Drought Information Statement
Issued by NWS Corpus Christi, TX

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DROUGHT INFORMATION STATEMENT...CORRECTED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CORPUS CHRISTI TX
914 AM CDT FRI AUG 19 2016

...DROUGHT CONDITIONS RETURN TO PORTIONS OF SOUTH TEXAS INCLUDING
THE CITY OF CORPUS CHRISTI...

...DROUGHT CONDITIONS MAY SPREAD AND INTENSIFY OVER SOUTH
TEXAS BY THE EARLY PART OF 2017...

...A LA NINA WATCH IS IN EFFECT...

.SYNOPSIS...
EL NINO OVER THE EQUATORIAL PACIFIC OCEAN BROUGHT ABOVE NORMAL
RAINFALL OVER ESSENTIALLY ALL OF SOUTH TEXAS DURING ITS PRESENCE
FROM EARLY 2015 THROUGH THE FIRST PART OF 2016. SINCE THE END OF
JUNE 2016...MUCH WARMER AND DRIER WEATHER MOVED INTO THE
REGION...AS EL-NINO ENDED AND MORE NEUTRAL CONDITIONS DEVELOPED
INTO THE EQUATORIAL PACIFIC OCEAN. IN FACT...SEA SURFACE
TEMPERATURES HAVE STARTED TO BECOME BELOW NORMAL OVER PORTIONS OF
THE EQUATORIAL PACIFIC...SUGGESTING THAT A LA NINA EPISODE MAY
DEVELOP LATER THIS YEAR. AS A RESULT...THE CLIMATE PREDICTION
CENTER (CPC) HAS ISSUED A LA NINA WATCH.

ALTHOUGH ABOVE NORMAL RAINFALL OCCURRED DURING THE EL-NINO
EPISODE...BY FEBRUARY 2016 MANY LOCATIONS IN SOUTH TEXAS BEGAN TO
EXPERIENCE BELOW NORMAL RAINFALL FOR CERTAIN MONTHS. PORTIONS OF
THE SOUTHERN COASTAL COUNTIES OF SOUTH TEXAS HAVE RECEIVED BELOW
NORMAL RAINFALL SO FAR THIS YEAR. OTHER PORTIONS OF SOUTH TEXAS
ARE RAPIDLY TRANSITIONING FROM ABOVE NORMAL RAINFALL FOR 2016 TO
BELOW NORMAL RAINFALL.

FORTUNATELY...SOME BENEFICIAL RAINFALL HAS OCCURRED OVER THE PAST
FEW DAYS...SOME OF WHICH HAS HELPED TO ALLEVIATE SOME OF THE
RAINFALL DEFICITS OBSERVED OVER THE PAST SEVERAL WEEKS.
HOWEVER...SOME AREAS STILL HAVE NOT RECEIVED ADEQUATE RAINFALL.
AS A RESULT...DROUGHT CONDITIONS HAVE RETURNED TO SOUTH TEXAS.

ACCORDING TO THE DROUGHT MONITOR PRODUCT...VALID ON AUGUST 16
2016...

*** PLEASE NOTE: SOME OF THE ACCUMULATED RAINFALL SINCE 7 AM
 AUGUST 16 IS NOT ACCOUNTED FOR IN THIS CURRENT DROUGHT MONITOR
 PRODUCT ***

SEVERE DROUGHT CONDITIONS EXIST OVER THE CENTRAL PORTIONS OF
NUECES COUNTY...AND NORTHEASTERN-MOST KLEBERG COUNTY. MOST OF
CORPUS CHRISTI REMAINS OUT OF SEVERE DROUGHT...EXCEPT FOR THE
WESTERN-MOST PORTIONS OF THE CITY.

OUTSIDE THE SEVERE DROUGHT AREA...MODERATE DROUGHT CONDITIONS
EXIST OVER MUCH OF THE REMAINDER OF THE EASTERN HALF OF NUECES
COUNTY...THE EASTERN THIRD OF KLEBERG COUNTY...AND MUCH OF CENTRAL
SAN PATRICIO COUNTY. THE REMAINDER OF CORPUS CHRISTI IS WITHIN
THIS MODERATE DROUGHT AREA. A SMALL PORTION OF SOUTHERN LIVE OAK
AND SOUTHWESTERN REFUGIO COUNTY ARE ALSO IN MODERATE DROUGHT.

