Quantitative Precipitation Forecast
Issued by NWS

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FOUS30 KWBC 141834
QPFERD

EXCESSIVE RAINFALL DISCUSSION
NWS WEATHER PREDICTION CENTER COLLEGE PARK MD
234 PM EDT SUN SEP 14 2014

...VALID 18Z SUN SEP 14 2014 - 00Z TUE SEP 16 2014...
...REFERENCE AWIPS GRAPHIC UNDER...DAY 1 EXCESSIVE RAINFALL...


SLIGHT RISK OF RAINFALL EXCEEDING FFG TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM
25 WNW JYL 30 NNE NBC 10 SW CHS 15 SE CHS 50 SE CHS 50 E HXD
15 SE SVN 20 SSE VDI 20 WNW VDI 25 WNW JYL.

MADE VERY LITTLE CHANGE TO THE PREVIOUS ISSUANCE.  SOME HEAVY TO
ISOLATED EXCESSIVE RAINS STILL POSSIBLE IN THE VICINITY OF THE
SURFACE FRONT EXPECTED TO REMAIN QUASI-STATIONARY THIS PERIOD
ACROSS THE SOUTHEASTERN U.S. FROM THE FL PANHANDLE INTO
SOUTHEASTERN GA AND COASTAL SC.  ABOVE AVERAGE PW VALUES---1.5 TO
2 STANDARD DEVIATIONS ABOVE THE MEAN---ARE EXPECTED TO PERSIST IN
THE VICINITY OF THIS BOUNDARY---ESPECIALLY FROM SOUTHEAST GA INTO
COASTAL SC.  LARGE SCALE LIFT PROBABLY NOT AS FAVORABLE AS
YESTERDAY/LAST NIGHT..BUT THE SLOW MOVING CELLS IN THE VERY HIGH
PW AIRMASS COULD STILL SUPPORT THE POTENTIAL FOR HEAVY TO ISOLATED
EXCESSIVE RAINFALL AMOUNTS..ESPECIALLY THIS AFTERNOON/EVENING AND
AGAIN LATER MONDAY AFTERNOON.   IN AREAS OF THESE SLOW MOVING
CELLS---ISOLATED SHORT TERM AMOUNTS OF 1 TO 3 INCHES WILL BE
POSSIBLE.

TERRY

$$




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