Drought Information Statement
Issued by NWS Corpus Christi, TX

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AXUS74 KCRP 031325
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TXZ229>234-239>247-171330-

DROUGHT INFORMATION STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CORPUS CHRISTI TX
825 AM CDT THU JUL 3 2014

...BENEFICIAL RAINS BRING SOME DROUGHT RELIEF TO NORTHEASTERN AND
NORTHWESTERN PORTIONS OF SOUTH TEXAS...

...SEVERE DROUGHT CONDITIONS NO LONGER EXIST OVER ANY PORTION OF
SOUTH TEXAS INCLUDING PORTIONS OF GOLIAD AND CALHOUN COUNTIES...

...BELOW NORMAL RAINFALL OVER MOST OF SOUTH TEXAS DURING DURING
JUNE ALTHOUGH SOME LOCATIONS RECEIVED ABOVE NORMAL PRECIPITATION...

...AT LEAST A 70 PERCENT CHANCE FOR EL-NINO CONDITIONS TO DEVELOP
DURING THE SUMMER AND AN 80 PERCENT CHANCE BY THE END OF 2014...


.SYNOPSIS...
DURING THE LAST TWO WEEKS...MOST OF THE WESTERN AND NORTHEASTERN
PORTIONS OF SOUTH TEXAS RECEIVED ABOVE NORMAL RAINFALL...WITH MUCH
OF THE SOUTHERN COASTAL BEND RECEIVING BELOW NORMAL PRECIPITATION.
MOST OF THE RAINFALL RECEIVED DURING THE PAST TWO WEEKS WAS DUE TO
A SLOW-MOVING UPPER LEVEL LOW...WHICH COMBINED WITH PLENTIFUL
MOISTURE. MOST OF THE WESTERN PORTIONS OF WEBB AND LA SALLE
COUNTIES RECEIVED AT LEAST 3 INCHES OF RAIN...WITH SOME LOCATIONS
IN WESTERN WEBB COUNTY RECEIVING MORE THAN 6 INCHES OF
PRECIPITATION. AS THE UPPER LOW MOVED FARTHER EAST...IT IMPACTED
THE NORTHEASTERN PORTIONS OF THE HYDROLOGIC SERVICE AREA (HSA).
MOST AREAS NORTH AND EAST OF INTERSTATE 37 RECEIVED MORE THAN 3
INCHES OF PRECIPITATION...WITH MUCH OF REFUGIO COUNTY AND
PORTIONS OF ARANSAS AND CALHOUN COUNTY RECEIVING MORE THAN 5
INCHES OF PRECIPITATION. AS A RESULT OF THIS RAINFALL...
NORTHEASTERN PORTIONS OF THE HSA SAW SOME DROUGHT RELIEF. SEVERE
DROUGHT CONDITIONS NO LONGER EXIST OVER NORTHEASTERN PORTIONS OF
THE HSA...AND OTHER LOCATIONS HAVING MODERATE DROUGHT CONDITIONS
TWO WEEKS AGO ARE NOW CONSIDERED ABNORMALLY DRY.

HOWEVER...MOST OF THE SOUTHERN COASTAL BEND AND PORTIONS OF THE
BRUSH COUNTRY RECEIVED LESS THAN 1 INCH OF PRECIPITATION DURING
THE LAST 14 DAYS. HOWEVER...MUCH OF THE SOUTHERN BRUSH COUNTRY HAS
RECEIVED NEAR TO SLIGHTLY ABOVE NORMAL RAINFALL DURING 2014.
THUS...DROUGHT CONDITIONS DID NOT DEVELOP OVER THE SOUTHERN BRUSH
COUNTRY. ALTHOUGH RAINFALL WAS BELOW NORMAL OVER THE SOUTHERN
COASTAL BEND...DROUGHT CONDITIONS REMAINED ESSENTIALLY THE SAME.

THE LATEST DROUGHT MONITOR PRODUCT...VALID AS OF 7 AM EDT JULY 1
2014...SHOWS THE FOLLOWING DROUGHT CONDITIONS OVER SOUTH TEXAS
(D4 = EXCEPTIONAL; D3 = EXTREME; D2 = SEVERE; D1 = MODERATE; D0 =
ABNORMALLY DRY). THESE COUNTIES HAVE THE FOLLOWING DROUGHT
CONDITIONS:

ARANSAS COUNTY: ALL OF THE COUNTY IS NOW IN D0 STATUS...INCLUDING
THE CITY OF ROCKPORT.

BEE COUNTY: D0 CONDITIONS EXIST OVER ALL OF THE COUNTY...INCLUDING
THE CITY OF BEEVILLE AND SKIDMORE.

CALHOUN COUNTY: D1 CONDITIONS EXIST OVER THE EASTERN THIRD OF THE
HSA...AND INCLUDE THE COMMUNITIES OF PORT O`CONNOR...PORT LAVACA
AND POINT COMFORT. THE REMAINDER OF THE COUNTY IS IN D0
STATUS...AND INCLUDES THE COMMUNITIES OF SEA DRIFT AND GREEN LAKE.

DUVAL COUNTY: D0 CONDITIONS EXIST OVER MOST OF THE NORTHEASTERN
THIRD OF THE COUNTY...AND INCLUDE THE COMMUNITIES FREER...ROSITA
AND SAN DIEGO. THE REMAINDER OF THE COUNTY HAS NO DROUGHT
STATUS...AND INCLUDES THE COMMUNITIES OF BENAVIDES AND REALITOS.

GOLIAD COUNTY: D1 CONDITIONS EXIST OVER NORTHERN PORTIONS OF THE
COUNTY...AND INCLUDE THE COMMUNITIES OF SCHROEDER...WEESATCHE AND
ANDER (AND JUST NORTH OF GOLIAD). THE REMAINDER OF THE COUNTY IS
IN D0 STATUS...AND INCLUDE THE COMMUNITIES OF GOLIAD...CHARCO AND
FANNIN.

JIM WELLS COUNTY: D0 CONDITIONS EXIST OVER THE NORTHERN HALF...
AND INCLUDE THE COMMUNITIES OF ALICE...ORANGE GROVE AND MIDWAY.
THE REMAINDER OF THE COUNTY IS DROUGHT-FREE...INCLUDING BEN BOLT
AND PREMONT.

