Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Dodge City, KS

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FXUS63 KDDC 180500
AFDDDC

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Dodge City KS
1100 PM CST Wed Jan 17 2018

...Updated Aviation...

.SHORT TERM...(This evening through Thursday)
Issued at 210 PM CST Wed Jan 17 2018

Sky will be clear over the entire region tonight as surface high
pressure that is dominating our sensible weather continues to slide
southeast toward the Gulf of Mexico. This will result in light
southerly winds eventually turning westerly overnight. The airmass
will be modified even more by early Thursday morning, as lows start
out in the upper teens and 20s in most areas warming into the 50s
most areas, and even around 60 degrees near Liberal/Elkhart.

.LONG TERM...(Thursday night through Wednesday)
Issued at 210 PM CST Wed Jan 17 2018

A warming trend will persist through the end of the week. Quite a
way to end the week that started out with wind chill advisories, as
Friday and Saturday should bring low 70s across the far southwest
counties and highs in the 60s most elsewhere.  An uptick in high
clouds should develop Saturday in advance of a vigourous, well
advertised winter storm that will move out of the west on Sunday,
spreading snow mainly across Nebraska. The GFS and ECMWF have been
fairly persistent in placing and inch or so of snow across the
northern sections of our forecast area, on the southern periphery of
the main frontogentic snow band. Lots of model runs to go before a
we get a better handle on this storm system.

&&

.AVIATION...(For the 06Z TAFS through 06Z Thursday night)
Issued at 1100 PM CST Wed Jan 17 2018

Excellent flying weather through Thursday, with VFR/SKC.
Light SW winds will prevail through the balance of the TAF
period, becoming modestly gusty during peak heating Thursday
afternoon.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
DDC  16  59  25  65 /   0   0   0   0
GCK  14  60  22  67 /   0   0   0   0
EHA  24  60  27  71 /   0   0   0   0
LBL  18  59  23  68 /   0   0   0   0
HYS  13  55  23  60 /   0   0   0   0
P28  16  54  23  58 /   0   0   0   0

&&

.DDC WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NONE.
&&

$$

SHORT TERM...Russell
LONG TERM...Russell
AVIATION...Turner



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