Drought Information Statement
Issued by NWS Corpus Christi, TX

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AXUS74 KCRP 200150
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DROUGHT INFORMATION STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CORPUS CHRISTI TX
850 PM CDT THU JUN 19 2014

...MODERATE DROUGHT CONDITIONS SPREAD INTO NORTHEASTERN PORTIONS OF
SOUTH TEXAS WITH LITTLE CHANGE IN DROUGHT STATUS ELSEWHERE...

...MOST OF SOUTH TEXAS IS EXPERIENCING BELOW NORMAL RAINFALL AND
ABOVE NORMAL TEMPERATURES SO FAR IN JUNE...

...AT LEAST A 70 PERCENT CHANCE FOR EL-NINO CONDITIONS TO DEVELOP
DURING THE SUMMER AND AN 80 PERCENT CHANCE BY THE END OF 2014...


.SYNOPSIS...
AFTER A RELATIVELY WET MAY...SO FAR JUNE HAS BEEN WARM AND DRY
OVER MOST OF SOUTH TEXAS. WHILE MOST OF THE VICTORIA CROSSROADS
AREA AND NORTHERN COASTAL BEND HAVE RECEIVED AT LEAST 1/2 INCH OF
RAIN DURING THE LAST TWO WEEKS...MOST OF THE SOUTHERN COASTAL BEND
(INCLUDING THE SOUTHERN COASTAL COUNTIES) HAVE RECEIVED LESS THAN
1/4 INCH OF PRECIPITATION. ABOUT 2/3 OF THE HYDROLOGIC SERVICE
AREA (HSA) HAS RECEIVED LESS THAN 50 PERCENT OF THEIR NORMAL
RAINFALL DURING THE PAST TWO WEEKS. HOWEVER...SINCE MUCH OF SOUTH
TEXAS SAW ABOVE NORMAL RAINFALL DURING MAY...THERE WAS LITTLE TO
NO CHANGE IN DROUGHT STATUS OVER SOUTH TEXAS. THE MAIN CHANGE WAS
A DETERIORATION IN DROUGHT STATUS OVER NORTHEASTERN PORTIONS OF
THE COASTAL BEND.

***PLEASE NOTE: RAINFALL WHICH OCCURRED OVER MUCH OF WEBB AND LA
 SALLE COUNTIES DURING THE LATE EVENING OF JUNE 18 AND MORNING OF
 JUNE 19 WAS NOT USED IN THE DROUGHT MONITOR PRODUCT***

THE LATEST DROUGHT MONITOR PRODUCT...VALID AS OF 7 AM EDT JUNE 17
2014...SHOWS THE FOLLOWING DROUGHT CONDITIONS OVER SOUTH TEXAS (D4
= EXCEPTIONAL; D3 = EXTREME; D2 = SEVERE; D1 = MODERATE; D0 =
ABNORMALLY DRY). THESE COUNTIES HAVE THE FOLLOWING DROUGHT
CONDITIONS:

ARANSAS COUNTY: ALL OF THE COUNTY IS NOW IN D1 STATUS.

BEE COUNTY: D1 CONDITIONS EXIST OVER EXTREME NORTHEASTERN
PORTIONS OF THE COUNTY AND INCLUDE THE COMMUNITIES OF TULISTA AND
PETTUS. D0 CONDITIONS EXIST OVER THE REMAINDER OF THE COUNTY.

CALHOUN COUNTY: D2 CONDITIONS EXIST OVER THE EXTREME NORTHEASTERN
SECTIONS...NEAR AND EAST OF THE COMMUNITIES OF PORT LAVACA AND
PORT O`CONNOR...AND INCLUDES THE COMMUNITIES POINT COMFORT AND
MAGNOLIA BEACH. THE REMAINDER OF THE COUNTY IS IN D1 STATUS...AND
INCLUDES THE COMMUNITIES OF SEA DRIFT AND KAMEY.

DUVAL COUNTY: D0 CONDITIONS EXIST OVER MOST OF THE NORTHEASTERN
HALF...AND INCLUDE THE COMMUNITIES FREER...ROSITA AND SAN DIEGO.
THE REMAINDER OF THE COUNTY HAS NO DROUGHT STATUS...AND INCLUDES
THE COMMUNITIES OF BENAVIDES AND REALITOS.

GOLIAD COUNTY: D2 CONDITIONS EXIST OVER NORTHERN PORTIONS OF THE
COUNTY NEAR BUT JUST NORTH AND NORTHEAST OF GOLIAD...ANGEL CITY
AND RIVERDALE...AND INCLUDE THE COMMUNITIES OF WESER AND ANDER.
D1 CONDITIONS EXIST OVER NEARLY THE REMAINDER OF THE COUNTY
(EXCEPT EXTREME SOUTHERN AREAS WHICH ARE IN D0 STATUS)...AND
INCLUDE THE COMMUNITIES OF GOLIAD...CHARCO...AND SCHROEDER.

JIM WELLS COUNTY: D0 CONDITIONS EXIST OVER THE NORTHERN HALF...
AND INCLUDE THE COMMUNITIES OF ALICE...ORANGE GROVE AND MIDWAY.
THE REMAINDER OF THE COUNTY IS DROUGHT-FREE...INCLUDING BEN BOLT
AND PREMONT.

KLEBERG COUNTY: D0 CONDITIONS EXIST OVER ALL BUT THE WESTERN 1/5
OF THE COUNTY (WHICH HAS NO DROUGHT STATUS). KINGSVILLE AND
RICARDO ARE NOW IN D0 STATUS...WHILE KINGSVILLE AIRPORT HAS NO
DROUGHT STATUS.

LA SALLE COUNTY: D1 CONDITIONS EXIST OVER THE NORTHERN 1/3 OF THE
COUNTY...AND INCLUDES THE COMMUNITIES OF GARDENDALE...WOODWARD AND
FOWLERTON. D0 CONDITIONS EXIST OVER ALL BUT THE SOUTHERN 1/4 OF THE
COUNTY AND INCLUDE THE COMMUNITIES OF COTULLA AND ARTESIA WELLS.
THE REMAINDER OF THE COUNTY IS DROUGHT-FREE...INCLUDING THE
COMMUNITY OF ATLEE.

LIVE OAK COUNTY: D0 CONDITIONS EXIST FOR THE ENTIRE COUNTY.