OUTSIDE THE DROUGHT AREAS...ABNORMALLY DRY CONDITIONS EXIST OVER
MUCH OF THE REMAINDER OF KLEBERG COUNTY (INCLUDING
KINGSVILLE)...ALL BUT EXTREME WESTERN NUECES COUNTY...ALL BUT
WESTERN-MOST SAN PATRICIO COUNTY...ESSENTIALLY ALL OF ARANSAS AND
REFUGIO COUNTIES...SOUTHERN PORTIONS OF BEE COUNTY...EASTERN
PORTIONS OF GOLIAD COUNTY...AND WESTERN PORTIONS OF VICTORIA
COUNTY (INCLUDING THE CITY OF VICTORIA).

ABNORMALLY DRY CONDITIONS ALSO ARE OBSERVED OVER A SMALL PORTION
OF EASTERN JIM WELLS COUNTY...SOUTHERN DUVAL COUNTY...AND
SOUTHEASTERN-MOST WEBB COUNTY.

FOR THE CURRENT DROUGHT MONITOR PRODUCT SHOWING DROUGHT
CONDITIONS OVER TEXAS...GO TO THE CORPUS CHRISTI DROUGHT SITE
(LOWER CASE):

HTTP://WWW.SRH.NOAA.GOV/CRP/?N=DROUGHT

SUMMARY OF IMPACTS...

STATE AND LOCAL ACTIONS.
ACCORDING TO THE TEXAS FOREST SERVICE BURN BAN MAP OF AUGUST
18...THE FOLLOWING COUNTIES HAVE BURN BANS IN EFFECT...

WEBB...DUVAL...KLEBERG...NUECES...SAN PATRICIO.

RESIDENTS PLANNING ON BURNING SHOULD STILL CONTACT COUNTY
OFFICIALS TO ENSURE THAT BURNING IS ALLOWED...AND ALSO TO SEE IF
ANY RESTRICTIONS ON HOW AND WHEN TO BURN ARE IN EFFECT. IF BURNING
IS ALLOWED...BE SURE IT IS NOT DONE DURING WINDY DAYS WITH LOW
HUMIDITY...AS THIS COULD RESULT IN A FIRE WHICH COULD EASILY GET
OUT OF CONTROL.

WITH AMISTAD LAKE WELL ABOVE 50 PERCENT CAPACITY...THERE ARE NO
MANDATORY WATER RESTRICTIONS FOR THE CITY OF LAREDO. HOWEVER...
RESIDENTS IN LAREDO ARE ASKED TO VOLUNTARILY CONSERVE WATER.

THE RESIDENTS OF THE CITY OF VICTORIA ARE ASKED TO VOLUNTARILY
CONSERVE WATER. NO RESTRICTIONS ARE IN EFFECT IN VICTORIA...AS
CANYON DAM IS NEAR CAPACITY AND FLOWS ON THE GUADALUPE RIVER ARE
ADEQUATE.

THE CITY OF CORPUS CHRISTI CURRENTLY HAS CITY-WIDE VOLUNTARY
WATER CONSERVATION EFFORTS IN PLACE. RESIDENTS ARE ASKED TO WATER
ONLY ONCE A WEEK ON ANY DAY THEY PREFER...AS LONG AS IT IS BETWEEN
THE HOURS OF 6 PM AND 10 AM.

MORE INFORMATION CONCERNING ALL STAGES OF WATER RESTRICTIONS (AND
REQUESTS FOR EXEMPTIONS AND VARIANCES) CAN BE FOUND AT:
WWW.CCTEXAS.COM/GOVERNMENT/WATER.

FOR INFORMATION ON ANY RESTRICTIONS AT PORTLAND AND INGLESIDE...
PLEASE VISIT:

HTTP://PORTLANDTX.COM
HTTP://INGLESIDETX.GOV

TO CONSERVE WATER...WATERING SHOULD BE DONE ONLY TO KEEP SOIL
MOISTURE INTACT. ALSO...ONLY WATER IF RAINFALL HAS NOT BEEN
RECEIVED FOR A COUPLE OF WEEKS. ALSO...USE A SPRINKLER WHICH MAKES
LARGER WATER DROPLETS...AND AVOID WATERING ON WINDY DAYS.
FINALLY...TURN SOAKER HOSES SO THAT THE HOLES ARE ON THE
BOTTOM...FACING THE GRASS.

