000
FXUS64 KEWX 241144 AAA
AFDEWX

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION...UPDATED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE AUSTIN/SAN ANTONIO TX
644 AM CDT FRI MAY 24 2013

.AVIATION...
AN OUTFLOW BOUNDARY FROM A CLUSTER OF STORMS THAT MOVED FROM
NORTHERN TEXAS DOWN TO THE HILL COUNTRY OVERNIGHT...WILL CONTINUE
TO PRODUCE SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS ACROSS SOUTH CENTRAL
TEXAS...ESPECIALLY ACROSS KDRT THIS MORNING. WITH DAYTIME HEATING
AND UNSTABLE WEATHER CONDITIONSIN PLACE...EXPECT STORMS TO REDEVELOP
OVER THE I-35 CORRIDOR EARLY THIS AFTERNOON WITH MVFR CIGS
EXPECTED AS STORMS MOVE ACROSS. VFR CONDITIONS ARE ANTICIPATED FOR
LATE THIS AFTERNOON AS THE STORMS CLEAR OUT THE I-35 AREA
TERMINALS. MVFR CIGS TO RETURN AT OR AFTER MIDNIGHT ACROSS ALL
LOCAL SITES.

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 325 AM CDT FRI MAY 24 2013/

SHORT TERM (TODAY THROUGH SATURDAY)...
AN MCS/MCV IS SLOWLY DROPPING SOUTH INTO THE EDWARDS PLATEAU
WHILE A WEAK UPPER LEVEL SHORT-WAVE IS MOVING NORTHEAST INTO THE
NORTHERN MEXICAN STATE OF CHIHUAHUA. THE ONGOING SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS ASSOCIATED WITH THE MCV SHOULD TEND TO WANE TOWARD
MORNING AS THE AIRMASS STABILIZES. THE MCV STALLS OVER WESTERN
PARTS OF SOUTH CENTRAL TEXAS WHILE THE SHORT-WAVE MOVES INTO THE
NORTHERN MEXICAN STATE OF COAHUILA THIS AFTERNOON INTO TONIGHT.
THESE TWO FEATURES ALONG WITH SOME SURFACE BOUNDARIES TO INTERACT
WITH A MOIST AIRMASS TO GENERATE SCATTERED TO NUMEROUS SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS LATER THIS MORNING THROUGH THIS EVENING. SOME STORMS
MAY PRODUCE LOCALLY HEAVY RAINFALL UP TO 3 OR 4 INCHES...GUSTY
WINDS AND SMALL HAIL. A FEW SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS MAY LINGER
OVERNIGHT. THE MCV WILL BE ABSORBED BY THE SHORT-WAVE BY SATURDAY.
ISOLATED TO SCATTERED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WILL DEVELOP ON
SATURDAY AS THE SHORT-WAVE MOVES ACROSS CENTRAL TEXAS. A SLIGHT
COOLING TREND OF DAYTIME TEMPERATURES IS EXPECTED DUE TO CLOUDS
AND RAIN.

LONG TERM (SATURDAY NIGHT THROUGH THURSDAY)...
THE SHORT-WAVE MOVES OFF TO THE EAST SATURDAY NIGHT WITH ISOLATED
SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LINGERING. AN UPPER LEVEL RIDGE BUILDS
INTO SOUTH CENTRAL TEXAS ON SUNDAY AND PERSISTS INTO TUESDAY. A
RAIN-FREE PERIOD WITH SLIGHTLY ABOVE AVERAGE TEMPERATURES CAN BE
EXPECTED. BY THE MIDDLE OF NEXT WEEK...AN UPPER LEVEL TROUGH
WEAKENS THE UPPER LEVEL RIDGE. HAVE MAINTAINED THE SLIGHT CHANCE
OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS FOR LATE WEDNESDAY INTO THURSDAY DUE
TO PASSAGE OF THE UPPER LEVEL TROUGH.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
AUSTIN CAMP MABRY              93  72  93  72  94 /  50  50  30  10  -
AUSTIN BERGSTROM INTL AIRPORT  91  71  92  70  92 /  50  50  30  10  -
NEW BRAUNFELS MUNI AIRPORT     92  72  92  71  93 /  50  40  30  10  -
BURNET MUNI AIRPORT            89  69  87  69  90 /  60  50  30  10  -
DEL RIO INTL AIRPORT           90  73  91  74  94 /  60  50  20  10  -
GEORGETOWN MUNI AIRPORT        89  70  88  70  90 /  60  50  30  10  -
HONDO MUNI AIRPORT             94  73  92  72  93 /  50  50  30  10  -
SAN MARCOS MUNI AIRPORT        91  72  91  71  92 /  50  40  30  10  -
LA GRANGE - FAYETTE REGIONAL   91  73  90  72  91 /  50  30  20  10  -
SAN ANTONIO INTL AIRPORT       92  73  91  73  92 /  50  40  30  10  -
STINSON MUNI AIRPORT           92  73  91  72  92 /  50  40  30  10  -

&&

.EWX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NONE.
&&

$$

MESOSCALE/AVIATION...17
SYNOPTIC/GRIDS...08