MCMULLEN COUNTY: D0 CONDITIONS EXIST FOR ALL BUT THE EXTREME
NORTHWESTERN PORTIONS OF THE COUNTY...WHICH IS IN D1 STATUS (IN
RURAL AREAS). THE COMMUNITIES OF TILDEN AND CALLIHAM ARE IN D0
STATUS.

NUECES COUNTY: D0 CONDITIONS EXIST OVER THE ENTIRE COUNTY...EXCEPT
FOR EXTREME NORTHERN AREAS OF THE BARRIER ISLANDS (WHICH IS IN D1
STATUS). THE COMMUNITIES OF CORPUS CHRISTI...CHAPMAN RANCH...
DRISCOLL AND BISHOP ARE IN D0 STATUS...WHILE PORT ARANSAS IS IN D1
STATUS.

REFUGIO COUNTY: D1 CONDITIONS EXIST OVER THE NORTHEASTERN 2/3 OF
THE COUNTY...AND INCLUDE THE COMMUNITIES OF REFUGIO...VIDAURI AND
TIVOLI. D0 CONDITIONS EXIST OVER THE REMAINDER OF THE COUNTY...AND
INCLUDE THE COMMUNITIES OF WOODSBORO...BONNIE VIEW AND CRANELL.

SAN PATRICIO COUNTY: D1 CONDITIONS NOW EXIST OVER THE EXTREME
EASTERN PORTIONS OF THE COUNTY...AND INCLUDE ARANSAS PASS (BUT
JUST EAST OF INGLESIDE). D0 CONDITIONS EXIST OVER THE REMAINDER OF
THE COUNTY...AND INCLUDE THE COMMUNITIES OF SINTON...MATHIS...
AND PORTLAND.

VICTORIA COUNTY: D1 CONDITIONS EXIST OVER ALL OF THE COUNTY
INCLUDING THE CITY OF VICTORIA.

WEBB COUNTY: THERE IS NO DROUGHT STATUS OVER MOST OF THE COUNTY
(INCLUDING THE CITY OF LAREDO)...WITH ONLY THE EXTREME
NORTHWESTERN PORTIONS OF THE COUNTY IN D0 STATUS (RURAL AREAS).

SEE THE DROUGHT MONITOR PRODUCT (LINK PROVIDED BELOW) FOR A
GRAPHICAL VIEW OF THE DROUGHT AREAS.


SUMMARY OF IMPACTS...
STATE AND LOCAL ACTIONS.
ACCORDING TO THE TEXAS FOREST SERVICE BURN BAN MAP OF JUNE 18...BEE
COUNTY HAS A BURN BAN IN EFFECT. THUS...NO OTHER SOUTH TEXAS
COUNTIES ARE UNDER BURN BANS. NEVERTHELESS...RESIDENTS PLANNING ON
BURNING SHOULD CONTACT COUNTY OFFICIALS TO ENSURE THAT BURNING IS
ALLOWED...AND ALSO TO SEE IF ANY RESTRICTIONS ON HOW AND WHEN TO
BURN ARE IN EFFECT. IF BURNING IS ALLOWED...BE SURE IT IS NOT DONE
DURING WINDY DAYS WITH LOW HUMIDITY...AS THIS COULD RESULT IN A
FIRE WHICH COULD EASILY GET OUT OF CONTROL.

ALSO...THERE HAVE BEEN NO CHANGE IN WATER RESTRICTIONS FOR CORPUS
CHRISTI AND VICTORIA. THE CITY OF LAREDO IS UNDER STAGE 1 WATER
RESTRICTIONS.

ACCORDING TO THE CITY OF CORPUS CHRISTI WATER PAGE...THE CITY
REMAINS IN STAGE 1 OF THE DROUGHT CONTINGENCY PLAN...AND WILL
REMAIN SO UNTIL THE COMBINED RESERVOIR CAPACITY FOR CHOKE CANYON
AND LAKE CORPUS CHRISTI FALLS BELOW 40 PERCENT. UNDER STAGE
1...RESIDENTS ARE ASKED TO VOLUNTARILY CONSERVE WATER WHENEVER
POSSIBLE. FOR THE CITY OF CORPUS CHRISTI...WATERING IS NO LONGER
LIMITED TO ONCE A WEEK. HOWEVER RESIDENTS SHOULD CONTINUE TO LIMIT
THE USE OF WATER OUTSIDE DURING THE HOURS OF 10 AM AND 6 PM. THE
CITIES OF PORTLAND AND INGLESIDE ARE ALSO IN STAGE 1 RESTRICTIONS.

GENERAL USES AND RESTRICTIONS UNDER STAGE 1:

* WATER IS NO LONGER LIMITED TO ONCE A WEEK
* NO WATERING OR OUTSIDE WASHING DURING THE HOURS OF 10 AM AND 6
  PM.

ADDITIONAL MINOR DIFFERENCES ARE OBSERVED AT PORTLAND AND INGLESIDE.
FOR MORE INFORMATION FOR THESE LOCATIONS...PLEASE VISIT:

HTTP://PORTLANDTX.COM
HTTP://INGLESIDETX.GOV

THE CITY OF VICTORIA STILL ENCOURAGES RESIDENTS TO CONSERVE WATER
VOLUNTARILY.

THE CITY OF LAREDO IS UNDER STAGE 1 WATER RESTRICTIONS. THESE
WATER RESTRICTIONS STILL ALLOW RESIDENTS TO WATER THEIR LANDSCAPES
AT ANY TIME...BUT RESIDENTS ARE ASKED TO VOLUNTARILY CONSERVE
WATER.

WITH CONTINUED WARM WEATHER OVER THE NEXT COUPLE OF MONTHS...
RESIDENTS ARE STRONGLY ENCOURAGED TO LIMIT THEIR WATERING. WATER
CONSERVED NOW CAN BE USED FOR THE SUMMER MONTHS...WHEN LAWNS NEED
MORE WATER THAN NOW. IF WATER IS WASTED NOW... IT MAY NOT BE
AVAILABLE IN THE SUMMER MONTHS...DUE TO MORE STRINGENT WATER
RESTRICTIONS. CONTINUE TO WATER ONCE A WEEK...OR BEGIN TO CURTAIL
WATERING TO A FEW TIMES A WEEK...AND GRADUALLY ALLOW YOUR LAWN TO
ADJUST TO ONCE A WEEK WATERING. WHEN ADEQUATE RAINFALL IS RECENTLY
RECEIVED...WATERING SHOULD BE OMITTED FOR SEVERAL DAYS UNTIL
WATERING BECOMES NECESSARY. RESIDENTS WITH SPRINKLER SYSTEMS
SHOULD MONITOR THEIR WATERING TO ENSURE THEIR SYSTEM IS WATERING
THE LAWN AND NOT THE SIDEWALK OR STREET. ALSO...USE A SPRINKLER
WHICH MAKES LARGER WATER DROPLETS...AND AVOID WATERING ON WINDY
DAYS.