FOR RESIDENTS WITH SPRINKLERS...TURN OFF YOUR SPRINKLER SYSTEM
WHEN RAINFALL HAS BEEN SUFFICIENT TO AVOID WATERING WHEN IT IS NOT
NEEDED. RESIDENTS WITH SPRINKLER SYSTEMS SHOULD ALSO MONITOR THEIR
WATERING TO ENSURE THEIR SYSTEM IS WATERING THE LAWN AND NOT THE
SIDEWALK OR STREET.

RESIDENTS SHOULD REMAIN INFORMED ON ANY WATER RESTRICTIONS WHICH
MAY BE IMPOSED FOR THEIR LOCATION...AS ANY VIOLATIONS CAN RESULT
IN SIGNIFICANT FINES. MORE INFORMATION ON HOW TO CONSERVE WATER
(AND DROUGHT CONTINGENCY PLANS) IS FOUND ON THE CITY WEBSITES
AT THE END OF THIS STATEMENT.

ADDITIONAL LOCATIONS WITHIN THE HYDROLOGIC SERVICE AREA (HSA) WITH
MANDATORY OR VOLUNTARY RESTRICTIONS ON THEIR PUBLIC WATER SYSTEMS
CAN BE FOUND AT:

WWW.TCEQ.TEXAS.GOV/DRINKINGWATER/TROT/LOCATION.HTML

RESIDENTS CAN ALSO CHECK WITH THEIR LOCAL OFFICIALS OR MEDIA
OUTLETS WHETHER WATER RESTRICTIONS FOR THEIR LOCALE HAVE BEEN
ADDED...REMOVED...OR AMENDED.


AGRICULTURAL AND SOIL MOISTURE CONDITIONS.
THE LATEST SOIL MOISTURE ANOMALY MAP SHOWS SLIGHTLY ABOVE NORMAL
VALUES (+20 MM TO +40 MM) OVER THE NORTHERN PORTIONS OF THE HSA
WITH THE REMAINDER OF SOUTH TEXAS WITH NEAR NORMAL SOIL MOISTURE.
SOIL MOISTURE PERCENTILES ARE BETWEEN 30 AND 70 PERCENT OVER ALL
OF SOUTH TEXAS. CROP MOISTURE INDICES (VALID FOR THE WEEK ENDING
AUGUST 13)...SHOW EXCESSIVELY DRY VALUES (-1.0 TO -1.9) OVER THE
COASTAL BEND AREA...WITH NEAR NORMAL VALUES (-0.9 TO +9.9) OVER
THE REMAINDER OF THE REGION.

THE FOLLOWING INFORMATION WAS PROVIDED BY THE TEXAS CROP AND
WEATHER REPORTS WRITTEN DURING AUGUST.

FOR THE COASTAL BEND DISTRICT:

* COTTON YIELDS WERE GOOD WITH MOST PRODUCERS REPORTING AROUND
  TWO BALES PER ACRE. PRODUCERS CONTINUED TO DEFOLIATE COTTON
  FIELDS AND MOST EXPECT HARVEST TO CONTINUE THROUGH AUGUST.
  COTTON FIELDS CONTINUED TO PICK EXTREMELY CLEAN...AND YIELDS
  CONTINUED TO BE ABOVE NORMAL.

* CORN AND SORGHUM WERE ALL OUT OF THE FIELDS...AND NEARLY ALL
  RICE WAS OUT AS WELL. DRY CONDITIONS ALLOWED CORN HARVEST TO
  MOVE ALONG QUICKLY AND SHOULD FINISH SOON. GOOD YIELDS WERE
  REPORTED. SOYBEAN HARVEST WAS ONGOING.

* SOME TILLAGE WAS BEING DONE IN PREPARATION FOR WINTER PASTURE
  PLANTING.

* HAY WAS BEING MADE IN ABUNDANCE. PASTURE AND RANGE
  CONDITIONS CONTINUED TO DRY OUT...BUT THERE WAS AMPLE
  FORAGE...AND LIVESTOCK WERE DOING WELL.

FOR THE WESTERN PORTIONS OF THE HSA:

* HOT...DRY CONDITIONS WERE TAKING A BIG TOLL ON PASTURES AND
  RANGELANDS.

* CORN AND SORGHUM HARVESTS CONTINUED...AND IRRIGATION PIVOTS
  WERE RUNNING. PEANUT CROPS WERE UNDER CONSTANT IRRIGATION.

* RANGE AND PASTURES WERE FAIR TO POOR. CATTLE BODY CONDITION
  SCORES REMAINED GOOD. MOST CATTLE HAVE NOT BEEN FED HAY OR OTHER
  SUPPLEMENTAL FORAGES YET. OFFERINGS AT LOCAL BEEF CATTLE MARKETS
  WERE UP WITH A SLIGHT INCREASE IN PRICES FOR FEEDER CATTLE.
  REPLACEMENT CATTLE WERE REPORTED SLIGHTLY LOWER.

