Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS State College, PA

Current Version | Previous Version | Graphics & Text | Print | Product List | Glossary Off
Versions: 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 26 27 28 29 30 31 32 33 34 35 36 37 38 39 40 41 42 43 44 45 46 47 48 49 50
-- Remove Highlighting --
-- Discussion containing changed information from previous version are highlighted. --
000 FXUS61 KCTP 261424 AFDCTP AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE STATE COLLEGE PA 924 AM EST FRI DEC 26 2014 .SYNOPSIS...
-- Changed Discussion --
HIGH PRESSURE WILL BRING A QUIET WEATHER DAY TO THE AREA AND AGAIN SATURDAY. A NEW FRONTAL SYSTEM WILL BRING A CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS BY SUNDAY. COLDER AND DRIER AIR WILL CONTINUE TO FILTER INTO THE AREA NEXT WEEK WITH TEMPERATURES RETURNING BACK TO SEASONAL NORMALS...WHICH WILL FEEL QUITE COLD CONSIDERING HOW WARM IT HAS BEEN RECENTLY.
-- End Changed Discussion --
&& .NEAR TERM /THROUGH TONIGHT/...
-- Changed Discussion --
SOME LOW CLOUDS REMAIN TRAPPED BENEATH THE INVERSION ACROSS THE NW HALF OF FCST AREA. FINALLY THERE IS SOME CONFIDENCE THAT MOST OF NOT ALL OF THESE CLOUDS WILL SUCCUMB TO SUBSIDENCE AND DRYING AND WE CAN LOOK FORWARD TO THE BRIGHTEST DAY MOST AREAS HAVE SEEN IN NEARLY 2 WEEKS. WITH MOST AREAS SEEING ABUNDANT SUNSHINE...TEMPERATURES WILL BE WELL ABOVE AVERAGE FOR THIS TIME OF YEAR.
-- End Changed Discussion --
&& .SHORT TERM /SATURDAY/... WITH CLEAR SKIES WILL SEE RADIATIONAL COOLING TONIGHT...BUT EVEN WITH THE LONG NIGHTS AND NEARLY CALM WINDS...LOWS WILL STRUGGLE TO EVEN FALL MUCH BELOW FREEZING IN SOME AREAS OF THE FORECAST AREA. QUITE MILD 850 MB TEMPS ON SATURDAY COMBINED WITH SOUTHERLY WILL ALLOW TEMPERATURES TO ONCE AGAIN RISE 20+ DEGREES ABOVE AVERAGE ON SATURDAY AFTERNOON. CLOUDS WILL SLOWLY INCREASE ACROSS THE WEST AS THE NEXT WEATHER SYSTEMS MOVES CLOSER TO THE AREA. && .LONG TERM /SATURDAY NIGHT THROUGH THURSDAY/... FRONTAL SYSTEM BRINGS AN INCREASE IN CLOUDS AND SHOWERS LATE SAT NIGHT AND ON SUNDAY. FRONTAL BOUNDARY WILL SAG SOUTH OF CWA LATE IN THE DAY WITH COLDER AIR ADVECTING IN. UNCERTAINTY INCREASES SUN NIGHT AS SOME GUIDANCE SHOWS A WEAK S STREAM WAVE RIDING ALONG THE FRONT WHICH COULD BRING A SHORT PERIOD OF PRECIPITATION TO THE SE ZONES SUN NIGHT AND EARLY MONDAY. WITH 850 TEMPS COOLING A MIX OF R/S IS POSSIBLE IF THIS WAVE DOES INDEED DEVELOP AND TRACK FAR ENOUGH NORTH. OTHERWISE WILL SEE COLDER AIR SLOWLY ADVECT INTO THE CWA IN A FEW WAVES NEXT WEEK...BRINGING A RETURN TO TEMPERATURES WE WOULD EXPECT FOR THE LAST WEEK OF DECEMBER...WHICH WILL FEEL COLD AFTER THE MILD WEATHER WE HAVE SEEN THIS MONTH...BUT REALLY NOTHING OUT OF THE ORDINARY. NO ORGANIZED WEATHER SYSTEMS EXPECTED AS S STREAM ENERGY STAYS SOUTH OF THE STATE. GUIDANCE SHOWING A MORE ORGANIZED WEATHER SYSTEM DEVELOPING BY NEXT WEEKEND WITH THE TRACK UNCERTAIN AT THE TIME GIVEN THAT IT IS STILL OVER A WEEK OUT. && .AVIATION /14Z FRIDAY THROUGH TUESDAY/...
-- Changed Discussion --
SATELLITE SHOWS THE LAST OF THE LOW CLOUD SHIELD OVER THE WESTERN 1/3 OR SO OF THE FORECAST AREA WHERE CEILINGS ARE IN THE 1500-3000` RANGE. THE CLOUDS ARE EXPECTED TO DISSIPATE TODAY AS HIGH PRESSURE BUILDS INTO THE REGION...WITH ALL TERMINALS EITHER REMAINING OR BECOMING VFR BY EARLY AFTERNOON. BRADFORD WILL LIKELY IMPROVE LAST AS THEY ARE PRETTY MUCH IN THE MIDDLE OF WHAT IS LEFT OF THE SMALL AREA OF LOW CLOUDS. THE NEXT CHANCE FOR REDUCED CONDITIONS WILL BE SATURDAY NIGHT INTO SUNDAY AS A NEW FRONTAL SYSTEM SAGS SLOWLY SOUTH ACROSS THE AREA.. OUTLOOK... SAT...VFR. SAT NITE-SUN...MVFR/IFR WITH SCATTERED RAIN OR SNOW SHOWERS. MON-TUE...MAINLY VFR.
-- End Changed Discussion --
&& .CTP WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... NONE. && $$ SYNOPSIS...ROSS/LA CORTE NEAR TERM...ROSS/LA CORTE SHORT TERM...ROSS LONG TERM...ROSS AVIATION...DANGELO/LA CORTE/CERU

USA.gov is the U.S. government's official web portal to all federal, state and local government web resources and services.