CROSSROADS AREA (ANOMALIES BETWEEN -40
MM AND -60 MM). HOWEVER... SOIL MOISTURE PERCENTAGES VALID FOR
MARCH 26 INDICATE VALUES BETWEEN 30 AND 70 PERCENT OVER THE ENTIRE
HSA. CROP MOISTURE INDICES OVER THE ENTIRE HSA ARE BETWEEN +0.9
AND -0.9...INDICATING SLIGHTLY DRY/FAVORABLY MOIST CONDITIONS.

IN A RECENT ARTICLE IN AGRI-LIFE TODAY (WWW.AGRILIFE.ORG)...LOW
SOIL TEMPERATURES WERE STILL DELAYING SPRING PLANTING THROUGHOUT
MUCH OF TEXAS BY MID-MARCH. THE TEXAS WHEAT CROP REMAINS BELOW
AVERAGE...AND VERY LITTLE COTTON HAS BEEN PLANTED...ACCORDING TO A
TEXAS A&M AGRI-LIFE EXTENSION SERVICE AGRONOMIST. DRY WEATHER IS
THE CULPRIT FOR THE POOR WHEAT CROP...WHILE LOWER-THAN-NORMAL SOIL
TEMPERATURES HAVE BEEN THE PRIMARY REASON FOR THE DELAY IN THE
PLANTING OF SPRING CROPS...SAID THE EXPERT. MUCH OF SOUTH TEXAS
CORN AND SORGHUM CROPS ARE PLANTED...WHILE COOL WEATHER AND WET
SOILS ON THE COAST DELAYED PLANTING. IT WAS THE UNUSUALLY COLD
WEATHER THAT HAS SLOWED THE PLANTING OF SPRING CROPS...THE EXPERT
SAID. FINALLY...THE EXPERT STATED THAT...ALTHOUGH DROUGHT
CONDITIONS HAVE IMPROVED...PARTICULARLY IN SOUTH TEXAS...DROUGHT
CONTINUES FOR A FOURTH YEAR IN THE PANHANDLE...SOUTH PLAINS...
ROLLING PLAINS AND PARTS OF CENTRAL TEXAS.

IN A RECENT ARTICLE IN THE VICTORIA ADVOCATE
(WWW.VICTORIAADVOCATE.COM)...THE U.S. SMALL BUSINESS
ADMINISTRATION (SBA) HAS ANNOUNCED THAT 162 TEXAS COUNTIES ARE
NOW ELIGIBLE TO APPLY FOR LOW-INTEREST FEDERAL DISASTER LOANS.
THESE LOANS OFFSET ECONOMIC LOSSES BECAUSE OF REDUCED REVENUES
CAUSED BY THE DROUGHT THAT BEGAN NOV. 1...2013 SAID A SPOKESPERSON
OF SBA`S DISASTER FIELD OPERATIONS CENTER-WEST. GOLIAD AND
REFUGIO WERE RECOGNIZED AS PRIMARY TEXAS COUNTIES...AND DEWITT AND
VICTORIA WERE RECOGNIZED AS NEIGHBORING COUNTIES ELIGIBLE FOR THE
LOANS. ELIGIBILITY COVERS THE ECONOMIC IMPACTS ON BUSINESSES
DEPENDENT ON FARMERS AND RANCHERS WHO HAVE SUFFERED AGRICULTURAL
LOSSES AND BUSINESSES DIRECTLY IMPACTED BY THE DROUGHT...SHE SAID.
BUSINESSES PRIMARILY ENGAGED IN FARMING OR RANCHING ARE NOT
ELIGIBLE AND SHOULD CONTACT THE FARM SERVICES AGENCY ABOUT
ASSISTANCE. NURSERIES ARE ELIGIBLE IN DROUGHT DISASTERS.

