Quantitative Precipitation Forecast
Issued by NWS

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000
FOUS30 KWBC 141325
QPFERD

EXCESSIVE RAINFALL DISCUSSION
NWS WEATHER PREDICTION CENTER COLLEGE PARK MD
924 AM EDT FRI JUN 14 2013

...VALID 15Z FRI JUN 14 2013 - 12Z SAT JUN 15 2013...
...REFERENCE AWIPS GRAPHIC UNDER...DAY 1 EXCESSIVE RAINFALL...


EASTERN NE---WESTERN IA---NORTHWEST MO

SEE NO REASON TO DEVIATE FROM EARLIER THINKING.  CONCERNS FOR
HEAVY RAINS FRIDAY NIGHT INTO SATURDAY MORNING ARE ALONG THE WEST
TO EAST ORIENTED FRONTAL BOUNDARY FORECAST ACROSS THE CENTRAL
PLAINS INTO PORTIONS OF THE MO RIVER VALLEY.  SHORT WAVE ENERGY
PUSHING EASTWARD ON THE TOP SIDE OF THE CENTRAL PLAINS UPPER RIDGE
WILL ENHANCE UVVS ALONG THIS BOUNDARY IN THE AXIS OF HIGH PW
VALUES---1.5-1.75"--IN THE VICINITY OF THE BOUNDARY.  THIS WILL
BRING THE POTENTIAL FOR ORGANIZED CONVECTION FRIDAY NIGHT/EARLY
SATURDAY MORNING ACROSS THESE AREAS.  THE LOW LEVEL FLOW WILL
BECOME INCREASINGLY WESTERLY AFTER 0000 UTC SAT---SUPPORTING
POTENTIAL FOR TRAINING OR BACK BUILDING OF CELLS ALONG THE
BOUNDARY.  IN AREAS OF TRAINING..ISOLATED SHORT TERM RAINFALL
AMOUNTS OF 1-2+ INCHES WILL BE POSSIBLE.

TERRY
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