Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Portland, ME

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000 FXUS61 KGYX 161906 AFDGYX AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GRAY ME 306 PM EDT SUN JUN 16 2013 .SYNOPSIS...
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A WEAK AREA OF LOW PRESSURE WILL CROSS THE REGION THIS EVENING BRINGING WIDESPREAD SHOWERS TO MOUNTAINS AND FOOTHILLS AND SCATTERED SHOWERS ALONG THE COAST. A COLD FRONT ASSOCIATED WITH ANOTHER AREA OF LOW PRESSURE PASSING TO OUR NORTH MONDAY WILL TRIGGER SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS ACROSS THE AREA MONDAY AFTERNOON. THE FRONT WILL MOVE OFF THE COAST TUESDAY MORNING. HIGH PRESSURE WILL BUILD IN FOR THE MIDDLE AND LATTER PART OF THE WEEK.
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&& .NEAR TERM /THROUGH TONIGHT/...
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AREA OF SHOWERS CONTINUES TO MOVE EAST FROM NY STATE THIS AFTERNOON. MUCH OF THE INITIAL PRECIP HAS BEEN EVAPORATING BEFORE REACHING THE GROUND, ESPECIALLY IN SOUTHERN AREAS. AIR OVER MOUNTAINS AND FOOTHILLS SHOULD SATURATE...SO EXPECT WIDESPREAD RAIN IN THOSE AREAS THIS EVENING. ELSEWHERE...EXPECT ONLY SCATTERED SHOWERS TO REACH THE GROUND AS AIR IS VERY DRY. PATCHY FOG EXPECTED OVERNIGHT IN AREAS THAT GET A SHOWER THIS EVENING.
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&& .SHORT TERM /MONDAY THROUGH MONDAY NIGHT/...
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FRONTAL BOUNDARY APPROACHES FROM THE WEST MONDAY WITH INCREASING MOISTURE AND TEMPERATURES. AHEAD OF THE FRONT...TEMPS IN SOUTHERN AREAS COULD REACH THE MID 80S. ATMOSPHERE BECOMES A BIT UNSTABLE AHEAD OF THE FRONT BRINGING THE THREAT OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS TO THE AREA MONDAY AFTERNOON AND EVENING. FRONT MOVES VERY THROUGH REGION WITH SHOWER THREAT CONTINUING MONDAY NIGHT.
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&& .LONG TERM /TUESDAY THROUGH SATURDAY/...
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FAIRLY QUIET EXTENDED PERIOD IN STORE. SHOULD BE A WEAK BOUNDARY DRAPED ACROSS THE REGION TUESDAY MORNING THAT COULD PROVIDE A FOCUS FOR SOME AFTERNOON CONVECTION. THE BOUNDARY IS EXPECTED TO MOVE OFFSHORE TUESDAY NIGHT AS HIGH PRESSURE BUILDS IN FROM THE WEST. HIGH PRESSURE THEN REMAINS IN PLACE ACROSS NORTHERN NEW ENGLAND UNTIL AT LEAST FRIDAY. CYCLONIC FLOW ALOFT SETS UP OVER THE REGION FRIDAY NIGHT. THE GFS IS TRYING TO DROP A WEAK BACK DOOR COLD FRONT OUT OF CANADA FRIDAY NIGHT AND INTO SATURDAY BUT APPEARS TO BE THE OUTLIER. WILL NOT GIVE IT TOO MUCH WEIGHT YET BUT IT WILL REMAIN A FEATURE TO LOOK FOR OVER THE NEXT FEW DAYS.
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&& .AVIATION /19Z SUNDAY THROUGH FRIDAY/...
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SHORT TERM...MVFR CONDITIONS POSSIBLE TONIGHT IN SHOWERS AND IFR CONDITIONS POSSIBLE IN PATCHY FOG OVERNIGHT. MVFR TO IFR CONDITIONS POSSIBLE IN SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS MONDAY AFTERNOON AND NIGHT. LONG TERM...VFR CONDITIONS EXPECTED THROUGHOUT THE PERIOD.
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&& .MARINE...
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SHORT TERM...WINDS AND SEAS EXPECTED TO BE BELOW SCA CRITERIA. LONG TERM...NO FLAGS EXPECTED.
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&& .GYX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... ME...NONE. NH...NONE. MARINE...NONE. && $$ SYNOPSIS...JENSENIUS NEAR TERM...JENSENIUS SHORT TERM...JENSENIUS LONG TERM...POHL

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