Drought Information Statement
Issued by NWS Corpus Christi, TX

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AXUS74 KCRP 070105
DGTCRP
TXZ229>234-239>247-210115-

DROUGHT INFORMATION STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CORPUS CHRISTI TX
705 PM CST SAT DEC 6 2014

...ABOVE NORMAL RAINFALL BRINGS MINOR IMPROVEMENTS IN DROUGHT
STATUS OVER DROUGHT-STRICKEN AREAS OF SOUTH TEXAS...

...CITY OF VICTORIA TERMINATES IT`S STAGE II DROUGHT CONTINGENCY
PLAN WITH STAGE I RESTRICTIONS NOW IN EFFECT...

...ABOVE NORMAL RAINFALL EXPECTED OVER SOUTH TEXAS FROM DECEMBER 2014
THROUGH FEBRUARY 2015...

.SYNOPSIS...
AFTER A GENERALLY DRY OCTOBER...NOVEMBER 2014 SAW ABOVE NORMAL
RAINFALL OVER THE HYDROLOGIC SERVICE AREA (HSA). ESSENTIALLY ALL
OF SOUTH TEXAS EXPERIENCED ABOVE NORMAL PRECIPITATION DURING THE
MONTH...WITH THE HIGHEST DEPARTURES ABOVE NORMAL (2 TO MORE THAN 4
INCHES ABOVE NORMAL) OCCURRING OVER THE SOUTHERN PORTIONS OF THE
COASTAL BEND...RIO GRANDE PLAINS...AND BRUSH COUNTRY. MOST OF THE
HEAVIER RAINFALL EVENTS WERE DUE TO STRONG UPPER LEVEL FORCING...
ALTHOUGH FRONTAL BOUNDARIES ALSO PLAYED A ROLE IN RAINFALL
GENERATION.

UNFORTUNATELY HOWEVER...THE GREATEST RAINFALL DEPARTURES OCCURRED
OVER THE SOUTHERN PORTIONS OF THE HSA...WHERE DROUGHT CONDITIONS
DO NOT EXIST. FARTHER NORTH...WHERE MODERATE TO SEVERE DROUGHT
CONDITIONS WERE OBSERVED DURING THE BEGINNING OF NOVEMBER...
RAINFALL WAS NOT SUFFICIENT TO MAKE A SIGNIFICANT CHANGE IN THE
DROUGHT STATUS FROM EARLY NOVEMBER.

ALTHOUGH DROUGHT CONDITIONS DID IMPROVE OVER MANY OF THE COASTAL
COUNTIES AND SOUTHERN PORTIONS OF THE VICTORIA CROSSROADS
REGION...MODERATE TO SEVERE DROUGHT CONDITIONS STILL EXIST OVER
PORTIONS OF THE EXTREME NORTHERN COASTAL BEND AND THE VICTORIA
CROSSROADS REGION. SEVERE DROUGHT CONDITIONS STILL EXIST OVER
NORTHERN PORTIONS OF VICTORIA...CALHOUN AND GOLIAD COUNTIES...WITH
MODERATE DROUGHT CONDITIONS OCCURRING AS FAR SOUTH AS NORTHEASTERN
BEE COUNTY AND THE REMAINDER OF VICTORIA...GOLIAD AND CALHOUN
COUNTIES. FOR A MORE PRECISE EVALUATION OF THE CURRENT DROUGHT
MONITOR PRODUCT SHOWING DROUGHT CONDITIONS OVER SOUTH TEXAS (AND
ALL OF TEXAS)...GO TO THE CORPUS CHRISTI DROUGHT SITE (LOWER
CASE):

HTTP://WWW.SRH.NOAA.GOV/CRP/?N=DROUGHT


SUMMARY OF IMPACTS...

STATE AND LOCAL ACTIONS.
ACCORDING TO THE TEXAS FOREST SERVICE BURN BAN MAP OF DECEMBER
5...BEE AND GOLIAD COUNTIES REMAIN IN BURN BANS. NO OTHER COUNTIES
HAVE BURN BANS AT THIS TIME.

RESIDENTS PLANNING ON BURNING SHOULD CONTACT COUNTY OFFICIALS TO
ENSURE THAT BURNING IS ALLOWED...AND ALSO TO SEE IF ANY
RESTRICTIONS ON HOW AND WHEN TO BURN ARE IN EFFECT. IF BURNING IS
ALLOWED...BE SURE IT IS NOT DONE DURING WINDY DAYS WITH LOW
HUMIDITY...AS THIS COULD RESULT IN A FIRE WHICH COULD EASILY GET
OUT OF CONTROL.

WITH THE COMBINED SYSTEM CAPACITY OF THE CORPUS CHRISTI RESERVOIRS
BELOW 40 PERCENT BUT ABOVE 30 PERCENT...THE CITY OF CORPUS CHRISTI
REMAINS UNDER STAGE 2 WATER RESTRICTIONS. THESE RESTRICTIONS
INCLUDE...

* ONE WATERING DAY PER WEEK COINCIDING WITH THE CUSTOMER`S GARBAGE
  PICK UP DAY. RESTRICTIONS FOR CORPUS CHRISTI RESIDENTS
  INCLUDE...

