Quantitative Precipitation Forecast
Issued by NWS

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000
FOUS30 KWBC 290833
QPFERD

EXCESSIVE RAINFALL DISCUSSION
NWS WEATHER PREDICTION CENTER COLLEGE PARK MD
432 AM EDT SAT AUG 29 2015

...VALID 12Z SAT AUG 29 2015 - 12Z SUN AUG 30 2015...
...REFERENCE AWIPS GRAPHIC UNDER...DAY 1 EXCESSIVE RAINFALL...


SLIGHT RISK OF RAINFALL EXCEEDING FFG TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM
25 WSW HST 15 WNW OPF PBI 20 E PMP 15 E PMP 20 ESE FLL 35 E HST
40 ESE MTH 10 WSW KEY 25 WSW HST.


COASTAL SOUTHEAST FLORIDA/FL KEYS

A SLIGHT RISK AREA DEPICTED OVER COASTAL SOUTHEAST FL INTO THE
FLORIDA KEYS FOR INCREASING HEAVY RAIN THREAT DURING THE SECOND
HALF OF THE PERIOD TO THE NORTHEAST OF ERIKA.  SOUTHEAST LOW LEVEL
FLOW EXPECTED TO STRENGTHEN SATURDAY NIGHT INTO EARLY
SUNDAY--ALONG WITH INCREASING PW VALUES TO 2.00-2.25"+.  STILL A
LOT OF UNCERTAINTIES WITH THE EVOLUTION AND TRACK OF ERIKA---BUT
RUNOFF ISSUES OVER URBANIZED AREAS POSSIBLE FROM PERIODS OF
INTENSE RAINFALL RATES TO THE NORTHEAST OF ERIKA.  SEE THE LATEST
NHC ADVISORIES FOR UPDATES TO THE CURRENT FORECAST TRACK.

ORAVEC
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