IN A RECENT ARTICLE IN THE FORT WORTH STAR-TELEGRAM (WWW.STAR-
TELEGRAM.COM)...IN THE LATEST SIGN OF THE DROUGHT`S TOLL ON
TEXAS...NEBRASKA HAS SURPASSED THE STATE IN THE NUMBER OF CATTLE
BEING FATTENED FOR SLAUGHTER...ACCORDING TO THE LATEST FEDERAL
STATISTICS. DROUGHT-RAVAGED TEXAS LOST ITS FICTIONAL CROWN AFTER
ITS TOTAL DROPPED 7 PERCENT OVER THE PAST YEAR...TO 2.44 MILLION
HEAD IN FEEDLOTS WITH A CAPACITY OF AT LEAST 1,000 ANIMALS. THE
U.S. DEPARTMENT OF AGRICULTURE SAID THAT...AS OF FEB. 1...THERE
WERE 10.76 MILLION HEAD OF CATTLE BEING FATTENED FOR SLAUGHTER
NATIONALLY...COMPARED WITH 11.07 MILLION A YEAR AGO. OVERALL...THE
NATION`S CATTLE HERD HAS DWINDLED TO ITS LOWEST LEVEL SINCE THE
1950S...AND THAT HAS DRIVEN THE AVERAGE PRICE OF BEEF TO A RECORD
$5.04 A POUND...AS OF EARLIER THIS MONTH. THAT PRICE REPRESENTS A
6 PERCENT HIKE FROM A YEAR AGO...AND THAT COMES IN WAKE OF A 5
PERCENT RISE IN 2012. TEXAS LOST 15 PERCENT OF ITS CATTLE...OR
ABOUT 2 MILLION ANIMALS...BETWEEN JANUARY 2011 AND JANUARY 2013...
AS RANCHERS SOLD THEM TO OUT-OF-STATE BUYERS OR SENT THEM TO
SLAUGHTER DUE TO AN UNRELENTING DROUGHT. AT ITS WORST...88 PERCENT
OF THE STATE WAS IN THE MOST SEVERE STAGE OF DROUGHT ON THE U.S.
DROUGHT MONITOR MAP. NOW...ACCORDING TO THE U.S. DROUGHT
MONITOR...ABOUT 58 PERCENT OF TEXAS REMAINS IN ONE STAGE OF
DROUGHT OR ANOTHER. FAR LESS LAND IS IN THE WORST DRYNESS
CATEGORIES THAN IN PREVIOUS YEARS...WHILE 18 PERCENT OF THE STATE
IS CONSIDERED ABNORMALLY DRY. THERE IS LITTLE SEVERE OR WORSE
DROUGHT IN EAST TEXAS AND PARTS OF SOUTHEAST TEXAS...WHERE MANY OF
THE STATE`S CATTLE ARE PRODUCED. WITH BETTER CONDITIONS...EXPERTS
HAVE SAID...MORE AND MORE TEXAS PRODUCERS ARE LOOKING AT HANDLING
MORE CATTLE. A PROFESSOR OF LIVESTOCK PRODUCTION AND AGRICULTURAL
MARKETING AT THE UNIVERSITY OF NEBRASKA-LINCOLN SAID THAT RECORD
HIGH CATTLE PRICES HAVE HELPED PUSH CALVES THROUGH THE MARKET.
EXPERTS PREDICT THAT CATTLE PRICES WILL CONTINUE TO RISE THIS YEAR
(ABOUT A 6 TO 8 PERCENT RISE)...AND MAYBE INTO 2015.

IN A RECENT ARTICLE IN E & E PUBLISHING LLC (WWW.EENEWS.NET)...
AFTER THREE YEARS OF FACING SEVERE WATER PROBLEMS...FARMERS ARE
TRYING TO ADAPT WITH CHANGES TO WHAT CROPS THEY GROW...INNOVATIVE
WAYS TO USE WATER MORE EFFICIENTLY ON THEIR FARMS AND EVEN BIO-
ENGINEERED PLANT VARIETIES THAT REQUIRE LESS WATER. TEXAS STATE
CLIMATOLOGIST JOHN NIELSEN-GAMMON SAID HIGHER TEMPERATURES IN
TEXAS WILL AFFECT THE STATE IN MANY WAYS: HIGHER SUMMER ENERGY
DEMAND...LESS WATER AVAILABILITY BECAUSE OF INCREASED
EVAPORATION...AND AN EARLIER PLANTING SEASON AS THE LAST FREEZE
AND FROST DATES MOVE UP. "I SUSPECT BECAUSE OF THE COMBINATION OF
INCREASED WATER USE AND CLIMATE CHANGE...[THERE] IS GOING TO BE
JUST A DECREASE IN THE AMOUNT OF IRRIGATED AGRICULTURE" HE SAID.
THE PROLONGED DROUGHT HAS HAD MANY IMPACTS OVER THE LAST FEW
YEARS. AN EXPERT AT TEXAS A&M UNIVERSITY NOTES THAT IT CAN
INCREASE PEST COSTS...AS THERE IS A MIGRATION OF LAND FROM
CROPPING INTO LIVESTOCK. ALSO...THERE ARE LOWER LIVESTOCK STOCKING
RATES...AND MORE VARIABLE YIELDS. THE NUMBER OF CATTLE AND CALVES
IN TEXAS HAS DECLINED TO 10.9 MILLION THIS YEAR...FROM 13.9
MILLION IN 2007...ACCORDING TO THE AGRICULTURE DEPARTMENT`S
NATIONAL AGRICULTURAL STATISTICS SERVICE. THE QUALITY OF THE LAND
THAT LIVESTOCK GRAZES ON HAS ALSO DECLINED SHARPLY IN SOME CASES.
EVEN A CROP SYNONYMOUS WITH THE SOUTH...COTTON...WHICH NEEDS LESS
WATER THAN OTHER CROPS...HAS SUFFERED. THE VALUE OF UPLAND COTTON
IN TEXAS WAS $1.5 BILLION IN 2013...DOWN FROM $2.39 BILLION IN
2007.