  - WATERING OF LANDSCAPES BY SPRINKLER IRRIGATION IS NOT ALLOWED
    BETWEEN 10 AM AND 6 PM. USE OF HAND-HELD BUCKET OR HOSE...OR
    DRIP IRRIGATION SYSTEM WITH SHUTOFF NOZZLES PERMITTED ANY TIME
    ON ANY DAY.

  - HOME CAR WASHINGS ARE TO BE DONE ONLY BY USE OF HAND-HELD
    BUCKET OR HOSE EQUIPPED WITH SHUTOFF NOZZLE. USE OF COMMERCIAL
    CAR WASHES STILL ALLOWED ANY TIME.

  - FILLING POOLS LIMITED TO DESIGNATED WATERING DAY.

  - MAINTAINING INTEGRITY OF BUILDING FOUNDATION BY USE OF DRIP
    IRRIGATION OR HAND HELD HOSE ONLY.

  - USE OF POTABLE WATER FOR IRRIGATION OF GOLF COURSES IS LIMITED
    TO DESIGNATED WATERING DAY.

RESIDENTS AND BUSINESSES NOT COMPLYING WITH THESE RESTRICTIONS
WILL RECEIVE A FINE UP TO 500 DOLLARS. MORE INFORMATION
CONCERNING WATER RESTRICTIONS (INCLUDING REQUESTS FOR EXEMPTIONS
AND VARIANCES) CAN BE FOUND AT: WWW.CCTEXAS.COM/GOVERNMENT/WATER.

SIMILAR WATER RESTRICTIONS HAVE BEEN INSTITUTED FOR THE CITY OF
PORTLAND THAT ARE IN EFFECT FOR CORPUS CHRISTI.

ADDITIONAL MINOR DIFFERENCES ARE OBSERVED AT PORTLAND AND
INGLESIDE. FOR MORE INFORMATION FOR THESE LOCATIONS...PLEASE
VISIT:

HTTP://PORTLANDTX.COM
HTTP://INGLESIDETX.GOV

AS OF NOVEMBER 20...THE CITY OF VICTORIA HAS DROPPED ITS STAGE II
WATER RESTRICTIONS. VICTORIA IS NOW IN STAGE I WATER RESTRICTIONS...
WHICH ESSENTIALLY CALL FOR RESIDENTS TO VOLUNTARY CONSERVE WATER.
MORE INFORMATION CAN BE FOUND AT WWW.VICTORIATX.ORG.

THE CITY OF LAREDO IS UNDER VOLUNTARY WATER RESTRICTIONS...WHICH
ASK FOR RESIDENTS TO CONSERVE WATER BUT ALLOW WATERING AT ANY
TIME.

OTHER RESIDENTS IN SOUTH TEXAS ARE STRONGLY ENCOURAGED TO
CONTINUE TO CONSERVE WATER. WITH GRASSES ESSENTIALLY
DORMANT...WATERING SHOULD BE DONE ONLY TO KEEP SOIL MOISTURE
INTACT. ALSO...ONLY WATER IF RAINFALL HAS NOT BEEN RECEIVED FOR A
COUPLE OF WEEKS.

ALSO...RESIDENTS WITH SPRINKLER SYSTEMS SHOULD MONITOR THEIR
WATERING TO ENSURE THEIR SYSTEM IS WATERING THE LAWN AND NOT THE
SIDEWALK OR STREET. ALSO...USE A SPRINKLER WHICH MAKES LARGER
WATER DROPLETS...AND AVOID WATERING ON WINDY DAYS. FINALLY...TURN
SOAKER HOSES SO THAT THE HOLES ARE ON THE BOTTOM...FACING THE
GRASS.

RESIDENTS SHOULD REMAIN INFORMED ON ANY WATER RESTRICTIONS WHICH
MAY BE IMPOSED FOR THEIR LOCATION...AS ANY VIOLATIONS CAN RESULT
IN SIGNIFICANT FINES. MORE INFORMATION ON HOW TO CONSERVE WATER
(AND DROUGHT CONTINGENCY PLANS) IS FOUND ON THE CITY WEBSITES
LISTED AT THE END OF THIS STATEMENT.

ADDITIONAL LOCATIONS WITHIN THE HSA HAVE MAINTAINED EITHER
MANDATORY OR VOLUNTARY RESTRICTIONS ON THEIR LOCAL PUBLIC WATER
SYSTEMS (PWS). A LIST OF LOCATIONS WITHIN THE HSA WHICH HAVE
WATER RESTRICTIONS CAN BE FOUND AT:
WWW.TCEQ.TEXAS.GOV/DRINKINATER/TROT/LOCATION.HTML


