Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Grand Junction, CO

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000
FXUS65 KGJT 292140
AFDGJT

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GRAND JUNCTION CO
340 PM MDT FRI MAY 29 2015

.SHORT TERM...(TONIGHT THROUGH SATURDAY NIGHT)
ISSUED AT 340 PM MDT FRI MAY 29 2015

MOISTURE WRAPPING AROUND LOW PRESSURE IN WESTERN NEBRASKA WILL
CONTINUE TO FEED INSTABILITY BASED SHOWERS AND ISOLATED STORMS
ACROSS THE NORTHERN 2/3 OF OUR CWA FROM LATE AFTERNOON THROUGH
SUNSET. CAN RULE OUT SOME GUSTY WINDS AND SMALL HAIL BUT WEAKER
SHEAR PROFILES TODAY SUGGEST STORMS WON/T PACK AS STRONG AS PUNCH AS
THE PAST FEW DAYS. DRIER AIR WILL CONTINUE TO ADVECT IN OVERNIGHT
AND WITH LARGE SCALE ASCENT LACKING...A QUICK DOWN TURN IN
CONVECTIVE PRECIPITATION IS EXPECTED AFTER SUNSET. MAINLY CLEAR
SKIES AND COOLER TEMPERATURES WILL BE A RESULT OF THE CLEARING
SKIES. THERE COULD AGAIN BE AREAS OF GROUND FOG IN LOW LYING AREAS
AS THE GROUND BEGINS TO DRY OUT.

A RIDGE OVER THE GREAT BASIN WILL CONTINUE BUILDING OVER THE AREA
SAT AND SAT NIGHT...WITH STRONG WARM ADVECTION AND DRIER AIR
ACCOMPANYING IT. MAX TEMPS WILL RISE BACK TO NORMAL OR EVEN A FEW
DEGREES ABOVE NORMAL. ONLY ISOLATED WEAK SHOWERS ARE EXPECTED IN
THE LATE AFTERNOON AND EARLY EVENING OVER THE HIGHER MOUNTAINS.

.LONG TERM...(SUNDAY THROUGH FRIDAY)
ISSUED AT 340 PM MDT FRI MAY 29 2015

THE STRONG RIDGE WILL CONTINUE BUILDING OVER THE AREA WITH MAX
TEMPS SOARING TO 5 OR MORE DEGREES ABOVE NORMAL SUNDAY AND MONDAY.
THE RIDGELINE WILL PASS EAST OF THE AREA BY MONDAY EVENING...
OPENING UP EASTERN UT AND WESTERN CO TO INCREASING SW WINDS ALOFT
AND AT THE SURFACE. MONDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY THE NEXT PACIFIC
TROUGH WILL SLOWLY MOVE INTO THE WESTERN GREAT BASIN. THE
FORECAST AREA WILL REMAIN UNDER A DRY SLOT AHEAD OF THE TROUGH
UNTIL ABOUT WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON. THEN MOISTURE WILL INCREMENTALLY
INCREASE ACROSS THE AREA AS THE TROUGH MOVES INTO THE GREAT BASIN.
WARM AND DRY SOUTHWEST WINDS WILL REMAIN THE DOMINANT WEATHER
PARAMETERS THROUGH FRIDAY.

&&

.AVIATION...(FOR THE 00Z TAFS THROUGH Z SATURDAY AFTERNOON)
ISSUED AT 340 PM MDT FRI MAY 29 2015

ISOLATED TO SCATTERED SHOWERS AND A FEW THUNDERSTORMS WILL AFFECT
THE MOUNTAINS UNTIL ABOUT SUNSET...THEN DISSIPATE. ONLY LOCAL MT
OBSCURATIONS ARE EXPECTED WITH VCTS IN TAFS FOR KASE...KEGE AND
KVEL UNTIL ABOUT 02Z. VFR CONDITIONS WILL PREVAIL OVERNIGHT
THROUGH SATURDAY AFTERNOON.

&&

.GJT WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
CO...NONE.
UT...NONE.
&&

$$

SHORT TERM...15/CC
LONG TERM...CC
AVIATION...CC


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