ACCORDING TO THE ARTICLE...A FARMER IN SINTON HAS GOTTEN SOME
"TIMELY RAINS" THIS YEAR BUT NEEDS MORE TO GET BACK TO NORMAL. TO
HELP COMPENSATE...HE`S PLANTING MORE SESAME PLANTS...A MORE
DROUGHT-TOLERANT CROP. LAST YEAR...THE FARM`S COTTON PRODUCTION
WAS OFF 60 PERCENT. SO HE INCREASED HIS CROP INSURANCE GUARANTEES
TO MAKE UP FOR THE EXPECTED LOSSES...AND LAST YEAR HIS FARM SPENT
AN ASTOUNDING $100,000 ON CROP INSURANCE PREMIUMS. FUEL AND
FERTILIZER COSTS HAVE ALSO RISEN. THE DROUGHT HAS ADDED TO THE
RELUCTANCE OF MANY IN THE NEXT GENERATION TO GO INTO FARMING. TWO
OF HIS BROTHER`S SONS HAVE INSTEAD GONE TO WORK IN THE OIL FIELDS.
HE SAID THE TRUCK DRIVER IN THE OIL FIELD CAN MAKE 100 GRAND A
YEAR...AND WE ARE SCROUNGING AND SCRIMPING TO KEEP OUR HEAD ABOVE
WATER. BIG AGRICULTURAL TECHNOLOGY COMPANIES HAVE JUMPED IN TO
TRY TO BOTH HELP FARMERS WITH MORE DROUGHT-TOLERANT CROPS AND MAKE
SOME MONEY OFF WHAT THEY SEE AS A PROBLEM MORE FARMERS WILL FACE
IN THE FUTURE.


THE TEXAS CROP AND WEATHER REPORTS FOR MARCH 18 AND MARCH 25
CONTAINED THE FOLLOWING INFORMATION:

FOR THE COASTAL BEND DISTRICT:

* LIGHT RAINS LEFT FIELDS SLIGHTLY MUDDY DURING THE MIDDLE OF THE
  MONTH.

* IN THE NORTHERN PART OF THE REPORTING AREA...MANY CORN FARMERS
  HAD STILL NOT PLANTED DUE TO LOW SOIL TEMPERATURES.
  HOWEVER...BY THE LATTER PART OF THE MONTH...PLANTING OF ROW
  CROPS CONTINUED AT A BRISK PACE. GROWERS HAD NEARLY FINISHED
  PLANTING CORN...WITH SORGHUM AND RICE PLANTING ABOUT HALF DONE.
  NO COTTON WAS PLANTED YET.

* IN THE SOUTHERN PART OF THE REGION...MOST CORN AND GRAIN SORGHUM
  FIELDS WERE PLANTED...WITH SOME ALREADY EMERGED. ALSO IN THE
  SOUTHERN COUNTIES...MOST PRODUCERS WERE READY TO PLANT
  COTTON...BUT HAD MUDDY FIELDS TO CONTEND WITH. NO COTTON WAS
  PLANTED YET.

* WHEAT WAS BEGINNING TO HEAD AND APPEARED TO BE IN FAIR TO GOOD
  CONDITION.

* GROWERS WERE FERTILIZING PASTURES BETWEEN RAINS.

* THERE WAS LIMITED FORAGE GROWTH...BUT RAPID IMPROVEMENT WAS
  EXPECTED FOR BOTH GRASSES AND CATTLE AS WEATHER WARMED. THE
  EARLIER WARM TEMPERATURES ALONG WITH ADEQUATE SOIL MOISTURE WERE
  BENEFICIAL TO WINTER PASTURES AND VOLUNTEER CLOVER.

* FARMERS WERE APPLYING HERBICIDE TO CONTROL BROOM WEED. SOME WERE
  FERTILIZING HAY FIELDS.

* PASTURES BEGAN TO GREEN UP. LIVESTOCK CONTINUED TO SELL WELL AT
  LOCAL AUCTIONS.

FOR THE WESTERN AREAS (CONSIDERED PART OF THE SOUTH DISTRICT):

* THE NORTHERN...EASTERN AND WESTERN PARTS OF THE REGION RECEIVED
  RAIN...IMPROVING RANGELAND...PASTURES AND CROPS. STILL...SOIL
  MOISTURE WAS SHORT TO VERY SHORT WITH THE EXCEPTION OF LIVE OAK
  COUNTY WHERE IT WAS 60 PERCENT ADEQUATE.

* RANGELAND AND PASTURES WERE IN FAIR CONDITION WITH SOME SPRING
  GREENING...BUT NOT MUCH OVERALL. SOME AREAS REPORTED A DECLINE
  IN CATTLE BODY CONDITION SCORES.

* STOCK TANK WATER LEVELS ALSO DECLINED...AND SUPPLEMENTAL FEEDING
  OF LIVESTOCK CONTINUED. OATS WERE 65 PERCENT HEADED AND IN FAIR
  CONDITION...BUT WINTER WHEAT WAS NOT DOING VERY WELL.