AGRICULTURAL AND SOIL MOISTURE CONDITIONS.
THE LATEST SOIL MOISTURE ANOMALY MAP VALID ON DECEMBER 5 SHOWS
NEAR NORMAL SOIL MOISTURE (+20 MM TO -20 MM) OVER MOST OF THE
WESTERN AND SOUTHERN PORTIONS OF THE HSA...WITH SLIGHTLY ABOVE
NORMAL SOIL MOISTURE (+20 MM TO +40 MM) OVER THE EXTREME SOUTHERN
HSA. HOWEVER...BELOW NORMAL ANOMALIES WERE OBSERVED OVER THE
NORTHEASTERN PORTIONS OF THE HSA (BEE AND ARANSAS COUNTIES AND
LOCATIONS NORTHWARD AND EASTWARD)...WITH THE GREATEST ANOMALIES
(-60 MM TO -80 MM) OVER PORTIONS OF VICTORIA AND CALHOUN COUNTIES.
SOIL MOISTURE PERCENTILES SHOW NEAR NORMAL VALUES (30 TO 70
PERCENT) OVER NEARLY ALL OF THE HSA...WITH SLIGHTLY DRY VALUES (20
TO 30 PERCENT) OVER EXTREME NORTHERN VICTORIA COUNTY AND SLIGHTLY
ABOVE NORMAL PERCENTILES (70 TO 80 PERCENT) OVER EXTREME SOUTHERN
PORTIONS OF THE HSA. CROP MOISTURE INDICES (VALID FOR THE WEEK
ENDING NOVEMBER 29 2014)...SHOW SLIGHTLY DRY/FAVORABLY MOIST
CONDITIONS (-0.9 TO +0.9) OVER ALL OF THE HSA.

IN A RECENT ARTICLE IN AGRILIFE TODAY...TEXAS FARMERS...RANCHERS
AND GROWERS HAVE A LOT TO BE THANKFUL FOR THIS NOVEMBER...BUT THEY
STILL FACE MANY CHALLENGES...SAID A TEXAS A&M AGRILIFE EXTENSION
SERVICE EXPERT. MUCH OF THE STATE GOT EXCELLENT RAINS (RECENTLY)...
AND IF THEY HAVE WINTER WHEAT OUT OR WINTER PASTURES...THAT
RAINFALL WILL GO A LONG WAY TOWARD TAKING THOSE CROPS THROUGH THE
WINTER...SAID THE EXPERT. THESE RAINS ARE VERY BENEFICIAL IN
RECHARGING MOISTURE IN SOIL PROFILES AND PROVIDING WATER FOR STOCK
TANKS AND OTHER SURFACE WATER SUPPLIES. BUT LOOKING AT THE OVERALL
PICTURE...DESPITE THE RAINFALL...THERE ARE STILL SOME VERY DRY
CONDITIONS OUT THERE...LEADING TO A NUMBER OF ISSUES RELATING TO
CROP AND WATER SUPPLY...THE EXPERT SAID. ONE CHALLENGE FARMERS
MUST CURRENTLY CONTEND WITH IS DEPRESSED PRICES FOR
CROPS...INCLUDING ALL THE FEED GRAINS AND COTTON...HE SAID. THE
OTHER CHALLENGE IS ONE FARMERS AND RANCHERS FACE EVERY YEAR: LOW
WATER SUPPLIES AND DROUGHT...HE SAID. "IRRIGATED AGRICULTURE
DEPENDS LARGELY ON WATER SUPPLIES" THE EXPERT SAID. "WE HAVE TO
LOOK AT NOT ONLY HOW MUCH WE HAVE IN THE SOIL PROFILE...BUT ALSO
OUR SURFACE WATER SUPPLIES...SUCH AS RESERVOIRS...LAKES...RIVERS
AND STOCK PONDS"...THE EXPERT ALSO SAID.

ACCORDING TO ABC NEWS...TURKEY PRODUCTION IN THE U.S. WAS THE
LOWEST IN NEARLY 30 YEARS...AND WHOLESALE PRICES ARE AT RECORD
LEVELS...BUT LIKELY WILL NOT AFFECT TURKEY PRICES TOO MUCH IN THE
GROCERY STORE. THE NATIONAL AGRICULTURAL STATISTICS SERVICE SAID
THE TURKEY STOCK WILL BE 235 MILLION BIRDS...THE FEWEST SINCE 207
MILLION BIRDS WERE PRODUCED IN 1986. HIGH CORN PRICES FROM THE
2012 DROUGHT LED FARMERS TO REDUCE THE NUMBER OF TURKEYS ON
FARMS...AND THE PLENTIFUL CORN FROM THIS YEAR`S HARVEST WILL NOT
LIKELY BE FELT UNTIL NEXT YEAR.

THE TEXAS CROP AND WEATHER REPORTS ACCUMULATED FROM NOVEMBER 11
THROUGH DECEMBER 3 PROVIDED THE FOLLOWING INFORMATION:

FOR THE COASTAL BEND DISTRICT:
* WINTER PASTURES GOT A BOOST FROM THE RAINS...AS DID WHEAT AND
  OATS.

* THE PECAN HARVEST WAS IN FULL SWING...DELAYED EARLIER BY
  THE RAINS.

* MOST FIELD ACTIVITIES WERE ON HOLD DUE TO SLOPPY CONDITIONS.
  SOAKING RAINS RAISED SOIL MOISTURE TO IDEAL LEVELS FOR WINTER
  FORAGE GROWTH AND PERFORMANCE.

* SOME PRODUCERS WERE STILL TRYING TO TAKE ONE LAST HAY
  CUTTING...BUT CONTINUED WET CONDITIONS WERE INTERFERING.

* WINTER PASTURES BENEFITED FROM THE PREVIOUS WEEKS` RAINS...BUT
  THE FOLLOWING TWO STRONG COLD FRONTS SLOWED GROWTH. COLDER
  TEMPERATURES PROMPTED PRODUCERS TO INCREASE CATTLE FEEDING.
  LIVESTOCK REMAINED IN AVERAGE TO FAIR CONDITION. SALE BARN
  PRICES CONTINUE TO BE AT HISTORIC HIGHS.