* OVERALL...SOIL MOISTURE CONDITIONS WERE SHORT TO VERY SHORT.
  MOST CORN AND GRAIN SORGHUM HARVEST WAS COMPLETE.

* COTTON WAS MATURING RAPIDLY...AND BOLLS WERE OPENING AT A
  STEADY RATE. IRRIGATION ON COTTON WAS VERY ACTIVE. COTTON
  HARVEST SHOULD BE IN FULL SWING SOON.


FIRE DANGER HAZARDS.
ACCORDING TO THE FIRE DANGER MAP FROM THE TEXAS INTER-AGENCY
COORDINATION CENTER (TICC) ON AUGUST 17...THERE IS LOW FIRE DANGER
OVER ALL OF SOUTH TEXAS. BEFORE THE HEAVY RAINFALL THAT FELL
DURING THE PAST FEW DAYS...THE FIRE DANGER OVER SOUTH TEXAS WAS
HIGH TO VERY HIGH AT TIMES (AS RECENTLY AS AUGUST 11).
HOWEVER...RAINFALL AND COOLER TEMPERATURES HAVE LOWERED THE
DANGER.

KEETCH-BYRAM DROUGHT INDICES (KBDI) WERE MODERATE TO HIGH LAST
WEEK. HOWEVER...SINCE THE RECENT RAINS THEY HAVE DECREASED OVER
MOST COUNTIES...WITH SOME COUNTIES NOW HAVING LOW VALUES. AS OF
AUGUST 17...COUNTY-AVERAGED KBDI VALUES WERE:

700-800: NONE
600-700: NONE
500-600: SAN PATRICIO...ARANSAS
400-500: NUECES...REFUGIO
300-400: VICTORIA...GOLIAD...WEBB...KLEBERG
200-300: CALHOUN...JIM WELLS...LA SALLE...BEE...DUVAL
  0-200: MCMULLEN...LIVE OAK

HOPEFULLY...ADDITIONAL RAINFALL FORECAST OVER THE NEXT SEVERAL
DAYS WILL KEEP THE FIRE DANGER LOW...INCLUDING KBDI VALUES.


CLIMATE SUMMARY...
AFTER A RATHER WET COOL SEASON (OCTOBER 1 2015 THROUGH MARCH 31
2016) OVER MOST OF SOUTH TEXAS...DRIER CONDITIONS RAPIDLY
DEVELOPED OVER PORTIONS OF SOUTH TEXAS. WHILE MAY 2016 SAW ABOVE
NORMAL RAINFALL OVER NEARLY ALL OF THE HSA...RAINFALL DURING APRIL
AND JUNE OF 2016 WAS BELOW TO WELL BELOW NORMAL OVER MUCH OF THE
REGION. JULY 2016 WAS VERY DRY OVER THE EASTERN HALF OF SOUTH
TEXAS...WITH SOME AREAS RECEIVING NO MEASURABLE RAINFALL DURING
THE MONTH (INCLUDING THE CITY OF CORPUS CHRISTI).

THE FOLLOWING TABLE SHOWS THE TOTAL MONTHLY RAINFALL AMOUNTS
THROUGH AUGUST 17...SO FAR IN 2016...AND FOR THE CURRENT WATER
YEAR AS OF OCTOBER 1 2016. ALL VALUES ARE IN INCHES. RAINFALL
DEPARTURES FROM NORMAL ARE SHOWN IN PARENTHESIS:

                                                 2016 WATER YEAR
                    AUGUST 17          2016        10/01/2015 -
                                                   08/17/2016

CORPUS CHRISTI     1.95 (+0.76)    23.12  (+5.51)  29.67 (+4.62)

VICTORIA           3.27 (+1.93)    27.33  (+1.97)  36.21 (+0.66)

LAREDO AIRPORT     1.19 (+0.46)    14.96  (+3.12)  19.88 (+3.76)

FOR THE THREE CLIMATE STATIONS...THE 2016 PERCENTAGE OF NORMAL
RAINFALL ARE: 131.3 PERCENT AT CORPUS CHRISTI...107.8 PERCENT AT
VICTORIA...AND 126.4 PERCENT AT LAREDO.