* IN THE EASTERN PART OF THE REGION...SOIL MOISTURE RANGED FROM 50
  PERCENT SHORT TO 100 PERCENT ADEQUATE. FIFTY PERCENT OF
  SORGHUM IN KLEBERG AND KENEDY COUNTIES WAS PLANTED.

* IN JIM WELLS COUNTY...RANGE AND PASTURES SIGNIFICANTLY IMPROVED BUT
  STILL NEEDED SOME SOIL MOISTURE AND WARMTH TO HELP IMPROVE
  FORAGE PRODUCTION. WHEAT GROWTH IN THAT COUNTY ACCELERATED...BUT
  YIELD POTENTIAL REMAINED UNCERTAIN DUE TO THE DRY SPELL EARLIER
  IN THE GROWING PERIOD. ALSO...JIM WELLS COUNTY REPORTED 50
  PERCENT ADEQUATE SOIL MOISTURE...AND KLEBERG AND KENEDY COUNTIES
  REPORTED 100 PERCENT ADEQUATE. COOL TEMPERATURES THROUGHOUT THE
  WEEK HELD BACK SPRING GREENING.

* IN THE WESTERN PART OF THE REGION...VEGETABLE CROPS WERE
  PROGRESSING WELL. SOIL MOISTURE RANGED FROM 50 PERCENT ADEQUATE
  TO 100 PERCENT SHORT. MOST COUNTIES REPORTED RANGELAND TO BE IN
  FAIR CONDITION.

* SOIL MOISTURE WAS SHORT...SUPPLEMENTAL FEEDING OF BEEF CATTLE
  CONTINUED...AND RANGELAND AND PASTURES WERE IN GOOD CONDITION.

* LIVE OAK COUNTY REPORTED 90 PERCENT OF WINTER WHEAT CROPS BEING
  IN GOOD CONDITION.

* LIVESTOCK PRODUCERS IN WEBB COUNTY CONTINUED CULLING CATTLE
  LIGHTLY TO ALLOW TIME FOR FORAGE RECOVERY.


FIRE DANGER HAZARDS.
ACCORDING TO THE 5 DAY AVERAGE FIRE DANGER MAP FROM THE TEXAS
INTER-AGENCY COORDINATION CENTER (TICC) ON MARCH 26...THERE IS A
LOW TO MODERATE FIRE DANGER OVER THE HSA...WITH THE MODERATE FIRE
DANGER NEAR AND NORTH OF A LINE FROM THE COLUMBIA BRIDGE...TO
SEVEN SISTERS...TO ORANGE GROVE...TO MATHIS...TO SKIDMORE...TO
CHARCO. THE FIRE DANGER HAS BEEN HIGH A FEW TIMES DURING THE PAST
TWO WEEKS...AS LOW HUMIDITY AND HIGHER WINDS HAVE ELEVATED THE
DANGER. WITH SPRING HERE...OCCASIONAL ELEVATED TO CRITICAL FIRE
WEATHER CONDITIONS CAN BE EXPECTED AS MORE PACIFIC FRONTS MOVE
THROUGH SOUTH TEXAS...BRINGING LOW HUMIDITY AND HIGH WINDS.

WIDESPREAD (ALBEIT LIGHT TO MODERATE) RAINFALL HAS HELPED TO
KEEP COUNTY AVERAGED KEETCH-BYRAM DROUGHT INDICES (KBDI) LOW TO
MODERATE OVER SOUTH TEXAS. OVERALL...THERE HAS BEEN LITTLE CHANGE
TO THE KBDI VALUES IN THE PAST TWO WEEKS...WITH VICTORIA AND
GOLIAD COUNTIES THE ONLY LOCATIONS WITH COUNTY-AVERAGED VALUES 400
OR HIGHER. AS OF MARCH 27...THE FOLLOWING KBDI AVERAGES WERE
OBSERVED:

 0 TO 200:  NONE.

200 TO 300: WEBB...LA SALLE...DUVAL...KLEBERG...NUECES...
            JIM WELLS...SAN PATRICIO...AND CALHOUN COUNTIES.

300 TO 400: MCMULLEN...LIVE OAK...BEE...REFUGIO...AND ARANSAS
            COUNTIES.

400 TO 500: GOLIAD AND VICTORIA COUNTIES.

500 TO 600: NONE.

600 TO 700: NONE.

700 TO 800: NONE.


RIVER AND HYDROLOGIC CONDITIONS.
DURING THE PAST TWO WEEKS...THERE HAS BEEN LITTLE CHANGE IN
STREAMFLOW CONDITIONS OVER SOUTH TEXAS. WITH MOST OF THE RECENT
PRECIPITATION BEING LIGHT TO MODERATE...AND WITH ADEQUATE SOIL
MOISTURE DEFICITS REMAINING IN THE MAIN RIVER AND CREEK BASINS...
MOST OF THE RAINFALL EASILY PERCOLATED INTO THE SOILS. ACCORDING
TO THE TEXAS STREAM-FLOW MAP ON MARCH 26 2014...NEARLY ALL RIVER
AND CREEKS IN THE HSA ARE RUNNING BELOW TO WELL BELOW NORMAL. THE
ONLY EXCEPTIONS TO THIS ARE THE NUECES RIVER ABOVE LAKE CORPUS
CHRISTI...AND THE ARANSAS RIVER AT SKIDMORE. FLOWS ON THE RIO
GRANDE ARE ALSO RUNNING BELOW NORMAL...WITH RECENT STAGE LEVELS AT
LAREDO BELOW 2 FEET (0.61 METERS).