KLEBERG COUNTY: D0 CONDITIONS EXIST OVER ALL BUT THE WESTERN 1/5
OF THE COUNTY (WHICH HAS NO DROUGHT STATUS). KINGSVILLE AND
RICARDO ARE NOW IN D0 STATUS...WHILE KINGSVILLE AIRPORT HAS NO
DROUGHT STATUS.

LA SALLE COUNTY: D0 CONDITIONS EXIST OVER ALL BUT THE SOUTHWESTERN
1/3 OF THE COUNTY (WHICH HAS NO DROUGHT STATUS). THE COMMUNITIES
OF GARDENDALE...WOODWARD...FOWLERTON AND COTULLA ARE IN D0
STATUS...WHILE THE COMMUNITY OF ARTESIA WELLS AND ATLEE ARE
DROUGHT-FREE.

LIVE OAK COUNTY: D0 CONDITIONS EXIST OVER ALL BUT THE EXTREME
NORTHERN PORTION OF THE COUNTY (WHICH HAS NO DROUGHT STATUS. THE
COMMUNITIES OF THREE RIVERS...GEORGE WEST AND NELL ARE IN D0
STATUS...WHILE THE COMMUNITY OF ESSEVILLE AND AREAS NORTH OF NELL
ARE DROUGHT- FREE.

MCMULLEN COUNTY: D0 CONDITIONS EXIST FOR ALL OF THE COUNTY...
INCLUDING THE COMMUNITIES OF TILDEN AND CALLIHAM.

NUECES COUNTY: D0 CONDITIONS EXIST OVER THE ENTIRE COUNTY...AND
INCLUDE THE CITY OF CORPUS CHRISTI AND THE COMMUNITIES OF DRISCOLL
BISHOP AND PORT ARANSAS.

REFUGIO COUNTY: D0 CONDITIONS EXIST OVER THE ENTIRE COUNTY...
INCLUDING THE COMMUNITIES OF REFUGIO...TIVOLI AND WOODSBORO.

SAN PATRICIO COUNTY: D0 CONDITIONS EXIST OVER THE ENTIRE
COUNTY...INCLUDING THE COMMUNITIES OF ARANSAS PASS...SINTON...
MATHIS...AND PORTLAND.

VICTORIA COUNTY: D1 CONDITIONS EXIST OVER EXTREME NORTHWESTERN
PORTIONS OF THE COUNTY...AND INCLUDE THE COMMUNITIES OF MISSION
VALLEY AND JUST WEST OF NURSERY. THE REMAINDER OF THE COUNTY IS
IN D0 STATUS...AND INCLUDE THE CITY OF VICTORIA AND THE
COMMUNITIES OF INEZ...SALEM AND MCFADDIN.

WEBB COUNTY: EXCEPT FOR A SMALL SLIVER OF EXTREME NORTHEASTERN
WEBB COUNTY (RURAL AREA)...THE COUNTY IS CONSIDERED DROUGHT-FREE.
THUS...LAREDO HAS NO DROUGHT STATUS AT THIS TIME.

SEE THE DROUGHT MONITOR PRODUCT (LINK PROVIDED BELOW) FOR A
GRAPHICAL VIEW OF THE DROUGHT AREAS.


SUMMARY OF IMPACTS...
STATE AND LOCAL ACTIONS.
ACCORDING TO THE TEXAS FOREST SERVICE BURN BAN MAP OF JULY
2...KLEBERG COUNTY IS NOW IN A BURN BAN. THUS...KLEBERG AND BEE
COUNTIES HAVE BURN BANS...WHILE THE REMAINDER OF THE COUNTIES DO
NOT HAVE BURN BANS. STILL...RESIDENTS PLANNING ON BURNING SHOULD
CONTACT COUNTY OFFICIALS TO ENSURE THAT BURNING IS ALLOWED...AND
ALSO TO SEE IF ANY RESTRICTIONS ON HOW AND WHEN TO BURN ARE IN
EFFECT. IF BURNING IS ALLOWED...BE SURE IT IS NOT DONE DURING
WINDY DAYS WITH LOW HUMIDITY...AS THIS COULD RESULT IN A FIRE
WHICH COULD EASILY GET OUT OF CONTROL.

WITH THE 4TH OF JULY WEEKEND APPROACHING...RESIDENTS IN
VICTORIA...LAREDO AND CORPUS CHRISTI ARE REMINDED THAT IT IS
ILLEGAL TO SET OFF PERSONAL FIREWORKS WITHIN THE CITY LIMITS.
ALTHOUGH THE CITY OF CORPUS CHRISTI WILL NOT FINE YOU FOR
POSSESSING UNOPENED PACKAGES OF FIREWORKS THIS YEAR...IGNITING
FIREWORKS WITHIN THE CITY LIMITS REMAINS A VIOLATION WITH FINES AS
MUCH AS $2000.

THERE HAVE BEEN NO CHANGE IN WATER RESTRICTIONS FOR CORPUS CHRISTI
AND VICTORIA. THE CITY OF LAREDO IS UNDER STAGE 1 WATER
RESTRICTIONS.

ACCORDING TO THE CITY OF CORPUS CHRISTI WATER PAGE...THE CITY
REMAINS IN STAGE 1 OF THE DROUGHT CONTINGENCY PLAN...AND WILL
REMAIN SO UNTIL THE COMBINED RESERVOIR CAPACITY FOR CHOKE CANYON
AND LAKE CORPUS CHRISTI FALLS BELOW 40 PERCENT (RECENT LEVELS ARE
NEAR 41 PERCENT). UNDER STAGE 1...RESIDENTS ARE ASKED TO VOLUNTARILY
CONSERVE WATER WHENEVER POSSIBLE. FOR THE CITY OF CORPUS
CHRISTI...WATERING IS NO LONGER LIMITED TO ONCE A WEEK. HOWEVER
RESIDENTS SHOULD CONTINUE TO LIMIT THE USE OF WATER OUTSIDE DURING
THE HOURS OF 10 AM AND 6 PM. THE CITIES OF PORTLAND AND INGLESIDE
ARE ALSO IN STAGE 1 RESTRICTIONS.

