Quantitative Precipitation Forecast
Issued by NWS

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FOUS30 KWBC 300612
QPFERD

EXCESSIVE RAINFALL DISCUSSION
NWS WEATHER PREDICTION CENTER COLLEGE PARK MD
212 AM EDT MON MAR 30 2015

...VALID 06Z MON MAR 30 2015 - 12Z TUE MAR 31 2015...
...REFERENCE AWIPS GRAPHIC UNDER...DAY 1 EXCESSIVE RAINFALL...

NO ORGANIZED AREAS OF RAINFALL EXCEEDING FLASH FLOOD GUIDANCE ARE
EXPECTED.

...DISCUSSION...

A CONVECTIVE EVENT WILL UNFOLD OVER THE SOUTHEAST STATES EARLY
MONDAY MORNING...AND MAY PERSIST INTO THE AFTERNOON...DROPPING
TOWARD NORTHERN FLORIDA. LOCALLY STRONG DOWNPOURS ARE LIKELY...BUT
HEAVY RAIN RATES SHOULD BE SHORT LIVED AT ANY GIVEN
LOCATION...OWING TO STRONG WIND FIELDS / CELL MOTIONS...AND STEADY
PROGRESSION OF THE SYNOPTIC TROUGH RESPONSIBLE FOR THE EVENT. A
RECENT DRY STRETCH OF WEATHER IS EVIDENCED BY 14-DAY PRECIPITATION
BEING 10-50 PERCENT OF NORMAL FOR THE PERIOD. THE RAINFALL
REQUIRED TO PRODUCE BANKFUL CONDITIONS IS ACCORDINGLY HIGH PER
FLASH FLOOD GUIDANCE.

BURKE
$$





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