Drought Information Statement
Issued by NWS Austin/San Antonio, TX

Current Version | Previous Version | Graphics & Text | Print | Product List | Glossary On
Versions: 1 2
000
AXUS74 KEWX 041900
DGTEWX
TXC013-019-021-029-031-053-055-091-123-127-137-149-163-171-177-
187-209-255-259-265-271-285-287-299-323-325-385-453-463-465-491-
493-507-061900-

DROUGHT INFORMATION STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE AUSTIN/SAN ANTONIO TX
200 PM CDT THU JUN 4 2015

...DROUGHT CONDITIONS NEARLY ERASED ACROSS SOUTH CENTRAL TEXAS...

SYNOPSIS...

MAY WAS A VERY WET MONTH ACROSS SOUTH CENTRAL TEXAS. MOST
LOCATIONS RECEIVED 5-10 INCHES OF RAIN AND THERE WERE LOCATIONS
ALONG AND TO THE EAST OF HIGHWAY 281 THAT REPORTED 15-20 INCHES.
THIS VERY WET PATTERN ALONG WITH THE WET FALL AND WINTER...HELPED
TO IMPROVE THE SHORT AND LONG TERM DROUGHT CONDITIONS. MANY LAKES
SAW RISES OF 20-30 FEET DURING THE MONTH OF MAY. DUE TO THE
FREQUENT RAINFALL OBSERVED IN MAY ALL LOCATIONS THAT REMAIN IN
DROUGHT STATUS ARE REPORTING ABNORMALLY DRY (D0) CONDITIONS. THIS
DROUGHT INFORMATION STATEMENTS WILL NOT BE  ISSUED AGAIN UNTIL
MODERATE DROUGHT (D2) CONDITIONS ARE OBSERVED.

THE CLIMATE PREDICTION CENTER (CPC) IS FORECASTING ABOUT A
90 PERCENT CHANCE THAT EL NINO WILL CONTINUE THROUGH THE NORTHERN
HEMISPHERE SUMMER AND AT LEAST A 80 PERCENT CHANCE OF AN EL NINO
EVENT CONTINUING INTO WINTER 2015-16. EL NINO LIKE IMPACTS ARE
CURRENTLY BEING OBSERVED ACROSS THE REGION WITH ABOVE AVERAGE
RAINFALL AND BELOW AVERAGE TEMPERATURES. EVEN THOUGH LA NINA AND
EL NINO EVENTS HAVE SIGNIFICANT IMPACTS ACROSS THE REGION...OTHER
CIRCULATIONS ACROSS THE GLOBE HELP DRIVE WEATHER PATTERNS TOO...
SO WE SHOULD NOT JUST BE LOOKING AT ONE PATTERN...BUT OTHERS AS
WELL TO POTENTIALLY PROVIDE RAINFALL FOR THE REGION.

THE US DROUGHT MONITOR (USDM) VALID JUNE 2ND AND ISSUED ON JUNE
4TH INDICATED DROUGHT CONDITIONS HAVE IMPROVED ACROSS SOUTH
CENTRAL TEXAS...ESPECIALLY ACROSS PORTIONS OF THE HILL COUNTRY.
ABNORMALLY DRY (D0) CONDITIONS WERE PRESENT ACROSS THE WESTERN
HILL COUNTRY AND PORTIONS OF THE EDWARDS PLATEAU. THE REMAINDER
OF SOUTH CENTRAL TEXAS WAS REPORTING NO CURRENT DROUGHT CONDITIONS.

CURRENTLY 9 PERCENT OF THE STATE IS IN ABNORMALLY DRY (D0) TO
MODERATE DROUGHT (D1) AND NONE OF THE STATE IS IN SEVERE (D2) TO
EXCEPTIONAL (D4) DROUGHT STATUS.

SUMMARY OF IMPACTS...

FIRE DANGER IMPACTS...

FIRE DANGER WAS LOW. IF WETTING RAINFALL IS NOT OBSERVED THEN
FIRE DANGER THREATS WILL INCREASE.

AS OF JUNE 4TH...NO COUNTY-WIDE BURN BANS WERE IN EFFECT ACROSS
SOUTH CENTRAL TEXAS.