RESIDENTS SHOULD REMAIN INFORMED ON ANY WATER RESTRICTIONS WHICH
MAY BE IMPOSED FOR THEIR LOCATION...AS ANY VIOLATIONS CAN RESULT
IN SIGNIFICANT FINES. MORE INFORMATION ON HOW TO CONSERVE WATER
(AND DROUGHT CONTINGENCY PLANS) IS FOUND ON THE CITY WEBSITES
LISTED AT THE END OF THIS STATEMENT.

ADDITIONAL LOCATIONS WITHIN THE HSA HAVE MAINTAINED EITHER
MANDATORY OR VOLUNTARY RESTRICTIONS ON THEIR LOCAL PUBLIC WATER
SYSTEMS (PWS). ACCORDING TO THE TEXAS COMMISSION ON ENVIRONMENTAL
QUALITY (TCEQ)...HERE IS A LIST OF LOCATIONS WITHIN THE HSA (AS OF
JUNE 11 2014) WHICH HAVE WATER RESTRICTIONS:

REMOVED RESTRICTIONS: NONE REMOVED

NEW/AMENDED RESTRICTIONS: NONE ADDED

PREVIOUS RESTRICTIONS:
ARANSAS COUNTY: CITY OF ROCKPORT (STAGE 1)...COPANO HEIGHTS WATER
(STAGE 1)

BEE COUNTY: BLUEBERRY HILLS WATERWORKS (STAGE 1)...CITY OF
BEEVILLE (VOLUNTARY)

CALHOUN COUNTY: THE CITY OF POINT COMFORT (STAGE 1)

DUVAL COUNTY: FREER WCID (VOLUNTARY)

JIM WELLS COUNTY: CITY OF ALICE (STAGE 1)...ENGLISH ACRES (STAGE
3)...PAISANO MOBILE HOME PARK (STAGE 3).

KLEBERG COUNTY: CITY OF KINGSVILLE (VOLUNTARY)...TEXAS A & M
UNIVERSITY KINGSVILLE (VOLUNTARY)...RICARDO WSC (STAGE 1)...KING
RANCH SANTA GERTRUDIS (VOLUNTARY)...EAST RIVIERA WSC (VOLUNTARY).

LIVE OAK: BUCKEYE KNOLL (STAGE 1)...OLD MARBACH SCHOOL WSC
(VOLUNTARY)

NUECES COUNTY: CITY OF BISHOP (STAGE 1)...NUECES COUNTY WCID 3
(STAGE 1)...NUECES COUNTY WCID 4 (STAGE 1)..CORPUS CHRISTI NAS
(STAGE 1)...NUECES WSC (STAGE 1).

SAN PATRICIO COUNTY: CITY OF GREGORY (STAGE 2)...CITY OF MATHIS
(STAGE 1)...CITY OF ODEM (STAGE 1)...CITY OF TAFT (STAGE 1)...SAN
PATRICIO MWD (VOLUNTARY)

VICTORIA COUNTY: VICTORIA COUNTY WCID 1 (STAGE 1)

WEBB COUNTY: MIRANDO CITY WSC (VOLUNTARY)...BRUNI RURAL WSC
(VOLUNTARY)


AGRICULTURAL AND SOIL MOISTURE CONDITIONS.
DUE TO THE LACK OF WIDESPREAD HEAVY RAINFALL...SOIL MOISTURE
VALUES DECREASED DURING THE PAST COUPLE OF WEEKS. THE LATEST SOIL
MOISTURE ANOMALY MAP FROM THE CLIMATE PREDICTION CENTER (VALID ON
JUNE 18) SHOWS SLIGHTLY BELOW NORMAL SOIL MOISTURE CONDITIONS
(-20 MM TO -40 MM) OVER OVER ALL OF SOUTH TEXAS. ALSO...SOIL
MOISTURE RANKING PERCENTILES REMAIN BETWEEN 30 AND 70 PERCENT OVER
ALL OF SOUTH TEXAS. HOWEVER...CROP MOISTURE INDICES (VALID JUNE
14)...SHOW SEVERELY DRY CONDITIONS (-3.0 OR LESS) OVER THE WESTERN
PORTIONS OF THE HSA...WITH SLIGHTLY DRY/FAVORABLY MOIST (-0.9 TO
+0.9) OVER THE REMAINDER OF THE HSA.

IN A RECENT ARTICLE IN THE FORT-WORTH STAR-TELEGRAM (WWW.STAR-
TELEGRAM.COM)...THE U.S. DEPARTMENT OF AGRICULTURE REVISED ITS
WHEAT PRODUCTION ESTIMATE DOWNWARD AS DROUGHT CONTINUED TO HURT
WINTER WHEAT IN KANSAS...OKLAHOMA AND TEXAS SINCE THE LAST CROP
REPORT. WINTER WHEAT PRODUCTION WAS ESTIMATED TO BE 1.38 BILLION
BUSHELS OR TWO PERCENT LOWER THAN THE MAY ESTIMATE AND 10 PERCENT
LOWER THAN LAST YEAR. THE ESTIMATE FOR HARD RED WINTER WHEAT...
USED FOR BREAD-MAKING...WAS 720 MILLION BUSHELS...OR 3 PERCENT
LOWER THAN LAST MONTH.

