Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Atlanta, GA

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000 FXUS62 KFFC 151433 AFDFFC AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PEACHTREE CITY GA 1033 AM EDT WED MAY 15 2013 .UPDATE...
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ONLY MINOR ADJUSTMENTS MADE TO RAISE DEWPOINTS SLIGHTLY HIGHER AND QUICKER TREND IN MORNING WARM-UP OF TEMPS...OTHERWISE FORECAST IS ON TRACK. PREVIOUS DISCUSSION FOLLOWS... BAKER
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&& .PREV DISCUSSION...
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/ISSUED 740 AM EDT WED MAY 15 2013/ .SHORT TERM /TODAY THROUGH THURSDAY/... PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 345 AM EDT WED MAY 15 2013/ CURRENT SATELLITE LOOP SHOWS CLEAR SKIES ACROSS THE THE STATE THIS MORNING. A LARGE HIGH PRESSURE RIDGE HAS SETTLED IN OVER THE SOUTHEASTERN STATES AND WILL CONTINUE TO KEEP GA PRECIPITATION FREE THROUGH THE SHORT TERM. TEMPS ARE BEGINNING TO REBOUND WITH HIGHS TODAY EXPECTED IN THE 70S AND LOWER 80S. HIGHS EXPECTED TO BE MAINLY IN THE 80S ACROSS THE AREA WEDNESDAY. LOWS TONIGHT WILL BE IN THE 50S. DEWPOINTS ARE STILL EXPECTED TO BE LOW FOR THIS TIME OF YEAR TODAY WHICH WILL KEEP RELATIVE HUMIDITIES IN THE 20S AND 30S TODAY. 01
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&& .LONG TERM /THURSDAY NIGHT THROUGH TUESDAY/...
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THERE IS SOME DISAGREEMENT WITHIN THE LONG RANGE MODELS ON TEMPS/CLOUD COVER INTO THE WEEKEND. OLD FRONTAL BOUNDARY SETS UP ACROSS TN AND THE CAROLINAS THROUGH THE WEEKEND. SEVERAL SHORTWAVES/LOW PRESSURE SYSTEMS MOVE EAST AND INTERACT WITH THE BOUNDARY. POPS SHOULD BE HIGHEST UP NORTH...NEAREST THE ENERGY/BOUNDARY AND HAVE TRIED TO REFLECT THIS IN THE GRIDS. OVERALL...CURRENT GRIDS HAD THE TREND HANDLED WELL AND ONLY MADE VERY MINOR CHANGES. THE MODEL DIFFERENCES ARE CENTERED MORE AROUND SKY COVER/MAX TEMPS. THE MODELS ARE FORECASTING A GOOD DEAL OF CLOUDS ACROSS THE CWFA WELL INTO THE WEEKEND...THUS RESULTING IN LOWER MAX TEMPS. NOT TOO CONFIDENT THAT THE COOLER TEMPS/THICKER CLOUD COVER WILL EXTEND INTO THE CENTRAL/SOUTH PARTS OF THE CWFA SO HAVE BUMPED UP TEMPS/REDUCED CLOUD COVER FOR THOSE AREAS. ALSO BUMPED UP TEMPS ACROSS THE NORTH INTO THE WEEKEND. THE BOUNDARY SHOULD BEGIN TO RETREAT NORTHWARD AS A COLD FRONT MOVES INTO THE CENTRAL US. THE NEXT FRONTAL BOUNDARY LOOKS TO IMPACT NORTH AND CENTRAL GEORGIA WEDNESDAY INTO THURSDAY. NLISTEMAA
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&& .AVIATION... 12Z UPDATE... MOSTLY CLEAR SKIES AND VFR CONDITIONS EXPECTED AGAIN TODAY. WILL SEE SOME INCREASED HIGH CLOUDS LATER TONIGHT INTO THURSDAY. WINDS WILL STAY MAINLY OUT OF THE WEST IN THE 5-10KT RANGE. WILL SEE SOME GUST TO 18Z ALSO THIS AFTERNOON. NO PRECIPITATION OR RESTRICTIONS TO VSBYS EXPECTED. //ATL CONFIDENCE...12Z UPDATE... HIGH CONFIDENCE ON ALL ELEMENTS. 01 && .PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS... ATHENS 87 60 86 61 / 0 0 20 10 ATLANTA 85 63 82 62 / 0 5 20 10 BLAIRSVILLE 84 57 78 55 / 5 5 20 20 CARTERSVILLE 84 59 83 59 / 0 5 20 20 COLUMBUS 88 62 84 63 / 0 5 10 10 GAINESVILLE 85 61 82 60 / 0 5 20 20 MACON 87 59 86 62 / 0 5 10 10 ROME 86 58 82 60 / 5 5 20 20 PEACHTREE CITY 86 58 83 60 / 0 5 20 10 VIDALIA 89 63 85 65 / 0 0 5 10 && .FFC WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... NONE. && $$ SHORT TERM...01/BAKER LONG TERM....NLISTEMAA AVIATION...01

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