* PRODUCERS PLANNED TO SOW SPRING WHEAT IN THE NEXT FEW WEEKS.
  MANY GROWERS WERE READYING FIELDS FOR CULTIVATION AND FERTILIZER
  APPLICATION. THE RATOON RICE HARVEST CONTINUED.


FOR THE WESTERN AREAS (CONSIDERED PART OF THE SOUTH DISTRICT):

* MODERATE TO HEAVY RAINFALL AND COOLER TEMPERATURES BENEFITED
  RANGELAND AND PASTURES.

* IN THE NORTHERN PART OF THE REGION...THE RAIN...MOIST AND DAMP
  CONDITIONS SLOWED PEANUT AND HAY HARVESTING IN SOME COUNTIES.
  SOIL MOISTURE WAS GENERALLY ADEQUATE THROUGHOUT THE AREA.
  RANGELAND AND PASTURES REMAINED IN FAIR CONDITION. FORAGE GROWTH
  HALTED DUE TO SHORTER AND COOLER DAYS. SUPPLEMENTAL FEEDING OF
  LIVESTOCK WAS CUT BACK DUE TO GOOD GRAZING.


* MCMULLEN COUNTY RANGELAND AND PASTURES SHOWED GREAT RESPONSE TO
  THE RAIN...BUT THE COOLER WEATHER SLOWED GROWTH. LIVESTOCK
  PRODUCERS WERE ABLE TO REDUCE SUPPLEMENTAL FEEDING. CATTLE BODY
  CONDITIONS SCORES CONTINUED TO IMPROVE AS MOST COWHERDS
  COMPLETED CALF WEANING.

* IN THE EASTERN PART OF THE REGION...PRODUCERS WERE MAKING PLANS
  TO START PLANTING WHEAT AS A RESULT OF THE ADDED MOISTURE.
  LIVESTOCK REMAINED IN GOOD CONDITION WITH PRICES REMAINING HIGH
  FOR BOTH FEEDER AND REPLACEMENT CATTLE. LIVESTOCK PRODUCERS
  CONTINUED TO PROVIDE SUPPLEMENTAL FEED AND PROTEIN TO CATTLE TO
  ALLOW RANGELAND AND PASTURES TO RECOVER. BY THE END OF THE
  MONTH...CATTLE WERE DOING WELL WITHOUT EXTRA FEED...AS GRAZING
  ON PASTURES WAS GOOD.

* SUBSOIL WAS 80 PERCENT SHORT AND TOPSOIL MOISTURE 100 PERCENT
  ADEQUATE IN KLEBERG AND KENEDY COUNTIES. SOIL MOISTURE WAS 50 TO
  100 PERCENT ADEQUATE IN JIM HOGG AND JIM WELLS COUNTIES.

* IN THE WESTERN PART OF THE REGION...RECENT RAINS SUPPLIED
  MOISTURE TO RECENTLY PLANTED WHEAT. WHERE FIELD CONDITIONS WERE
  DRY ENOUGH...PRODUCERS WERE PREPARING FIELDS FOR CROPS SUCH AS
  WINTER OATS. STOCK-TANK WATER LEVELS WERE IMPROVED BY RUNOFF IN
  AREAS THAT RECEIVED HARDER AND FASTER RAINS.

* ALSO IN THE WESTERN REGION...CONDITIONS WERE QUITE FAVORABLE
  FOR WINTER FORAGE PRODUCTION. RANCHERS CONTINUED SUPPLEMENTAL
  FEEDING...BUT WITH BETTER GRAZING...THE NEED FOR SUPPLEMENTAL
  FEEDING OF LIVESTOCK DECREASED SIGNIFICANTLY FOR THIS TIME OF
  THE YEAR. BY THE END OF THE MONTH...SUPPLEMENTAL FEEDING WAS
  SUSPENDED DUE TO ADEQUATE FORAGE AVAILABILITY.

* ALSO IN THE WESTERN REGION...THE HARVESTING OF FRESH MARKET
  SPINACH SPED UP LATE IN THE WEEK AS FIELDS BEGAN TO DRY
  OUT...BUT CABBAGE HARVESTING CONTINUED TO BE DELAYED DUE TO WET
  FIELDS. ONIONS...SPINACH...CARROTS AND CABBAGE CROPS WERE
  PROGRESSING VERY WELL. THE PECAN HARVEST WAS COMPLETED.


FIRE DANGER HAZARDS.
ACCORDING TO THE 5 DAY AVERAGE FIRE DANGER MAP FROM THE TEXAS
INTER-AGENCY COORDINATION CENTER (TICC) ON DECEMBER 5...THERE IS A
LOW FIRE DANGER OVER ALL OF SOUTH TEXAS. THE FIRE DANGER REMAINS
LOW DUE TO HIGH HUMIDITY AND LOW WIND SPEEDS.

