Drought Information Statement
Issued by NWS Dallas/Fort Worth, TX

Current Version | Previous Version | Text Only | Print | Product List | Glossary Off
Versions: 1 2 3 4

000
AXUS74 KFWD 100415
DGTFWD
TXC001-027-035-085-093-097-099-113-119-121-133-139-143-145-147-161-
181-193-213-217-221-223-231-237-251-257-277-281-289-293-309-331-333-
337-349-363-367-379-395-397-425-429-439-467-497-503-100000-

DROUGHT INFORMATION STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FORT WORTH TX
1115 PM CDT TUE SEP 9 2014

...MULTI-YEAR DROUGHT PERSISTS...BUT EL NINO MAY BRING RELIEF...

FOR ADDITIONAL CONTENT...VISIT WEATHER.GOV/FORTWORTH/?N=DROUGHTINFO

--------------------------------------------------------------------

SYNOPSIS...

THE PASSAGE OF TROPICAL STORM HERMINE (SEPTEMBER 7-8, 2010) MARKED
THE UNOFFICIAL BEGINNING OF OUR CURRENT...WHICH IS NOW 4 YEARS IN
DURATION.

ALTHOUGH THE AGRICULTURAL DROUGHT HAS SEEN OCCASIONAL REPRIEVES...
THE HYDROLOGIC DROUGHT HAS STEADILY WORSENED ACROSS MUCH OF THE
REGION. AT 28 FEET BELOW CONSERVATION...HUBBARD CREEK RESERVOIR IS
LESS THAN 16 PERCENT FULL.  ALSO IN THE BRAZOS BASIN IS LAKE PALO
PINTO...WHICH IS LESS THAN 15 PERCENT OF ITS CONSERVATION VOLUME.
LAKE NOCONA AND LAKE RAY HUBBARD ARE AT OR NEAR ALL-TIME RECORD LOW
LEVELS. SOME RESERVOIRS BENEFITED FROM SUMMER RAINFALL...BUT THE
VAST MAJORITY ENDED THE SEASON WITH LESS WATER.

DROUGHT CONDITIONS ARE GENERALLY WORSE IN AREAS WEST OF THE I-35
CORRIDOR. CONDITIONS RANGE FROM ABNORMALLY DRY (D0) IN EAST TEXAS TO
EXTREME DROUGHT (D3) IN FORT WORTH AND AREAS TO THE WEST.
EXCEPTIONAL DROUGHT (D4) PERSISTS IN THE POSSUM KINGDOM AREA. POSSUM
KINGDOM LAKE IS AT ITS LOWEST LEVEL IN OVER 40 YEARS.

THE EQUATORIAL PACIFIC WARMED RAPIDLY DURING LATE SPRING AND EARLY
SUMMER...BUT THIS WARMING SUDDENLY LOST ITS MOMENTUM DURING JULY.
SEA SURFACE TEMPERATURES HAVE BEGUN WARMING AGAIN IN RECENT WEEKS...
AND EL NINO CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED TO TAKE HOLD DURING THE COMING
MONTHS. AS A RESULT...LONG RANGE OUTLOOKS FOR LATE 2014 AND EARLY
2015 FAVOR ABOVE NORMAL PRECIPITATION...WHICH COULD EASE DROUGHT
CONDITIONS ACROSS THE REGION.

--------------------------------------------------------------------

CLIMATE SUMMARY...

ASIDE FROM A COUPLE OF LOCALIZED HEAVY RAIN EVENTS IN NORTH CENTRAL
TEXAS...AUGUST WAS GENERALLY DRY ACROSS THE REGION. FOR PORTIONS OF
CENTRAL TEXAS...AUGUST WAS THE SECOND CONSECUTIVE MONTH WITH MINIMAL
RAINFALL. AT WACO REGIONAL AIRPORT...ONLY 1.13 INCHES OF RAIN FELL
DURING JULY AND AUGUST.

THROUGHOUT MUCH OF THE REGION...YEAR-TO-DATE PRECIPITATION TOTALS
ARE BELOW NORMAL. DEFICITS OVER THE LAST 47 MONTHS (3 YEARS AND 11
MONTHS) VARY WIDELY BUT EXCEED 40 INCHES IN MANY AREAS.

--------------------------------------------------------------------

PRECIPITATION/TEMPERATURE OUTLOOK...