THE 2016 WATER YEAR PERCENTAGES ARE: 118.4 PERCENT AT CORPUS
CHRISTI...101.9 PERCENT AT VICTORIA...AND 123.3 PERCENT AT
LAREDO.

WITH THE LACK OF RAINFALL OVER SOUTH TEXAS SINCE THE LATTER HALF
OF JUNE...ABOVE NORMAL TEMPERATURES WERE FREQUENTLY OBSERVED. THE
DRIER SOILS HAVE ALLOWED FOR INCREASED DAYTIME HEATING...ALONG
WITH A RELATIVELY PERSISTENT UPPER LEVEL HIGH PRESSURE SYSTEM
MEANDERING OVER THE SOUTHERN UNITED STATES. HOWEVER...RECENT
RAINFALL HAS HELPED TO DECREASE THE ABOVE NORMAL DAYTIME
TEMPERATURES OBSERVED. AS OF AUGUST 17...AVERAGE TEMPERATURES HAVE
BEEN RUNNING ABOUT 1 DEGREE ABOVE NORMAL AT ALL THREE CLIMATE
STATIONS.

A LA NINA WATCH IS IN EFFECT...AS ISSUED BY THE CLIMATE
PREDICTION CENTER. SEA SURFACE TEMPERATURES HAVE BECOME MORE BELOW
NORMAL OVER THE PAST FEW WEEKS. TEMPERATURES IN THE NINO 3.4
REGION ARE NOW 0.5 CELSIUS DEGREES BELOW NORMAL. THE OCEANIC NINO
INDEX (ONI)...VALID FOR THE PERIOD MAY THROUGH JUNE...IS NOW 0.2
CELSIUS DEGREES...WHICH IS SIGNIFICANTLY LOWER THAN THE 2.3
CELSIUS DEGREES OBSERVED DURING THE NOVEMBER-DECEMBER-JANUARY TIME
FRAME A FEW MONTHS AGO.

ACCORDING TO THE CLIMATE PREDICTION CENTER (CPC)...MOST MODELS
INDICATE THAT THE ANOMALIES IN THE NINO 3.4 REGION WILL CONTINUE
TO BECOME MORE NEGATIVE THROUGH THE END OF 2016. CPC FORECASTS
A 55 TO 60 PERCENT CHANCE FOR LA NINA CONDITIONS TO DEVELOP
DURING THE NORTHERN HEMISPHERIC FALL AND WINTER 2016-2017. LA NINA
IS ALSO SLIGHTLY FAVORED TO DEVELOP AS EARLY AS THE AUGUST-OCTOBER
TIME FRAME.

IF LA NINA OCCURS...THEN SOUTH TEXAS WILL LIKELY EXPERIENCE BELOW
NORMAL RAINFALL DURING THE FALL AND WINTER...RESULTING IN DROUGHT
CONDITIONS EXPANDING AND WORSENING OVER THE AREA. ALSO...AN EARLY
LA NINA WILL INCREASE THE CHANCES FOR MORE TROPICAL SYSTEMS IN THE
ATLANTIC BASIN. NOAA HAS RECENTLY UPDATED THEIR TROPICAL
FORECAST...AND INCREASED THE NUMBER OF LIKELY NAMED STORMS THIS
SEASON TO BETWEEN 12 AND 17 NAMED STORMS.


PRECIPITATION/TEMPERATURE OUTLOOKS...
THE RAINFALL FORECAST FOR THE NEXT SEVEN DAYS (AUGUST 19 THROUGH
AUGUST 25) IS AS FOLLOWS. ISOLATED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS
FRIDAY AND SATURDAY WILL INCREASE IN AREAL COVERAGE SUNDAY AND
MONDAY...AS AN UPPER LEVEL TROUGH AND ASSOCIATED COLD FRONT MOVE
INTO TEXAS. RAIN CHANCES WILL BEGIN TO DIMINISH ON TUESDAY...WITH
NO PRECIPITATION EXPECTED BY THURSDAY...AS DRIER AIR MOVE INTO THE
AREA. ALTHOUGH THE HIGHER RAINFALL AMOUNTS WILL BE NORTH OF THE
HSA...AVERAGE RAINFALL AMOUNTS WILL RANGE FROM LESS THAN 1/2 INCH
OVER THE SOUTHEASTERN PORTIONS OF THE HSA TO AROUND 1 INCH OVER
THE NORTHERN PORTIONS OF SOUTH TEXAS.