COUNTIES THAT CURRENTLY HAVE NO BURN BANS IN PLACE:

ATASCOSA   KARNES
BANDERA    KENDALL
BASTROP    KERR
BLANCO     KINNEY
BEXAR      LAVACA
BURNET     LEE
CALDWELL   LLANO
COMAL      MAVERICK
DEWITT     MEDINA
DIMMIT     REAL
EDWARDS    TRAVIS
FAYETTE    UVALDE
FRIO       VAL VERDE
GILLESPIE  WILLIAMSON
GONZALES   WILSON
GUADALUPE  ZAVALA
HAYS

RESIDENTS IN ALL COUNTIES SHOULD CONTACT THEIR LOCAL CITY OR
COUNTY WEB SITE...JUDGE`S OFFICE OR FIRE MARSHALL BEFORE DECIDING
TO CONDUCT ANY TYPE OF OUTDOOR BURNING AS BURN BANS MAY BE ISSUED
BEFORE THE NEXT UPDATE OF THIS DROUGHT STATEMENT.

THE JUNE 4TH COUNTY KEETCH-BYRAM DROUGHT INDEX (KBDI) SHOWED
THE FOLLOWING KBDI VALUES:

KBDI VALUES:

       0-200

ATASCOSA    KARNES
BANDERA     KENDALL
BASTROP     KERR
BEXAR       KINNEY
BLANCO      LAVACA
BURNET      LEE
CALDWELL    LLANO
COMAL       MAVERICK
DEWITT      MEDINA
DIMMIT      REAL
EDWARDS     TRAVIS
FAYETTE     UVALDE
FRIO        VAL VERDE
GILLESPIE   WILLIAMSON
GONZALES    WILSON
GUADALUPE   ZAVALA
HAYS

THE TEXAS FOREST SERVICE USES THE KBDI AS A MEANS FOR RELATING
CURRENT AND RECENT WEATHER CONDITIONS TO POTENTIAL OR EXPECTED
FIRE BEHAVIOR. THE KBDI IS A NUMERICAL INDEX CALCULATED DAILY FOR
EACH COUNTY. EACH NUMBER IS AN ESTIMATE OF THE AMOUNT OF
PRECIPITATION...IN HUNDREDTHS OF AN INCH...NEEDED TO BRING THE
SOIL BACK TO SATURATION. THE INDEX RANGES FROM ZERO TO 800...WITH
ZERO REPRESENTING A SATURATED SOIL AND 800 A COMPLETELY DRY SOIL.
REMEMBER...THAT FIRE DANGER CAN CHANGE QUICKLY FROM ONE DAY TO
ANOTHER AS WINDS AND RELATIVE HUMIDITY VARY.

AGRICULTURAL IMPACTS...

THE TEXAS CROP AND WEATHER REPORT ISSUED BY TEXAS A AND M
INDICATED THE AREA HAD HEAVY RAINS AND FLOODING. LOSSES INCLUDED
DOWNED TREES, DAMAGES TO HOMES AND LAID-DOWN WHEAT AND OATS. WHEAT
NOT LOST TO THE STORMS PROMISED EXCELLENT YIELDS...BUT THE WET
CONDITIONS PREVENTED ITS HARVESTING. MOST WHEAT PRODUCERS WERE
EXPECTING LOSSES. FUNGUS PROBLEMS CROPPED UP IN HOME
GARDENS...COMMERCIAL VINEYARDS AND ORCHARDS. PECAN...FORAGE...AND
GRAIN CROPS NEEDED DRIER CONDITIONS. SOME CROPS WERE IN STANDING
WATER. SOME MATURE PECAN TREES WERE FALLING OVER DUE TO SATURATED
SOILS AND HIGH WINDS. WILDLIFE AND LIVESTOCK WERE IN EXCELLENT
CONDITION...BUT THERE WAS CONCERN ABOUT INTERNAL PARASITES
BECOMING A PROBLEM BECAUSE OF THE WET CONDITIONS. PRODUCERS WERE
SHEARING SHEEP AND GOATS.

CLIMATE SUMMARY...

THE NEXT SEVERAL DAYS ARE EXPECTED TO SEE NEAR TO SLIGHTLY ABOVE
AVERAGE TEMPERATURES AND BELOW AVERAGE PRECIPITATION.

PRECIPITATION FROM JANUARY 1, 2015 TO MIDNIGHT JUNE 3, 2015 AND
DEPARTURE FROM NORMAL:

                   2015       NORMAL     DEPARTURE     PERCENT
LOCATION         RAINFALL    TO DATE    FROM NORMAL   OF NORMAL

AUSTIN MABRY      30.25       14.03      +16.22         216%
AUSTIN BERGSTROM  25.57       13.97      +11.60         183%
SAN ANTONIO       23.28       12.40      +10.88         188%
DEL RIO           15.08        7.48       +7.60         202%

FOR MAY...DEL RIO RECEIVED 10.17 INCHES OF RAIN. THIS WAS
7.36 INCHES ABOVE THE NORMAL OF 2.81 INCHES. THIS WAS THE THIRD
WETTEST MAY ON RECORD. THE AVERAGE TEMPERATURE FOR MAY WAS 76.9
DEGREES. THIS WAS 2.0 DEGREES BELOW THE NORMAL OF 78.9 DEGREES.