IN A RECENT ARTICLE ON ABCNEWSONLINE
(HTTP://ABCNEWSRADIOONLINE.COM) AND FOUND IN THE DROUGHT IMPACT
REPORTER...GOV. RICK PERRY EXTENDED THE STATE OF TEXAS` DROUGHT
EMERGENCY. CONTINUED LOW RAINFALL HAS CAUSED THE LEVEL OF WATER IN
AQUIFERS AND RESERVOIRS IN A NUMBER OF COUNTIES IN TEXAS TO
DWINDLE...PERRY SAID IN A PROCLAMATION ON MONDAY JUNE 9. PERRY
FIRST ISSUED AN EMERGENCY DROUGHT PROCLAMATION IN JULY
2011...SAYING THAT THE EXISTING CONDITIONS POSED A THREAT OF
"IMMINENT DISASTER." PERRY SAYS THAT THE DROUGHT CONDITIONS HAVE
REACHED "HISTORIC LEVELS" AND THREATEN PUBLIC HEALTH...PROPERTY
AND THE ECONOMY. MORE THAN 50 COUNTIES ARE COVERED BY THE
PROCLAMATION...INCLUDING DALLAS COUNTY.

IN A RECENT ARTICLE IN AGRILIFE TODAY...NEARLY ALL OF TEXAS
CONTINUED TO RECEIVE RAIN AFTER MEMORIAL DAY STORMS...FURTHER
IMPROVING THE PROSPECTS OF SPRING CROP PLANTINGS AND EXISTING
PASTURES AND RANGELAND...ACCORDING TO TEXAS A&M AGRILIFE EXTENSION
SERVICE REPORTS THROUGHOUT THE STATE. IN SOME
AREAS...ACCUMULATIONS WERE HEAVY. FROM MAY 27 THROUGH JUNE
10...SOME PARTS OF THE COASTAL BEND AND EAST TEXAS RECEIVED 8
INCHES OR MORE OF RAIN...ACCORDING TO THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE?S PRECIPITATION ANALYSIS. AMOUNTS WERE LESS FOR OTHER
PARTS OF THE STATE. CONDITION REPORTS FROM AGRILIFE EXTENSION
COUNTY AGENTS SHOWED PLANTING CONTINUING AND CROPS PROGRESSING.
WARMER WEATHER IN CONJUNCTION WITH THE MOISTURE IMPROVED PASTURE
AND RANGELAND AS WELL...AND STIMULATED THE GROWTH OF WARM-SEASON
ANNUAL GRASSES. IN SOME INSTANCES...FARMERS WHO HAD BEEN HOLDING
OFF PLANTING IN DRY SOIL WERE RUSHING TO MEET CROP INSURANCE
DEADLINES.


THE TEXAS CROP AND WEATHER REPORTS FOR JUNE 10 AND JUNE 17
CONTAINED THE FOLLOWING INFORMATION:

FOR THE COASTAL BEND DISTRICT:

* DESPITE THE RAINS OF TWO WEEKS AGO...PASTURE CONDITIONS WERE
  ONCE AGAIN REPORTED AS GOOD TO POOR THROUGHOUT THE REGION.
  GOOD TO FAIR WERE THE MOST COMMON RANGELAND RATINGS. GRASS WAS
  STILL AVAILABLE FOR GRAZING...BUT ITS GROWTH SLOWED AS
  CONDITIONS BECAME DRIER.

* ALTHOUGH SOILS WERE DRYING OUT RAPIDLY THROUGHOUT MOST OF THE
  DISTRICT. HOWEVER...CROPS SHOWED MORE PROMISE THAN IN SEVERAL
  YEARS FOR MANY COUNTIES.

* COTTON LOOKED GOOD BUT WILL NEED ANOTHER RAIN SOON TO HOLD
  BOLLS. CORN AND MOST OF THE GRAIN SORGHUM WERE NEARLY
  MATURE...AND ABOVE-NORMAL YIELDS WERE EXPECTED.

* DAYTIME TEMPERATURES WERE RISING FAST...AND ALONG WITH RECENT
  RAINS...CROPS AND WARM-SEASON FORAGES WERE PROGRESSING WELL.
  SOME PRODUCERS APPLIED PESTICIDES FOR SUGARCANE APHIDS ON
  SORGHUM AS THE CROP BEGAN TO TURN COLOR. WORK ON ESTABLISHING
  ECONOMIC THRESHOLDS FOR TREATMENT FOR THE APHIDS...AS WELL AS
  ALTERNATIVE CONTROLS...CONTINUED.

* MANY FORAGE PRODUCERS WERE HARVESTING HAY.

* BEEF PRODUCERS BEGAN BRUSH CONTROL PRACTICES WHERE THE GROUND
  WAS DRY ENOUGH. FARMERS WERE SPRAYING COTTON FOR FLEAHOPPERS
  AND BROADLEAF WEEDS.

* WHERE FIELDS REMAINED TOO WET TO RUN GROUND SPRAY RIGS...SOME
  PRODUCERS OPTED FOR AERIAL APPLICATIONS.

* HORN FLY PROBLEMS WERE INCREASING IN SEVERAL AREAS. A SINGLE
  HORN FLY CAN TAKE A BLOOD MEAL 20 TO 30 TIMES PER
  DAY...REDUCING AN BEEF ANIMAL?S PERFORMANCE.


FOR THE WESTERN AREAS (CONSIDERED PART OF THE SOUTH DISTRICT):
* GOOD RAINS OF THE PREVIOUS WEEK CONTINUED TO IMPROVE
  RANGE...PASTURES AND CROPS IN MOST PARTS OF THE REGION. THE
  HIGH TEMPERATURES STRESSED RANGELAND...PASTURES AND LIVESTOCK
  BUT BENEFITTED SOME CROPS.

* IN THE NORTHERN PART OF THE ...PEANUT PLANTING WAS IN FULL
  SWING...AND HAY  WAS BEING HARVESTED. THE POTATO AND WATERMELON
  HARVESTS ONGOING. CATTLE WERE BEING SHIPPED IN PREPARATION FOR
  THE UPCOMING SUMMER HEAT. HERD NUMBERS CONTINUED TO DROP.

* ALSO IN THE NORTHERN PART OF THE DISTRICT...THE HOT...HUMID
  WEATHER AND HIGH WINDS TOOK A TOLL ON SOIL MOISTURE. THE
  HARVESTING OF WHEAT AND OATS WAS COMPLETED. THE POTATO...HAY AND
  WATERMELON HARVESTS CONTINUED. RANGELAND AND PASTURES WERE IN
  FAIR CONDITION IN FRIO COUNTY...BUT POOR IN MCMULLEN COUNTY.
  SUPPLEMENTAL FEEDING OF LIVESTOCK WAS AT A STEADY PACE IN AREAS
  RUNNING SHORT ON FORAGE. PRODUCERS WERE CULLING CATTLE AND
  WEANING CALVES EARLY...AND CATTLE BODY CONDITION SCORES REMAINED
  FAIR.