KEETCH-BYRAM DROUGHT INDICES REMAIN LOW ACROSS NEARLY ALL OF THE
HSA...WITH LITTLE CHANGE OBSERVED DURING THE PAST MONTH. ONLY LA
SALLE COUNTY HAD A COUNTY AVERAGE KBDI VALUE ABOVE 400. AS OF
DECEMBER 6...THE FOLLOWING KBDI COUNTY AVERAGES WERE OBSERVED:

 0 TO 200:  CALHOUN...REFUGIO...ARANSAS...SAN PATRICIO...NUECES...
            KLEBERG AND WEBB COUNTIES.

200 TO 300: JIM WELLS...DUVAL...VICTORIA...AND LIVE OAK COUNTIES.

300 TO 400: BEE...MCMULLEN AND GOLIAD COUNTIES.

400 TO 500: LA SALLE COUNTY.

500 TO 600: NONE.

600 TO 700: NONE.

700 TO 800: NONE.

WITH COOLER WEATHER FORECAST...AND THE POSSIBILITY FOR MORE
RAINFALL DURING THE COMING WEEKS...HOPEFULLY KBDI VALUES WILL NOT
RETURN TO HIGH LEVELS FOR SOME TIME.


CLIMATE SUMMARY...
THE MONTH OF NOVEMBER SAW ABOVE NORMAL RAINFALL AND BELOW NORMAL
TEMPERATURES ACROSS ESSENTIALLY ALL OF THE HSA. FORTUNATELY FOR
FARMERS...MUCH OF THE RAINFALL WAS STATIFORM IN NATURE...WHICH
ALLOWED FOR THE VAST MAJORITY OF THE RAINFALL TO PERCOLATE DEEPER
INTO THE SOIL...WITH LITTLE RUNOFF OBSERVED. SOME SOUTHERN
LOCATIONS IN SOUTH TEXAS RECEIVED MORE THAN 3 INCHES ABOVE NORMAL
RAINFALL DURING THE MONTH. HOWEVER...MOST OF THE NORTHERN PORTIONS
OF THE HSA RECEIVED MUCH LESS THAN 1.5 INCHES ABOVE NORMAL
RAINFALL...WITH EVEN A FEW LOCATIONS (SUCH AS PORTIONS OF BEE
COUNTY) RECEIVING BELOW NORMAL RAINFALL.

FOR THE THREE CLIMATE STATIONS...RAINFALL FOR NOVEMBER WAS 2.84
INCHES IN CORPUS CHRISTI (0.87 INCHES ABOVE NORMAL)...4.53 INCHES
AT VICTORIA (1.29 INCHES ABOVE NORMAL)...AND 1.81 INCHES AT LAREDO
(0.62 INCHES ABOVE NORMAL).

ALONG WITH THE ABOVE NORMAL RAINFALL...BELOW NORMAL TEMPERATURES
WERE ALSO OBSERVED OVER MOST OF SOUTH TEXAS. TEMPERATURES WERE THE
MOST BELOW NORMAL DURING THE MIDDLE OF THE MONTH...MAINLY BETWEEN
NOVEMBER 12 THROUGH NOVEMBER 18. FOR NOVEMBER...THE AVERAGE
TEMPERATURE WAS 4.8 DEGREES BELOW NORMAL FOR CORPUS CHRISTI...3.1
DEGREES BELOW NORMAL AT VICTORIA...AND 4.3 DEGREES BELOW NORMAL AT
LAREDO.

MOST OF SOUTH TEXAS HAS STARTED OUT DECEMBER WITH BELOW NORMAL
RAINFALL. EASTERN PORTIONS OF THE HSA HAS SEEN SCATTERED RAINFALL
AMOUNTS BETWEEN 1/2 AND 1 INCH...WITH ISOLATED AMOUNTS IN EXCESS
OF 1 1/2 INCHES OVER PORTIONS OF WESTERN NUECES AND KLEBERG
COUNTIES. HOWEVER...NEARLY ALL OF WEBB AND LA SALLE COUNTIES
HAVE NOT SEEN ANY RAINFALL SO FAR IN DECEMBER...WITH LITTLE
RAINFALL OBSERVED IN DUVAL AND MCMULLEN COUNTIES.
FORTUNATELY...THIS WILL LIKELY CHANGE IN THE UPCOMING WEEKS.

THE FOLLOWING TABLE SHOWS THE TOTAL MONTHLY RAINFALL AMOUNTS
THROUGH DECEMBER 5...IN 2014...AND THE FOR THE 2015 WATER YEAR
WHICH OCTOBER 1 2014. ALL VALUES ARE IN INCHES...RAINFALL
DEPARTURES FROM NORMAL ARE SHOWN IN PARENTHESIS:

                                                  2015 WATER YEAR
                    THRU DEC 5          2014        10/01/2014 -
                                                    12/05/2014

CORPUS CHRISTI     0.11 (-0.14)    28.43  (-1.75)   8.58 (+2.72)

VICTORIA           0.14 (-0.29)    28.12 (-11.22)   6.51 (-1.80)

LAREDO AIRPORT     0.03 (-0.10)    15.70  (-3.75)   2.32 (-1.21)

FOR THE THREE CLIMATE STATIONS...THE 2014 PERCENTAGE OF NORMAL
RAINFALL THROUGH DECEMBER 5 ARE: 94.2 PERCENT AT CORPUS CHRISTI...
71.5 PERCENT AT VICTORIA...AND 80.7 PERCENT AT LAREDO.