FOR MAY...SAN ANTONIO INTERNATIONAL AIRPORT RECEIVED 8.57
INCHES OF RAIN. THIS WAS 4.56 INCHES ABOVE THE NORMAL OF
4.01 INCHES. THIS WAS THE 7TH WETTEST MAY ON RECORD. THE AVERAGE
TEMPERATURE AT THE SAN ANTONIO INTERNATIONAL AIRPORT FOR JUNE WAS
76.3 DEGREES. THIS WAS 0.6 OF A DEGREE BELOW THE NORMAL OF 76.9
DEGREES.

FOR MAY...AUSTIN MABRY RECEIVED 17.59 INCHES OF RAIN. THIS WAS
13.15 INCHES ABOVE THE NORMAL OF 4.44 INCHES. THIS WAS THE WETTEST
MAY ON RECORD. THE PREVIOUS RECORD WAS SET BACK IN 1895. THE
AVERAGE TEMPERATURE AT AUSTIN MABRY FOR JUNE WAS 75.2 DEGREES.
THIS WAS 1.4 DEGREES BELOW THE NORMAL OF 76.6 DEGREES.

FOR MAY...AUSTIN BERGSTROM INTERNATIONAL AIRPORT RECEIVED
13.44 INCHES OF RAIN. THIS WAS 9.39 OF INCHES ABOVE THE NORMAL
OF 4.05 INCHES. THIS WAS THE SECOND WETTEST MAY ON RECORD. THE
AVERAGE TEMPERATURE AT THE AUSTIN BERGSTROM INTERNATIONAL AIRPORT
FOR JUNE WAS 74.0 DEGREES. THIS WAS 1.2 DEGREES BELOW THE NORMAL
OF 75.2 DEGREES.

PRECIPITATION/TEMPERATURE OUTLOOK...

THE LATEST CLIMATE PREDICTION CENTER (CPC) 8 TO 14 DAY OUTLOOK
ISSUED JUNE 3 AND VALID JUNE 11 THROUGH JUNE 17 WAS INDICATING
NO STRONG SIGNAL FOR ABOVE AVERAGE...BELOW AVERAGE OR AVERAGE
TEMPERATURES AND PRECIPITATION.

THE LONGER RANGE OUTLOOK FOR JUNE 2015 THROUGH AUGUST 2015...
CREATED ON MAY 21ST WAS INDICATING STRONGER SIGNALS FOR BELOW
AVERAGE TEMPERATURES AND ABOVE AVERAGE PRECIPITATION.

HYDROLOGIC SUMMARY AND OUTLOOK...

DUE TO THE CONTINUED PERIODIC RAINFALL MOST LOCATIONS HAVE SEEN
ABOVE AVERAGE PRECIPITATION SINCE THE BEGINNING OF JANUARY. THE
WIDESPREAD RAINFALL HAS CAUSED LAKE LEVELS TO CONTINUE TO RISE.
MANY OF THE LAKES ARE NOW NEAR OR AT NORMAL CONSERVATION POOL
LEVELS. A FEW HAVE EVEN GONE INTO THE FLOOD POOL LEVEL AND
RELEASES ARE CURRENTLY IN PROGRESS.

THE 7 DAY STREAM FLOW AVERAGES WERE ABOVE NORMAL (76-90 PERCENT)
TO MUCH ABOVE NORMAL (GREATER THAN 90 PERCENT) ACROSS THE RIO
GRANDE...NUECES...FRIO...MEDINA...SAN ANTONIO...GUADALUPE AND
COLORADO BASINS.

RESERVOIR CONDITIONS AS OF JUNE 4TH...

BELOW IS A LIST OF RESERVOIRS WITH THE LATEST ELEVATIONS AND
NORMAL POOLS.

              CONSERVATION POOL    LATEST ELEVATION    DIFFERENCE
                    (FT)                 (FT)             (FT)

LAKE AMISTAD        1117                1088.7           -28.3
MEDINA LAKE         1064.2              1042.4           -21.8
CANYON LAKE          909                 927.2           +18.2
LAKE GEORGETOWN      791                 800.7            +9.7
LAKE BUCHANAN       1020                 996.4           -23.6
LAKE TRAVIS          681                 667.6           -13.4

RESTRICTIONS...