THE TEMPERATURE FORECAST FOR THE NEXT SEVEN DAYS (AUGUST 19
THROUGH AUGUST 25) IS AS FOLLOWS. DAYTIME TEMPERATURES WILL BE
NEAR TO SLIGHTLY BELOW NORMAL THROUGH THE PERIOD...WITH THE MORE
LIKELY BELOW NORMAL VALUES SUNDAY AND MONDAY WITH THE BETTER
CHANCES FOR PRECIPITATION.

THE 8 TO 14 DAY RAINFALL OUTLOOK (AUGUST 26 THROUGH SEPTEMBER 1)
CALLS FOR NEAR NORMAL RAINFALL OVER SOUTH TEXAS. THE CORRESPONDING
TEMPERATURE OUTLOOK CALLS FOR BELOW NORMAL TEMPERATURES OVER
NEARLY ALL OF THE HSA...EXCEPT FOR NEAR NORMAL READINGS NEAR THE
IMMEDIATE COAST.

THE MONTHLY RAINFALL OUTLOOK FOR SEPTEMBER (ISSUED AUGUST 18)
SHOW EQUAL CHANCES FOR ABOVE/BELOW/NORMAL RAINFALL OVER ALL OF
SOUTH TEXAS.

THE MONTHLY TEMPERATURE OUTLOOK FOR SEPTEMBER (ISSUED AUGUST 18)
SHOW EQUAL CHANCES FOR ABOVE/BELOW/NORMAL TEMPERATURES OVER THE
ENTIRE HSA.

THE THREE MONTH RAINFALL OUTLOOK FOR THE PERIOD SEPTEMBER THROUGH
NOVEMBER 2016 (ISSUED AUGUST 18) SHOWS EQUAL CHANCES FOR
ABOVE/BELOW/NEAR NORMAL PRECIPITATION OVER THE ENTIRE HSA.

THE THREE MONTH TEMPERATURE OUTLOOK FOR THE PERIOD SEPTEMBER
THROUGH NOVEMBER 2016 (ISSUED AUGUST 18) SHOWS A GREATER
LIKELIHOOD FOR ABOVE NORMAL TEMPERATURES OVER THE ENTIRE HSA.

THE AUGUST 2016 DROUGHT OUTLOOK (ISSUED ON JULY 31) SHOWS DROUGHT
CONDITIONS CONTINUING OVER PORTIONS OF SOUTH TEXAS ALREADY IN
DROUGHT...WITH THE DROUGHT SPREADING FARTHER INTO MORE AREAS OF
THE COASTAL BEND.

THE SEASONAL DROUGHT OUTLOOK...VALID THROUGH NOVEMBER 30 2016
(AND ISSUED ON AUGUST 18)...EXPECTS DROUGHT REMOVAL OVER THE
CURRENT DROUGHT AREAS...WITH NO DROUGHT DEVELOPMENT OVER THE
REMAINDER OF THE HSA.

HOWEVER...LONGER-TERM TEMPERATURE AND RAINFALL SEASONAL OUTLOOKS
FOR THE UPCOMING COOL SEASON (OCTOBER - DECEMBER THROUGH JANUARY -
MARCH) INDICATE THAT SOUTH TEXAS WILL LIKELY HAVE ABOVE NORMAL
TEMPERATURES AND BELOW NORMAL RAINFALL. IF THIS HOLDS TRUE THEN
DROUGHT CONDITIONS WILL LIKELY DEVELOP AND SPREAD OVER SOUTH
TEXAS.

THE LAGGED SOIL MOISTURE OUTLOOK VALID THROUGH THE END OF NOVEMBER
2016 CALLS FOR NEAR TO SLIGHTLY BELOW NORMAL SOIL CONDITIONS OVER
THE HSA.


HYDROLOGIC SUMMARY AND OUTLOOK...
DUE TO THE RECENT RAINFALL...RESERVOIR LEVELS HAVE RISEN
SLIGHTLY...BUT OVERALL HAVE FALLEN OVER THE PAST FEW MONTHS.
HOWEVER...RIVER LEVELS HAVE INCREASED...WITH MOST RIVERS AND
CREEKS IN THE HSA NEAR TO ABOVE NORMAL (ACCORDING TO THE MOST
RECENT USGS STREAMFLOW MAP). RIVER LEVELS ON THE RIO GRANDE ARE
NEAR TO SLIGHTLY BELOW NORMAL.