THE 2015 WATER YEAR PERCENTAGES THROUGH DECEMBER 5 2014 ARE:
146.4 PERCENT AT CORPUS CHRISTI...78.3 PERCENT AT VICTORIA...AND
65.7 PERCENT AT LAREDO.

THE CLIMATE PREDICTION CENTER (CPC) CONTINUES TO HAVE THEIR EL-
NINO WATCH IN EFFECT. CPC FORECASTS A 65 PERCENT CHANCE OF EL-NINO
CONDITIONS BEING PRESENT DURING THE NORTHERN HEMISPHERE
WINTER...AND LAST INTO THE NORTHERN HEMISPHERIC SPRING OF 2015.
A WEAK EL-NINO IS STILL EXPECTED. EQUATORIAL SEA SURFACE
TEMPERATURES HAVE REMAINED ABOVE AVERAGE ACROSS MOST OF THE
PACIFIC OCEAN FOR SEVERAL WEEKS.

THE OCEANIC NINO INDEX (ONI) IS BASED ON SST DEPARTURES FROM
AVERAGES IN THE NINO 3.4 REGION...AND IS THE PRINCIPAL MEASURE FOR
MONITORING...ASSESSING AND PREDICTING ENSO. THE MOST RECENT ONI
VALUE (AUGUST 2014 - OCTOBER 2014) WAS 0.2 DEGREES CELSIUS (WITHIN
THE ENSO-NEUTRAL RANGE OF -0.5 DEGREES CELSIUS TO +0.5 DEGREES
CELSIUS). MODEL CONSENSUS HAS A 65 PERCENT CHANCE FOR EL-NINO
CONDITIONS DEVELOPING BY JANUARY 2015...AND A 60 PERCENT CHANCE OF
EL-NINO CONDITIONS PRESENT FOR THE PERIOD JANUARY 2015 THROUGH
MARCH 2015.


PRECIPITATION/TEMPERATURE OUTLOOKS...
THE RAINFALL FORECAST FOR THE NEXT SEVEN DAYS (DECEMBER 6 THROUGH
DECEMBER 13) IS AS FOLLOWS. RAINFALL IS EXPECTED TO BE CONFINED
MAINLY ACROSS THE WESTERN HALF OF THE HSA EARLY ON AS MOISTURE RIDES
BACK NORTH ALONG THE RIO GRANDE PLAINS. ONLY A SLIGHT CHANCE TO
CHANCE OF A LIGHT RAIN AND SHOWER MIX IS EXPECTED. MEANWHILE...AN
UPPER TROUGH/LOW ACROSS SOUTHERN CALIFORNIA ON THE 9TH WILL MOVE
EAST REACHING TEXAS BY THE 11TH. RAIN CHANCES INCREASE AND EXPAND
FARTHER EAST LATE ON THE 10TH INTO THE 11TH.

THE TEMPERATURE FORECAST FOR THE NEXT SEVEN DAYS (DECEMBER 6 THROUGH
DECEMBER 13) IS AS FOLLOWS. DAYTIME TEMPERATURES WILL RUN SLIGHTLY
BELOW NORMAL WITH HIGHS GENERALLY IN THE LOW TO MID 60S ON THE 7TH
FOLLOWING THE PASSAGE OF THE WEAK SATURDAY COLD FRONT. A GRADUAL
WARMING TREND IS EXPECTED THROUGH THE WEEK WITH HIGHS REACHING INTO
THE LOW 70S BY THE 12TH.

THE 8 TO 14 DAY OUTLOOK...VALID FOR THE PERIOD DECEMBER 14
THROUGH DECEMBER 20...CALLS FOR GREATER PROBABILITIES FOR ABOVE
NORMAL TEMPERATURES AND ABOVE NORMAL RAINFALL OVER THE ENTIRE HSA.

THE DECEMBER 2014 RAINFALL OUTLOOK...ISSUED ON NOVEMBER 30...
CALLS FOR A GREATER CHANCE FOR ABOVE NORMAL RAINFALL OVER ALL OF
SOUTH TEXAS.

THE DECEMBER 2014 TEMPERATURE OUTLOOK...ALSO ISSUED ON NOVEMBER
30...CALLS FOR A GREATER PROBABILITY FOR BELOW NORMAL TEMPERATURES
OVER THE ENTIRE HSA.

WITH STILL A LIKELY CHANCE FOR EL-NINO TO DEVELOP SOMETIME THIS
UPCOMING WINTER...THE THREE MONTH RAINFALL AND TEMPERATURE
OUTLOOKS FOR DECEMBER 2014 THROUGH FEBRUARY 2015 SHOWS A GREATER
LIKELIHOOD FOR ABOVE NORMAL RAINFALL AND BELOW NORMAL TEMPERATURES
OVER ALL OF SOUTH TEXAS.

THE DECEMBER 2014 DROUGHT OUTLOOK...ISSUED ON NOVEMBER 30...CALLS
FOR THE DROUGHT TO BE REMOVED...OR AT LEAST ALLEVIATED...OVER THE
DROUGHT-STRICKEN AREAS...WITH MODERATE DROUGHT CONDITIONS LIKELY
REMAINING OVER THE ON-GOING SEVERE DROUGHT AREAS. THE DROUGHT IS
NOT FORECAST TO SPREAD ELSEWHERE.