* EXTREMELY HOT WEATHER IN THE EASTERN PART OF THE DISTRICT DRIED
  OUT SOILS...RANGELAND AND PASTURES. HOWEVER...MOST PASTURES
  REMAINED GREEN. EIGHTY PERCENT OF CORN WAS SILKING. SORGHUM WAS
  ALSO IN GOOD CONDITION...WITH 5 PERCENT OF THE CROP COLORING.
  COTTON WAS IN GOOD CONDITION.

* IN JIM WELLS COUNTY...HOT DRY WEATHER HELPED CROPS MATURE.
  FIELDS THAT RECEIVED AMPLE MOISTURE IN THE PAST STILL WERE
  IMPROVING...BUT THOSE THAT MISSED RECENT RAINS WERE BEGINNING TO
  SHOW SIGNS OF STRESS AND MATURING EARLY. SOIL MOISTURE WAS 75 TO
  100 PERCENT ADEQUATE IN JIM WELLS COUNTY...AND 40 TO 60 PERCENT
  SHORT IN KLEBERG AND KENEDY COUNTIES.

* IN THE WESTERN PART OF THE REGION...SOIL MOISTURE RANGED FROM 80
  TO 100 PERCENT SURPLUS. BERMUDA GRASS HAY PRODUCERS WERE BUSY
  BALING HAY. THE DRY CONDITIONS MEANT IRRIGATION PUMPS WERE
  CONSTANTLY RUNNING ON CORN...COTTON AND SORGHUM FIELDS. DRYLAND
  CROPS REMAINED IN FAIR TO GOOD CONDITION THANKS TO EARLIER
  RAINS.

* ALSO IN THE WESTERN PART OF THE DISTRICT...SOIL MOISTURE GRAIN
  SORGHUM WAS FULLY EMERGED. FARMERS WERE IRRIGATING
  COTTON...CORN AND SORGHUM...WHICH WERE IN CRITICAL DEVELOPMENTAL
  STAGES. THE CABBAGE AND ONION HARVESTS WERE BOTH NEARLY
  FINISHED. SUPPLEMENTAL FEEDING OF LIVESTOCK WAS LIGHT WITH
  MODERATE STOCKING RATES AND SLOW RESTOCKING IN SOME AREAS.

* IN WEBB COUNTY...HIGHER EVAPORATION RATES AND TRIPLE-DIGIT HEAT
  WERE DRYING OUT STOCK WATER TANKS. SURFACE WATER SUPPLIES FOR
  LIVESTOCK WERE SHORT ON MOST LOCAL RANCHES IN THAT AREA.
  RANCHERS WERE CULLING LIGHTLY AND RESTOCKING SLOWLY.


FIRE DANGER HAZARDS.
ACCORDING TO THE 5 DAY AVERAGE FIRE DANGER MAP FROM THE TEXAS
INTER-AGENCY COORDINATION CENTER (TICC) ON JUNE 18...THERE IS A
MODERATE FIRE DANGER OVER MOST OF THE EASTERN HSA...BUT A HIGH
FIRE DANGER OVER NEARLY ALL OF WEBB...DUVAL AND LA SALLE
COUNTIES...SOUTHERN PORTIONS OF JIM WELLS COUNTY...AND WESTERN
KLEBERG COUNTY. DRYING SOILS ALONG WITH WARM TEMPERATURES AND
MODERATE WINDS HAVE INCREASED THE FIRE DANGER OVER THE PAST TWO
WEEKS.

COUNTY AVERAGED KEETCH-BYRAM DROUGHT INDICES HAVE RISEN OVER MOST
COUNTIES IN THE HSA. HOWEVER...RAINFALL OVER WEBB AND LA SALLE
COUNTIES LATE ON JUNE 18 AND ON JUNE 19 HAVE RESULTED IN LOWER
KBDI VALUES OVER THESE TWO COUNTIES. MOST COUNTIES HAVE KBDI
VALUES IN THE MODERATE RANGE (400 TO 500). AS OF JUNE 19...THE
FOLLOWING KBDI AVERAGES WERE OBSERVED:

 0 TO 200:  NONE.

200 TO 300: WEBB COUNTY

300 TO 400: JIM WELLS...LIVE OAK...AND VICTORIA COUNTIES.

400 TO 500: LA SALLE...MCMULLEN...DUVAL...KLEBERG...NUECES...SAN
            PATRICIO...BEE...GOLIAD AND CALHOUN COUNTIES.

500 TO 600: LA SALLE...ARANSAS AND REFUGIO COUNTIES.

600 TO 700: NONE.

700 TO 800: NONE.

KBDI AVERAGES WILL LIKELY RISE UNLESS ADDITIONAL WIDESPREAD
RAINFALL OCCURS DURING THE FEW WEEKS.


RIVER AND HYDROLOGIC CONDITIONS.
RIVER LEVELS WILL BE ABOVE NORMAL FOR A FEW DAYS ALONG THE RIO
GRANDE...DUE TO HEAVY RAINFALL FROM JUNE 18TH THROUGH JUNE 19TH
ACROSS MEXICO AND THE RIO GRANDE PLAINS. ACROSS THE REMAINDER OF
SOUTH TEXAS...RIVERS AND CREEKS ARE NEAR TO BELOW NORMAL. THE
CREEKS THAT ARE BELOW NORMAL INCLUDE OSO CREEK...SAN FERNANDO
CREEK...COLETO CREEK AND PLACEDO CREEK. RIVERS THAT ARE BELOW
NORMAL INCLUDE NUECES RIVER AT TILDEN...THE GUADALUPE RIVER AT
VICTORIA AND MISSION RIVER AT REFUGIO.

FLOWS ON THE GUADALUPE RIVER AT VICTORIA FELL TO BELOW 10 FEET BY
JUNE 1...NOW HOVERING BETWEEN 5.5 FEET (404 CFS) AND 7.5 FEET (1104
CFS) OVER THE LAST COUPLE OF DAYS...WITH A FORECAST TO DROP TO
BETWEEN 5.0 FEET (296 CFS) AND 6.0 FEET (536 CFS) OVER THE NEXT 5
DAYS. AS LONG AS FLOWS REMAIN ABOVE 150 CFS (ABOUT 4.2 FEET)...THE
CITY OF VICTORIA CAN CONTINUE TO OBTAIN ITS WATER FROM THE RIVER.

