000
FXUS64 KEWX 192008
AFDEWX

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE AUSTIN/SAN ANTONIO TX
308 PM CDT SUN MAY 19 2013

.SHORT TERM (TONIGHT THROUGH MONDAY NIGHT)...
WIDESPREAD CUMULUS FIELD ACROSS S CENTRAL TX/HILL COUNTRY REGION
THIS AFTERNOON. THE CU WERE BECOMING MORE AGITATED ACROSS THE
WRN/NWRN HILL COUNTRY ALONG THE DRY LINE AND WILL CONTINUE
ISOLATED EVENING STORMS ACROSS THIS AREA. SPC HAS ALSO BROUGHT THE
SLIGHT RISK AREA DOWN INTO THE AREA...SO HAVE UPDATED THE HWO. THIS
CONVECTION WILL END WITH THE LOSS OF HEATING NOT LONG AFTER
SUNSET. OTHERWISE LITTLE CHANGE THRU MONDAY NIGHT WITH THE DRY
LINE SETTING OFF ISOLATED CONVECTION ACROSS THE WRN CWA MONDAY
AFTERNOON AND EVENING. CONTINUED UNSEASONABLY WARM AND BREEZY.

&&

.LONG TERM (TUESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY)...
BEST CHANCES FOR ANY RAIN THIS PACKAGE CONTINUE TO BE LATE TUESDAY
INTO EARLY WEDNESDAY AS AN UPPER AIR TROUGH AND A SURFACE COLD
FRONT ARRIVE IN CENTRAL TX DURING MAX HEATING LATE TUESDAY AFTERNOON.
ISOLATED-SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS DEVELOPING OVER NORTH/CENTRAL TX
TUESDAY AFTERNOON AND DROPPING SOUTHWARD ACROSS THE CWA TUESDAY
EVENING. SPC CONTINUES TO HAVE MUCH OF THE CWA IN A SLIGHT RISK
AREA. WITH UPPER AIR SUPPORT AND SURFACE CONVERGENCE ALONG THE
FRONT/OUTFLOW BOUNDARIES...THIS CONVECTION SHOULD CONTINUE WELL PAST
SUNSET INTO THE OVERNIGHT HOURS. DECREASING POPS ON WEDNESDAY...AS
LINGERING SURFACE BOUNDARIES AND COOL NWLY FLOW ALOFT COULD RESULT
IN ISOLATED STORMS DURING THE DAY. THE REMAINDER OF THE FORECAST
FOR THURSDAY THRU SUNDAY LOOKS UNSEASONABLY WARM AND HUMID...WITH
LITTLE CHANCE FOR ANY SIGNIFICANT CONVECTION...SO HAVE GONE WITH
SILENT 5-10 PERCENT POPS AND WARMER THAN GUIDANCE TEMPERATURES.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
AUSTIN CAMP MABRY              73  94  73  94  72 /  -   -   10  30  40
AUSTIN BERGSTROM INTL AIRPORT  72  93  72  94  71 /  -   -   10  30  40
NEW BRAUNFELS MUNI AIRPORT     71  94  71  95  70 /  -   -   10  20  40
BURNET MUNI AIRPORT            71  94  71  92  70 /  -   10  20  30  40
DEL RIO INTL AIRPORT           76 100  75  99  75 /  -   10  20  10  20
GEORGETOWN MUNI AIRPORT        72  93  71  93  71 /  -   -   10  30  40
HONDO MUNI AIRPORT             73  97  72  97  72 /  -   -   10  20  30
SAN MARCOS MUNI AIRPORT        73  93  72  94  71 /  -   -   10  30  40
LA GRANGE - FAYETTE REGIONAL   75  93  75  93  74 /  10  -   10  20  30
SAN ANTONIO INTL AIRPORT       73  94  73  94  72 /  -   -   10  20  30
STINSON MUNI AIRPORT           73  95  73  95  73 /  -   -   10  20  30

&&

.EWX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NONE.
&&

$$

MESOSCALE/AVIATION...05
SYNOPTIC/GRIDS...01
PUBLIC SERVICE/DATA COLLECTION...31