GENERAL USES AND RESTRICTIONS UNDER STAGE 1:

* WATER IS NO LONGER LIMITED TO ONCE A WEEK
* NO WATERING OR OUTSIDE WASHING DURING THE HOURS OF 10 AM AND 6
  PM.

ADDITIONAL MINOR DIFFERENCES ARE OBSERVED AT PORTLAND AND INGLESIDE.
FOR MORE INFORMATION FOR THESE LOCATIONS...PLEASE VISIT:

HTTP://PORTLANDTX.COM
HTTP://INGLESIDETX.GOV

THE CITY OF VICTORIA STILL ENCOURAGES RESIDENTS TO CONSERVE WATER
VOLUNTARILY.

THE CITY OF LAREDO IS UNDER STAGE 1 WATER RESTRICTIONS. THESE
WATER RESTRICTIONS STILL ALLOW RESIDENTS TO WATER THEIR LANDSCAPES
AT ANY TIME...BUT RESIDENTS ARE ASKED TO VOLUNTARILY CONSERVE
WATER.

WITH CONTINUED WARM WEATHER OVER THE NEXT COUPLE OF MONTHS...
RESIDENTS ARE STRONGLY ENCOURAGED TO LIMIT THEIR WATERING. WATER
CONSERVED NOW CAN BE USED FOR THE REMAINDER OF SUMMER...WHEN
LAWNS NEED MORE WATER. IF WATER IS WASTED...IT MAY NOT BE
AVAILABLE LATER THIS SUMMER AND EARLY FALL...DUE TO MORE
STRINGENT WATER RESTRICTIONS. CONTINUE TO WATER ONCE A WEEK...OR
BEGIN TO CURTAIL WATERING TO A FEW TIMES A WEEK...AND GRADUALLY
ALLOW YOUR LAWN TO ADJUST TO ONCE A WEEK WATERING. WHEN ADEQUATE
RAINFALL IS RECENTLY RECEIVED...WATERING SHOULD BE OMITTED FOR
SEVERAL DAYS UNTIL WATERING BECOMES NECESSARY. RESIDENTS WITH
SPRINKLER SYSTEMS SHOULD MONITOR THEIR WATERING TO ENSURE THEIR
SYSTEM IS WATERING THE LAWN AND NOT THE SIDEWALK OR STREET.
ALSO...USE A SPRINKLER WHICH MAKES LARGER WATER DROPLETS...AND
AVOID WATERING ON WINDY DAYS.

RESIDENTS SHOULD REMAIN INFORMED ON ANY WATER RESTRICTIONS WHICH
MAY BE IMPOSED FOR THEIR LOCATION...AS ANY VIOLATIONS CAN RESULT
IN SIGNIFICANT FINES. MORE INFORMATION ON HOW TO CONSERVE WATER
(AND DROUGHT CONTINGENCY PLANS) IS FOUND ON THE CITY WEBSITES
LISTED AT THE END OF THIS STATEMENT.

ADDITIONAL LOCATIONS WITHIN THE HSA HAVE MAINTAINED EITHER
MANDATORY OR VOLUNTARY RESTRICTIONS ON THEIR LOCAL PUBLIC WATER
SYSTEMS (PWS). ACCORDING TO THE TEXAS COMMISSION ON ENVIRONMENTAL
QUALITY (TCEQ)...HERE IS A LIST OF LOCATIONS WITHIN THE HSA (AS OF
JUNE 25 2014) WHICH HAVE WATER RESTRICTIONS:

REMOVED RESTRICTIONS: NONE REMOVED

NEW/AMENDED RESTRICTIONS: NONE ADDED

PREVIOUS RESTRICTIONS:
ARANSAS COUNTY: CITY OF ROCKPORT (STAGE 1)...COPANO HEIGHTS WATER
(STAGE 1)

BEE COUNTY: BLUEBERRY HILLS WATERWORKS (STAGE 1)...CITY OF
BEEVILLE (VOLUNTARY)

CALHOUN COUNTY: THE CITY OF POINT COMFORT (STAGE 1)

DUVAL COUNTY: FREER WCID (VOLUNTARY)

JIM WELLS COUNTY: CITY OF ALICE (STAGE 1)...ENGLISH ACRES (STAGE
3)...PAISANO MOBILE HOME PARK (STAGE 3).

KLEBERG COUNTY: CITY OF KINGSVILLE (VOLUNTARY)...TEXAS A & M
UNIVERSITY KINGSVILLE (VOLUNTARY)...RICARDO WSC (STAGE 1)...KING
RANCH SANTA GERTRUDIS (VOLUNTARY)...EAST RIVIERA WSC (VOLUNTARY).

LIVE OAK: BUCKEYE KNOLL (STAGE 1)...OLD MARBACH SCHOOL WSC
(VOLUNTARY)

NUECES COUNTY: CITY OF BISHOP (STAGE 1)...NUECES COUNTY WCID 3
(STAGE 1)...NUECES COUNTY WCID 4 (STAGE 1)..CORPUS CHRISTI NAS
(STAGE 1)...NUECES WSC (STAGE 1).

SAN PATRICIO COUNTY: CITY OF GREGORY (STAGE 2)...CITY OF MATHIS
(STAGE 1)...CITY OF ODEM (STAGE 1)...CITY OF TAFT (STAGE 1)...SAN
PATRICIO MWD (VOLUNTARY).

VICTORIA COUNTY: VICTORIA COUNTY WCID 1 (STAGE 1)

WEBB COUNTY: MIRANDO CITY WSC (VOLUNTARY)...BRUNI RURAL WSC
(VOLUNTARY)


AGRICULTURAL AND SOIL MOISTURE CONDITIONS.
RAINFALL HELPED TO MAINTAIN SOIL MOISTURE VALUES OVER SOUTH
TEXAS...WITH LITTLE CHANGE SEEN IN SOIL MOISTURE VALUES OVER THE
PAST TWO WEEKS. THE LATEST SOIL MOISTURE ANOMALY MAP FROM THE
CLIMATE PREDICTION CENTER (VALID ON JULY 1) SHOWS SLIGHTLY BELOW
NORMAL SOIL MOISTURE CONDITIONS (-20 MM TO -40 MM) OVER OVER ALL
OF SOUTH TEXAS. ALSO...SOIL MOISTURE RANKING PERCENTILES REMAIN
BETWEEN 30 AND 70 PERCENT OVER ALL OF THE HSA. HOWEVER...CROP
MOISTURE INDICES (VALID JUNE 28) SHOWED A SLIGHT IMPROVEMENT OVER
WESTERN PORTIONS OF THE HSA (-2.0 TO -2.9 WHICH IS STILL
EXCESSIVELY DRY)...WITH SLIGHTLY DRY/FAVORABLY MOIST (-0.9 TO
+0.9) OVER THE EASTERN PORTIONS OF THE REGION.

