Quantitative Precipitation Forecast
Issued by NWS

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000
FOUS30 KWBC 270052
QPFERD

EXCESSIVE RAINFALL DISCUSSION
NWS WEATHER PREDICTION CENTER COLLEGE PARK MD
849 PM EDT TUE MAY 26 2015

...VALID 01Z WED MAY 27 2015 - 12Z WED MAY 27 2015...
...REFERENCE AWIPS GRAPHIC UNDER...DAY 1 EXCESSIVE RAINFALL...

01 UTC UPDATE

SOUTH---CENTRAL TO EASTERN OK---WESTERN AR---SWD INTO TX

SEVERAL SMALL CLUSTERS OF STG TSTMS.. SOME SUPERCELLS..CONTINUE TO
DVLP EAST OF DRYLINE IN TEXAS AND SOUTH OF WEAK COLD FRONT
STRETCHING SW TO NE ACRS NRN OK INTO SE KS.  THESE STORMS SHOULD
CONTINUE TO FEED OFF OF HIGH CAPE ENERGY FROM STG AFTN HEATING AND
HIGH MSTR AIDED BY WEAK UPR SPEED MAX PUSHING EWD FROM NM/WRN TX.
INDIVIDUAL STORM MOTION WILL GENLY BE TO THE NORTHEAST..WITH STGR
COLD POOL AIDED STORM CLUSTERS GENLY DROPPING SEWD.  MAIN CONCERN
HERE ARE HEAVY RAIN RATES FROM INDIVIDUAL STG STORMS AS WELL AS
CELL MERGERS AND OCCASIONAL SMALL TRAINING ELEMENTS THAT COULD
LEAD TO ISOLD RUNOFF ISSUES...PARTICULARY OVER AREAS THAT HAVE
RECEIVED VERY HEAVY RAINS THE PAST FEW DAYS.  SEE WPC`S MESOSCALE
PRECIPITATION DISCUSSION #0135 VALID UNTIL 0400 UTC FOR FURTHER
INFORMATION.


SULLIVAN
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