WHILE LAKE CORPUS CHRISTI...LAKE TEXANA...AND CANYON DAM HAD
SUFFICIENT RAINFALL TO SHOW RECHARGES DURING THE PAST EL-NINO
EVENT...THE LACK OF RAINFALL AND CONTINUED INCREASE IN WATER USE
HAS RESULTED IN RESERVOIR LEVELS FALLING MORE RAPIDLY IN RECENT
WEEKS. ALTHOUGH RECENT RAINFALL HAS CURTAILED THIS DECLINING
TREND...IT APPEARS THAT THE RAINS WILL NOT MAKE A SIGNIFICANT
RECHARGE TO CHOKE CANYON DAM AND LAKE CORPUS CHRISTI.
UNFORTUNATELY...CHOKE CANYON DAM DID NOT SHOW A SIGNIFICANT
RECHARGE DURING THE EL-NINO EPISODE...AND REMAINS BELOW 40 PERCENT
CAPACITY.

THE FOLLOWING TABLE SHOWS THE CURRENT RESERVOIR LEVELS (AS OF
AUGUST 18 AND PREVIOUS LEVELS AS OF NOVEMBER 4 2015 (THE DATE OF
THE LAST DROUGHT INFORMATION STATEMENT).

RESERVOIR      NORMAL  CURRENT  PERCENT  PREVIOUS CHANGE
                POOL     POOL  CAPACITY    POOL    (FT)
CHOKE CANYON   220.5    198.2    35.8     197.9    +0.3
LAKE C. C.      94.0     88.4    62.9      91.9    -3.5
LAKE TEXANA     44.0     44.0   100.6      44.3    -0.3
COLETO CREEK    98.0     96.8     N/A      97.1    -0.3
CANYON DAM     909.0    909.7   102.0     912.7    -3.0
LAKE AMISTAD  1117.0   1092.8    59.0    1090.5    +2.3

THE COMBINED SYSTEM CAPACITY FOR THE CORPUS CHRISTI RESERVOIR
SYSTEM AS OF AUGUST 18 IS AT 44.1 PERCENT...WHICH IS 5.7
PERCENTAGE POINTS LOWER THAN IN EARLY NOVEMBER 2015.

WITH BELOW NORMAL RAINFALL EXPECTED OVER THE UPCOMING COOL
SEASON...RESERVOIR LEVELS WILL CONTINUE TO FALL...AND MORE
STRINGENT WATER RESTRICTIONS MAY HAVE TO BE IMPLEMENTED OVER
PORTIONS OF SOUTH TEXAS.

PERHAPS SOUTH TEXAS WILL EXPERIENCE A TROPICAL SYSTEM (NOT
NECESSARILY ORGANIZED) WHICH COULD HELP REPLENISH RESERVOIR
LEVELS. THE PEAK OF THE TROPICAL SEASON IS APPROACHING.
HOWEVER...ONCE THAT PASSES AND THE CONCERN FOR TROPICAL SYSTEMS
WANES...SOUTH TEXAS WILL NEED A STALLED OR SLOW-MOVING COLD FRONT
WITH ABUNDANT MOISTURE TO SHOW A SIGNIFICANT CHANGE IN RIVER AND
RESERVOIR LEVELS.


NEXT ISSUANCE DATE...
THE NEXT DROUGHT INFORMATION STATEMENT WILL BE ISSUED SOMETIME
BEFORE SEPTEMBER 15 2016...UNLESS A SIGNIFICANT CHANGE IN EXPECTED
CONDITIONS DEVELOP OVER SOUTH TEXAS.


RELATED WEB SITES...
NWS CORPUS CHRISTI DROUGHT PAGE:
HTTP://WWW.SRH.NOAA.GOV/CRP/?N=DROUGHT

ADVANCED HYDROLOGIC PREDICTION SERVICE (AHPS)...
HTTP://WATER.WEATHER.GOV/PRECIP

U.S. DROUGHT MONITOR (INCLUDES DROUGHT AND SOIL MOISTURE
OUTLOOKS...DROUGHT ARCHIVES AND TEMPERATURE/RAINFALL OUTLOOKS)...
HTTP://DROUGHT.UNL.EDU/MONITOR.HTML