IN A RECENT ARTICLE IN THE AUSTIN AMERICAN-STATESMAN
(WWW.STATESMAN.COM)...HERD NUMBERS CONTINUED TO FALL IN THE
NORTHERN PART OF SOUTH TEXAS...BUT RAINFALL HELPED RANGE...PASTURE
AND CROPS. SOIL MOISTURE WAS LOW IN THE NORTHERN...WESTERN AND
PARTS OF EASTERN SOUTH TEXAS. IRRIGATION PUMPS WERE WORKING AROUND
THE CLOCK BRINGING WATER TO CORN...COTTON AND SORGHUM. IN WEBB
COUNTY...STOCK WATER TANKS WERE DRYING UP DUE TO HIGH EVAPORATION
AND HEAT. MOST RANCHES WERE RUNNING LOW ON SURFACE WATER. RANCHERS
WERE SELLING A FEW CATTLE AND WERE NOT QUICK TO RESTOCK.

IN A RECENT ARTICLE IN THE LA TIMES (WWW.LATIMES.COM)... LARGE
FOOD COMPANIES  WERE BUYING UP SMALLER ONES IN AN EFFORT TO
REMAIN COMPETITIVE AS DROUGHT...DISEASE AND FOOD RECALLS
CHALLENGED PROFITABILITY. MEAT COMPANY MERGERS WERE AN ESPECIALLY
STRATEGIC MOVE AS PRICES FOR PORK...BEEF AND CHICKEN CLIMBED. BEEF
PRICES WERE AT RECORD HIGHS...AND DEMAND FOR CHICKEN WAS AT ITS
HIGHEST IN THREE YEARS.

THE JUNE RANCH DIARY CONTAINED THE FOLLOWING INFORMATION:
* WE ENDED THE MONTH WITH (32) ANIMAL UNITS ON THE PLACE...WHICH
  REPRESENTS ABOUT 114% OF THE NEW ESTIMATED CARRYING CAPACITY OF
  (28) FOR OUR RANCH DURING A DROUGHT YEAR (RAINFALL LESS THAN
  20.00 INCHES). BECAUSE OF THE ABOVE-AVERAGE RAINFALL DURING
  MARCH AND MAY...WE ARE HOPING RAINFALL FOR THE YEAR WILL BE
  GREATER THAN 20.00 INCHES.

* OUR QUEST TO ELIMINATE JOHNSON GRASS ON THE RANCH TOOK A TURN
  FOR THE WORSE THIS MONTH. NOW A BAD STAND OF THE BAD GRASS HAS
  DEVELOPED WHERE NOT PREVIOUSLY SEEN. BUT THIS TIME WE WERE WELL
  PREPARED. THE SEED BUDS WERE QUICKLY CUT OFF AND A STRONG
  SOLUTION OF ROUNDUP WAS SPRAYED.

* AS MENTIONED ABOVE...OUR THORN SPRAYING CHORE CONTINUED
  UNABATED. WE SPRAY EVERY CELL AFTER THE CATTLE COMPLETE THEIR
  JOB OF CHEWING THE GRASSES DOWN TO A LOW LEVEL. THEN WE WAIT A
  COUPLE OF WEEKS AND RE-ENTER EACH CELL TO LOOK FOR THOSE THORN
  BUSHES THAT WERE MISSED THE FIRST TRIP THROUGH. THIS TECHNIQUE
  SHOULD RESULT IN VERY CLEAN PASTURES NEXT YEAR.

* RAINFALL FOR JUNE WAS BELOW AVERAGE AT 1.46 INCHES...BUT EVEN
  THIS LESSER AMOUNT KEPT OUR PASTURES IN GREAT CONDITION. GRASS
  IS UP TO THE BELLIES OF THE CATTLE. YEAR TO DATE WE HAVE
  RECEIVED 10.99 INCHES OF PRECIPITATION WHICH IS 2.35 INCHES
  BELOW NORMAL. WE HAVE HOPES THAT BY DECEMBER...THE
  PRECIPITATION HERE WILL EXCEED 20.00 INCHES WHICH IS OUR
  ARBITRARY NUMBER FOR DECLARING IT A "DROUGHT" YEAR.

* THE GRASSHOPPERS PRETTY MUCH LEFT THE GARDEN ALONE FOLLOWING THE
  RAINS OF MAY. THEY MADE THEIR NESTS IN THE TALLER GRASSES
  AROUND THE OUTSIDE OF THE YARD.

* THE TOMATO HARVEST WAS REDUCED LATE IN THE SEASON BY DISEASES ON
  SOME OF THE PLANTS. EARLY WONDER WAS THE WORST...FOLLOWED BY
  TYGRESS.


THE TEXAS CROP AND WEATHER REPORTS FOR JUNE 24 AND JULY 1
CONTAINED THE FOLLOWING INFORMATION:

FOR THE COASTAL BEND DISTRICT:

* CROPS LOOKED BETTER THAN THEY HAVE IN YEARS. GRAIN CROPS WERE
  BEING SCOUTED FOR HEADWORMS AND STINKBUG ACTIVITY.

* THE GRAIN SORGHUM HARVEST BEGAN IN SOME AREAS...BUT WAS
  INTERRUPTED BY RAIN. COTTON WAS IN FULL BLOOM AND EXPECTED TO
  GREATLY BENEFIT FROM THE RAINS. CORN WAS NEARING MATURITY.

* PASTURES SHOULD RESPOND QUICKLY AS WELL. CATTLE NUMBERS WERE
  STILL LOW WITH MARKET PRICES AT HISTORIC HIGHS. MOST COW-CALF
  OPERATORS FINISHED WORKING CALVES AND HAVE PICKED BULLS FOR THE
  SEASON. REPLACEMENT COSTS AND AVAILABILITY WERE A CONCERN FOR
  THOSE WANTING TO REBUILD HERDS. HAY YIELDS WERE GOOD.


