Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Grand Rapids, MI

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FNUS53 KGRR 151947
FWFGRR

Fire Weather Planning Forecast for Southwest Lower Michigan
National Weather Service Grand Rapids MI
347 PM EDT Mon Apr 15 2024

...Dry through Tuesday then Showers and Storms Tuesday Night and Wednesday...

.DISCUSSION...
High pressure will keep us dry tonight and Tuesday. A warm front
will lift into the area from the southwest Tuesday night bringing
rounds of showers and a few storms. Low pressure and eventually a
cold front sweep through on Wednesday with additional showers and
storms. A soaking rainfall of around an inch will be possible
between Tuesday night and Wednesday night.


MIZ037>039-043>045-160815-
Mason-Lake-Osceola-Oceana-Newaygo-Mecosta-
Including the cities of Ludington, Baldwin, Reed City, Hart,
Fremont, and Big Rapids
347 PM EDT Mon Apr 15 2024

.TONIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Mostly clear (10-20 percent).
Min temperature.....33-38.
   24 hr trend......3 degrees cooler.
Max humidity........84-89 percent.
   24 hr trend......12 percent drier.
20-foot winds.......Northeast winds 5 to 10 mph.
Haines Index........5 or moderate potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Mixing height.......200-700 ft AGL near Lake Michigan and 1100-1600
                    ft AGL Inland.
Transport winds.....Northeast around 10 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....70-170 (poor to fair).
Pcpn Amount.........None.

.TUESDAY...
Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (35-45 percent).
Max temperature.....63-68.
   24 hr trend......Unchanged.
Min humidity........24-29 percent.
   24 hr trend......2 percent wetter.
20-foot winds.......East winds 11 to 16 mph. Gusts up to 26 mph in
                    the afternoon.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Mixing height.......3000-3500 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....East around 15 mph increasing to around 25 mph
                    in the afternoon.
Smoke dispersal.....560-860 (good to excellent).
Pcpn Amount.........none to 0.06 in.

.TUESDAY NIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (80-90 percent). Rain showers.
                    Chance of thunderstorms after 11 PM.
Chance of pcpn......90 percent.
Min temperature.....42-47.
   24 hr trend......9 degrees warmer.
Max humidity........85-90 percent.
   24 hr trend......13 percent wetter.
20-foot winds.......East winds 18 to 23 mph with gusts to around 37
                    mph.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Mixing height.......1400-1900 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Southeast around 30 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....480-530 (good).
Pcpn Amount.........0.27-0.52 in.

.WEDNESDAY...
Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (75-85 percent). Rain showers and
                    a chance of thunderstorms.
Chance of pcpn......near 100 percent.
Max temperature.....60-65.
   24 hr trend......4 degrees cooler.
Min humidity........66-71 percent.
   24 hr trend......41 percent wetter.
20-foot winds.......Southeast winds 13 to 18 mph with gusts to
                    around 28 mph.
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Mixing height.......800-1300 ft AGL near Lake Michigan and
                    2300-2800 ft AGL Inland.
Transport winds.....Southeast 20 to 25 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....380-560 (good).
Pcpn Amount.........0.38-0.69 in.


$$

MIZ040-046-160815-
Clare-Isabella-
Including the cities of Clare and Mount Pleasant
347 PM EDT Mon Apr 15 2024

.TONIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Mostly clear (10-20 percent).
Min temperature.....33-38.
   24 hr trend......Unchanged.
Max humidity........80-85 percent.
   24 hr trend......Unchanged.
20-foot winds.......North winds 5 to 9 mph.
Haines Index........5 or moderate potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Mixing height.......1500-2000 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Northeast around 10 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....40-230 (poor to fair).
Pcpn Amount.........None.

.TUESDAY...
Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (25-35 percent).
Max temperature.....Around 62.
   24 hr trend......6 degrees cooler.
Min humidity........26-31 percent.
   24 hr trend......7 percent wetter.
20-foot winds.......East winds 10 to 15 mph.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Mixing height.......3000-3500 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....East 15 to 20 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....470-640 (good to excellent).
Pcpn Amount.........None.

