Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Dodge City, KS

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FXUS63 KDDC 060014
AFDDDC

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
National Weather Service Dodge City KS
615 PM CST FRI FEB 5 2016

...updated aviation...

.DISCUSSION...
ISSUED AT 153 PM CST FRI FEB 5 2016

Quiet weather will prevail through much of the period without any significant
impacts. For Saturday, weak lee troughing will prevail across the High
Plains. The warmest will be in the far southwest zones where upper 50s
are likely. To the northeast, only 40s are expected. By early Sunday,
a dry cold front moves across the forecast district. This will usher
in slightly cooler air with more 40s, except across south-central Kansas,
where a few 50 degree readings are possible. Winds will be breezy Sunday
and Monday with 40-50 kt 850-hPa winds and plenty of low level mixing.
Have increased the wind grids significant with widespread 20-30 kt magnitudes.
Monday will still be fairly chilly as cool high pressure builds in along
with 850-hPa temps ranging from the lower positive single digits to
the southwest to negative single digits to the northeast. By Tuesday,
low level downslope flow develops and temperatures should mix to higher
values with low 60s southwest to mid to upper 40s northeast. The warmest
day is expected next Wednesday 500-hPa geopotential heights increase
to the lower 570s dm and a downslope 850-hPa plume of teens develops.
Upper 60s look likely for far SW Kansas. The downslope pattern will
continue through the rest of the business week with pleasant temperatures
and no chance for precipitation.

&&

.AVIATION...(FOR THE 18Z TAFS THROUGH 18Z Saturday AFTERNOON)
ISSUED AT 1100 AM CST FRI FEB 5 2016

Pacific surface high pressure will continue to invade the central
High Plains ove the next day. As a result, light northwesterly winds
and VFR conditions are forecast.


&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
DDC  20  51  29  46 /   0   0   0   0
GCK  16  48  27  43 /   0   0   0   0
EHA  18  57  27  45 /   0   0   0   0
LBL  20  57  28  47 /   0   0   0   0
HYS  17  42  28  42 /   0   0   0   0
P28  24  52  31  52 /   0   0   0   0

&&

.DDC Watches/Warnings/Advisories...
NONE.
&&

$$

DISCUSSION...Sugden
AVIATION...33


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