Quantitative Precipitation Forecast
Issued by NWS

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FOUS30 KWBC 130555
QPFERD

EXCESSIVE RAINFALL DISCUSSION
NWS WEATHER PREDICTION CENTER COLLEGE PARK MD
155 AM EDT SUN APR 13 2014

...VALID 06Z SUN APR 13 2014 - 12Z MON APR 14 2014...
...REFERENCE AWIPS GRAPHIC UNDER...DAY 1 EXCESSIVE RAINFALL...


SLIGHT RISK OF RAINFALL EXCEEDING FFG TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM
30 ESE APN 30 N MBS 20 NW LWA 30 ESE MQB 25 WSW UIN 20 SW IRK
MCI 30 WNW CNU 35 E AAO 30 NE MHK 20 WNW CSQ 10 W MIW 15 SSW PDC
20 NW SBM 15 NW TVC 25 NNE GLR 10 ENE PZQ 30 ESE APN.


...LOWER MO RIV VLY NEWD INTO CNTRL LAKES REGION...

PDS OF STG ISENTROPIC LIFT WILL CONTINUE IN THE BAROCLINIC
ENVIRONMENT NOW LYING FROM THE NE TO THE SW ACROSS THIS AREA AS
COMBO OF NRN AND SRN STREAM ENERGY PROVIDES THE LIFT FOR
GENERATING AREAS OF SGFNT SHWRS.   THE MSTR FLUX INTO THE FRONTAL
BAND SHOULD REMAIN FAIRLY INTENSE WELL INTO THE 2ND HALF OF THE
PD..WITH THE SLOW MOVEMENT OF THE FRONTAL BAND THRU SUNDAY EVNG
LEADING TO THE POTENTIAL FOR THE TRAINING OF HVY SHWRS OVR
LOCALIZED AREAS.  MODEL QPFS IN PRETTY GOOD AGREEMENT WITH THE
PLACEMENT OF THE MAX RNFL AXIS ACROSS THE REGION AS WELL AS WITH
GENERATING SGFNT PCPN TOTALS.  COULD SEE QUICK 1.00 TO 1.50 INCH
AMTS IN AN HOUR OR TWO AND/OR TOTALS APCHG 3.00 TO 4.00 INCHES
OVER PORTIONS OF THE  THE OUTLOOKED AREA.

KORTY
$$





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