FOR THE WESTERN AREAS (CONSIDERED PART OF THE SOUTH DISTRICT):

* THE NORTHERN PART OF THE DISTRICT HAD SHORT SOIL MOISTURE AND
  HUMID TEMPERATURES WITH RAIN SHOWERS. CROPS WERE PROGRESSING
  WELL...PEANUT PLANTING WAS COMPLETED AND THE POTATO HARVEST WAS
  IN FULL SWING. PASTURES REMAINED IN POOR SHAPE...WITH PRODUCERS
  STEADILY PROVIDING SUPPLEMENTAL FEED TO CATTLE. STOCK-TANK WATER
  LEVELS CONTINUE TO DROP.

* THE EASTERN PART OF THE DISTRICT ALSO HAD SHORT MOISTURE LEVELS.
  SOME AREAS RECEIVED LIGHT SHOWERS...BUT OTHERS REMAINED
  DRY...SUCH AS BROOKS COUNTY...WHICH REPORTED DRY...YELLOWED
  GRASS COVERING MOST OF THE COUNTY. TOPSOIL MOISTURE WAS
  EVAPORATING...AND CROPS WERE DECLINING. RANGELAND AND PASTURE
  CONDITIONS ALSO WORSENED.

* JIM WELLS...KLEBERG AND KENEDY COUNTIES HAD SHOWERS...WHICH
  HELPED MOST ROW CROPS. WHERE POSSIBLE...PRODUCERS CONTINUED TO
  CUT AND BALE HAY.

* THE WESTERN PART OF THE DISTRICT RECEIVED HEAVY RAINS AT
  MIDWEEK...IMPROVING NATIVE RANGELAND AND PASTURE GRASSES...AND
  THUS ALLOWED SOME PRODUCERS TO CEASE SUPPLEMENTAL FEEDING OF
  LIVESTOCK. THE RAINS TEMPORARILY INTERRUPTED THE ONION AND
  WATERMELON HARVESTS IN ZAVALA COUNTY...BUT THESE ACTIVITIES
  RESUMED BY THE WEEKEND. COTTON...CORN...SORGHUM AND SESAME MADE
  GOOD PROGRESS FOLLOWING THE RAINS...AS DID PECANS. MOST PECANS
  WERE AT THE EARLY STAGES OF NUT DEVELOPMENT. PRODUCERS WERE
  CAREFULLY MONITORING PECAN CASEBEARER ACTIVITY.


FIRE DANGER HAZARDS.
ACCORDING TO THE 5 DAY AVERAGE FIRE DANGER MAP FROM THE TEXAS
INTER-AGENCY COORDINATION CENTER (TICC) ON JULY 1...THERE IS A
HIGH TO VERY HIGH FIRE DANGER OVER THE SOUTHWESTERN HALF OF THE
HSA.....WITH A SMALL PORTION OF EXTREME SOUTHEASTERN WEBB AND
SOUTHWESTERN DUVAL COUNTY IN AN EXTREME FIRE DANGER. HOWEVER...A
LOW TO MODERATE FIRE DANGER EXISTS OVER THE NORTHEASTERN HALF OF
SOUTH TEXAS. FORTUNATELY...FUEL DRYNESS IS NEAR TO ABOVE NORMAL
OVER MOST OF THE HSA (EXCEPT OVER THE AFOREMENTIONED SOUTHERN WEBB
AND DUVAL COUNTIES)...AND WINDS ARE EXPECTED TO DIMINISH OVER THE
NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS...WHICH SHOULD SLIGHTLY7 LOWER THE CHANCES FOR
WILDFIRES SPREADING RAPIDLY.

WITH SOME AREAS RECEIVING LOCALLY HEAVY RAINFALL (AND FLOODING)
DURING THE PAST COUPLE OF WEEKS...COUNTY AVERAGED KEETCH-BYRAM
DROUGHT INDICES HAVE FALLEN OVER MANY COUNTIES...ESPECIALLY OVER
THE NORTHEASTERN COUNTIES OF THE HSA. AS OF JULY 2...THE FOLLOWING
KBDI AVERAGES WERE OBSERVED:

 0 TO 200:  NONE.

200 TO 300: BEE...GOLIAD...VICTORIA...CALHOUN...REFUGIO AND
            ARANSAS COUNTIES.

300 TO 400: LIVE OAK...SAN PATRICIO...DUVAL AND WEBB COUNTIES.

400 TO 500: LA SALLE...MCMULLEN...JIM WELLS...KLEBERG...AND
            NUECES COUNTIES.

500 TO 600: NONE.

600 TO 700: NONE.

700 TO 800: NONE.

KBDI AVERAGES WILL BEGIN TO RISE UNLESS ADDITIONAL WIDESPREAD
RAINFALL OCCURS DURING THE NEXT COUPLE OF WEEKS.


RIVER AND HYDROLOGIC CONDITIONS.
RIVER LEVELS ARE NEAR TO SLIGHTLY ABOVE NORMAL OVER MOST OF SOUTH
TEXAS...AS RECENT RAINFALL HAS HELPED TO INCREASE FLOWS ON MOST
RIVERS. STILL...COLETO CREEK AT VICTORIA AND THE MISSION RIVER AT
REFUGIO CONTINUE TO HAVE WELL BELOW NORMAL FLOWS...WITH SLIGHTLY
BELOW NORMAL FLOWS ON THE GUADALUPE RIVER AND COASTAL CREEKS OVER
THE NORTHEASTERN PORTIONS OF THE HSA. FLOWS ON THE RIO GRANDE HAVE
RECENTLY RETURNED TO NEAR NORMAL VALUES DURING THE PAST SEVERAL
DAYS...SINCE MINOR TO MODERATE FLOODING OCCURRED FROM JUNE 19
THROUGH JUNE 23.