THE THRESHOLD FOR EL NINO CONDITIONS WAS MET DURING JUNE...BUT SEA
SURFACE TEMPERATURES IN PORTIONS OF THE CENTRAL PACIFIC RETURNED TO
NORMAL THE FOLLOWING MONTH. ALTHOUGH EL NINO CONDITIONS HAVE BEEN
SLOW TO TAKE HOLD IN THE EQUATORIAL PACIFIC...AN EL NINO EVENT IS
STILL EXPECTED DURING THE UPCOMING COLD SEASON. AN EL NINO WATCH
REMAINS IN EFFECT...BUT THE LIKELIHOOD OF A MODERATE OR STRONG EL
NINO HAS DIMINISHED CONSIDERABLY. NONETHELESS...LONG RANGE OUTLOOKS
STILL FAVOR ABOVE NORMAL PRECIPITATION FOR THE LONE STAR STATE THE
NEXT SEVERAL MONTHS. AS A RESULT...THE U.S. SEASONAL DROUGHT OUTLOOK
PROJECTS EASING OF DROUGHT CONDITIONS ACROSS NORTH AND CENTRAL
TEXAS.

--------------------------------------------------------------------

HYDROLOGIC SUMMARY AND OUTLOOK...

MOST RESERVOIRS ACROSS THE REGION ENDED THE SUMMER WITH LESS
WATER...BUT THERE WERE SEVERAL NOTABLE EXCEPTIONS.

 * THE HEAVY RAIN EVENTS FROM DENTON TO GAINESVILLE THIS SUMMER WERE
   IN THE WATERSHEDS OF LAKE RAY ROBERTS AND LAKE LEWISVILLE...BOTH
   OF WHICH GAINED AROUND 3 FEET OVER THE COURSE OF THE SUMMER.
   DESPITE THE GAINS...BOTH RESERVOIRS REMAIN SEVERAL FEET BELOW
   CONSERVATION.

 * LAKE GRAPEVINE FINISHED THE SUMMER AROUND A FOOT HIGHER.

 * LAKE GRANBURY...LAKE PAT CLEBURNE...LAKE WHITNEY...AND AQUILLA
   LAKE ARE ALL STILL BENEFITING FROM THE JUNE DELUGE...BUT ALL
   REMAIN SEVERAL FEET LOW.

 * LAKE BRIDGEPORT MADE SOME MODEST GAINS THIS SUMMER BUT IS STILL A
   STAGGERING 23 FEET BELOW CONSERVATION.

AMONG THE RESERVOIRS THAT ARE STRUGGLING THE MOST...A HANDFUL HAVE
SET RECORD LOWS THIS YEAR.

 * THE LEVEL AT LAKE GRANBURY HIT AN ALL-TIME LOW ON JUNE 22 BEFORE
   A DELUGE IN ITS WATERSHED RAISED THE LEVEL BY MORE THAN 6 FEET IN
   JUST 2 DAYS. HOWEVER...THE LAKE HAS BEEN IN STEADY DECLINE SINCE
   THE BEGINNING OF JULY...LOSING MORE THAN 3 FEET FROM ITS POST-
   DELUGE PEAK.

 * LAKE NOCONA (MONTAGUE COUNTY) REACHED A NEW RECORD LOW ON AUGUST
   26. RAIN ONLY TEMPORARILY HALTED ITS PRECIPITOUS DECLINE...AND
   THE CURRENT LEVEL IS WITHIN AN INCH OF SETTING A NEW RECORD.

 * LAKE RAY HUBBARD...A WATER SUPPLY RESERVOIR FOR THE CITY OF
   DALLAS...IS CURRENTLY AT ITS ALL-TIME RECORD LOW LEVEL.

 * POSSUM KINGDOM LAKE IS CURRENTLY AT ITS LOWEST LEVEL SINCE 1971.


                        NEW              RECORD LOW          YEAR
                     RECORD LOW            BEFORE           DAM WAS
                    SET THIS YEAR      CURRENT DROUGHT     COMPLETED

LAKE GRANBURY      681.48 / JUN 22    685.28 / AUG 1978      1969
LAKE NOCONA        814.29 / AUG 26    816.95 / OCT 2000      1960
LAKE RAY HUBBARD   426.31 / SEP 9*    429.72 / OCT 2000      1969

                   * CURRENT LEVEL

--------------------------------------------------------------------

WATER RESTRICTIONS...

AFTER FIVE YEARS OF QUARANTINE...WATER FROM LAKE TEXOMA IS AVAILABLE
ONCE AGAIN...FOLLOWING THE COMPLETION OF A NEW PIPELINE. THE NORTH
TEXAS MUNICIPAL WATER DISTRICT (NTMWD) HAS RECOMMENDED THAT ITS
MEMBER CITIES ALLOW FOR WEEKLY LANDSCAPE WATERING DURING SEPTEMBER
AND OCTOBER. THE NTMWD SERVES 1.6 MILLION CUSTOMERS EAST AND
NORTHEAST OF THE CITY OF DALLAS.