.TUESDAY NIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (65-75 percent) until 11 PM, then
                    cloudy (85-95 percent). Chance of rain showers
                    until 2 AM, then rain showers.
Chance of pcpn......80 percent.
Min temperature.....41-46.
   24 hr trend......6 degrees warmer.
Max humidity........84-89 percent.
   24 hr trend......Unchanged.
20-foot winds.......East winds 14 to 19 mph with gusts to around 29
                    mph.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Mixing height.......1400-1900 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....East around 25 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....400-410 (good).
Pcpn Amount.........0.26-0.36 in.

.WEDNESDAY...
Sky/weather.........Cloudy (85-95 percent). Rain showers.
Chance of pcpn......near 100 percent.
Max temperature.....59-64.
   24 hr trend......Unchanged.
Min humidity........65-70 percent.
   24 hr trend......35 percent wetter.
20-foot winds.......East winds 12 to 17 mph.
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Mixing height.......1200-1700 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Southeast 20 to 25 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....360 (good).
Pcpn Amount.........0.46-0.74 in.


$$

MIZ050-056-064-071-160815-
Muskegon-Ottawa-Allegan-Van Buren-
Including the cities of Muskegon, Grand Haven, Jenison, Holland,
and South Haven
347 PM EDT Mon Apr 15 2024

.TONIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Mostly clear (10-20 percent).
Min temperature.....Around 42.
   24 hr trend......6 degrees cooler.
Max humidity........71-76 percent.
   24 hr trend......7 percent drier.
20-foot winds.......Northeast winds 6 to 11 mph.
Haines Index........5 or moderate potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Mixing height.......400-900 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Northeast 10 to 15 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....80 (poor).
Pcpn Amount.........None.

.TUESDAY...
Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (40-50 percent). Slight chance of
                    rain showers after 2 PM.
Chance of pcpn......20 percent in the afternoon.
Max temperature.....67-72.
   24 hr trend......2 degrees cooler.
Min humidity........30-35 percent.
   24 hr trend......9 percent wetter.
20-foot winds.......East winds 14 to 19 mph with gusts to around 28
                    mph.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Mixing height.......2800-3300 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....East 20 to 25 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....550-890 (good to excellent).
Pcpn Amount.........none to 0.07 in.

.TUESDAY NIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Cloudy (85-95 percent). Rain showers and a
                    chance of thunderstorms.
Chance of pcpn......80 percent.
Min temperature.....49-54.
   24 hr trend......10 degrees warmer.
Max humidity........88-93 percent.
   24 hr trend......20 percent wetter.
20-foot winds.......Southeast winds 18 to 23 mph with gusts to
                    around 36 mph.
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Mixing height.......1400-1900 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Southeast 25 to 30 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....430-550 (good).
Pcpn Amount.........0.31-0.52 in.

.WEDNESDAY...
Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (70-80 percent). Rain showers and
                    a chance of thunderstorms.
Chance of pcpn......90 percent.
Max temperature.....67-72.
   24 hr trend......1 degree warmer.
Min humidity........65-70 percent.
   24 hr trend......35 percent wetter.
20-foot winds.......Southeast winds around 16 mph shifting to the
                    southwest around 14 mph in the afternoon.
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Mixing height.......1200-1700 ft AGL near Lake Michigan and
                    3300-3800 ft AGL Inland.
Transport winds.....Southeast around 25 mph shifting to the
                    southwest in the afternoon.
Smoke dispersal.....510-960 (good to excellent).
Pcpn Amount.........0.37-0.64 in.


$$

MIZ051-052-057>059-160815-
Montcalm-Gratiot-Kent-Ionia-Clinton-
Including the cities of Greenville, Alma, Grand Rapids, Ionia,
and St. Johns
347 PM EDT Mon Apr 15 2024

.TONIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Mostly clear (10-20 percent).
Min temperature.....38-43.
   24 hr trend......3 degrees cooler.
Max humidity........77-82 percent.
   24 hr trend......14 percent drier.
20-foot winds.......Northeast winds 5 to 10 mph.
Haines Index........5 or moderate potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Mixing height.......300-800 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....North around 10 mph shifting to the east
                    overnight.
Smoke dispersal.....70-100 (poor).
Pcpn Amount.........None.