SINCE MARCH 15...FLOWS ON THE GUADALUPE RIVER AT VICTORIA HAVE
NORMALLY BEEN BETWEEN 5 FEET (296 CFS) AND 6 FEET (536 CFS). AS
LONG AS FLOWS REMAIN ABOVE 150 CFS (ABOUT 4.2 FEET)...THE CITY OF
VICTORIA CAN CONTINUE TO OBTAIN ITS WATER FROM THE RIVER.

SINCE SOIL MOISTURE WAS BELOW NORMAL OVER THE HSA...RECENT
WIDESPREAD RAINFALL DID LITTLE TO INCREASE RESERVOIR LEVELS OVER
THE HSA. IN FACT...RESERVOIR LEVELS FELL DURING THE PAST TWO
WEEKS...AS WATER USAGE INCREASED WITH THE ONSET OF SPRING. AS OF
MARCH 27 2014...THE LEVEL AT CHOKE CANYON DAM WAS AT 196.7 FEET
(32.9 PERCENT CAPACITY)...WITH LAKE CORPUS CHRISTI AT 91.7 FEET
(84.1 PERCENT CAPACITY). THE COMBINED SYSTEM CAPACITY FOR THE
CORPUS CHRISTI WATER SUPPLY WAS AT 46.7 PERCENT...WHICH IS 0.7
PERCENTAGE POINTS LOWER THAN ON MARCH 13. HOWEVER...LAKE TEXANA
ROSE 0.3 FEET TO 41.5 FEET (86.1 PERCENT CAPACITY). COLETO CREEK
FELL ONLY 0.03 FEET...WITH THE CURRENT LEVEL AT 94.11 FEET.
CANYON DAM FELL 0.20 FEET DURING THE LAST TWO WEEKS...WITH THE
CURRENT LEVEL AT 900.60 FEET (83 PERCENT CAPACITY). FINALLY...LAKE
AMISTAD FELL 0.09 FEET SINCE MARCH 13... WITH THE CURRENT LEVEL AT
1081.82 FEET (45 PERCENT CAPACITY).


CLIMATE SUMMARY...
AFTER A FEW MONTHS OF BELOW NORMAL RAINFALL OVER MUCH OF SOUTH
TEXAS...IT APPEARS THAT MOST OF THE HSA WILL FINALLY SEE NEAR TO
ABOVE NORMAL PRECIPITATION DURING MARCH. SO FAR IN MARCH...THE
AREAS RECEIVING THE MOST ABOVE NORMAL RAINFALL (200 TO MORE THAN
400 PERCENT OF NORMAL MONTHLY RAINFALL) WERE THE SOUTHERN PORTIONS
OF THE HYDROLOGIC SERVICE AREA (HSA)...INCLUDING THE RIO GRANDE
PLAINS...SOUTHERN BRUSH COUNTRY AND WESTERN PORTIONS OF THE
COASTAL BEND. FARTHER NORTH...RAINFALL SO FAR IN MARCH TRENDED
TOWARD NORMAL VALUES. HOWEVER...PORTIONS OF THE EXTREME NORTHERN
BRUSH COUNTRY HAD BELOW NORMAL RAINFALL SO FAR IN MARCH.

THE FOLLOWING TABLE SHOWS THE TOTAL MONTHLY RAINFALL AMOUNTS
THROUGH MARCH 26...IN 2014...AND FOR THE 2014 WATER YEAR WHICH
BEGAN OCTOBER 1 2013. ALL VALUES ARE IN INCHES...RAINFALL DEFICITS
ARE SHOWN IN PARENTHESIS (A "+" INDICATES A SURPLUS):

                                                  2014 WATER YEAR
                     MARCH 26          2014          10/1/2013 -
                                                     03/26/2014

CORPUS CHRISTI     1.64 (+0.01)     2.55  (2.55)    7.25  (3.86)

VICTORIA           1.61  (0.70)     3.27  (3.64)    8.33  (8.14)

LAREDO AIRPORT     1.04 (+0.05)     1.25  (1.58)    5.70  (0.45)

FOR THE THREE CLIMATE STATIONS...THE 2014 PERCENTAGE OF NORMAL
RAINFALL THROUGH MARCH 26 WAS: 50.0 PERCENT AT CORPUS CHRISTI...
47.3 PERCENT AT VICTORIA...AND 44.2 PERCENT AT LAREDO.

THE 2014 WATER YEAR PERCENTAGES THROUGH MARCH 26 2014 ARE: 65.3
PERCENT AT CORPUS CHRISTI...50.6 PERCENT AT VICTORIA...AND 92.3
PERCENT AT LAREDO.