IN APRIL...THE FORT WORTH CITY COUNCIL MADE PERMANENT ITS TWICE-PER-
WEEK LIMIT ON LANDSCAPE WATERING. ONLY HAND WATERING IS ALLOWED
BETWEEN 10 AM AND 6 PM. ARLINGTON...ALSO WITHIN THE TARRANT REGIONAL
WATER DISTRICT (TRWD) SERVICE AREA...HAS SIMILAR RESTRICTIONS BUT IS
NOT READY TO MAKE THEM PERMANENT. DALLAS WILL CONTINUE ITS TWICE-
PER-WEEK LIMIT...AS WELL AS THE DAYTIME RESTRICTION ON TRADITIONAL
SPRINKLERS...THROUGH THE END OF OCTOBER. SINCE WATER RESTRICTIONS
VARY CONSIDERABLY THROUGHOUT THE METROPLEX...RESIDENTS SHOULD KEEP
INFORMED WITH THE CURRENT GUIDELINES FROM THEIR MUNICIPALITY OR
WATER UTILITY PROVIDER.

VOLUNTARY CONSERVATION CONTINUES FOR BOTH WACO AND TEMPLE/KILLEEN.
HOWEVER...WATER RESTRICTIONS REMAIN IN EFFECT FOR SOME COMMUNITIES
WITHIN MCLENNAN AND BELL COUNTIES.

THE BRAZOS RIVER AUTHORITY IS ASKING CUSTOMERS WITHIN THE UPPER
BRAZOS BASIN...AS WELL AS AREAS AS FAR DOWNSTREAM AS WHITNEY...TO
REDUCE USAGE BY 10 PERCENT.

--------------------------------------------------------------------

NEXT ISSUANCE DATE...

THE NEXT DROUGHT INFORMATION STATEMENT WILL BE ISSUED IN EARLY
OCTOBER.

--------------------------------------------------------------------

&&

--------------------------------------------------------------------

RELATED WEB SITES...

NWS FORT WORTH DROUGHT PAGE - WEATHER.GOV/FORTWORTH/?N=DROUGHT

NATIONAL INTEGRATED DROUGHT INFORMATION SYSTEM - DROUGHT.GOV
CLIMATE PREDICTION CENTER - WWW.CPC.NCEP.NOAA.GOV
PRECIPITATION ESTIMATES - WATER.WEATHER.GOV

NATIONAL DROUGHT MITIGATION CENTER - DROUGHT.UNL.EDU
U.S. DROUGHT MONITOR - DROUGHTMONITOR.UNL.EDU
DROUGHT IMPACT REPORTER - DROUGHTREPORTER.UNL.EDU

--------------------------------------------------------------------

ACKNOWLEDGEMENTS...

THE U.S. DROUGHT MONITOR FACILITATES CONTINUOUS DISCUSSION AMONG
NUMEROUS AGENCIES...ACADEMIA...AND OTHER LOCAL INTERESTS. THE
EXPERTISE OF ITS MEMBERS HAS BEEN INVALUABLE IN DEVELOPING DROUGHT
PRODUCTS AND SERVICES FOR OUR CUSTOMERS AND PARTNERS.

THE DROUGHT IMPACT REPORTER (MAINTAINED BY THE NATIONAL DROUGHT
MITIGATION CENTER) HAS ALLOWED VARIOUS IMPACTS TO BE COMPILED WITHIN
ONE CLEARINGHOUSE. THESE IMPACTS INCLUDE AGRICULTURAL ISSUES...
HYDROLOGIC DEFICITS...FIRE DANGER...AND OTHER SOCIAL AND ECONOMIC
CONSEQUENCES.

THE TEXAS A&M FOREST SERVICE CONTINUALLY MONITORS VEGETATION
CONDITIONS AND WILDFIRE POTENTIAL. THE STATE AGENCY ALSO MAINTAINS A
CURRENT LIST OF COUNTYWIDE BURN BANS.

OUTLOOKS OF TEMPERATURE AND PRECIPITATION ARE SUMMARIZED FROM A
VARIETY OF PRODUCTS CREATED BY THE CLIMATE PREDICTION CENTER (CPC).
CPC IS A NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE (NWS) ENTITY WITHIN THE NATIONAL
CENTERS FOR ENVIRONMENTAL PREDICTION (NCEP).

THE HYDROLOGIC DATA ARE COMPILED FROM NUMEROUS SOURCES...INCLUDING
THE U.S. ARMY CORPS OF ENGINEERS (USACE)...THE TEXAS WATER
DEVELOPMENT BOARD (TWDB)...AND LOCAL WATER DISTRICTS.

--------------------------------------------------------------------

QUESTIONS OR COMMENTS...

FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION OR TO PROVIDE FEEDBACK ON OUR DROUGHT
PRODUCTS AND SERVICES...PLEASE CONTACT...

NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE
WEATHER FORECAST OFFICE
3401 NORTHERN CROSS BLVD.
FORT WORTH, TX 76137

PHONE: (817) 429-2631
E-MAIL: SR-FWD.WEBMASTER@NOAA.GOV

--------------------------------------------------------------------

$$

HUCKABY/25






USA.gov is the U.S. government's official web portal to all federal, state and local government web resources and services.