Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Dodge City, KS
FXUS63 KDDC 301948
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
National Weather Service Dodge City KS
148 PM CST MON NOV 30 2015
...Updated for Long Term...
.SHORT TERM...(THIS EVENING THROUGH Tuesday)
ISSUED AT 122 PM CST MON NOV 30 2015
For tonight, an upper level storm system will continue to move
northeastward into the Great Lakes Region by morning, with clearing
skies and light downslope winds across western Kansas. Surface high
pressure will build into western Kansas with light west winds of 5
to 10 mph. Overnight lows will be in the teens to low 20s.
For Tuesday, mostly sunny skies will prevail with light west winds.
An upper trough will also swing across the Central Plains with some
colder air moving into the area just east and north of Dodge City.
Highs will warm into the 40 to 45 degree range.
.LONG TERM...(Tuesday NIGHT THROUGH Monday)
ISSUED AT 145 PM CST MON NOV 30 2015
A tranquil period is in the forecast from Tuesday night into
Saturday as upper level ridging gradually builds into the Central
Plains. Overnight lows will be in the low to mid 20s into Friday
morning, then warm to around 30 by Saturday morning. Highs will warm
from the low to mid 40s Wednesday to around 50 into Saturday.
For Saturday night into Monday, a storm system is forecast to move
into the Central and Southern Plains on Saturday night and linger
into Monday morning with an increasing chance for rain or snow.
Typically the models have a hard time with these upper level cut off
systems, so confidence is very low on what the type of precipitation
may be, and the track of the upper low. Lows will be in the 20s to
around 30 with highs in the 40s. Monday could warm back up to around
50 depending on how quickly the storm system moves out.
.AVIATION...(FOR THE 18Z TAFS THROUGH 18Z Tuesday AFTERNOON)
ISSUED AT 1108 AM CST MON NOV 30 2015
Light downslope flow will dominate the area with clearing skies
and light west winds at the surface. VFR conditions are expected
as the upper level wave continues to move off to the northeast.
.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
DDC 19 41 24 42 / 0 0 0 0
GCK 16 42 21 43 / 0 0 0 0
EHA 18 45 24 45 / 0 0 0 0
LBL 18 43 23 44 / 0 0 0 0
HYS 21 41 24 43 / 0 0 0 0
P28 23 45 26 44 / 0 0 0 0