000
FOUS30 KWBC 161336
QPFERD

EXCESSIVE RAINFALL DISCUSSION
NWS WEATHER PREDICTION CENTER COLLEGE PARK MD
935 AM EDT THU MAY 16 2013

...VALID 15Z THU MAY 16 2013 - 12Z FRI MAY 17 2013...
...REFERENCE AWIPS GRAPHIC UNDER...DAY 1 EXCESSIVE RAINFALL...



...INVOF THE RED RIVER...

AN AREA OF ORGANIZED SHWRS HAD DVLP IN VICNITY OF THE RED
RIVER..ASOCTD WITH A REGION OF FVBL ISENTROPIC LIFT AS MOIST LLVL
SWLY FLOW IMPINGES ON THE BACKSIDE OF A MID/UPR LVL COOL POCKET.
HI RES GUIDANCE SUGGESTS THIS POCKET OF CNVCTN WILL TRANSLATE EWD
WITH TIME AND MAY POSSIBLY AFFECT LOCALIZED AREAS THAT RECEIVED
SGFNT RNFL TOTALS YDA/LAST NIGHT.  ONE TO TO INCH RNFL AMTS IN A
FEW HOURS SEEMS POSSIBLE WHICH COULD CAUSE SPOTTY RUNOFF ISSUES.

KORTY
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