MOST OF THE HEAVIER RAINFALL DID NOT FALL INTO THE CORPUS CHRISTI
WATERSHED...SO NOTABLE RISES AT CHOKE CANYON DAM AND LAKE CORPUS
CHRISTI WERE NOT OBSERVED. HOWEVER...A NOTABLE RISE DID OCCUR AT
LAKE TEXANA AT THE BEGINNING OF JUNE...WITH THE LEVEL RISING TO
ABOVE 44 FEET (CAPACITY IS 44 FEET).

AS OF JUNE 19 2014...THE LEVEL AT CHOKE CANYON DAM WAS AT
195.7 FEET (31.0 PERCENT CAPACITY)...WITH LAKE CORPUS CHRISTI AT
90.2 FEET (74.0 PERCENT CAPACITY). THE COMBINED SYSTEM CAPACITY FOR
THE CORPUS CHRISTI WATER SUPPLY WAS AT 42.6 PERCENT...WHICH IS 2.3
PERCENTAGE POINTS LOWER THAN ON JUNE 5 2014.

AS OF JUNE 18, 2014...LAKE TEXANA HAS HELD STEADY AT 44.2 FEET (101.3
PERCENT CAPACITY).

AS OF JUNE 19, 2014...COLETO CREEK LOWERED BY 0.32 FEET...WITH THE
CURRENT LEVEL AT 97.00 FEET.

CANYON DAM WAS NEARLY STEADY...WITH THE CURRENT LEVEL AT 900.87 FEET (84
PERCENT CAPACITY)...OR A FALL OF 0.06 FEET SINCE JUNE 5, 2014.

FINALLY...THE LEVEL AT LAKE AMISTAD WAS 1071.24 FEET (34
PERCENT)...WHICH IS 0.38 FEET LOWER THAN JUNE 5TH. WITH BELOW NORMAL
RAINFALL MOST LIKELY DURING THE SUMMER MONTHS...CORPUS CHRISTI
RESERVOIR LEVELS COULD FALL TO BELOW 40 PERCENT IN A FEW
MONTHS...REQUIRING STAGE 2 WATER RESTRICTIONS.


CLIMATE SUMMARY...

THE MAJORITY OF SOUTH TEXAS SAW LESS THAN 75 PERCENT OF THEIR
NORMAL RAINFALL DURING THE PAST TWO WEEKS...WITH THE SOUTHERN
COASTAL COUNTIES IN THE GREATEST DEFICIT REPORTING 5 PERCENT OR
LESS OF NORMAL. THE VICTORIA CROSSROADS AREA AND LOCATIONS FROM
HEBBRONVILLE TO FREER TO GEORGE WEST HAD ROUGHLY OVER HALF AN
INCH...WITH LOCATIONS RECEIVING 1 TO 3 INCHES. PARTS OF THOSE
LOCATIONS SAW ROUGHLY 150-200 PERCENT OF NORMAL RAINFALL. WITH THE
ADDITIONAL RAINFALL EVENT THAT OCCURRED THE EVENING OF JUNE 18 AND
CONTINUED THROUGH JUNE 19...RAIN FELL OVER MUCH OF THE WESTERN
PORTIONS OF WEBB AND LA SALLE COUNTIES AS SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS DEVELOPED AND TRAINED ONE AFTER ANOTHER. MOST OF THE
RAIN FELL NORTH OF THE LAREDO AIRPORT. RADAR ESTIMATES OF 2 TO 4
INCHES FELL GENERALLY ALONG AND WEST OF INTERSTATE 35...WITH A
FEW LOCATIONS RECEIVING 6 TO 8 INCHES. THIS ALL LED TO 200 TO 600
PERCENT OF NORMAL RAINFALL.

DISREGARDING THE RAINFALL EVENT FROM THE EVENING OF THE 18TH...THE
LACK OF RAINFALL AND PERSISTENT HIGH PRESSURE CONTINUED ABOVE
NORMAL TEMPERATURES FOR THE FIRST HALF OF JUNE. THE AVERAGE
TEMPERATURE WAS GENERALLY 2 DEGREES ABOVE NORMAL ACROSS SOUTH
TEXAS...WITH CORPUS CHRISTI REPORTING 2.7 DEGREES ABOVE
NORMAL...LAREDO REPORTING 2.8 DEGREES ABOVE NORMAL...AND VICTORIA
REPORTING 2.1 DEGREES ABOVE NORMAL.

THE FOLLOWING TABLE SHOWS THE TOTAL MONTHLY RAINFALL AMOUNTS
THROUGH JUNE 18...IN 2014 (THROUGH JUNE 18)...AND
FOR THE 2014 WATER YEAR WHICH BEGAN OCTOBER 1 2013. ALL VALUES ARE
IN INCHES...RAINFALL DEPARTURES FROM NORMAL ARE SHOWN IN
PARENTHESIS:

                                                  2014 WATER YEAR
                      JUNE 18           2014         10/1/2013 -
                                                     06/18/2014

CORPUS CHRISTI     0.02 (-1.90)     7.12 (-5.07)   11.82 (- 6.08)

VICTORIA           0.89 (-1.83)    12.17 (-5.93)   17.23 (-10.43)

LAREDO AIRPORT        T (-1.26)     5.03 (-3.10)    9.55 (- 1.97)

FOR THE THREE CLIMATE STATIONS...THE 2014 PERCENTAGE OF NORMAL
RAINFALL THROUGH JUNE 18 WAS: 58.4 PERCENT AT CORPUS CHRISTI...
67.2 PERCENT AT VICTORIA...AND 61.9 PERCENT AT LAREDO.

THE 2014 WATER YEAR PERCENTAGES THROUGH JUNE 18 2014 ARE: 66.0
PERCENT AT CORPUS CHRISTI...62.3 PERCENT AT VICTORIA...AND 82.9
PERCENT AT LAREDO.


EL-NINO WATCH 2014 CONTINUES HEADING INTO THE SUMMER MONTHS WITH
INCREASING PROBABILITY OF DEVELOPMENT IN THE COMING MONTHS.
ACCORDING TO THE CLIMATE PREDICTION CENTER (CPC)...ENS0-NEUTRAL
CONDITIONS REMAIN WITH ABOVE AVERAGE SEA SURFACE TEMPERATURES
(SST) ACROSS THE EQUATORIAL PACIFIC.

