Quantitative Precipitation Forecast
Issued by NWS

Current Version | Previous Version | Text Only | Print | Product List | Glossary Off
Versions: 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 26 27 28 29 30 31 32 33 34 35 36 37 38 39 40 41 42 43 44 45 46 47 48 49 50

000
FOUS30 KWBC 020617
QPFERD

EXCESSIVE RAINFALL DISCUSSION
NWS WEATHER PREDICTION CENTER COLLEGE PARK MD
117 AM EST MON MAR 02 2015

...VALID 06Z MON MAR 02 2015 - 12Z TUE MAR 03 2015...
...REFERENCE AWIPS GRAPHIC UNDER...DAY 1 EXCESSIVE RAINFALL...


SLIGHT RISK OF RAINFALL EXCEEDING FFG TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM
45 ESE IGM 20 W PRC 35 SE PRC 25 NNE SDL 30 NW LUF 55 NW GBN
40 ESE BLH 30 ENE BLH 40 SE EED IFP 15 NW IGM 25 NNE IGM
25 ENE IGM 45 ESE IGM.


WRN ARIZONA

POTNL STILL EXISTS THROUGH EARLY MON FOR PSBL LOCALLY HEAVY RAINS
AHEAD OF UPR LOW ACRS SRN CA THAT IS EXPECTED EJECT RAPIDLY NEWD
MON AFTN/EVEN ACRS THE 4 CORNERS REGION AS A WEAKENING OPEN S/WV
TROF.  AN AXIS OF MUCH ABOVE AVERAGE PW VALUES ALONG WITH
ANOMALOUS 850-700 MB MOISTURE FLUX (4 TO 5 STANDARD DEVIATIONS
ABOVE THE MEAN) WILL SUPPORT SLOW MOVING AREAS OF HEAVY RAINFALL
ACRS MUCH OF WRN AZ THROUGH THE MRNG HOURS.   LOCALIZED RUNOFF
ISSUES ARE POSSIBLE FROM ISOLATED SHORT TERM PRECIPITATION TOTALS
OF .50-1"+ WITH ISOLATED STORM TOTALS OF 1-3"+ INCHES

SULLIVAN
$$





USA.gov is the U.S. government's official web portal to all federal, state and local government web resources and services.