.TUESDAY...
Sky/weather.........Sunny (20-30 percent) until 5 PM, then partly
                    sunny (50-60 percent).
Max temperature.....64-69.
   24 hr trend......3 degrees cooler.
Min humidity........30-35 percent.
   24 hr trend......7 percent wetter.
20-foot winds.......East winds 12 to 17 mph.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Mixing height.......3100-3600 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....East 15 to 20 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....530-810 (good to excellent).
Pcpn Amount.........none to 0.04 in.

.TUESDAY NIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (80-90 percent). Rain showers.
Chance of pcpn......80 percent.
Min temperature.....45-50.
   24 hr trend......9 degrees warmer.
Max humidity........85-90 percent.
   24 hr trend......7 percent wetter.
20-foot winds.......East winds 15 to 20 mph with gusts to around 30
                    mph.
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Mixing height.......1100-1600 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Southeast around 25 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....360-420 (good).
Pcpn Amount.........0.16-0.44 in.

.WEDNESDAY...
Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (80-90 percent). Rain showers and
                    a chance of thunderstorms.
Chance of pcpn......near 100 percent.
Max temperature.....64-69.
   24 hr trend......1 degree warmer.
Min humidity........62-67 percent.
   24 hr trend......36 percent wetter.
20-foot winds.......Southeast winds 12 to 17 mph.
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Mixing height.......2700-3200 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....South 20 to 25 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....500-620 (good to excellent).
Pcpn Amount.........0.57-0.91 in.


$$

MIZ065>067-072>074-160815-
Barry-Eaton-Ingham-Kalamazoo-Calhoun-Jackson-
Including the cities of Hastings, Charlotte, Lansing, Kalamazoo,
Battle Creek, and Jackson
347 PM EDT Mon Apr 15 2024

.TONIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Mostly clear (5-15 percent).
Min temperature.....Around 42.
   24 hr trend......3 degrees cooler.
Max humidity........74-79 percent.
   24 hr trend......17 percent drier.
20-foot winds.......North winds around 7 mph shifting to the
                    northeast around 8 mph overnight.
Haines Index........5 or moderate potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Mixing height.......400-900 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....North around 10 mph shifting to the east
                    overnight.
Smoke dispersal.....90-100 (poor).
Pcpn Amount.........None.

.TUESDAY...
Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (35-45 percent). Slight chance of
                    rain showers after 2 PM.
Chance of pcpn......20 percent in the afternoon.
Max temperature.....66-71.
   24 hr trend......5 degrees cooler.
Min humidity........34-39 percent.
   24 hr trend......12 percent wetter.
20-foot winds.......East winds 11 to 16 mph.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Mixing height.......2800-3300 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....East around 20 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....480-770 (good to excellent).
Pcpn Amount.........none to 0.03 in.

.TUESDAY NIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (80-90 percent). Rain showers
                    likely.
Chance of pcpn......70 percent.
Min temperature.....49-54.
   24 hr trend......9 degrees warmer.
Max humidity........91-96 percent.
   24 hr trend......14 percent wetter.
20-foot winds.......Southeast winds 15 to 20 mph with gusts to
                    around 30 mph.
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Mixing height.......1000-1500 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Southeast 20 to 25 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....250-330 (fair to good).
Pcpn Amount.........0.14-0.38 in.

.WEDNESDAY...
Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (75-85 percent). Rain showers and
                    a chance of thunderstorms.
Chance of pcpn......near 100 percent.
Max temperature.....67-72.
   24 hr trend......3 degrees warmer.
Min humidity........65-70 percent.
   24 hr trend......32 percent wetter.
20-foot winds.......South winds 12 to 17 mph.
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Mixing height.......3100-3600 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....South 20 to 25 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....670-820 (excellent).
Pcpn Amount.........0.55-0.85 in.


$$

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers and
thunderstorms in the evening. Lows in the upper 40s. West winds 8 to
13 mph.
.THURSDAY...Mostly cloudy. Highs in the upper 50s. West winds 9 to
14 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a chance of showers. Lows in
the lower 40s. West winds 8 to 13 mph.
.FRIDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the mid 50s. West winds 13 to
18 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the upper 30s. West winds
10 to 15 mph.
.SATURDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the lower 50s. Northwest winds
12 to 17 mph.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the lower 30s.
.SUNDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the lower 50s.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 30s.
.MONDAY...Sunny. Highs in the upper 50s.

$$
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