Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS State College, PA

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000 FXUS61 KCTP 271815 AFDCTP AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE STATE COLLEGE PA 215 PM EDT THU AUG 27 2015 .SYNOPSIS...
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AN UNSEASONABLY STRONG UPPER TROUGH WILL FINALLY LIFT OUT OT THE EAST OF THE REGION BY FRIDAY. HIGH PRESSURE WILL THEN BUILD IN AND SLOWLY DRIFT OFF THE EAST COAST OVER THE WEEKEND. MUCH WARMER TEMPERATURES WILL MOVE INTO REGION FOR THE WEEKEND...AND VERY WARM AND INCREASINGLY HUMID WEATHER WILL CONTINUE INTO THE MIDDLE OF NEXT WEEK.
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&& .NEAR TERM /THROUGH TONIGHT/...
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VIZ LOOPS SHOW THE LARGE SHIELD OF STRATOCU FROM THE OHIO VALLEY UP INTO EASTERN CANADA. OTHER THAN A STRAY LIGHT SHOWER OR SPRINKLE OVER NORTHERN AREAS...WE WILL REMAIN DRY UNDER THE M-CLOUDY SKIES THROUGH LATE DAY. TODAY WILL BE THE LAST COOL DAY FOR QUITE A WHILE. BELOW SEASONAL ENS MEAN 8H TEMPS OF ONLY AROUND 10C SHOULD TRANSLATE TO MAX TEMPS FROM THE U60S OVER THE ALLEGHENIES...TO THE MID-UPPER 70S ACROSS THE LOWER SUSQ VALLEY. SKIES SHOULD SCATTER OUT QUICKLY WITH LOSS OF HEATING...LEADING TO A COOL NIGHT WITH PRIME RADIATIONAL COOLING CONDITIONS. WITH DEWPOINTS GENERALLY IN THE LOW TO MID 50S...WE SHOULD EASILY COOL CLOSE TO THESE READINGS LEADING TO AREAS OF LATE NIGHT FOG AND LOW CLOUDS.
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&& .SHORT TERM /FRIDAY/...
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FRIDAY WILL BEGIN OUR WARM UP AS HEIGHTS ALOFT BEGIN TO BUILD. AFTER SOME EARLY MORNING FOG...SKIES WILL BECOME PARTLY TO MOSTLY SUNNY AND HIGHS WILL AVERAGE SOME 5-8 DEG WARMER THAN TODAY.
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&& .LONG TERM /FRIDAY NIGHT THROUGH THURSDAY/... SFC HIGH SLIDES EAST AND OFF THE MID ATLANTIC COAST OVER THE WEEKEND. DEVELOPING SWRLY SFC FLOW...TOPPED BY A GENERALLY ZONAL/WESTERLY FLOW ALOFT WILL LEAD TO A STEADY WARMUP SATURDAY AND SUNDAY. A WEAK TROUGH AT THE SFC AND ALOFT WILL APPROACH FROM THE OHIO VALLEY...BUT SHOULD WEAKEN AS IT ENCOUNTERS RISING HEIGHTS EAST OF THE APPALACHIANS. A FEW SCATTERED SHOWERS ARE POSSIBLE THIS WEEKEND...MAINLY ACRS THE NORTHERN AND WESTERN MOUNTAINS. THE WEATHER LOOKS GREAT INTO NEXT WEEK...AS IT REMAINS ON THE DRY SIDE...AND TEMPERATURES WARM BACK UP TO NORMAL OR A LITTLE ABOVE NORMAL. WILL HAVE TO KEEP AN EYE ON THE S.E. US...AS WE GET INTO NEXT WEEK WITH PROBABLE HURRICANE ERIKA LURKING SOMEWHERE JUST OFF THE FL/GA COAST...AND MVG GRADUALLY NORTH OR NW. IF THE UPPER LEVEL RIDGE BUILDS ACROSS THE NE EARLY NEXT WEEK...AS INDICATED...THEN THIS WOULD KEEP ANY STORMY WEATHER TO THE SOUTH AND WEST OF CENTRAL PA. && .AVIATION /18Z THURSDAY THROUGH TUESDAY/...
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WIDESPREAD CEILINGS IN THE 4000-6000` RANGE WILL SCATTER OUT THIS EVENING WITH THE LOSS OF HEATING. THE CLEAR SKIES AND LIGHT WINDS WILL LEAD TO AREAS OF FOG AND LOW CLOUDS TO FORM LATER TONIGHT. EXPECT WIDESPREAD MVFR WITH LOCAL VFR LATE TONIGHT AND AT SUN UP FRIDAY. CONDITIONS WILL IMPROVE QUICKLY FRIDAY MORNING AS THE FOG BURNS OFF TO A VFR AFTERNOON. OUTLOOK... THU-SAT...NO SIG WX EXPECTED. SUN-MON...MAINLY VFR WITH A SHOWER/THUNDERSTORM POSSIBLE. TUE...NO SIG WX EXPECTED.
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&& .CTP WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... NONE. && $$ SYNOPSIS...LA CORTE NEAR TERM...LA CORTE SHORT TERM...LA CORTE LONG TERM...LAMBERT/MARTIN AVIATION...LA CORTE

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