Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Dodge City, KS

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FXUS63 KDDC 230532
AFDDDC

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Dodge City KS
1232 AM CDT Sun Apr 23 2017

...UPDATE TO SHORT TERM...

.SHORT TERM...(Today and tonight)
Issued at 1228 AM CDT Sun Apr 23 2017

Quiet and dry conditions will continue today as weak upper level
ridging moves eastward across the Western High Plains into the
Central Plains during the period. Little instability present and
a weaker flow aloft will keep precip chances at bay through Sunday
night. A developing lee side trough of low pressure will strengthen
across eastern Colorado today, helping to draw warmer air into
the region with H85 temperatures ranging from around 10C across
central Kansas to near 20C along the Colorado border. Under plenty
of sunshine, look for highs up into the 70s(F) across southwest
and portions of central Kansas this afternoon. Expect lows down
into the 40s(F) across south central Kansas tonight to the 50s(F)
in extreme southwest Kansas.

.LONG TERM...(Sunday night through Saturday)
Issued at 322 PM CDT Sat Apr 22 2017

A dry pattern continues through Monday as a weak ridge passes
overhead with a dome of high pressure being the dominate feature
at the surface. Lee troughing will continue through Monday leading
to breezy south to southeast winds felt across western Kansas.
Meanwhile, an upper level shortwave looks to move through the
Rockies Sunday and into the Northern Plains Monday. This will help
push a cold front through the area Monday night. This will shift
winds back to more of a northerly direction. A series of
disturbances are then expected to move through the area Tuesday
through the end of the long term period. These disturbances will
bring a good chance of precipitation to western Kansas. As of now,
the center of most of these disturbances look to trek just south
of the CWA leading to more light to moderate rain showers like we
saw yesterday. However, we are still a few days out and forecasts
can change in timing, position, and intensity. As for
temperatures, highs Monday look to range from the mid 80s west to
upper 70s east. Cooler temperatures are then expected with highs
in the upper 60s north to mid 70s south Tuesday, 60s Wednesday,
and mid 50s north to mid 60s south Thursday and Friday. Lows look
to generally be in the 40s with the exception of Sunday and Monday
nights where lows around 50 will be possible in some places.

&&

.AVIATION...(For the 06Z TAFS through 06Z Sunday night)
Issued at 1202 AM CDT Sun Apr 23 2017

VFR conditions will prevail at all TAF sites through early Sunday
evening. Southerly winds 5 to 15kt will set up toward daybreak as
lee side troughing slowly develops across eastern Colorado. Southerly
winds will then increase 20 to 35kt through this afternoon as the
lee side trough strengthens.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
DDC  36  72  49  82 /   0   0   0   0
GCK  34  72  50  82 /   0   0   0   0
EHA  36  75  52  84 /   0   0   0   0
LBL  34  73  50  85 /   0   0   0   0
HYS  34  72  50  80 /   0   0   0   0
P28  37  70  46  78 /   0   0   0   0

&&

.DDC WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
Frost Advisory until 8 AM CDT /7 AM MDT/ this morning for KSZ030-
031-043>046-061>064-074>078-084>087.

&&

$$

SHORT TERM...JJohnson
LONG TERM...Hovorka_42
AVIATION...JJohnson



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