U.S. DROUGHT MONITOR (INCLUDES ONLY TEXAS)...
HTTP://DROUGHT.UNL.EDU/DM_STATE.HTM?TX,S

U.S. DROUGHT PORTAL...
HTTP://WWW.DROUGHT.GOV

TEXAS DROUGHT MONITORING SITE...
HTTP://WWW.TXWIN.NET/MONITORING/METEOROLOGICAL/DROUGHT/INDICES.HTM

NOAA DROUGHT PAGE...
HTTP://WWW.DROUGHT.NOAA.GOV

DROUGHT IMPACT REPORTER...
HTTP://DROUGHTREPORTER.UNL.EDU/

NATIONAL DROUGHT MITIGATION CENTER...
HTTP://DROUGHT.UNL.EDU

TEXAS WATER DEVELOPMENT BOARD DROUGHT WEBSITE
HTTP://WWW.WATERDATAFORTEXAS.ORG/DROUGHT/

VEGETATION DROUGHT RESPONSE INDEX
HTTP://DROUGHT.UNL.EDU.VEGDRI/VEGDRI_MAIN.HTM?EV

CLIMATE PREDICTION CENTER...
HTTP://WWW.CPC.NCEP.NOAA.GOV

WEATHER PREDICTION CENTER...
HTTP://WWW.HPC.NCEP.NOAA.GOV

STANDARDIZED PRECIPITATION INDEX (SPI)...
HTTP://WWW.WRCC.DRI.EDU/SPI/SPI.HTML

AGNEWS: TEXAS A & M AGRICULTURAL PROGRAM (CROP AND WEATHER REPORT)...
HTTP://TODAY.AGRILIFE.ORG

TEXAS INTERAGENCY COORDINATION CENTER (TICC)...
HTTP://WWW.TAMU.EDU/TICC/

TEXAS BURN BANS...HTTP://TFSFRP.TAMU.EDU/WILDFIRES/DECBAN.PNG

TEXAS KBDI...HTTP://WEBGIS.TAMU.EDU/TFS/KBDI_DAILY/KBDICOUNTY.PNG

TEXAS OBSERVED FIRE DANGER...
HTTP://TWC.TAMU.EDU/TFS/RAWS/RAWSD.PNG

TEXAS FORECAST FIRE DANGER...
HTTP://TWC.TAMU.EDU/TFS/RAWS/RAWSFCST.PNG

TEXAS COMMISSION ON ENVIRONMENTAL QUALITY (WATER RESTRICTIONS):
WWW.TCEQ.TEXAS.GOV/DRINKINATER/TROT/LOCATION.HTML

CORPUS CHRISTI WATER DEPARTMENT...
WWW.CCTEXAS.COM/GOVERNMENT/WATER

CORPUS CHRISTI WATER CONSERVATION
WWW.CCTEXAS.COM/ASSETS/DEPARTMENTS/WATER/FILES/WATERCONSERVATIONPLAN.PDF

VICTORIA WATER CONSERVATION:
WWW.VICTORIATX.ORG/PIO/PDFS/WATERSAVINGMETHODS.PDF

LAREDO WATER RESTRICTIONS AND CONSERVATION...
WWW.CI.LAREDO.TX.US/UTILITIES05/ORDINANCE/2009_ORDINANCE.PDF

CITY OF VICTORIA WEB SITE...WWW.VICTORIATX.ORG

CITY OF LAREDO WEB SITE...WWW.CI.LAREDO.TX.US

CITY OF PORTLAND WEB SITE...WWW.PORTLANDTX.COM

TEXAS CROP AND WEATHER REPORTS...WWW.TODAY.AGRILIFE.ORG

ADDITIONAL RIVER INFORMATION...
NWS...HTTP://WWW.WEATHER.GOV/AHPS/
USGS...HTTP://WATER.USGS.GOV/
IBWC...HTTP://IBWC.STATE.GOV/

ACKNOWLEDGMENTS...
THE DROUGHT MONITOR IS A MULTI-AGENCY EFFORT INVOLVING THE NATIONAL
WEATHER SERVICE AND NATIONAL CLIMATIC DATA CENTER...THE USDA...STATE
AND REGIONAL CENTER CLIMATOLOGISTS AND THE NATIONAL DROUGHT
MITIGATION CENTER. INFORMATION FOR THIS STATEMENT HAS BEEN GATHERED
FROM NWS AND FAA OBSERVATION SITES...STATE COOPERATIVE EXTENSION
SERVICES...THE USDA...USACE AND USGS.

QUESTIONS OR COMMENTS...
IF YOU HAVE ANY QUESTIONS OR COMMENTS ABOUT THIS DROUGHT INFORMATION
STATEMENT...PLEASE CONTACT...
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE
426 PINSON DRIVE
CORPUS CHRISTI TX 78406
PHONE: 361-289-0959
SR-CRP.WEBMASTER@NOAA.GOV

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GW



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