THE SEASONAL DROUGHT OUTLOOK...VALID THROUGH FEBRUARY 31 2015 (AND
ISSUED ON NOVEMBER 20 2014)...CALLS FOR DROUGHT REMOVAL LIKELY OVER
NEARLY ALL OF THE DROUGHT-STRICKEN AREAS...WITH THE DROUGHT
POSSIBLY REMAINING (BUT CONDITIONS IMPROVING) OVER PORTIONS OF
VICTORIA AND CALHOUN COUNTIES. THERE IS NO MENTION OF DROUGHT
DEVELOPING FOR THE REMAINDER OF THE HSA.

THE LAGGED SOIL MOISTURE OUTLOOK VALID THROUGH THE END OF
FEBRUARY 2015 CALLS FOR NEAR NORMAL SOIL CONDITIONS OVER MOST OF
THE HSA...WITH SLIGHTLY BELOW NORMAL SOIL CONDITIONS OVER THE
VICTORIA CROSSROADS AREA AND NORTHEASTERN COASTAL BEND.


HYDROLOGIC SUMMARY AND OUTLOOK
WHILE RAINFALL WAS ABOVE NORMAL OVER NEARLY ALL OF THE HSA DURING
NOVEMBER...RAINFALL WAS MAINLY STRATIFORM IN NATURE. AS A
RESULT...RIVER AND RESERVOIR LEVELS DID NOT SEE ANY NOTABLE RISES
DURING THE MONTH. ALTHOUGH WATER USAGE HAS DIMINISHED DURING THE
LAST COUPLE OF MONTHS (AS COOLER WEATHER HAS DIMINISHED DEMAND)...
RESERVOIR LEVELS CONTINUE TO FALL.

ACCORDING TO THE USGS STREAMFLOW MAP ON DECEMBER 6...MOST RIVER
AND CREEK LEVELS ARE BELOW TO WELL BELOW NORMAL OVER THE HSA.
LEVELS CONTINUE TO REMAIN WELL BELOW NORMAL ON THE GUADALUPE
RIVER...COLETO CREEK...MISSION RIVER...AND THE FRIO AND NUECES
RIVERS WEST OF CHOKE CANYON DAM. ONLY THE NUECES RIVER AT THREE
RIVERS...ALONG WITH OSO AND SAN FERNANDO CREEKS HAVE NEAR NORMAL
FLOWS. FLOWS ARE RUNNING NEAR NORMAL ON THE RIO GRANDE AT COLUMBIA
BRIDGE AND LAREDO.

RECENT FLOWS ON THE GUADALUPE RIVER AT VICTORIA HAVE BEEN BETWEEN
5.0 FEET (288 CFS) AND 6.0 FEET (519 CFS). THE CITY OF VICTORIA
CAN OBTAIN ITS WATER FROM THE RIVER WHEN FLOWS ARE ABOVE 150 CFS
(ABOUT 4.2 FEET).

THE RESERVOIR LEVELS FOR THE CORPUS CHRISTI WATER SUPPLY CONTINUE
TO FALL. AS OF DECEMBER 6...THE LEVEL AT CHOKE CANYON DAM WAS AT
192.6 FEET (25.6 PERCENT CAPACITY)...WITH LAKE CORPUS CHRISTI AT
86.0 FEET (49.2 PERCENT CAPACITY). THE COMBINED SYSTEM CAPACITY FOR
THE CORPUS CHRISTI WATER SUPPLY WAS AT 32.0 PERCENT...WHICH IS 0.9
PERCENTAGE POINTS LOWER THAN ON NOVEMBER 6.

SINCE THE FIRST PART OF NOVEMBER...LAKE TEXANA FELL 0.4 FEET TO 39.7
FEET (76.8 PERCENT CAPACITY).

AS OF DECEMBER 6...THE LEVEL AT COLETO CREEK WAS 93.26 FEET...
WHICH IS 0.55 FEET LOWER THAN NOVEMBER 7.

CANYON DAM FELL 0.24 FEET SINCE NOVEMBER 7...WITH THE CURRENT LEVEL
AT 896.98 FEET (76 PERCENT CAPACITY).

FINALLY...SINCE NOVEMBER 7...THE LEVEL AT LAKE AMISTAD ROSE TO
1086.97 FEET (51 PERCENT)...OR 1.54 FEET.

WHILE ABOVE NORMAL RAINFALL IS EXPECTED OVER THE NEXT FEW MONTHS
DUE TO DEVELOPING EL-NINO...MOST OF THE PRECIPITATION RECEIVED
WILL LIKELY BE NON-CONVECTIVE. WHILE ABOVE NORMAL RAINFALL NON-
CONVECTIVE RAINFALL WILL HELP TO KEEP SOIL MOISTURE AT NEAR TO
ABOVE NORMAL VALUES...THE CHANCES FOR SIGNIFICANT FLOODING OVER
THE MAJOR RIVER BASINS WITHIN THE HSA IS GENERALLY 20 PERCENT OR
LESS (ACCORDING TO LONG-RANGE PROBABILISTIC OUTLOOKS FOR SOME
RIVER BASINS). AS A RESULT...SIGNIFICANT RESERVOIR RECHARGE IS
UNLIKELY OVER THE NEXT COUPLE OF MONTHS.