FLOWS ON THE GUADALUPE RIVER AT VICTORIA HAVE REMAINED BELOW 10
FEET DURING THE PAST TWO WEEKS...RANGING BETWEEN 5 FEET (294 CFS)
AND 6 FEET (534 CFS) OVER THE PAST FEW DAYS. AS LONG AS FLOWS
REMAIN ABOVE 150 CFS (ABOUT 4.2 FEET)...THE CITY OF VICTORIA CAN
CONTINUE TO OBTAIN ITS WATER FROM THE RIVER.

ONCE AGAIN...MOST OF THE HEAVIER RAINFALL OCCURRING DURING THE
PAST TWO WEEKS FAILED TO FALL INTO THE CORPUS CHRISTI WATERSHED.
AS A RESULT...LAKE CORPUS CHRISTI AND CHOKE CANYON DAM CONTINUE TO
FALL. UNLESS A SIGNIFICANT RESERVOIR RECHARGE OCCURS DURING THE
NEXT FEW WEEKS...THE COMBINED CAPACITY WILL FALL TO BELOW 40
PERCENT...RESULTING IN STAGE II WATER RESTRICTIONS FOR CORPUS
CHRISTI RESIDENTS.

AS OF JULY 2 2014...THE LEVEL AT CHOKE CANYON DAM WAS AT 195.5
FEET (30.6 PERCENT CAPACITY)...WITH LAKE CORPUS CHRISTI AT 89.4
FEET (69.2 PERCENT CAPACITY). THE COMBINED SYSTEM CAPACITY FOR THE
CORPUS CHRISTI WATER SUPPLY WAS AT 41.0 PERCENT...WHICH IS 1.6
PERCENTAGE POINTS LOWER THAN ON JUNE 19 2014.

AS OF JULY 1 2014...LAKE TEXANA FELL 0.1 FEET TO 44.1 FEET (101.3
PERCENT CAPACITY).

AS OF JULY 2 2014...COLETO CREEK FELL 0.06 FEET...WITH THE CURRENT
LEVEL AT 96.94 FEET.

CANYON DAM FELL 0.25 FEET SINCE JUNE 19...WITH THE CURRENT LEVEL
AT 900.62 FEET (83 PERCENT CAPACITY).

HOWEVER...THE LEVEL AT LAKE AMISTAD ROSE 4.35 FEET...WITH THE
CURRENT LEVEL AT 1075.59 FEET (38 PERCENT) AS OF JULY 2. WITH
BELOW NORMAL RAINFALL MOST LIKELY DURING THE SUMMER MONTHS...
RESERVOIR LEVELS WILL LIKELY CONTINUE TO FALL OVER SOUTH TEXAS.


CLIMATE SUMMARY...
RAINFALL OVER THE HSA DURING THE MONTH OF JUNE VARIED FROM REGION
TO REGION...WITH SOME LOCATIONS RECEIVING ABOVE NORMAL RAINFALL
WHILE OTHER AREAS SAW WELL BELOW NORMAL PRECIPITATION. MUCH OF
REFUGIO COUNTY AND WESTERN PORTIONS OF WEBB AND LA SALLE COUNTIES
SAW 150 TO MORE THAN 400 PERCENT OF NORMAL PRECIPITATIONS DURING
THE MONTH. HOWEVER...MOST OF THE SOUTHERN COASTAL BEND (INCLUDING
MOST OF NUECES...KLEBERG AND JIM WELLS COUNTY) SAW NO MORE THAN 50
PERCENT OF THEIR NORMAL MONTHLY RAINFALL. MUCH OF NORTHEASTERN
COASTAL BEND AND VICTORIA AREA SAW NEAR TO ABOVE NORMAL RAINFALL
DURING JUNE...WHILE MOST OF THE SOUTHERN PORTION OF THE HSA
(OUTSIDE OF WESTERN WEBB COUNTY) AND NORTHERN BRUSH COUNTRY SAW
NEAR TO BELOW NORMAL RAINFALL. ALL THREE CLIMATE STATIONS IN SOUTH
TEXAS (CORPUS CHRISTI...VICTORIA AND LAREDO) SAW BELOW NORMAL
RAINFALL IN JUNE...AS THE TABLE BELOW SHOWS.

THE FOLLOWING TABLE SHOWS THE TOTAL MONTHLY RAINFALL AMOUNTS
THROUGH THE END OF JUNE...IN 2014 (THROUGH JUNE 30)...AND FOR THE
2014 WATER YEAR WHICH BEGAN OCTOBER 1 2013. ALL VALUES ARE IN
INCHES...RAINFALL DEPARTURES FROM NORMAL ARE SHOWN IN PARENTHESIS:

                                                  2014 WATER YEAR
                       JUNE            2014         10/1/2013 -
                                   (END JUNE 30)    06/30/2014

CORPUS CHRISTI     1.41 (-1.95)     8.51 (-5.12)   13.21 (-6.13)

VICTORIA           4.11 (-0.35)    15.39 (-4.45)   20.45 (-8.95)

LAREDO AIRPORT     0.55 (-1.68)     5.58 (-3.52)   10.10 (-2.39)

FOR THE THREE CLIMATE STATIONS...THE 2014 PERCENTAGE OF NORMAL
RAINFALL THROUGH JUNE 30 WAS: 62.4 PERCENT AT CORPUS CHRISTI...
77.6 PERCENT AT VICTORIA...AND 61.3 PERCENT AT LAREDO.

THE 2014 WATER YEAR PERCENTAGES THROUGH JUNE 30 2014 ARE: 68.3
PERCENT AT CORPUS CHRISTI...69.6 PERCENT AT VICTORIA...AND 80.9
PERCENT AT LAREDO.

ALONG WITH BELOW NORMAL RAINFALL AT THE THREE CLIMATE STATIONS FOR
JUNE...TEMPERATURES WERE ABOVE NORMAL FOR THE MONTH. FOR JUNE
2014...TEMPERATURES WERE 2.5 DEGREES ABOVE NORMAL AT CORPUS
CHRISTI...1.3 DEGREES ABOVE NORMAL AT VICTORIA...AND 2.2 DEGREES
ABOVE NORMAL AT LAREDO.