THE OCEANIC NINO INDEX (ONI) IS BASED ON SST DEPARTURES FROM
AVERAGES IN THE NINO 3.4 REGION...AND IS THE PRINCIPAL MEASURE FOR
MONITORING...ASSESSING AND PREDICTING ENSO. THE MOST RECENT ONI
VALUE (MARCH 2014 - MAY 2014) IS -0.2 DEGREES CELSIUS WITHIN THE
ENSO-NEUTRAL RANGE OF -0.5 DEGREES CELSIUS TO +0.5 DEGREES
CELSIUS. THIS IS A POSITIVE TREND FROM THE LAST 3-MONTH ONI OF
-0.5 DEGREES CELSIUS FROM FEBRUARY 2014 - APRIL 2014. NEARLY ALL
MODELS ARE PREDICTING ENSO-NEUTRAL OR EL-NINO THROUGH THE REST OF
2014.

CPC FORECASTS A 70 PERCENT CHANCE OF EL-NINO DEVELOPING BY
SUMMER. PROBABILISTIC ENSO OUTLOOKS CONTINUE TO INCREASE THE
PROBABILITY OF EL-NINO DEVELOPING BY THE END OF 2014. AS OF JUNE
16...THE PROBABILITY INCREASES TO 80 PERCENT CHANCE DURING THE
FALL AND WINTER MONTHS. ACCORDING TO THE CPC...AS EARLY AS THE
SEPTEMBER-OCTOBER-NOVEMBER TIME FRAME DO THE PROBABILITIES OF 80
PERCENT CHANCE FOR EL-NINO CONDITIONS DEVELOP...WITH A 18 PERCENT
CHANCE FOR ENSO NEUTRAL CONDITIONS AND A 2 PERCENT CHANCE FOR LA
NINA CONDITIONS.

HOWEVER...IT SHOULD BE NOTED THAT IF EL-NINO DEVELOPS THIS
SUMMER...IT WOULD SUPPRESS TROPICAL ACTIVITY. WHILE IT WOULD BE
GOOD NEWS IN MANY WAYS THAT AN EL-NINO WOULD DIMINISH ORGANIZED
TROPICAL SYSTEMS...IT COULD ALSO CURTAIL TROPICAL WAVES OR UPPER
TROPICAL LOWS...WHICH COULD MEAN BELOW NORMAL RAINFALL FOR SOUTH
TEXAS. THE WORST-CASE SCENARIO FOR SOUTH TEXAS WOULD BE EL-NINO TO
DEVELOP IN THE SUMMER...WITH ENSO-NEUTRAL CONDITIONS RETURNING IN
THE FALL AND WINTER.


PRECIPITATION/TEMPERATURE OUTLOOKS...
THE RAINFALL FORECAST FOR THE NEXT SEVEN DAYS (JUNE 20 THROUGH JUNE
26) IS AS FOLLOWS. THERE IS A SLIGHT CHANCE FOR PRECIPITATION
OVER MUCH OF SOUTH TEXAS ON FRIDAY...WITH RAIN CHANCES DECREASING
DURING THE WEEKEND TO MAINLY COASTAL AREAS AND THE EXTREME WESTERN
BRUSH COUNTRY. THERE IS A SLIGHT CHANCE FOR RAIN OVER EASTERN
PORTIONS OF SOUTH TEXAS ON WEDNESDAY. TOTAL AVERAGE RAINFALL
AMOUNTS WILL BE LESS THAN 1/4 INCH THROUGH THE PERIOD...SINCE MOST
OF THE PRECIPITATION IS EXPECTED TO BE ISOLATED.

THE TEMPERATURE OUTLOOK FOR JUNE 20 THROUGH JUNE 26 IS AS
FOLLOWS. TEMPERATURES ARE EXPECTED TO BE JUST SLIGHTLY ABOVE
NORMAL THROUGH THE WEEKEND...BEFORE FALLING TO MORE NORMAL VALUES
BY EARLY NEXT WEEK.

THE 8 TO 14 DAY OUTLOOK...VALID FOR THE PERIOD JUNE 27 THROUGH
JULY 3...CALLS FOR A GREATER PROBABILITY FOR BELOW NORMAL
TEMPERATURES OVER ALL OF THE HSA...WITH BELOW NORMAL RAINFALL OVER
ALL BUT THE EXTREME NORTHERN PORTIONS OF THE HSA (WHERE NEAR
NORMAL RAINFALL IS EXPECTED).

THE JULY 2014 RAINFALL OUTLOOK...ISSUED ON JUNE 19...CALLS FOR A
GREATER LIKELIHOOD FOR BELOW NORMAL PRECIPITATION OVER MOST OF THE
HSA...EXCEPT FOR EQUAL CHANCES FOR ABOVE/BELOW/NEAR NORMAL
RAINFALL OVER THE RIO GRANDE PLAINS AND WESTERN BRUSH COUNTRY. THE
JULY 2014 TEMPERATURE OUTLOOK...ALSO ISSUED ON JUNE 19...CALLS FOR
A GREATER LIKELIHOOD FOR ABOVE NORMAL TEMPERATURES OVER THE
VICTORIA CROSSROADS AREA AND NORTHEASTERN COASTAL BEND...WITH
EQUAL CHANCES FOR NEAR/ABOVE/BELOW NORMAL TEMPERATURES FOR THE
REMAINDER OF THE HSA.

THE THREE MONTH RAINFALL OUTLOOK FOR THE PERIOD JULY THROUGH
SEPTEMBER 2014...ISSUED ON JUNE 19...CALLS FOR A GREATER
LIKELIHOOD FOR BELOW NORMAL RAINFALL AND ABOVE NORMAL
TEMPERATURES OVER THE ENTIRE HSA.

THE JUNE MONTHLY DROUGHT OUTLOOK HAS NOT CHANGED. RELEASED ON MAY
31 2014...THE OUTLOOK CALLS FOR THE DROUGHT PERSISTING OR
INTENSIFYING ACROSS THE DROUGHT STRICKEN AREAS...DROUGHT
CONDITIONS LIKELY TO DEVELOP ACROSS THE ABNORMALLY DRY AREAS...AND
NO CHANGE TO THE DROUGHT FREE AREAS.

