Quantitative Precipitation Forecast
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FOUS30 KWBC 150054
QPFERD

Excessive Rainfall Discussion
NWS Weather Prediction Center College Park MD
753 PM EST Wed Feb 14 2018

VALID 01Z Thu Feb 15 2018 - 12Z Thu Feb 15 2018


...Southern Arizona and Southern New Mexico...

Opted to remove the two marginal risk areas over the southwest
with this update. Looking more like a broad area of light rains
will continue through the overnight hours, with totals in the
0.25"-0.5" range through 12z across the valleys. Orographic
enhancement will still result in totals around 1" in the
mountains, with isolated 2" amounts in the most favored terrain.
However these higher totals should be pretty small scale in nature
and occur over a long duration. As such the flash flood threat
appears below 5 % at this time through the overnight hours.

Chenard
$$




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