THE SAN ANTONIO WATER SYSTEM (SAWS) IS CURRENTLY IN STAGE 2 WATER
RESTRICTIONS. SAWS PLANS TO RETAIN THE STAGE 2 RESTRICTIONS
DESPITE PERIODS WHEN THE DECLINE OF THE EDWARDS AQUIFER 10-DAY
AVERAGE FALLS TO BELOW 640 FEET WHICH IS THE THRESHOLD FOR STAGE
2 RESTRICTIONS.

LATEST READINGS FROM THE EDWARDS AQUIFER:

 CURRENT      2014 LEVEL   DEPARTURE    JUNE     DEPARTURE FROM
  LEVEL      ON THIS DATE  FROM 2014   AVERAGE      AVERAGE

 665.2 FT      641.3 FT     +23.9 FT    662.4 FT     +2.8 FT

MANY COMMUNITIES ACROSS SOUTH CENTRAL TEXAS CONTINUE TO HAVE
WATER RESTRICTIONS IN PLACE TO DUE LACK OF CONSISTENT RAINFALL.

THE BARTON SPRINGS EDWARDS AQUIFER CONSERVATION DISTRICT IS
CURRENTLY IN A NO DROUGHT STATUS.

LOCATION          CURRENT WATER RESTRICTIONS

UVALDE                    STAGE 5
FREDERICKSBURG            STAGE 3
NEW BRAUNFELS             STAGE 2
AUSTIN                    STAGE 2
KERRVILLE                 STAGE 2
SAN MARCOS                STAGE 1

ALL CITIES CONTINUE TO WARN RESIDENTS THAT STRICTER RESTRICTIONS
COULD RETURN AT ANY TIME IF DRIER CONDITIONS CONTINUE.

LOCATIONS THAT DO NOT CURRENTLY HAVE MANDATORY RESTRICTIONS
CONTINUE TO STRONGLY PROMOTE YEAR ROUND WATER CONSERVATION.

NEXT ISSUANCE DATE...

THIS PRODUCT WILL NOT BE ISSUED AGAIN UNTIL SEVERE DROUGHT (D2)
CONDITIONS ARE OBSERVED.

&&

RELATED WEB SITES...

FOR FURTHER INFORMATION ON THE DROUGHT IMPACTING SOUTH CENTRAL
TEXAS...PLEASE VISIT THE FOLLOWING WEB ADDRESSES.
(ADDRESSES SHOULD BE IN ALL LOWER CASE)

AUSTIN/SAN ANTONIO NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE:
HTTP://WWW.WEATHER.GOV/AUSTIN

NOAA DROUGHT INFORMATION CENTER:
HTTP://WWW.DROUGHT.NOAA.GOV

CLIMATE PREDICTION CENTER:
HTTP://WWW.CPC.NCEP.NOAA.GOV

U.S. DROUGHT MONITOR:
HTTP://DROUGHTMONITOR.UNL.EDU/

OFFICE OF THE TEXAS STATE CLIMATOLOGIST:
HTTP://CLIMATEXAS.TAMU.EDU/

UNITED STATES GEOLOGIC SURVEY (USGS):
HTTP://WATER.USGS.GOV/

UNITED STATES ARMY CORPS OF ENGINEERS (USACE):
HTTP://WWW.SWF.USACE.ARMY.MIL/

INTERNATIONAL BOUNDARY AND WATER COMMISSION:
HTTP://WWW.IBWC.STATE.GOV

ACKNOWLEDGMENTS...

THE DROUGHT MONITOR IS A MULTI-AGENCY EFFORT INVOLVING NOAA/S
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE AND NATIONAL CLIMATIC DATA CENTER...THE
USDA...STATE AND REGIONAL CENTER CLIMATOLOGISTS AND THE NATIONAL
DROUGHT MITIGATION CENTER. INFORMATION FOR THIS STATEMENT HAS
BEEN GATHERED FROM NWS AND FAA OBSERVATION SITES...STATE
COOPERATIVE EXTENSION SERVICES...THE USDA...USACE AND USGS.

QUESTIONS OR COMMENTS...

IF YOU HAVE ANY QUESTIONS OR COMMENTS ABOUT THIS DROUGHT
INFORMATION STATEMENT...PLEASE CONTACT...

NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE
2090 AIRPORT ROAD
NEW BRAUNFELS TEXAS 78130
830-606-3617

$$



USA.gov is the U.S. government's official web portal to all federal, state and local government web resources and services.