NEXT ISSUANCE DATE...
THE NEXT DROUGHT INFORMATION STATEMENT WILL BE ISSUED IN EARLY
JANUARY 2015.

RELATED WEB SITES...
NWS CORPUS CHRISTI DROUGHT PAGE:
HTTP://WWW.SRH.NOAA.GOV/CRP/?N=DROUGHT

ADVANCED HYDROLOGIC PREDICTION SERVICE (AHPS)...
HTTP://WATER.WEATHER.GOV/PRECIP

U.S. DROUGHT MONITOR (INCLUDES DROUGHT AND SOIL MOISTURE
OUTLOOKS...DROUGHT ARCHIVES AND TEMPERATURE/RAINFALL OUTLOOKS)...
HTTP://DROUGHT.UNL.EDU/MONITOR.HTML

U.S. DROUGHT MONITOR (INCLUDES ONLY TEXAS)...
HTTP://DROUGHT.UNL.EDU/DM_STATE.HTM?TX,S

U.S. DROUGHT PORTAL...
HTTP://WWW.DROUGHT.GOV

TEXAS DROUGHT MONITORING SITE...
HTTP://WWW.TXWIN.NET/MONITORING/METEOROLOGICAL/DROUGHT/INDICES.HTM

NOAA DROUGHT PAGE...
HTTP://WWW.DROUGHT.NOAA.GOV

DROUGHT IMPACT REPORTER...
HTTP://DROUGHTREPORTER.UNL.EDU/

TEXAS WATER DEVELOPMENT BOARD DROUGHT WEBSITE
HTTP://WWW.WATERDATAFORTEXAS.ORG/DROUGHT/

VEGETATION DROUGHT RESPONSE INDEX
HTTP://DROUGHT.UNL.EDU.VEGDRI/VEGDRI_MAIN.HTM?EV

CLIMATE PREDICTION CENTER...
HTTP://WWW.CPC.NCEP.NOAA.GOV

WEATHER PREDICTION CENTER...
HTTP://WWW.HPC.NCEP.NOAA.GOV

STANDARDIZED PRECIPITATION INDEX (SPI)...
HTTP://WWW.WRCC.DRI.EDU/SPI/SPI.HTML

AGNEWS: TEXAS A & M AGRICULTURAL PROGRAM (CROP AND WEATHER REPORT)...
HTTP://TODAY.AGRILIFE.ORG

TEXAS INTERAGENCY COORDINATION CENTER (TICC)...
HTTP://WWW.TAMU.EDU/TICC/

TEXAS BURN BANS...HTTP://TFSFRP.TAMU.EDU/WILDFIRES/DECBAN.PNG

TEXAS KBDI...HTTP://WEBGIS.TAMU.EDU/TFS/KBDI_DAILY/KBDICOUNTY.PNG

TEXAS COMMISSION ON ENVIRONMENTAL QUALITY (WATER RESTRICTIONS):
WWW.TCEQ.TEXAS.GOV/DRINKINATER/TROT/LOCATION.HTML

CORPUS CHRISTI WATER DEPARTMENT...
WWW.CCTEXAS.COM/GOVERNMENT/WATER

CORPUS CHRISTI WATER CONSERVATION
WWW.CCTEXAS.COM/ASSETS/DEPARTMENTS/WATER/FILES/WATERCONSERVATIONPLAN.PDF

VICTORIA WATER CONSERVATION:
WWW.VICTORIATX.ORG/PIO/PDFS/WATERSAVINGMETHODS.PDF

LAREDO WATER RESTRICTIONS AND CONSERVATION...
WWW.CI.LAREDO.TX.US/UTILITIES05/ORDINANCE/2009_ORDINANCE.PDF

CITY OF VICTORIA WEB SITE...WWW.VICTORIATX.ORG

CITY OF LAREDO WEB SITE...WWW.CI.LAREDO.TX.US

CITY OF PORTLAND WEB SITE...WWW.PORTLANDTX.COM

TEXAS CROP AND WEATHER REPORTS...WWW.TODAY.AGRILIFE.ORG

ADDITIONAL RIVER INFORMATION...
NWS...HTTP://WWW.WEATHER.GOV/AHPS/
USGS...HTTP://WATER.USGS.GOV/
IBWC...HTTP://IBWC.STATE.GOV/

ACKNOWLEDGMENTS...
THE DROUGHT MONITOR IS A MULTI-AGENCY EFFORT INVOLVING THE NATIONAL
WEATHER SERVICE AND NATIONAL CLIMATIC DATA CENTER...THE USDA...STATE
AND REGIONAL CENTER CLIMATOLOGISTS AND THE NATIONAL DROUGHT
MITIGATION CENTER. INFORMATION FOR THIS STATEMENT HAS BEEN GATHERED
FROM NWS AND FAA OBSERVATION SITES...STATE COOPERATIVE EXTENSION
SERVICES...THE USDA...USACE AND USGS.

QUESTIONS OR COMMENTS...
IF YOU HAVE ANY QUESTIONS OR COMMENTS ABOUT THIS DROUGHT INFORMATION
STATEMENT...PLEASE CONTACT...
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE
426 PINSON DRIVE
CORPUS CHRISTI TX 78406
PHONE: 361-289-0959
SR-CRP.WEBMASTER@NOAA.GOV


$$

GW/CB




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