302
FXUS63 KDLH 090529
AFDDLH

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Duluth MN
1229 AM CDT Thu May 9 2024

.KEY MESSAGES...

- Areas of frost early Thursday morning in the interior
  Arrowhead.

- A clipper system will bring rain chances to the region on
  Friday with continued low (30-40%) scattered shower chances
  throughout the weekend.

&&

.DISCUSSION...
Issued at 344 PM CDT Wed May 8 2024

Stratus from earlier today have largely scattered out with
a diurnal Cu field taking their place. A couple of isolated
showers are possible this evening across north central
Minnesota and north central Wisconsin. Clouds will clear across
far northern Minnesota, allowing temperatures to fall into the
30s. With light east winds in place, areas of frost are expected
across interior portions of the Arrowhead. Mostly sunny skies
are expected Thursday, but CAA will keep temperatures in the 50s
and 60s. By late tomorrow night, a quick moving shortwave will
bring chances for scattered showers and thunderstorms. With CAPE
values of 500-1000 J/kg in place, a few stronger storms are
possible, but things should remain sub-severe. QPF amounts will
be on the order of a few hundredths to a tenth of an inch.

Heading into the weekend, temperatures will warm into the 60s
with low 70s possible across central Minnesota. Showers and
thunderstorms are possible along and ahead of a warm front that
will move across eastern Minnesota late Saturday into Sunday.
Well be in the warm sector of this system through the day
Sunday with highs in the mid 70s except near Lake Superior.

The next chance for precip arrives early Tuesday with yet
another shortwave skirting along the Canadian border. This
system will hang around through the end of the period with
continued chances of showers and thunderstorms.

&&

.AVIATION /06Z TAFS THROUGH 06Z FRIDAY/...
Issued at 1226 AM CDT Thu May 9 2024

VFR conditions prevail under light northeast winds away from the
lake shoreline and around 10-15 knots for shoreline terminals.
Scattered MVFR ceilings in north-central Wisconsin may (50%
chance) impact HYR overnight into early Thursday morning. Winds
shift to south-southeasterly around 5 knots from 00-06Z Fri.

&&

.MARINE /FOR NEAR SHORE WATERS OF WESTERN LAKE SUPERIOR/...
Issued at 1226 AM CDT Thu May 9 2024

Small Craft Advisories continue through this afternoon and
evening before winds diminish. A similar setup to today is
expected Thursday where lighter winds overnight quickly give way
to increasing northeast winds and building wave heights.
Another round of advisories may also be needed Thursday
daytime.

For the open water discussion, refer to the NWS Marquette Area
Forecast Discussion at weather.gov/mqt.

&&

.DLH WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
MN...Frost Advisory until 9 AM CDT this morning for MNZ011-012-019.
WI...None.
MARINE...Small Craft Advisory until 1 PM CDT this afternoon for LSZ142-
     143.
     Small Craft Advisory until 1 PM CDT this afternoon for
     LSZ144>148-150.

&&

$$

DISCUSSION...WFO DLH
AVIATION...NLy
MARINE...WFO DLH