DUE TO BELOW NORMAL RAINFALL MOST LIKELY OVER SOUTH TEXAS...THE
SEASONAL DROUGHT OUTLOOK FOR JULY THROUGH SEPTEMBER (ISSUED JUNE
19) CALLS FOR THE DROUGHT TO CONTINUE (IF NOT INTENSIFY) OVER
CURRENT DROUGHT AREAS...AND DEVELOP OVER NON-DROUGHT AREAS.

THE LAGGED SOIL MOISTURE OUTLOOK VALID THROUGH THE END OF
SEPTEMBER 2014 STILL CALLS FOR SLIGHTLY ABOVE NORMAL SOIL
CONDITIONS OVER THE HSA.

IF EL-NINO OCCURS IN THE LATE FALL AND WINTER...THEN SOUTH TEXAS
HAS A CHANCE TO RECEIVE ABOVE NORMAL RAINFALL DURING THE COOL
SEASON. SEASONAL CLIMATE OUTLOOKS DO SHOW A GREATER LIKELIHOOD FOR
ABOVE NORMAL RAINFALL FROM THE OCTOBER-NOVEMBER- DECEMBER 2014
SEASON THROUGH THE FEBRUARY-MARCH-APRIL 2015 SEASON.


NEXT ISSUANCE DATE...
THE NEXT DROUGHT INFORMATION STATEMENT WILL BE ISSUED ON OR
SHORTLY AFTER JULY 3 2014.

RELATED WEB SITES...
NWS CORPUS CHRISTI DROUGHT PAGE:
HTTP://WWW.SRH.NOAA.GOV/CRP/DROUGHT.HTML

ADVANCED HYDROLOGIC PREDICTION SERVICE (AHPS)...
HTTP://WATER.WEATHER.GOV/PRECIP

U.S. DROUGHT MONITOR (INCLUDES DROUGHT AND SOIL MOISTURE
OUTLOOKS...DROUGHT ARCHIVES AND TEMPERATURE/RAINFALL OUTLOOKS)...
HTTP://DROUGHT.UNL.EDU/MONITOR.HTML

U.S. DROUGHT MONITOR (INCLUDES ONLY TEXAS)...
HTTP://DROUGHT.UNL.EDU/DM_STATE.HTM?TX,S

U.S. DROUGHT PORTAL...
HTTP://WWW.DROUGHT.GOV

TEXAS DROUGHT MONITORING SITE...
HTTP://WWW.TXWIN.NET/MONITORING/METEOROLOGICAL/DROUGHT/INDICES.HTM

NOAA DROUGHT PAGE...
HTTP://WWW.DROUGHT.NOAA.GOV

DROUGHT IMPACT REPORTER...
HTTP://DROUGHTREPORTER.UNL.EDU/

TEXAS WATER DEVELOPMENT BOARD DROUGHT WEBSITE
HTTP://WWW.WATERDATAFORTEXAS.ORG/DROUGHT/

VEGETATION DROUGHT RESPONSE INDEX
HTTP://DROUGHT.UNL.EDU.VEGDRI/VEGDRI_MAIN.HTM?EV

CLIMATE PREDICTION CENTER...
HTTP://WWW.CPC.NCEP.NOAA.GOV

WEATHER PREDICTION CENTER...
HTTP://WWW.HPC.NCEP.NOAA.GOV

STANDARDIZED PRECIPITATION INDEX (SPI)...
HTTP://WWW.WRCC.DRI.EDU/SPI/SPI.HTML

AGNEWS: TEXAS A & M AGRICULTURAL PROGRAM (CROP AND WEATHER REPORT)...
HTTP://TODAY.AGRILIFE.ORG

TEXAS INTERAGENCY COORDINATION CENTER (TICC)...
HTTP://WWW.TAMU.EDU/TICC/

TEXAS BURN BANS...HTTP://TFSFRP.TAMU.EDU/WILDFIRES/DECBAN.PNG

TEXAS KBDI...HTTP://WEBGIS.TAMU.EDU/TFS/KBDI_DAILY/KBDICOUNTY.PNG

TEXAS COMMISSION ON ENVIRONMENTAL QUALITY (WATER RESTRICTIONS):
WWW.TCEQ.TEXAS.GOV/DRINKINATER/TROT/LOCATION.HTML

CORPUS CHRISTI WATER DEPARTMENT...
WWW.CCTEXAS.COM/GOVERNMENT/WATER

CORPUS CHRISTI WATER CONSERVATION
WWW.CCTEXAS.COM/ASSETS/DEPARTMENTS/WATER/FILES/WATERCONSERVATIONPLAN.PDF

VICTORIA WATER CONSERVATION:
WWW.VICTORIATX.ORG/PIO/PDFS/WATERSAVINGMETHODS.PDF

LAREDO WATER RESTRICTIONS AND CONSERVATION...
WWW.CI.LAREDO.TX.US/UTILITIES05/ORDINANCE/2009_ORDINANCE.PDF

CITY OF VICTORIA WEB SITE...WWW.VICTORIATX.ORG

CITY OF LAREDO WEB SITE...WWW.CI.LAREDO.TX.US

CITY OF PORTLAND WEB SITE...WWW.PORTLANDTX.COM

ADDITIONAL RIVER INFORMATION...
NWS...HTTP://WWW.WEATHER.GOV/AHPS/
USGS...HTTP://WATER.USGS.GOV/
IBWC...HTTP://IBWC.STATE.GOV/

ACKNOWLEDGMENTS...
THE DROUGHT MONITOR IS A MULTI-AGENCY EFFORT INVOLVING THE NATIONAL
WEATHER SERVICE AND NATIONAL CLIMATIC DATA CENTER...THE USDA...STATE
AND REGIONAL CENTER CLIMATOLOGISTS AND THE NATIONAL DROUGHT
MITIGATION CENTER. INFORMATION FOR THIS STATEMENT HAS BEEN GATHERED
FROM NWS AND FAA OBSERVATION SITES...STATE COOPERATIVE EXTENSION
SERVICES...THE USDA...USACE AND USGS.

QUESTIONS OR COMMENTS...
IF YOU HAVE ANY QUESTIONS OR COMMENTS ABOUT THIS DROUGHT INFORMATION
STATEMENT...PLEASE CONTACT...
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE
426 PINSON DRIVE
CORPUS CHRISTI TX 78406
PHONE: 361-289-0959
SR-CRP.WEBMASTER@NOAA.GOV


$$

GW/TE/CB


















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