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000
FNUS74 KEPZ 101125
FWSEPZ

Spot Forecast for Houghton Fire...USFS
National Weather Service El Paso Tx/Santa Teresa NM
525 AM MDT Wed Apr 10 2024

Forecast is based on forecast start time of 0800 MDT on April 10.
If conditions become unrepresentative, contact the National Weather
Service.

.DISCUSSION...
Fire weather concerns will be low to moderate into the weekend.
For today, much drier air returns with modestly breezy winds from
the north and temperatures a few degrees warmer than yesterday. For
tonight, winds stay northerly but become light. Winds become breezy
on Friday, shifting southerly as temperatures warm to above normal
and dry conditions persist. A passing disturbance on Monday is
likely to bring strong winds and critical fire danger to the area.

.REST OF TODAY...

Sky/weather.........Sunny (0-10 percent).
Chance of pcpn......0 percent.
LAL.................1.
Max temperature.....Around 62.
Min humidity........13 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........North winds 11 to 13 mph.
Mixing height.......7500 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....North 18 to 24 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....Poor (35300 knot-ft) early in the morning
                    increasing to very good (129900 knot-ft) in the
                    afternoon.
Haines Index........2 to 4 or very low to low potential for large
                    plume dominated fire growth.

TIME (MDT)      8 AM   10 AM  NOON   2 PM   4 PM
Sky (%).........9      2      3      3      3
Weather cov.....NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE
Weather type....NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE
Tstm cov........NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE
Chc of pcpn (%).0      0      0      0      0
LAL.............1      1      1      1      1
Temp............35     48     56     60     62
RH..............35     26     18     15     13
20 ft wind......N 13   N 13   N 12   N 12   NW 11
20 ft wind gust.17     20     23     23     22
Mix hgt (ft)....900    4000   6000   7500   7500
Transport wind..N 18   N 24   N 24   N 20   N 20
Haines index....2      2      3      4      4
Vrate kt-ft/1K..25     83     123    130    130
Ventrate Cat....POOR   GOOD   VYGD   VYGD   VYGD

.TONIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Clear (0-10 percent).
Chance of pcpn......0 percent.
LAL.................1.
Min temperature.....Around 33.
Max humidity........41 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Northwest winds 6 to 9 mph in the evening and
                    overnight becoming light.
Mixing height.......500 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....North 9 to 14 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....Very good (105700 knot-ft) early in the evening
                    decreasing to poor (6100 knot-ft) late in the
                    evening.
Haines Index........3 to 4 or very low to low potential for large
                    plume dominated fire growth.

TIME (MDT)      6 PM   8 PM   10 PM  MIDNGT 2 AM   4 AM
Sky (%).........2      2      4      4      4      6
Weather cov.....NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE
Weather type....NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE
Tstm cov........NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE
Chc of pcpn (%).0      0      0      0      0      0
LAL.............1      1      1      1      1      1
Temp............61     52     45     40     38     35
RH..............13     21     27     31     34     38
20 ft wind......NW 9   NW 9   NW 7   NW 6   NW 6   NW 3
20 ft wind gust.18     18     12     12     12     7
Mix hgt (ft)....6600   600    600    600    500    500
Transport wind..N 14   N 14   N 13   N 13   N 9    N 9
Haines index....4      4      4      3      3      4
Vrate kt-ft/1K..106    36     6      6      5      5
Ventrate Cat....VYGD   POOR   POOR   POOR   POOR   POOR

.THURSDAY...

Sky/weather.........Sunny (0-10 percent).
Chance of pcpn......0 percent.
LAL.................1.
Max temperature.....Around 67.
Min humidity........12 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Light winds becoming south 7 to 9 mph in the
                    afternoon.
Mixing height.......9200 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Northeast around 6 mph shifting to the south 8
                    to 12 mph in the late morning and afternoon.
Smoke dispersal.....Poor (4900 knot-ft) early in the morning
                    increasing to very good (100300 knot-ft) in the
                    afternoon.
Haines Index........4 to 5 or low to moderate potential for large
                    plume dominated fire growth.

TIME (MDT)      6 AM      9 AM      NOON      3 PM
Sky (%).........10        2         3         5
Weather cov.....NONE      NONE      NONE      NONE
Weather type....NONE      NONE      NONE      NONE
Tstm cov........NONE      NONE      NONE      NONE
Chc of pcpn (%).0         0         0         0
LAL.............1         1         1         1
Temp............34        45        63        67
RH..............41        31        14        13
20 FT wind......N 2G5     E 3G10    S 7G15    S 9G17
Mix hgt (ft)....500       1200      7400      9200
Transport wind..NE 6      NE 6      S 8       SW 12
Haines index....5         4         4         4
Vrate kt-ft/1K..5         15        63        100
Ventrate Cat....POOR      POOR      GOOD      VYGD

$$
Forecaster...ARONSON
Requested by...Silver City Interagency Dispatch
Type of request...WILDFIRE
.TAG 2409983.1/EPZ
.DELDT 04/10/24
.FormatterVersion 2.0.0
.EMAIL nmsdc@firenet.gov