WHILE MARCH STARTED OUT MUCH COLDER THAN NORMAL...TEMPERATURES
DURING THE LATTER PART OF THE MONTH HAVE WARMED TO INCREASE
AVERAGE MONTHLY TEMPERATURES. STILL...AVERAGE TEMPERATURES REMAIN
BELOW NORMAL OVER THE HSA. AS OF MARCH 26...TEMPERATURES WERE 4.8
DEGREES BELOW NORMAL AT LAREDO...4.8 DEGREES BELOW NORMAL AT
VICTORIA...AND 4.3 DEGREES BELOW NORMAL AT CORPUS CHRISTI.
HOWEVER...SINCE AVERAGE TEMPERATURES ARE EXPECTED TO BE ABOVE
NORMAL FOR THE REMAINDER OF THE MONTH...TEMPERATURE DEPARTURES
WILL CONTINUE TO APPROACH MORE NORMAL VALUES.

THE CHANCES FOR EL-NINO TO DEVELOP LATER THIS YEAR CONTINUE TO BECOME
MORE AND MORE LIKELY. AN EL-NINO WATCH CONTINUES. THE CLIMATE
PREDICTION CENTER (CPC) PREDICTS THAT THERE IS ABOUT A 50 PERCENT
CHANCE OF EL-NINO DEVELOPING DURING THE UPCOMING SUMMER OR FALL.

ACCORDING TO THE CPC...EL-NINO/SOUTHERN OSCILLATION (ENSO) NEUTRAL
CONDITIONS CONTINUE OVER THE EQUATORIAL PACIFIC. DURING THE PAST
WEEK...EQUATORIAL SEA SURFACE TEMPERATURES (SST) WERE NEAR TO
ABOVE AVERAGE OVER THE ENTIRE EQUATORIAL PACIFIC OCEAN. DURING THE
PAST FOUR WEEKS...EQUATORIAL SST WERE ABOVE AVERAGE NEAR THE
INTERNATIONAL DATE LINE AND NEAR TO BELOW AVERAGE OVER MOST OF THE
EASTERN PACIFIC. THUS...SST ANOMALIES OVER THE EQUATORIAL PACIFIC
WERE BECOMING MORE POSITIVE IN THE LAST MONTH...AND HAVE STRONGLY
INCREASED SINCE 2014.

THE OCEANIC NINO INDEX (ONI) IS BASED ON SST DEPARTURES FROM
AVERAGES IN THE NINO 3.4 REGION...AND IS THE PRINCIPAL MEASURE
FOR MONITORING...ASSESSING AND PREDICTING ENSO. THE MOST RECENT
ONI VALUE (DECEMBER 2013-FEBRUARY 2014) IS -0.7 DEGREES CELSIUS.
WHILE THIS IS A TREND IN THE WRONG DIRECTION FOR EL-NINO...IT IS
EXPECTED THAT THE DOWN-WELLING PHASE OF THE KELVIN WAVE WILL SHIFT
THIS MORE NEGATIVE TREND.

ENSO NEUTRAL CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED TO CONTINUE THROUGH THE
NORTHERN HEMISPHERIC SPRING 2014...WITH THE POSSIBLE ONSET OF AN
EL-NINO SOMETIME IN THE SUMMER OR FALL. PROBABILISTIC ENSO
OUTLOOKS HAVE NOT CHANGED SINCE EARLY MARCH...AND SHOW A GREATER
LIKELIHOOD FOR EL-NINO TO OCCUR. FOR THE FORECAST DURING THE
OCTOBER-NOVEMBER-DECEMBER INTERVAL...THERE IS ABOUT A 52 PERCENT
PROBABILITY FOR EL-NINO CONDITIONS...A 41 PERCENT PROBABILITY FOR
ENSO NEUTRAL CONDITIONS...AND ONLY ABOUT A 7 PERCENT CHANCE FOR LA
NINA CONDITIONS TO DEVELOP.


PRECIPITATION/TEMPERATURE OUTLOOKS...
THE RAINFALL FORECAST FOR THE NEXT SEVEN DAYS (MARCH 28 THROUGH
APRIL 3) IS AS FOLLOWS. THERE IS A SLIGHT CHANCE FOR PRECIPITATION
ON FRIDAY...AS A DRYLINE AND COLD FRONT APPROACH THE AREA. AVERAGE
AREAL RAINFALL AMOUNTS WILL BE LESS THAN 1/4 INCH...ALTHOUGH AN
ISOLATED THUNDERSTORM COULD PRODUCE AMOUNTS IN EXCESS OF 1 INCH.
NO SIGNIFICANT RAINFALL IS EXPECTED FRIDAY NIGHT THROUGH MONDAY
NIGHT. SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS ARE POSSIBLE TUESDAY THROUGH
THURSDAY...WITH THE BEST CHANCE FOR PRECIPITATION WEDNESDAY WITH
THE APPROACH OF AN UPPER LEVEL STORM SYSTEM. ONCE AGAIN AVERAGE
AREAL RAINFALL AMOUNTS WILL BE LESS THAN 1/4 INCH...WITH ISOLATED
LOCALLY HIGHER AMOUNTS.

