Quantitative Precipitation Forecast
Issued by NWS

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000
FOUS30 KWBC 030637
QPFERD

EXCESSIVE RAINFALL DISCUSSION
NWS WEATHER PREDICTION CENTER COLLEGE PARK MD
235 AM EDT THU SEP 03 2015

...VALID 12Z THU SEP 03 2015 - 12Z FRI SEP 04 2015...
...REFERENCE AWIPS GRAPHIC UNDER...DAY 1 EXCESSIVE RAINFALL...

GREAT LAKES/OH VALLEY...

SLOW CELL MOTIONS AND TRAINING IN THE MIDST OF THE MODESTLY MOIST
AND UNSTABLE REGIME SUPPORT LOW PROBABILISTIC CHANCES OF
GENERATING RAINFALL THAT MAY EXCEED FFG VALUES...WITH THE LOW
PROBABILITIES A RESULT OF HIGHER THAN AVERAGE MODEL SPREAD AND
GENERALLY HIGH FFG VALUES.  RAINFALL MAY EXCEED GUIDANCE IN
VICINITY OF THE LOW CROSSING MICHIGAN AS WELL ALONG THE TRAILING
AND STALLING FRONTAL BOUNDARY ACROSS THE OH VALLEY...ALBEIT OVER
VERY SMALL AREAS.

JAMES
$$




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