CONCERNING THE PROSPECTS FOR EL-NINO DEVELOPMENT LATER THIS YEAR
AND THE CHANCES FOR ABOVE NORMAL RAINFALL FOR SOUTH TEXAS DURING
THE UPCOMING COOL SEASON (OCTOBER 2014 - MARCH 2015)...THERE HAS
BEEN LITTLE TO NO CHANGE. AN EL-NINO WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT.
THERE IS A 70 PERCENT CHANCE FOR EL-NINO DURING THE NORTHERN
HEMISPHERIC SUMMER AND UP TO AN 80 PERCENT CHANCE DURING THE
UPCOMING FALL AND WINTER. ACCORDING TO THE CLIMATE PREDICTION
CENTER (CPC)...ENSO-NEUTRAL CONDITIONS REMAIN WITH ABOVE AVERAGE
SEA SURFACE TEMPERATURES (SST) ACROSS THE EQUATORIAL PACIFIC.
THESE ABOVE AVERAGE TEMPERATURE ANOMALIES HAVE CONTINUED DURING
THE PAST FOUR WEEKS.

THE OCEANIC NINO INDEX (ONI) IS BASED ON SST DEPARTURES FROM
AVERAGES IN THE NINO 3.4 REGION...AND IS THE PRINCIPAL MEASURE FOR
MONITORING...ASSESSING AND PREDICTING ENSO. THE MOST RECENT ONI
VALUE (MARCH 2014 - MAY 2014) IS -0.2 DEGREES CELSIUS (WITHIN THE
ENSO-NEUTRAL RANGE OF -0.5 DEGREES CELSIUS TO +0.5 DEGREES
CELSIUS). THIS IS A POSITIVE TREND FROM THE LAST 3-MONTH ONI OF
-0.5 DEGREES CELSIUS FROM FEBRUARY 2014 - APRIL 2014. NEARLY ALL
MODELS ARE PREDICTING ENSO-NEUTRAL OR EL-NINO THROUGH THE REST OF
2014...WITH MOST MODELS SHOWING A WEAK TO MODERATE EL-NINO
DEVELOPING NO LATER THAN THE END OF 2014.

CPC FORECASTS A 70 PERCENT CHANCE OF EL-NINO DEVELOPING IN THE
SUMMER. PROBABILISTIC ENSO OUTLOOKS CONTINUE TO INCREASE THE
PROBABILITY OF EL-NINO DEVELOPING BY THE END OF 2014. BY THE JULY-
AUGUST-SEPTEMBER TIME FRAME...THERE IS ABOUT A 73 PERCENT CHANCE
FOR EL-NINO...A 26 PERCENT CHANCE FOR ENSO-NEUTRAL CONDITIONS AND
ABOUT A 1 PERCENT CHANCE FOR LA-NINA. BY THE END OF 2014 (OCTOBER-
NOVEMBER-DECEMBER TIME FRAME)...THE CHANCES FOR EL-NINO INCREASE TO
ABOUT 82 PERCENT...WITH A LESS THAN 2 PERCENT CHANCE FOR LA-NINA.

HOWEVER...IT SHOULD BE NOTED THAT IF EL-NINO DEVELOPS THIS
SUMMER...IT WOULD SUPPRESS TROPICAL ACTIVITY. WHILE IT WOULD BE
GOOD NEWS IN MANY WAYS THAT AN EL-NINO WOULD DIMINISH ORGANIZED
TROPICAL SYSTEMS...IT COULD ALSO CURTAIL TROPICAL WAVES OR UPPER
TROPICAL LOWS...WHICH COULD MEAN BELOW NORMAL RAINFALL FOR SOUTH
TEXAS (AND STRICTER WATER RESTRICTIONS).


PRECIPITATION/TEMPERATURE OUTLOOKS...
THE RAINFALL FORECAST FOR THE NEXT SEVEN DAYS (JULY 3 THROUGH JULY 9)
IS AS FOLLOWS. THE CHANCES FOR RAIN WILL BE MAINLY LIMITED TO THE
COASTAL AREAS THROUGH SATURDAY...WITH THE BEST CHANCE FOR
PRECIPITATION ON FRIDAY. THERE ALSO IS A SLIGHT CHANCE FOR
PRECIPITATION TUESDAY AND WEDNESDAY OVER THE EASTERN HALF OF THE
HSA. RAINFALL AMOUNTS THROUGH THE NEXT SEVEN DAYS ARE EXPECTED TO
AVERAGE LESS THAN 1/4 INCH (WITH LOCALLY HIGHER AMOUNTS).

THE TEMPERATURE OUTLOOK FOR JULY 3 THROUGH JULY 9 IS AS FOLLOWS.
TEMPERATURES ARE EXPECTED TO BE NEAR TO SLIGHTLY ABOVE NORMAL
THROUGH THE PERIOD...WITH ABOVE AVERAGE MINIMUM TEMPERATURES MOST
LIKELY FOR THE BEGINNING OF NEXT WEEK.

THE 8 TO 14 DAY OUTLOOK...VALID FOR THE PERIOD JULY 10 THROUGH JULY
16...CALLS FOR A GREATER PROBABILITY FOR BELOW NORMAL TEMPERATURES
AND NEAR NORMAL RAINFALL FOR THE ENTIRE HSA.

THE JULY 2014 RAINFALL OUTLOOK...UPDATED ON JUNE 30...CALLS FOR
EQUAL CHANCES FOR NEAR/ABOVE/BELOW NORMAL TEMPERATURES AND
PRECIPITATION.

THE THREE MONTH RAINFALL OUTLOOK FOR THE PERIOD JULY THROUGH
SEPTEMBER 2014 HAS NOT CHANGED. ISSUED ON JUNE 19...THE OUTLOOK
CALLS FOR A GREATER LIKELIHOOD FOR BELOW NORMAL RAINFALL AND
ABOVE NORMAL TEMPERATURES OVER THE ENTIRE HSA.

THE JULY MONTHLY DROUGHT OUTLOOK...ISSUED ON JUNE 30...CALLS FOR
DROUGHT REMOVAL OVER THE DROUGHT-STRICKEN AREAS OF SOUTH TEXAS.
THE DROUGHT IS ALSO NOT EXPECTED TO EXPAND INTO OTHER AREAS NOT
EXPERIENCING DROUGHT.

DUE TO BELOW NORMAL RAINFALL MOST LIKELY OVER SOUTH TEXAS...THE
SEASONAL DROUGHT OUTLOOK FOR JULY THROUGH SEPTEMBER (ISSUED JUNE
19) CALLS FOR THE DROUGHT TO CONTINUE (IF NOT INTENSIFY) OVER
CURRENT DROUGHT AREAS...AND DEVELOP OVER NON-DROUGHT AREAS.