THE TEMPERATURE OUTLOOK FOR MARCH 28 THROUGH APRIL 3 IS AS
FOLLOWS. TEMPERATURES ARE EXPECTED RISE TO ABOVE NORMAL VALUES ON
FRIDAY...BEFORE A COLD FRONT BRINGS MORE SEASONABLE VALUES TO THE
REGION ON SATURDAY AND SUNDAY. TEMPERATURES WILL RISE TO ABOVE
NORMAL VALUES MONDAY THROUGH THURSDAY.

THE 8 TO 14 DAY OUTLOOK...VALID FOR THE PERIOD APRIL 4 THROUGH
APRIL 10...CALLS FOR A GREATER PROBABILITY FOR BELOW NORMAL
TEMPERATURES AND NEAR NORMAL RAINFALL.

THE APRIL 2014 TEMPERATURE AND RAINFALL OUTLOOKS...ISSUED ON
MARCH 20...SHOW SOUTH TEXAS WITH A GREATER PROBABILITY FOR ABOVE
NORMAL TEMPERATURES AND AN EQUAL CHANCE FOR NEAR/ABOVE/BELOW
NORMAL PRECIPITATION.

THE THREE MONTH PRECIPITATION AND TEMPERATURE OUTLOOKS FOR THE
PERIOD APRIL THROUGH JUNE 2014 HAVE THE FOLLOWING PREDICTIONS.
ISSUED ON MARCH 20...THERE IS A GREATER PROBABILITY FOR ABOVE
NORMAL TEMPERATURES...AND AN EQUAL CHANCE FOR NEAR/ABOVE/BELOW
NORMAL PRECIPITATION OVER ALL OF SOUTH TEXAS.

THE MONTHLY DROUGHT OUTLOOK FOR APRIL HAS YET TO BE ISSUED.

THE SEASONAL DROUGHT OUTLOOK...ISSUED ON MARCH 20 AND VALID THROUGH
THE END OF JUNE...SHOWS DROUGHT CONDITIONS PERSISTING...BUT
IMPROVING OVER THE DROUGHT-STRICKEN AREAS. ALSO...THE DROUGHT IS
NOT EXPECTED TO DEVELOP OVER ANY OTHER AREAS OVER SOUTH TEXAS
(WHICH IS A CHANGE FROM THE PREVIOUS SEASONAL DROUGHT OUTLOOK).

FINALLY...THE LAGGED SOIL MOISTURE OUTLOOK HAS NOT CHANGED SINCE
THE PREVIOUS DROUGHT STATEMENT. THE SOIL MOISTURE OUTLOOK VALID
THROUGH THE END OF JUNE 2014 CALLS FOR SLIGHTLY BELOW NORMAL SOIL
CONDITIONS OVER THE SOUTHERN RIO GRANDE PLAINS (NEAR LAREDO)...
WITH INCREASING SOIL MOISTURE DEFICITS FARTHER NORTH AND EAST. THE
GREATEST DEFICITS ARE FORECAST OVER THE NORTHEASTERN COASTAL BEND
AND VICTORIA AREA (-100 MM TO -120 MM).

IF EL-NINO CONDITIONS DEVELOP IN THE SUMMER OR EARLY FALL...THIS
WOULD LIKELY CURTAIL ORGANIZED TROPICAL ACTIVITY IN THE ATLANTIC
BASIN (WHICH COULD MEAN BELOW NORMAL RAINFALL FOR SOUTH TEXAS).
HOWEVER...SHOULD EL-NINO DEVELOP LATER IN THE FALL...THEN THERE IS
A GREATER CHANCE FOR ABOVE NORMAL RAINFALL DURING THE COOL SEASON.
ALTHOUGH THIS ABOVE NORMAL RAINFALL WOULD BE TOO LATE FOR FARMERS
THIS YEAR...IT WOULD HELP TO REPLENISH SOIL MOISTURE FOR THE 2015
GROWING SEASON.

FINALLY...IT SHOULD BE REMEMBERED THAT AN EL-NINO WATCH DOES NOT
MEAN THAT AN EL-NINO EVENT IS INEVITABLE. RECALL THAT IN 2012 AN
EL-NINO WATCH WAS ISSUED...BUT EL-NINO CONDITIONS NEVER FULLY
DEVELOPED. THUS...RESIDENTS IN SOUTH TEXAS SHOULD CONTINUE TO
CONSERVE THEIR WATER RESOURCES IN CASE ANOTHER PROSPECT FOR EL-
NINO GOES AWRY.


NEXT ISSUANCE DATE...
THE NEXT DROUGHT INFORMATION STATEMENT WILL BE ISSUED ON OR
SHORTLY AFTER APRIL 10 2014.

