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000
FXUS62 KFFC 140808
AFDFFC

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PEACHTREE CITY GA
408 AM EDT FRI JUN 14 2013

.SHORT TERM /TODAY THROUGH SATURDAY/...
RELATIVELY QUIET SHORT TERM IN STORE FOR END OF WEEK. A RIDGE OF
HIGH PRESSURE QUICKLY BUILDS INTO THE AREA IN THE WAKE OF A STRONG
UPPER SHORTWAVE AND SFC FRONT THAT BROUGHT SEVERE STORMS TO MUCH OF
THE CWA YESTERDAY. SOME LINGERING LOW LEVEL MOISTURE LOOKS TO ALLOW
FOR PATCHY FOG DEVELOPMENT TRENDING SOUTH ACROSS CENTRAL GA THIS
MORNING. GENERALLY MOSTLY CLEAR TO PARTLY CLOUDY SKIES THROUGH THE
FORECAST PERIOD. THERE ARE SOME SLIGHT DISCREPANCIES AMONG THE
MODELS WITH A WEAK IMPULSE ALONG THE NW FLOW ALOFT POTENTIALLY
INFLUENCING THE FAR NE PORTION OF THE AREA LATER SATURDAY. MOISTURE
IS LIMITED THOUGH AND HAVE KEPT DRY FORECAST WITH ONLY MINOR CLOUD
COVER ENHANCEMENT.

FOR TEMPS...WENT WITH BLEND OF SHORT TERM GUIDANCE AND WEIGHED IN
MORE ON MET THAN MAV AS MAV HAS RECENTLY BEEN TOO WARM. VALUES LOOK
TO BE BACK TO NEAR NORMAL WITH LOWS GENERALLY IN THE 60S AND HIGHS
IN THE 80S FOR MOST AREAS AND NEAR 90 SOUTH.

BAKER

.LONG TERM /SATURDAY NIGHT THROUGH THURSDAY/...
QUITE DRY WEATHER EXPECTED INTO SUNDAY WITH SMALL CHANCES FOR
SHOWERS AND STORMS OVER THE NW FORECAST AREA SUNDAY AFTERNOON WITH
SOME INCREASED MOISTURE AND INSTABILITY AHEAD OF AN APPROACHING
SHORT WAVE. THIS IS THE BEGINNING OF INCREASING MOISTURE AND
INSTABILITY THAT MOVE OVER THE AREA MONDAY AND CONTINUE THROUGH THE
WEEK...ALLOWING FOR SCATTERED TO NUMEROUS SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS
THAT WILL HAVE A DIURNAL NATURE TO THEM. ALSO THE SOUTHERN EDGE OF
THE WESTERLIES MOVE OVER THE AREA THAT WILL ALLOW SHORT WAVES TO
ENHANCE ANY CONVECTIVE ACTIVITY. A WEAK COLD FRONT MOVES INTO N GA
LATE TUESDAY/EARLY WEDNESDAY AND COULD HANG AROUND THE FORECAST
AREA THROUGH WEEKS END. THIS WILL ALSO AID THE DEVELOPMENT OF
SHOWERS AND STORMS. FAVORED GOING ABOVE GUIDANCE FOR POPS MONDAY
THROUGH THURSDAY.

BDL

&&

.AVIATION...
06Z UPDATE...
MAINLY VFR CONDITIONS THROUGH FORECAST PERIOD AS FRONT EXITS TO
SOUTH AND HIGH PRESSURE BUILDS IN. SOME MVFR VSBYS ARE POSSIBLE
PRIOR TO 14Z WITH LINGERING LOW LEVEL MOISTURE THOUGH CONFIDENCE
NOT HIGH ENOUGH TO INCLUDE IN TAF. WINDS GENERALLY NW THIS MORNING
BECOMING CLOSE TO NORTH FOR ATL AND NEARBY SITES STAYING UNDER 10
KTS. SHOULD SWING TO NE TO EAST FOR ALL SITES AFTER 00Z AND BECOME
LIGHT TO CALM. GENERALLY MOSTLY CLEAR SKIES WITH SCT 4-6 KFT
LIKELY DURING DAY.

//ATL CONFIDENCE...06Z UPDATE...
MEDIUM CONFIDENCE ON EARLY MORNING VSBYS AND TIMING OF WIND SHIFT
TO NE.
HIGH CONFIDENCE ALL ELSE.

BAKER

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
ATHENS          87  63  89  65 /   5   0  10   5
ATLANTA         84  66  87  70 /   5   0  10   5
BLAIRSVILLE     82  60  82  61 /   5   0  10  10
CARTERSVILLE    85  61  87  66 /   5   0  10  10
COLUMBUS        89  68  91  72 /   5   0   5   5
GAINESVILLE     84  65  85  67 /   5   0  10  10
MACON           89  63  90  66 /   5   0   5   5
ROME            86  60  88  65 /   5   0  10  10
PEACHTREE CITY  85  61  87  66 /   5   0   5   5
VIDALIA         90  67  91  68 /   5   0   5   0

&&

.FFC WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NONE.
&&

$$

SHORT TERM...BAKER
LONG TERM....BDL
AVIATION...BAKER