Quantitative Precipitation Forecast
Issued by NWS

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FOUS30 KWBC 150608
QPFERD

EXCESSIVE RAINFALL DISCUSSION
NWS WEATHER PREDICTION CENTER COLLEGE PARK MD
107 AM EST MON DEC 15 2014

...VALID 06Z MON DEC 15 2014 - 12Z TUE DEC 16 2014...
...REFERENCE AWIPS GRAPHIC UNDER...DAY 1 EXCESSIVE RAINFALL...



COASTAL CENTRAL CALIFORNIA...

A SHORT WAVE TROUGH OVER THE ERN PAC WILL SPLIT FROM THE NRN
STREAM AND APPROACH CENTRAL TO SRN CA ON MONDAY. THIS WILL USHER
MORE PAC MOISTURE TRANSPORT AND LIKELY STEADY MDT TO HEAVY
RAINFALL TO THE STATE. THE GUIDANCE SUGGESTS 1 TO 1.5 INCH PWS
SURGING INTO THE AREA... WHICH IS 1.5 TO 2 STANDARD DEVIATIONS
ABOVE AVG. THE HEAVIEST RAINFALL APPEARS LIKELY FROM 06Z/15 TO
00Z/16... WHERE 1 TO 3 INCH AREAL AVG AMOUNTS WILL BE POSSIBLE
WITH LOCALLY HIGHER VALUES IN THE CENTRAL CA COASTAL TERRAIN. THIS
COULD EXACERBATE ALREADY SATURATED GROUND FOR POTENTIAL
URBAN/SMALL STREAM FLOODING AND PERHAPS MUD SLIDES.

MUSHER
$$




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