RELATED WEB SITES...
NWS CORPUS CHRISTI DROUGHT PAGE:
HTTP://WWW.SRH.NOAA.GOV/CRP/DROUGHT.HTML

ADVANCED HYDROLOGIC PREDICTION SERVICE (AHPS)...
HTTP://WATER.WEATHER.GOV/PRECIP

U.S. DROUGHT MONITOR (INCLUDES DROUGHT AND SOIL MOISTURE
OUTLOOKS... DROUGHT ARCHIVES AND TEMPERATURE/RAINFALL OUTLOOKS)...
HTTP://DROUGHT.UNL.EDU/MONITOR.HTML

U.S. DROUGHT MONITOR (INCLUDES ONLY TEXAS)...
HTTP://DROUGHT.UNL.EDU/DM_STATE.HTM?TX,S

U.S. DROUGHT PORTAL...
HTTP://WWW.DROUGHT.GOV

TEXAS DROUGHT MONITORING SITE...
HTTP://WWW.TXWIN.NET/MONITORING/METEOROLOGICAL/DROUGHT/INDICES.HTM

NOAA DROUGHT PAGE...
HTTP://WWW.DROUGHT.NOAA.GOV

DROUGHT IMPACT REPORTER...
HTTP://DROUGHTREPORTER.UNL.EDU/

TEXAS WATER DEVELOPMENT BOARD DROUGHT WEBSITE
HTTP://WWW.WATERDATAFORTEXAS.ORG/DROUGHT/

VEGETATION DROUGHT RESPONSE INDEX
HTTP://DROUGHT.UNL.EDU.VEGDRI/VEGDRI_MAIN.HTM?EV

CLIMATE PREDICTION CENTER...
HTTP://WWW.CPC.NCEP.NOAA.GOV

WEATHER PREDICTION CENTER...
HTTP://WWW.HPC.NCEP.NOAA.GOV

STANDARDIZED PRECIPITATION INDEX (SPI)...
HTTP://WWW.WRCC.DRI.EDU/SPI/SPI.HTML

AGNEWS: TEXAS A & M AGRICULTURAL PROGRAM (CROP AND WEATHER REPORT)...
HTTP://TODAY.AGRILIFE.ORG

TEXAS INTERAGENCY COORDINATION CENTER (TICC)...
HTTP://WWW.TAMU.EDU/TICC/

TEXAS BURN BANS...HTTP://TFSFRP.TAMU.EDU/WILDFIRES/DECBAN.PNG

TEXAS KBDI...HTTP://WEBGIS.TAMU.EDU/TFS/KBDI_DAILY/KBDICOUNTY.PNG

TEXAS COMMISSION ON ENVIRONMENTAL QUALITY (WATER RESTRICTIONS):
WWW.TCEQ.TEXAS.GOV/DRINKINATER/TROT/LOCATION.HTML

CORPUS CHRISTI WATER DEPARTMENT...
WWW.CCTEXAS.COM/GOVERNMENT/WATER

CORPUS CHRISTI WATER CONSERVATION
WWW.CCTEXAS.COM/ASSETS/DEPARTMENTS/WATER/FILES/WATERCONSERVATIONPLAN.PDF

VICTORIA WATER CONSERVATION:
WWW.VICTORIATX.ORG/PIO/PDFS/WATERSAVINGMETHODS.PDF

LAREDO WATER RESTRICTIONS AND CONSERVATION...
WWW.CI.LAREDO.TX.US/UTILITIES05/ORDINANCE/2009_ORDINANCE.PDF

CITY OF VICTORIA WEB SITE...WWW.VICTORIATX.ORG

CITY OF LAREDO WEB SITE...WWW.CI.LAREDO.TX.US

CITY OF PORTLAND WEB SITE...WWW.PORTLANDTX.COM

ADDITIONAL RIVER INFORMATION...
NWS...HTTP://WWW.WEATHER.GOV/AHPS/
USGS...HTTP://WATER.USGS.GOV/
IBWC...HTTP://IBWC.STATE.GOV/

ACKNOWLEDGMENTS...
THE DROUGHT MONITOR IS A MULTI-AGENCY EFFORT INVOLVING THE NATIONAL
WEATHER SERVICE AND NATIONAL CLIMATIC DATA CENTER...THE USDA...STATE
AND REGIONAL CENTER CLIMATOLOGISTS AND THE NATIONAL DROUGHT
MITIGATION CENTER. INFORMATION FOR THIS STATEMENT HAS BEEN GATHERED
FROM NWS AND FAA OBSERVATION SITES...STATE COOPERATIVE EXTENSION
SERVICES...THE USDA...USACE AND USGS.

QUESTIONS OR COMMENTS...
IF YOU HAVE ANY QUESTIONS OR COMMENTS ABOUT THIS DROUGHT INFORMATION
STATEMENT...PLEASE CONTACT...
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE
426 PINSON DRIVE
CORPUS CHRISTI TX 78406
PHONE: 361-289-0959 SR-
CRP.WEBMASTER@NOAA.GOV


$$

GW




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