THE LAGGED SOIL MOISTURE OUTLOOK VALID THROUGH THE END OF
SEPTEMBER 2014 CALLS FOR NEAR TO SLIGHTLY ABOVE NORMAL SOIL
CONDITIONS OVER THE HSA.

IF EL-NINO OCCURS IN THE LATE FALL AND WINTER...THEN SOUTH TEXAS
HAS A CHANCE TO RECEIVE ABOVE NORMAL RAINFALL DURING THE COOL
SEASON. SEASONAL CLIMATE OUTLOOKS DO SHOW A GREATER LIKELIHOOD FOR
ABOVE NORMAL RAINFALL FROM THE OCTOBER-NOVEMBER-DECEMBER 2014
SEASON THROUGH THE FEBRUARY-MARCH-APRIL 2015 SEASON.

NEXT ISSUANCE DATE...
THE NEXT DROUGHT INFORMATION STATEMENT WILL BE ISSUED ON OR
SHORTLY AFTER JULY 17 2014.

RELATED WEB SITES...
NWS CORPUS CHRISTI DROUGHT PAGE:
HTTP://WWW.SRH.NOAA.GOV/CRP/DROUGHT.HTML

ADVANCED HYDROLOGIC PREDICTION SERVICE (AHPS)...
HTTP://WATER.WEATHER.GOV/PRECIP

U.S. DROUGHT MONITOR (INCLUDES DROUGHT AND SOIL MOISTURE
OUTLOOKS...DROUGHT ARCHIVES AND TEMPERATURE/RAINFALL OUTLOOKS)...
HTTP://DROUGHT.UNL.EDU/MONITOR.HTML

U.S. DROUGHT MONITOR (INCLUDES ONLY TEXAS)...
HTTP://DROUGHT.UNL.EDU/DM_STATE.HTM?TX,S

U.S. DROUGHT PORTAL...
HTTP://WWW.DROUGHT.GOV

TEXAS DROUGHT MONITORING SITE...
HTTP://WWW.TXWIN.NET/MONITORING/METEOROLOGICAL/DROUGHT/INDICES.HTM

NOAA DROUGHT PAGE...
HTTP://WWW.DROUGHT.NOAA.GOV

DROUGHT IMPACT REPORTER...
HTTP://DROUGHTREPORTER.UNL.EDU/

TEXAS WATER DEVELOPMENT BOARD DROUGHT WEBSITE
HTTP://WWW.WATERDATAFORTEXAS.ORG/DROUGHT/

VEGETATION DROUGHT RESPONSE INDEX
HTTP://DROUGHT.UNL.EDU.VEGDRI/VEGDRI_MAIN.HTM?EV

CLIMATE PREDICTION CENTER...
HTTP://WWW.CPC.NCEP.NOAA.GOV

WEATHER PREDICTION CENTER...
HTTP://WWW.HPC.NCEP.NOAA.GOV

STANDARDIZED PRECIPITATION INDEX (SPI)...
HTTP://WWW.WRCC.DRI.EDU/SPI/SPI.HTML

AGNEWS: TEXAS A & M AGRICULTURAL PROGRAM (CROP AND WEATHER REPORT)...
HTTP://TODAY.AGRILIFE.ORG

TEXAS INTERAGENCY COORDINATION CENTER (TICC)...
HTTP://WWW.TAMU.EDU/TICC/

TEXAS BURN BANS...HTTP://TFSFRP.TAMU.EDU/WILDFIRES/DECBAN.PNG

TEXAS KBDI...HTTP://WEBGIS.TAMU.EDU/TFS/KBDI_DAILY/KBDICOUNTY.PNG

TEXAS COMMISSION ON ENVIRONMENTAL QUALITY (WATER RESTRICTIONS):
WWW.TCEQ.TEXAS.GOV/DRINKINATER/TROT/LOCATION.HTML

CORPUS CHRISTI WATER DEPARTMENT...
WWW.CCTEXAS.COM/GOVERNMENT/WATER

CORPUS CHRISTI WATER CONSERVATION
WWW.CCTEXAS.COM/ASSETS/DEPARTMENTS/WATER/FILES/WATERCONSERVATIONPLAN.PDF

VICTORIA WATER CONSERVATION:
WWW.VICTORIATX.ORG/PIO/PDFS/WATERSAVINGMETHODS.PDF

LAREDO WATER RESTRICTIONS AND CONSERVATION...
WWW.CI.LAREDO.TX.US/UTILITIES05/ORDINANCE/2009_ORDINANCE.PDF

CITY OF VICTORIA WEB SITE...WWW.VICTORIATX.ORG

CITY OF LAREDO WEB SITE...WWW.CI.LAREDO.TX.US

CITY OF PORTLAND WEB SITE...WWW.PORTLANDTX.COM

ADDITIONAL RIVER INFORMATION...
NWS...HTTP://WWW.WEATHER.GOV/AHPS/
USGS...HTTP://WATER.USGS.GOV/
IBWC...HTTP://IBWC.STATE.GOV/

ACKNOWLEDGMENTS...
THE DROUGHT MONITOR IS A MULTI-AGENCY EFFORT INVOLVING THE NATIONAL
WEATHER SERVICE AND NATIONAL CLIMATIC DATA CENTER...THE USDA...STATE
AND REGIONAL CENTER CLIMATOLOGISTS AND THE NATIONAL DROUGHT
MITIGATION CENTER. INFORMATION FOR THIS STATEMENT HAS BEEN GATHERED
FROM NWS AND FAA OBSERVATION SITES...STATE COOPERATIVE EXTENSION
SERVICES...THE USDA...USACE AND USGS.

QUESTIONS OR COMMENTS...
IF YOU HAVE ANY QUESTIONS OR COMMENTS ABOUT THIS DROUGHT INFORMATION
STATEMENT...PLEASE CONTACT...
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE
426 PINSON DRIVE
CORPUS CHRISTI TX 78406
PHONE: 361-289-0959
SR-CRP.WEBMASTER@NOAA.GOV


$$

GW/CB










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